j*****r
发帖数: 112 | 1 股指连创新高，似乎牛市已经悄悄来临。现在是应该长期投资的时候了吗?各位高人都
怎么看？ |
s********z
发帖数: 5411 | 2 不是好时候，大碟在即！
【在 j*****r 的大作中提到】
: 股指连创新高，似乎牛市已经悄悄来临。现在是应该长期投资的时候了吗?各位高人都
: 怎么看？
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h****h
发帖数: 1168 | 3 dba还可以，短期也涨不了。
【在 s********z 的大作中提到】
: 不是好时候，大碟在即！
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g********t
发帖数: 168 | 4 长期投资，啥时候都是好时候。
【在 j*****r 的大作中提到】
: 股指连创新高，似乎牛市已经悄悄来临。现在是应该长期投资的时候了吗?各位高人都
: 怎么看？
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m*****u
发帖数: 1342 | 5 If one can buy good stock (company) at good price, anytime is good time. For
index investing, Dollar Average
Costing (DCA) probably is the way to go, because we can not know before-hand
how the market goes.
【在 g********t 的大作中提到】
: 长期投资，啥时候都是好时候。
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N******p
发帖数: 2777 | 6 这么说来, 既然不知道市场走向, 那干脆就不要投资了.
For
hand
【在 m*****u 的大作中提到】
: If one can buy good stock (company) at good price, anytime is good time. For
: index investing, Dollar Average
: Costing (DCA) probably is the way to go, because we can not know before-hand
: how the market goes.
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m**********r
发帖数: 887 | |
b*****e
发帖数: 1125 | 8 卖空？你NET SHORT?
【在 m**********r 的大作中提到】
: 我手贱，周五又加了点空仓
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a******o
发帖数: 7982 | 9 现在我都觉得很不明朗似的， 明明大家都觉得很空，却是上涨。所以我现在不敢动，
股票都清空了。
【在 m**********r 的大作中提到】
: 我手贱，周五又加了点空仓
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m*****u
发帖数: 1342 | 10 I don't believe we can predict the market trend correctly before-hand in
high percentages. Hindsight bias does not count.
That does not mean we should not invest/speculate on stocks. There are many
factors in stocks and markets, we don't have to learn how to read the chart/
be a fortune teller to win.
Unless a guy makes living by selling newsletters.
【在 N******p 的大作中提到】
: 这么说来, 既然不知道市场走向, 那干脆就不要投资了.
:
: For
: hand
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r****y
发帖数: 3412 | 11 俺也看跌..每次俺看跌它总是不迭俺沉不住气一跳必跌..俺就不相信它能永远不跌..就
是不跳..憋着...
【在 a******o 的大作中提到】
: 现在我都觉得很不明朗似的， 明明大家都觉得很空，却是上涨。所以我现在不敢动，
: 股票都清空了。
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s******t
发帖数: 12883 | 12 那跌到什么时候你敢进呢? 978? 950? 890? 还是前期低点?
【在 r****y 的大作中提到】
: 俺也看跌..每次俺看跌它总是不迭俺沉不住气一跳必跌..俺就不相信它能永远不跌..就
: 是不跳..憋着...
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r****y
发帖数: 3412 | 13 跌到大家都觉得还要跌的时候就进....
【在 s******t 的大作中提到】
: 那跌到什么时候你敢进呢? 978? 950? 890? 还是前期低点?
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 14 Like now?
【在 r****y 的大作中提到】
: 跌到大家都觉得还要跌的时候就进....
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r****y
发帖数: 3412 | 15 现在是看跌还没真的跌...
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: Like now?
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s******t
发帖数: 12883 | 16 hehe
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: Like now?
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s******t
发帖数: 12883 | 17 我觉得这次抄底的会比上次更多, 毕竟大家看到50%反弹的真金白银. 谁都不想再次错
过.
【在 r****y 的大作中提到】
: 跌到大家都觉得还要跌的时候就进....
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r****y
发帖数: 3412 | 18 那就会涨的更多..还有大把cash没有进来...我觉得现在观望的人比下场玩的人不在少
数..大部分不相信经济危机就这么过去了..如果一直涨不给这些人进来送钱的机会也涨
不到哪去..
【在 s******t 的大作中提到】
: 我觉得这次抄底的会比上次更多, 毕竟大家看到50%反弹的真金白银. 谁都不想再次错
: 过.
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h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 19 Every market timer believes that he/she is on the right side of history. But
if you look at the history, it pretty much has an equal shot of being up or
down after a bear market rally.
After all, if you are a true contrarian investor, you have to acknowledge
that right now the market sentiment is neither as bearish as it was in March
, nor as bullish as it was before the subprime crash. There're plenty of
rooms for it to go onto either side.
