i*****e
发帖数: 2810 | 1 这种东西，就想三峡之前的长江大水。每年长委会召集一群砖家开会。一般土砖家各自
拿出自己的算命模型，张三的模型说要发大水，李四夜观天象说正常气候，王五说他老
觉得是干旱。然后一发大水，肯定会有某张三跳出来，说他自己预测有多神准。 |
l******t
发帖数: 55733 | 2 这有个经典骗局，找1024人，每天发一个预测股票的涨跌，连发10天，必一有人10连中
，你就成了他的股神了。如果能发100万人，可以忽悠出多少人信你。 |
d**********i
发帖数: 4877 | 3 你也是草榴观众？
1024真耳熟。
【在 l******t 的大作中提到】
: 这有个经典骗局，找1024人，每天发一个预测股票的涨跌，连发10天，必一有人10连中
: ，你就成了他的股神了。如果能发100万人，可以忽悠出多少人信你。
|
y**********0
发帖数: 521 | 4 If it's that easy, why the LAPD can't guess it? Why there is no other
detailed guess in that "tieba"? What's the odd that one can give such an
accurate guess as there are infinite possibilities?
【在 i*****e 的大作中提到】
: 这种东西，就想三峡之前的长江大水。每年长委会召集一群砖家开会。一般土砖家各自
: 拿出自己的算命模型，张三的模型说要发大水，李四夜观天象说正常气候，王五说他老
: 觉得是干旱。然后一发大水，肯定会有某张三跳出来，说他自己预测有多神准。
|
l******t
发帖数: 55733 | 5
勾起了我的好奇心，1024和草榴啥关系？
【在 d**********i 的大作中提到】
: 你也是草榴观众？
: 1024真耳熟。
|
l******t
发帖数: 55733 | 6
文科吧，不解释了
【在 y**********0 的大作中提到】
: If it's that easy, why the LAPD can't guess it? Why there is no other
: detailed guess in that "tieba"? What's the odd that one can give such an
: accurate guess as there are infinite possibilities?
|
d**********i
发帖数: 4877 | 7 真的不是装的？
http://1024.evils.in
【在 l******t 的大作中提到】
:
: 文科吧，不解释了
|
y**********0
发帖数: 521 | 8 Hehe, let's talk about math. If you have 1000 chances to guess where the
body is two days ago, to be honest, do you believe you can guess it right?
Not to mention there was some chance she is still alive.
I followed this in that "tieba" in last 10 days, there is no other random
guess. What's the probability that one person only gave one guess and it was
right.Please use your common sense.
【在 l******t 的大作中提到】
:
: 文科吧，不解释了
|
l******t
发帖数: 55733 | 9
was
很简单啊，如果真有这凶残能力，给1000个case，得超过50%吧正确率才可以吧。到不
了50%那就是扯淡呗。你想个办法驳一下这个
【在 y**********0 的大作中提到】
: Hehe, let's talk about math. If you have 1000 chances to guess where the
: body is two days ago, to be honest, do you believe you can guess it right?
: Not to mention there was some chance she is still alive.
: I followed this in that "tieba" in last 10 days, there is no other random
: guess. What's the probability that one person only gave one guess and it was
: right.Please use your common sense.
|
l******t
发帖数: 55733 | 10
好人长命百岁。我研究下
【在 d**********i 的大作中提到】
: 真的不是装的？
: http://1024.evils.in
|
d**********i
发帖数: 4877 | 11 不客气，少撸有益健康。
【在 l******t 的大作中提到】
:
: 好人长命百岁。我研究下
|
