g**1
发帖数: 10330 | 1 BREAKING NEWS: Dr. Fauci warns the coronavirus death toll in the U.S. could
top 100,000 and millions of people could become infected
Dr Anthony Fauci, the country's top infectious disease expert, estimated the
U.S. could see between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths
On CNN's 'State of the Union' he said he did not want to be held to that
number because the pandemic is 'such a moving target'
As of Sunday morning, there were more than 123,000 positive cases, and more
than 2,100 deaths in the U.S
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8165019/Fauci-says-coronavirus-deaths-US-100-000.html | Y****1
发帖数: 1 | 2 黄皮疮：fake news... it's just a big flu | g*******i
发帖数: 1 | | z****g
发帖数: 3 | | P**T
发帖数: 2274 | 5 搞群体免疫好像是几百万
: 蘑菇头 脸都肿了！！！
: 我ctmd 蘑菇头！
【在 z****g 的大作中提到】
: 蘑菇头 脸都肿了！！！
: 我ctmd 蘑菇头！
| O**W
发帖数: 58 | | O**W
发帖数: 58 | 7 上面金融时报的文章直接似乎打不开
可以谷歌搜索 Neil Ferguson, a virus modeller sounds the alarm | s********i
发帖数: 17328 | | W*****B
发帖数: 1 | 9 Fauci这个老逼，到什么山上唱什么歌，要不要翻处他开始的时候放的狗屁来打他的逼
脸？ | O**W
发帖数: 58 | 10 其实比照中国当时的数字可以估一下
1/23封城的时候，武汉只有不到500 例，全国也不到1000例
然后是人类史上最严格的隔离。就这样，最后都发展到八万多例
美国现在这种佛系隔离，多点爆发，巨巨还催着复工，可以想见感染百万绝对是太保守了 | | | l**k
发帖数: 45267 | 11 疮铺不是说了吗，流感一年也要死几万，所以这确实是个大流感，嗯实锤了
could
the
more
【在 g**1 的大作中提到】
: BREAKING NEWS: Dr. Fauci warns the coronavirus death toll in the U.S. could
: top 100,000 and millions of people could become infected
: Dr Anthony Fauci, the country's top infectious disease expert, estimated the
: U.S. could see between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths
: On CNN's 'State of the Union' he said he did not want to be held to that
: number because the pandemic is 'such a moving target'
: As of Sunday morning, there were more than 123,000 positive cases, and more
: than 2,100 deaths in the U.S
: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8165019/Fauci-says-coronavirus-deaths-US-100-000.html
| n****l
发帖数: 1739 | | f********g
发帖数: 32 | 13 这老逼东西，信口胡粥，按照现在的措施，不死百万基本上不可能
could
the
more
【在 g**1 的大作中提到】
: BREAKING NEWS: Dr. Fauci warns the coronavirus death toll in the U.S. could
: top 100,000 and millions of people could become infected
: Dr Anthony Fauci, the country's top infectious disease expert, estimated the
: U.S. could see between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths
: On CNN's 'State of the Union' he said he did not want to be held to that
: number because the pandemic is 'such a moving target'
: As of Sunday morning, there were more than 123,000 positive cases, and more
: than 2,100 deaths in the U.S
: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8165019/Fauci-says-coronavirus-deaths-US-100-000.html
| d**e
发帖数: 1124 | 14 他用的worst case scenario, 就是没有任何控制和药物来intervene的情况，任病毒自
由发展
他最近还给了其它model，考虑intervention,数字小了很多，所以英国才开始隔离控制
Give Neil Ferguson a break. Nearly two weeks ago Mr. Ferguson, an
epidemiologist with Imperial College London, issued a report on Covid-19.
Much of the public attention focused on his worst-case projection that there
might as many as 2.2 million American and 510,000 British deaths. Fewer
paid attention to the caveat that this was “unlikely,” and based on the
assumption that nothing was done to control it.
