c*****e
发帖数: 737 | 1 那么多美国公司集体反对特朗普关税, 就看床铺还能挺多久了
The researchers used computer models developed by the International Monetary
Fund and the ECB itself. They ran a scenario in which the United States
slaps a 10 percent tariff on all imports and all trade partners respond in
kind. That scenario is only hypothetical, they said, but the results were
significant: a 2 percent loss in growth in the first year for the United
States, and a 3 percent drop in global trade. The point of the exercise was
to indicate the general direction of what would happen to the economy if
tariffs spread.
Higher tariffs would have both positive and negative effects for the country
imposing them. Consumers would face higher costs as the prices of imported
goods reflect the higher tariffs. On the other hand, they might turn to
domestically produced goods, boosting their home economy.
The models found that the negative effects outweighed the positive: "Lower U
.S. imports and gains in market shares by U.S. producers in their home
market are outweighed by lower exports."
The U.S. would import fewer Chinese goods, but the effect on China would be
cushioned by diverting those products to other export markets: "In China,
the trade effect on GDP is initially slightly positive, although the gains
diminish over time." | R*****i
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