T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 1 According to their analysis, President Barack Obama will win 218 votes in
the Electoral College, short of the 270 he needs. And though they chiefly
focus on the Electoral College, the political scientists predict Romney will
win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obama’s 47.1 percent, when
considering only the two major political parties.
Their model correctly predicted all elections since 1980, including two
years when independent candidates ran strongly, 1980 and 1992. It also
correctly predicted the outcome in 2000, when Al Gore received the most
popular vote but George W. Bush won the election.
http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/08/22/analysis-elect | l**********p
发帖数: 272 | 2 加起来刚好等于100% 的poll
will
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
: According to their analysis, President Barack Obama will win 218 votes in
: the Electoral College, short of the 270 he needs. And though they chiefly
: focus on the Electoral College, the political scientists predict Romney will
: win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obama’s 47.1 percent, when
: considering only the two major political parties.
: Their model correctly predicted all elections since 1980, including two
: years when independent candidates ran strongly, 1980 and 1992. It also
: correctly predicted the outcome in 2000, when Al Gore received the most
: popular vote but George W. Bush won the election.
: http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/08/22/analysis-elect
| T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 3
at the end of the day, it is just a model. But "It also correctly predicted
the outcome in 2000, when Al Gore received the most popular vote but George
W. Bush won the election."
【在 l**********p 的大作中提到】
: 加起来刚好等于100% 的poll
:
: will
| l*********1
发帖数: 2971 | 4 没用。大嘴O只要站白宫房顶吼一嗓子:Romney上台要砍food stamp。丫浩浩荡荡百千万
大军就能把Romney冲垮。
要这么容易，共和党重量级选手不少，咋这次都在山上蹲着等大嘴O再折腾4年。 | T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 5
I feel the same. It would be very hard for R to win.
PA, OH, FL and VA all seem to be leaning to O8.
O8 sprayed all the stimulus money in PA, OH and VA to bailout their state
budgets and keep the unemployment in check, and made FL latinos happy by
granting the illegals EAD.
【在 l*********1 的大作中提到】
: 没用。大嘴O只要站白宫房顶吼一嗓子:Romney上台要砍food stamp。丫浩浩荡荡百千万
: 大军就能把Romney冲垮。
: 要这么容易，共和党重量级选手不少，咋这次都在山上蹲着等大嘴O再折腾4年。
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