【在 O**W 的大作中提到】
: 10万到20万算保守估计
: 弗格森的模型预测是120 万。就是这个模型一夜之间断了英国人群体免疫念想
: https://www.ft.com/content/7e56cf84-6a9e-11ea-a3c9-1fe6fedcca75
: 弗格森就是当初那个模型预计武汉已有三千人感染（而官方只报到400+）的英国专家
: 应该是有一定credit的
: 他发的文章在这里：
: http://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
| O**W
发帖数: 58 | 15 worst case scenario是220 万
120 万是已经考虑了有一定intervention的
there
【在 d**e 的大作中提到】
: 他用的worst case scenario, 就是没有任何控制和药物来intervene的情况，任病毒自
: 由发展
: 他最近还给了其它model，考虑intervention,数字小了很多，所以英国才开始隔离控制
: Give Neil Ferguson a break. Nearly two weeks ago Mr. Ferguson, an
: epidemiologist with Imperial College London, issued a report on Covid-19.
: Much of the public attention focused on his worst-case projection that there
: might as many as 2.2 million American and 510,000 British deaths. Fewer
: paid attention to the caveat that this was “unlikely,” and based on the
: assumption that nothing was done to control it.
| d**e
发帖数: 1124 | 16 看看左媒是如何偷换概念的。把"could potentially"改成"will"，然后放在主标题里
就这么无耻。fauci还是太幼稚，以为他说的话会被原样引用LOL
媒体标题：
Dr. Fauci predicts America's coronavirus death toll will be '100,000 to 200,
000', millions of people will be infected and says lockdowns will NOT be
lifted next week like the President wants
Fauci原话：
Dr. Anthony Fauci says there could potentially be between 100,000 to 200,000
deaths related to the coronavirus and millions of cases. “I just don’t
think that we really need to make a projection when it’s such a moving
target, that you could so easily be wrong,” he adds. #CNNSOTU
Fauci在3月份刚开始的时候也说过一样的话，"US could have millions infected and
hundreds of thousands dead". 这种老学究，说话不肯能说满，用“will"，一定是
用"could", "may"。 | s***o
发帖数: 272 | 17 under the great leadership of prez trump,
nothing is impossible!
could
the
more
【在 g**1 的大作中提到】
: BREAKING NEWS: Dr. Fauci warns the coronavirus death toll in the U.S. could
: top 100,000 and millions of people could become infected
: Dr Anthony Fauci, the country's top infectious disease expert, estimated the
: U.S. could see between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths
: On CNN's 'State of the Union' he said he did not want to be held to that
: number because the pandemic is 'such a moving target'
: As of Sunday morning, there were more than 123,000 positive cases, and more
: than 2,100 deaths in the U.S
: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8165019/Fauci-says-coronavirus-deaths-US-100-000.html
| Y****1
发帖数: 1 | | w*******2
发帖数: 2199 | 19 你要点碧莲
昨天你统计的流感死12万的事儿还没过去呢
盹盹盹
there
【在 d**e 的大作中提到】
: 他用的worst case scenario, 就是没有任何控制和药物来intervene的情况，任病毒自
: 由发展
: 他最近还给了其它model，考虑intervention,数字小了很多，所以英国才开始隔离控制
: Give Neil Ferguson a break. Nearly two weeks ago Mr. Ferguson, an
: epidemiologist with Imperial College London, issued a report on Covid-19.
: Much of the public attention focused on his worst-case projection that there
: might as many as 2.2 million American and 510,000 British deaths. Fewer
: paid attention to the caveat that this was “unlikely,” and based on the
: assumption that nothing was done to control it.
| c******e
发帖数: 1351 | 20 最后要是没死那么多，巨巨又可以拿来说嘴是他的功绩了，民调创新高，MAGA！ | i********r
发帖数: 139 | 21 尼玛你说这么多你还不如重复一下你川爹爹的流感论。
200,
000
【在 d**e 的大作中提到】
: 看看左媒是如何偷换概念的。把"could potentially"改成"will"，然后放在主标题里
: 就这么无耻。fauci还是太幼稚，以为他说的话会被原样引用LOL
: 媒体标题：
: Dr. Fauci predicts America's coronavirus death toll will be '100,000 to 200,
: 000', millions of people will be infected and says lockdowns will NOT be
: lifted next week like the President wants
: Fauci原话：
: Dr. Anthony Fauci says there could potentially be between 100,000 to 200,000
: deaths related to the coronavirus and millions of cases. “I just don’t
: think that we really need to make a projection when it’s such a moving
| d*****s
发帖数: 5610 | 22 这是到7月份的数据，到明年7月，再翻起码一倍。 |
|
