X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 1 一个独立，不受米或俄控制的乌克兰对中国最有利。
一旦乌克兰倒向米国或俄国，其军工就很难自由的做生意。
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/CEN-01-270514.html
Ukraine: A military-industrial complex to die for
By Gregory J Moore
It seems that one of the most important dimensions of Russia's fixation on
Ukraine is one little discussed in the mainstream media. That dimension,
namely the importance to Moscow of Ukraine's surprisingly well developed
military industrial complex, is a key reason Russian President Vladimir
Putin won't let go of Ukraine. Moreover, the bulk of Ukraine's military
industrial complex is in Ukraine's south and east, which adds clarity to
Russia's focus on those parts of Ukraine.
Readers may remember the apocalyptic Hollywood thriller, 2012, and the
Russian tycoon who owned an enormous jet loaded with exotic sports cars,
boasting of the plane, "It's Russian". Well, the truth is, it wasn't Russian
. It was Ukrainian. It was an Antonov AN225, the world's largest airplane.
Antonov, based near Kiev, also designed and manufactures a medium-size
transport plane, the AN70, a series of gliders like the AN15, a regional jet
(the AN148), and a series of advanced jet engines. In fact, the Russian
president's office owns two AN148-100Es.
Ukraine is also home to Motor-Sich, a firm that designs and manufactures
aircraft and helicopter engines, as well as turbine engines for pumps for
gas, oil and other applications including power-generation. Basically all of
Russia's military helicopters use engines made by Motor-Sich. The firm also
makes the engines for Russia's Yak 160 fighter/trainer. Russian military
analyst Vladimir Voronov says Russia has an ambitious plan to add 1,000
attack helicopters to its armed forces, but this would be almost impossible
without Motor Sich's provision of engines.
Ukraine also boasts an advanced space rocket and missile design and
production industry, one of the few nations in the world that has a mature
space rocket production complex. Located in south-eastern Ukraine's
Dnepropetrovsk, it produced many of the rockets in the early Soviet space
program, as well as parts for many missiles and rockets such as Russia's
famous Soyuz, and components for the International Space Station. It also
designed, manufactured and today still services Russia's main
intercontinental ballistic missile, the deadly SS18.
Ukraine is also home to what at its high tide accounted for 30% of the
Soviet Union's shipbuilding industry (Global Security), and it continues to
provide shipbuilding services for many nations, including China for whom it
provided the Varyag, which the Chinese finished and turned into their first
aircraft carrier, the Liaoning, which recently entered service.
Voronov has reported on a recent Russian military campaign to expand ship
production, but that Russia's own shipyards are failing to meet capacity so
Russia has increasingly sought Ukrainian help. Ukraine is also a major
producer of ships' engines. Voronov concludes that of the 54 surface
warships acquisitions the Russian navy has currently planned, 31 would have
Ukrainian engines in them, though of course all of this is in question with
the recent decision by Ukraine's government to halt all arms deals with
Russia because of Russia's aggression in Crimea, etc.
Ukraine is also a major producer of armored personnel carriers and tanks (
its Kharkiv facilities designed and manufactured the T34, T54, T64, and T80
tanks, and its T84 is as good or better than Russia's best tanks presently,
some experts argue), air to air missiles for fighter planes (Kiev's Razumov
Center says Russia gets half of these from Ukraine), surface-to-air missiles
, cruise missiles, and is home to a vibrant parts and systems design and
manufacturing industry that services many sectors of Russia's military,
including Russia's newest Su50 PAK/FA fighter aircraft.
For Moscow, the loss of Ukraine to the EU (or worse, to the North Atlantic
Treaty Organization as well), would mean the potential loss of all of this
capacity, and the need to replace it rapidly, not to mention the loss of
military secrets that could help competitors of the Russian military
industrial complex.
Ukrainian scientists and engineers know many of Russia's deepest military
secrets, and in fact fathered some of them. Moreover, a quick look at a map
and the realization that Ukraine's tank/armor industry is in eastern Ukraine
's Kharkiv, its shipbuilding industry is in the south's Mykolaiv, its space/
rocket/missile industry is in Dnepropetrovsk and its Motor Sich is in
Zaporizhia, both in southeastern Ukraine, and it may be clear why it is
these same regions of Ukraine that are experiencing the worst (Russian-
instigated) anti-Kiev violence at present.
The value and importance of Ukraine's military industrial complex to Russia
is an important reason Moscow will not let go of eastern and southern
Ukraine, and consequently it may be that sanctions alone will not be enough
to make Putin back down.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/CEN-01-270514.html |
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