z****3
发帖数: 108 | 1 What to Expect in the Visa Bulletin in the next Fiscal Year starting October
1, 2016
By ImmigrationGirl August 18, 2016 I-485 6 Comments
The Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division, Charles Oppenheim, at
the Department of State recently provided some insight to the American
Immigration Lawyers Association regarding potential priority dates for the
October visa bulletin as we move into the next Fiscal Year.
EB-2 Worldwide is expected to become current again in October. Despite the
uncharacteristically low demand in EB-3 Worldwide is not expected to become
current because there is a concern that demand in this category that has not
yet materialized.
In October, EB-2 China is expected to advance to a date in late 2011 or
early 2012. EB-3 China’s final action date is expected to reach late 2012
or early 2013. This means that we likely see the EB-3 downgrade phenomenon
again next fiscal year, at least until the increase in EB-3 China demand
generated by the downgrades levels out demand between the two categories.
In October, EB-2 India will likely move to a date in early 2007. Slow
movements of a few weeks at a time are anticipated for EB-3 India, which is
likely to remain at a 2005 date in October. EB-3 India is the last category
in which the Visa Chief has some visibility from the summer 2007 adjustment
of status filings. This means that any movement in this category will be
more steady and less erratic compared to others.
No predictions are available at this time as to where EB-5 China dates will
fall in the next fiscal year. We may have better information by late
September to mid-October.
It is expected that EB-1 India and EB-1 China will become current again in
October.
Family-Based Projections. We expect movements into the next fiscal year to
remain relatively steady. The Administration’s Visa Modernization Proposal
compels the State Department to advance the dates as aggressively as
possible in the first three quarters of the fiscal year. While doing so
helps to ensure that number use is maximized, it also results in fewer
numbers being available for use in the final quarter, which can cause
retrogression at the end of a fiscal year.
Filing Dates. Most importantly, as we approach the one year anniversary of
the new Visa Bulletin format, we do not have any predictions from the visa
chief in terms of “filing dates” as he has not yet met with the CIS
Ombudsman’s Office.
I’ll post updates whenever I receive them!
~ImmigrationGirl |
e****7
发帖数: 102 | |
k*******k
发帖数: 475 | 3 谢谢分享！他好像对降级造成的EB3 demand还是有点concern，“This means that we
likely see the EB-3 downgrade phenomenon again next fiscal year”。可是除了
少数人因为特殊原因没能在2015放水和去年上半年排期到达13年8月时降级交表，绝大
多数的13年8月前的PD的该降级的应该已经降级了啊，还什么phenomenon啊 |
i**********a
发帖数: 1402 | |
F********r
发帖数: 1748 | 5 小几百肯定是有的。
我觉得按12年9月之前1000个算靠谱。这样第一个季度走完这些，第二个季度开始走12
年10月。
【在 i**********a 的大作中提到】
: eb2 11年还有多少？真实看不懂。
|
m********e
发帖数: 129 | |
x*****i
发帖数: 817 | 7 这个版主已经有贴让大家报道2012/9之前还没绿的，请查看相关帖子
12
【在 F********r 的大作中提到】
: 小几百肯定是有的。
: 我觉得按12年9月之前1000个算靠谱。这样第一个季度走完这些，第二个季度开始走12
: 年10月。
|
w********i
发帖数: 1721 | 8 12年的真是没完没了啊，这都绿了多少个轮回了？
【在 x*****i 的大作中提到】
: 这个版主已经有贴让大家报道2012/9之前还没绿的，请查看相关帖子
:
: 12
|
n**********y
发帖数: 916 | 9 我觉得也不用太悲观。12年的虽然current了三次，但每次都是和10，11的人挤在一起
。
整体上看，其实是14年的EB3 加上15,16年的EB23 消化了10年-12.9 3年的PD。现在剩
下的是小部分12年和13年的。
【在 w********i 的大作中提到】
: 12年的真是没完没了啊，这都绿了多少个轮回了？
|
z****3
发帖数: 108 | 10 查看了一下报绿的的数据库，发现好多12年的已经绿了。EB2卡到2011~2012年是神马意
思？ |
y******u
发帖数: 1181 | 11 春去春又回。
【在 z****3 的大作中提到】
: 查看了一下报绿的的数据库，发现好多12年的已经绿了。EB2卡到2011~2012年是神马意
: 思？
|