I tend to believe that this rally will only end after
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: Like now?
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 20 Wow, it matches more of the 1929, hehe.
Currently I am just 斗气ing with myself. Since I escaped when
S&P was as low as 850, my discipline tells me to wait until
S&P is below 850 again to do anything. But my target of beating
S&P at year end tells me to do window dressing before year-end.
Therefore although I did almost nothing in the past 4.5 months,
I probably still have to start buying aggresively towards the
end of the year, thus completely disregarding my contrarian
principle, //sigh...
But
【在 h*******y 的大作中提到】
: Every market timer believes that he/she is on the right side of history. But
: if you look at the history, it pretty much has an equal shot of being up or
: down after a bear market rally.
: After all, if you are a true contrarian investor, you have to acknowledge
: that right now the market sentiment is neither as bearish as it was in March
: , nor as bullish as it was before the subprime crash. There're plenty of
: rooms for it to go onto either side.
: I tend to believe that this rally will only end after
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g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 21 bear market is over for me. couple of months ago, when spx first
got over 950, I said ideally it should push high, then go back
testing 950 support, and that's when I want to buy, I think it's
happening. YMYD.
But
or
March
I
【在 h*******y 的大作中提到】
: Every market timer believes that he/she is on the right side of history. But
: if you look at the history, it pretty much has an equal shot of being up or
: down after a bear market rally.
: After all, if you are a true contrarian investor, you have to acknowledge
: that right now the market sentiment is neither as bearish as it was in March
: , nor as bullish as it was before the subprime crash. There're plenty of
: rooms for it to go onto either side.
: I tend to believe that this rally will only end after
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s******t
发帖数: 12883 | 22 万一危机真的回来了呢.
【在 r****y 的大作中提到】
: 那就会涨的更多..还有大把cash没有进来...我觉得现在观望的人比下场玩的人不在少
: 数..大部分不相信经济危机就这么过去了..如果一直涨不给这些人进来送钱的机会也涨
: 不到哪去..
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 23 You haven't replied my question yet.
In your simple TA method (13 week vs 34 week), are you using SMA or
EMA?
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: bear market is over for me. couple of months ago, when spx first
: got over 950, I said ideally it should push high, then go back
: testing 950 support, and that's when I want to buy, I think it's
: happening. YMYD.
:
: But
: or
: March
: I
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h****r
发帖数: 2056 | 24 EMA shall be used for a shorter time frame, say a few days to a few weeks,
not a quarter.
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: You haven't replied my question yet.
: In your simple TA method (13 week vs 34 week), are you using SMA or
: EMA?
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r****y
发帖数: 3412 | 25 最坏的时候过去了我比较相信..1300+我觉得oversold...panic selling..
【在 s******t 的大作中提到】
: 万一危机真的回来了呢.
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s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 26 说了多少次了，炒股要有想象力...
【在 r****y 的大作中提到】
: 最坏的时候过去了我比较相信..1300+我觉得oversold...panic selling..
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r****y
发帖数: 3412 | 27 本版不讨论炒股.炒股的去股版
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】
: 说了多少次了，炒股要有想象力...
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g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 28 EMA
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: You haven't replied my question yet.
: In your simple TA method (13 week vs 34 week), are you using SMA or
: EMA?
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 29 then 13 week hasn't passed 34 week yet ah.
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: EMA
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g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 30 Didn't I say wait until it drops to 950, it will cross,
just be patient. I used this to predict China market in
the beginning of the year, and I posted it here, see
how well it went.
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: then 13 week hasn't passed 34 week yet ah.
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a******o
发帖数: 7982 | 31 这个想象力是创新高，还是新低？
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】
: 说了多少次了，炒股要有想象力...
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p******h
发帖数: 1783 | 32 A股多少点时交叉？
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: Didn't I say wait until it drops to 950, it will cross,
: just be patient. I used this to predict China market in
: the beginning of the year, and I posted it here, see
: how well it went.
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g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 33 我记得是2200左右。你可以确认一下。
【在 p******h 的大作中提到】
: A股多少点时交叉？
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m*****u
发帖数: 1342 | 34 I agree :-)
But
up or
acknowledge
March
But I
【在 h*******y 的大作中提到】
: Every market timer believes that he/she is on the right side of history. But
: if you look at the history, it pretty much has an equal shot of being up or
: down after a bear market rally.
: After all, if you are a true contrarian investor, you have to acknowledge
: that right now the market sentiment is neither as bearish as it was in March
: , nor as bullish as it was before the subprime crash. There're plenty of
: rooms for it to go onto either side.
: I tend to believe that this rally will only end after
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