a*******m
发帖数: 14194 | 1 10月份中国出口数据这么好，这不是太好的事情，说明美国加的关税范围
和幅度都不够，Trump很可能会再加把劲。搞不好年底之前，中国所有的出口
美国的东西都被加到增税的list里面。
如果中国弄个假数据出来，说中国对美国出口减少，矛盾缓和，可能会更好点。
说美国贸易战输了，或者Trump输了的，未免言之太早，这次的贸易战是一个
长期的贸易战，不是一年半年的事情，搞不好要八到十年，就是Trump干完
第二任总统了，都可能还没打完。
当然事实也可能证明我是胡说八道，都是有可能的。
10月份进出口数据双超预期
2018年11月09日 03:22作者：孟珂来源： 证券日报 编辑：东方财富网
分享到：
946人参与讨论我来说两句手机免费看新闻财富号入驻直达
11月8日，海关总署发布数据显示，今年10月份我国进出口总值2.75万亿元，增长
22.9%。其中，出口1.49万亿元，增长20.1%；进口1.26万亿元，增长26.3%；贸易顺差
2336.3亿元，收窄5%。
东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青昨日对《证券日报》记者表示，10月份进出口表现较
为强劲的原因，一方面是由于外需保持扩张，基数走低，加之人民币贬值及出口抢跑等
影响，使得10份月出口增速再超预期；此外，对新兴经济体出口加速亦为主要拉动力。
另一方面则受基数偏低、大宗商品价格上涨及政策发力共同影响，拉动了10月份进口增
速回升。
华泰证券宏观首席分析师李超表示，随着首届中国国际进口博览会的成功召开，无
疑会进一步优化我国全球贸易布局并拉动进口。与此同时，由于国内政策转向扩内需、
稳经济，预计未来进口增速超预期走低概率较低。
Trump’s Tariffs Have Fully Kicked In—Yet China’s Exports Grow
https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-exports-show-surprising-resilience-in-
october-despite-tariffs-1541648024
pdated Nov. 8, 2018 5:00 a.m. ET
BEIJING—China’s exports surged anew last month on the back of resilient
demand, defying many economists’ expectations for a slowdown from the trade
fight with the U.S.
Demand for Chinese goods grew in developed and developing markets, from the
U.S. to India, according to customs data released Thursday.
“It’s not just the U.S., wherever you look, especially the emerging
markets, demand is solid,” said Liu Yaxin, an economist at China Merchants
Securities .
The performance, economists said, suggested China is getting a boost from
surprisingly healthy global demand and perhaps from a weaker yuan. Many
economists attributed the export boom of recent months to businesses
frontloading shipments before tariffs take effect, and they had expected
that trend to fade.
Yangshan Deep Water Port, part of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone.
Yangshan Deep Water Port, part of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone. PHOTO: ALY
SONG/REUTERS
China’s total exports rose 15.6% from a year earlier, the customs
administration said, which tops the 14.5% year-over-year increase in
September. Economists expected 11% growth.
Exports to India, Hong Kong and Brazil all grew by more than 20% last month
from year ago, according to calculations by The Wall Street Journal based on
customs data. Exports to the U.S. and the European Union also held up,
rising 13% and 15% respectively.
WSJ NEWSLETTER
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Meanwhile, China’s appetite grew for global commodities, boosting imports
21.4% in October from a year earlier, compared with a 14.3% increase the
previous month. Imports of crude oil jumped 89% on year.
Imports from the U.S., however, dropped 1.8% in October from a year earlier,
following a 1.2% decline in September. The trade gap with the U.S. narrowed
to $31.8 billion last month from September’s record monthly high of $34.1
billion.
Still, by Chinese figures, the near $260 billion surplus for the first 10
months this year is up 15% from a year earlier and puts China on track to
post another record surplus with the U.S. Last year, China reported the
largest-ever annual surplus of some $275.8 billion. The U.S. estimates the
gap was even larger, at $375.2 billion.
