t**x
发帖数: 20965 | 1 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2018/02/27/will-xi-jinping
-be-chinas-ruler-for-life-the-evidence-from-other-countries-suggests-
otherwise/?utm_term=.02bc114668ce
Will Xi Jinping be China’s ruler for life? The evidence from other
countries suggests otherwise. | t**x
发帖数: 20965 | 2 What does this mean for Xi?
While the fate of this last group remains unclear, the strongest evidence we
have suggests that a term-limit-avoiding president may be more likely to
become an “ousted-against-their-will” than a “ruler-for-life.”
In his book “Democracy, Dictatorship, and Term Limits,” Baturo suggested
that though leaders who abolished or otherwise avoided term limits did tend
to stay in power longer than their peers who didn't, they were more likely
to be ousted from office or assassinated.
Looking at 47 world leaders who extended their time in office during the
period between 1960 and 2010, he found that only eight had died in office,
while 13 had stepped down and retired and three had lost reelections. More
than half of the total number, however, had been violently ousted from
office (18) or assassinated (five).
“The irony of course is that for the majority of such leaders, they would
be personally better off if they depart from power when required and enjoy
political afterlife,” Baturo said in an email.
Whether this will apply to Xi is unclear. Unlike most of the countries
included here, China is not even nominally a democracy, and the inner
workings of its top leadership can be hard to ascertain. It's also worth
noting that other world leaders have managed to cling to power without
abolishing term limits — Russia's Vladimir Putin being the most noteworthy
example.
By seeking to avoid term limits, Xi may be doing away with the relative
stability ensured by his predecessors, who had abided by the two-term system
installed in 1982. The removal of term limits is “an important institution
that demarcates dictators proper from other strong leaders” and may signal
a shift toward personalized politics in China, Baturo said. And, in general
, personalized regimes are not only less democratic but also more
politically volatile. | t**x
发帖数: 20965 | 3 美国主子1951立法两届的。
The concept of term limits is an old one, dating at least to ancient Greece.
In the United States, term limits were debated by Thomas Jefferson and
Alexander Hamilton but written into law only in 1951, part of a late-20th-
century boom in the concept. According to a study by Boniface Dulani, a
lecturer in political science at the University of Malawi, by 2009 almost
three-quarters of all presidential political systems had some kind of legal
limit on tenure. | b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 4 老将哭晕在厕所里
jinping
【在 t**x 的大作中提到】
: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2018/02/27/will-xi-jinping
: -be-chinas-ruler-for-life-the-evidence-from-other-countries-suggests-
: otherwise/?utm_term=.02bc114668ce
: Will Xi Jinping be China’s ruler for life? The evidence from other
: countries suggests otherwise.
| s******d
发帖数: 9806 | | m***a
发帖数: 13878 | | t**x
发帖数: 20965 | 7 无所谓，
看了内容似乎你觉得对， 不过大多数人不看。
【在 s******d 的大作中提到】
: 艹，你不是在美国吗？读不懂英语？
| d********m
发帖数: 3662 | |
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