k**n
发帖数: 20 | 1 http://www.economist.com/finance/economicsfocus/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10429271
An old Chinese myth
Jan 3rd 2008
From The Economist print edition
Contrary to popular wisdom, China's rapid growth is not hugely dependent on
exports
MOST people suppose that China's economic success depends on exporting cheap
goods to the rich world. If so, its growth would be seriously dented by a
stuttering American economy. Headline figures show that China's exports
surged from 20% of GDP in 2001 to almost 40% |
i*******e
发帖数: 349 | 2 几个月前看过，记得他们的方法基本就是经济学中把增长率分解的办法，如果他
在操作过程中没出大的错漏，应该是比较可信的。 |
z****e
发帖数: 438 | 3 How come the so called "true" exports account for under 10% of GDP while
trade surplus is more than 11% of GDP?
I really doubt that anyone has data of China at such disaggregate levels
that he/she can calculate value-added exports of China. |
h*******l
发帖数: 359 | 4
I guess Anderson's idea is some of the value added in export is not directly
created by export sector.
No way, even if one has the most disaggregate data.
【在 z****e 的大作中提到】
: How come the so called "true" exports account for under 10% of GDP while
: trade surplus is more than 11% of GDP?
: I really doubt that anyone has data of China at such disaggregate levels
: that he/she can calculate value-added exports of China.
|
k**n
发帖数: 20 | 5
directly
But the value added in other sectors will also be gone when there is no
export, right?
【在 h*******l 的大作中提到】
:
: I guess Anderson's idea is some of the value added in export is not directly
: created by export sector.
: No way, even if one has the most disaggregate data.
|
h*******l
发帖数: 359 | 6 It will depend on whether you believe supply creates demand or vice versa.
【在 k**n 的大作中提到】
:
: directly
: But the value added in other sectors will also be gone when there is no
: export, right?
|