The imbalance has been a sore point with the U.S. and is cited by the Trump
administration as a reason for imposing tariffs. Punitive levies imposed by
the U.S. and China now cover about 60% of their trade in goods. The Trump
administration has said it would hike the rate on some of those goods and is
considering expanding tariffs to more products. The latest round of U.S.
tariffs, covering $200 billion in Chinese products, took effect in late
September, making October the first full month hit by all the Trump
administration’s levies.
Several economists said some frontloading of export orders is still taking
place.
Betty Wang, an economist at ANZ, pointed to continued strength in the
exports of electrical and mechanical products as evidence of rushed
shipments. These products, which account for about 60% of China’s total
exports and are the nation’s biggest export items to the U.S., increased 15
.3% globally in October, she said. Ms. Wang expects to see continued
frontloading in the coming months before it tapers off.
China Merchants’ Ms. Liu expects rising labor costs are also going to make
exports less attractive. “It’s hard to imagine that such double-digit
growth in exports can last long,” she said.
—Liyan Qi and Grace Zhu.
Appeared in the November 9, 2018, print edition as 'Chinese Exports Shrug
Off Tariffs.' | N***Y
发帖数: 2407 | 2 菌斑和霉新版的黄皮肉便器们开动着装满屎的大脑、用塞满鸡巴的嘴巴治理天下，真他
妈的逗。 | a*******m
发帖数: 14194 | 3 可以讲事实，也可以讲道理，纯粹的谩骂是没有用的。
年底之前，很可能还要来一波大的，我觉得贸易战这个事情
不会轻易就这么收场的。
美国制裁伊朗都是反反复复很多进退，折腾很多年。对于中国
这样大国，这样的竞争对手，他肯定会更有耐心，不会三下两下
就结束了。
还是早点做好准备的好。
当然也可以假装啥都不知道，反正也改变不了什么。 | T***m
发帖数: 386 | 4 假数据不好弄， 双方海关都有出入口记录。
【在 a*******m 的大作中提到】
: 10月份中国出口数据这么好，这不是太好的事情，说明美国加的关税范围
: 和幅度都不够，Trump很可能会再加把劲。搞不好年底之前，中国所有的出口
: 美国的东西都被加到增税的list里面。
: 如果中国弄个假数据出来，说中国对美国出口减少，矛盾缓和，可能会更好点。
: 说美国贸易战输了，或者Trump输了的，未免言之太早，这次的贸易战是一个
: 长期的贸易战，不是一年半年的事情，搞不好要八到十年，就是Trump干完
: 第二任总统了，都可能还没打完。
: 当然事实也可能证明我是胡说八道，都是有可能的。
: 10月份进出口数据双超预期
: 2018年11月09日 03:22作者：孟珂来源： 证券日报 编辑：东方财富网
| N*******e
发帖数: 580 | 5 苏北刘强奸是不是平常满口仁义道德的你个苏北老的“儒教意义上的谦谦君子”？ | a*******m
发帖数: 14194 | 6 可以造假的，不难的，中国统计局是造假的行家。
中国计生委也很会造假，而且中国领导人还很相信，哈哈。
【在 T***m 的大作中提到】
: 假数据不好弄， 双方海关都有出入口记录。
| a*******m
发帖数: 14194 | 7 刘强东又没强奸你妈，你激动个屁呀？
【在 N*******e 的大作中提到】
: 苏北刘强奸是不是平常满口仁义道德的你个苏北老的“儒教意义上的谦谦君子”？
| d**********3
发帖数: 14 | 8 剩下的不好加关税了。
2670亿中， 一半是Apple, HP， Dell的产品。 加关税的话，美帝人民马上就会感受到
， 另外 就是打击Apple，帮三星了（越南生产）。
巨巨不喜欢东亚这几个国家其实差不多。感觉剩下的暂时不会加了。 | N*******e
发帖数: 580 | 9 就问问你呀，你对小A道歉过吗？满口仁义道德，这就是你们苏北的民风？
[在 awaydream (昆仑天下) 的大作中提到：]
:刘强东又没强奸你妈，你激动个屁呀？ |
|
