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发帖数: 4825 | 1 https://www.ft.com/content/2602d57c-6ad4-11ea-800d-da70cff6e4d3
Corporate borrowing costs soar amid default fears
Interest rates for even highly rated companies double from levels of days
ago
Borrowing costs for companies around the world are rising dramatically
despite central bank interest rate cuts as rating agencies warn that the
economic impact of the coronavirus will lead to a surge of corporate
downgrades and defaults.
Fears about creditworthiness are prompting investors to put their money in
the most easily traded securities — such as short-term government debt —
raising borrowing costs for more highly rated corporate borrowers and
choking off credit to riskier ones.
Rating agency Moody’s estimates the default rate for speculative-grade
companies could hit nearly 10 per cent, with energy companies particularly
hard hit. That is up from 2.3 per cent a year ago, and a historical average
of 4 per cent.
“I think the pandemic coupled with the oil price crash and the asset price
declines are creating a severe and extensive credit shock across regions,
sectors and markets,” said Anne Van Praagh, a researcher at Moody’s.“The
combined credit effects are unprecedented. This is not like anything we have
seen before.”
Even highly rated companies that have been able to sell bonds during the
outbreak have agreed to deals that will increase their total financing costs
by hundreds of millions of dollars as revenues are threatened by an
economic downturn.
The average yield for investment-grade corporate debt has risen from a year
to date low of 2.26 per cent two weeks ago to 4.7 per cent on Friday,
according to an index run by Ice Data Services.
“It’s brutal. We have never seen such a big move in such a short amount of
time,” said Monica Erickson, a portfolio manager at DoubleLine. “This is
the quickest and most severe I have ever experienced, and I was around for
2008.”
For higher-risk “junk” rated companies, the sell-off has been even more
severe, with the average yield on an index run by Ice doubling this month to
over 10 per cent.
Companies have scrambled to raise as much cash as possible, with roughly $
60bn of bonds sold by investment grade companies this week in the US,
including more than $16bn on Friday.
The companies selling debt are all high-quality names, such as a $5bn bond
sale for Coca-Cola and an $8bn deal for Intel, with those outside the very
top tier still shut out from capital markets.
“Companies are focused on increasing liquidity, drawing down revolvers and
accessing cash wherever possible. They are preparing for the worst because
we are in an unprecedented environment,” said Ms Erickson. | V********u
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