t*******h
发帖数: 2882 | 1 http://www.economist.com/node/18651512
Swamp Rat wrote:
May 5th 2011 11:17 GMT
If China had a population of 300 million, I'd agree with the author's
conclusions. But with a popular 3-4X that number, China has serious
environmental degradation, pollution and resource issues. At this point, "
replacement rate" is irrelevant. The key is how to lower the population
while managing to sustain growth. With her current population, the per
capita income can never rise to developed world levels.
I have lived in China and the population density is staggering. A small city
there is equivalent to a very large city in the States. No one who lives
there wants those levels of pollution, but everyone wants to live a
comfortable and healthy life.
I have no doubt the one child policy has played a big role in keeping the
numbers down, since I've known many individual Chinese who told me they
would have preferred having two children over the mandated one but had to
obey the law. The law has been flouted in some provinces more than others as
the enforcement hasn't been universally consistent, but it has certainly
had an effect. Rather than sitting in an office researching numbers on a
computer, you'd get a much better assessment of life in China if you sent
your reporter there and asked around. It's pretty obvious when your feet are
on the ground. |
|
