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rocketsfan (rocketsfan) 于 (Thu Sep 22 13:35:04 2011, 美东) 提到:
From 2007 summer to this summer, I think more than 90k EB2 C&I have been
approved and 8k are pending.
Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
C Approved 8000 6,505 3,045 6,964 6,797
I Approved 18000 19,961 10,106 14,818 6,203
2011 data was estimated.
If they don't have a huge inventory, it will be difficult to control the
flow.
In 2007 they built this massive 98k inventory, this year they need to build
at least 30k-40k inventory.
According to an analysis by heskini, currently there are 12k EB-2C and 81k
EB-2I waiting for 485 submission. The total potential is 93k.
From FY 2007 to FY 2011, totally around 90k cases (most of cases are from FY
2004-FY 2007) have been approved and 8k are pending.
The potential demand of 93k need four fiscal years to approve if the annual
approval rate and spillover are constant.
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kickok (淡定熟男) 于 (Thu Sep 22 13:46:58 2011, 美东) 提到:
I think in 2011, C approval is close to 10,000 and I close to 24,000
including 5600 total of their own quota.
It seems the speed is accelerated so 93k inventory will take less time than
what it did in previous 4 year.
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adcv (Jimmy) 于 (Thu Sep 22 13:47:58 2011, 美东) 提到:
Good Analysis!
Maybe we can keep pushing O to build inventory as much as possible. That would have
similar effect of early I485 submission. Say if he keep at least 40-50k
inventory constantly, that means people can submit I485 2 years early.
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kickok (淡定熟男) 于 (Thu Sep 22 13:50:50 2011, 美东) 提到:
I guess his inventory target for C&I is 30k at most for each FY
would have
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rocketsfan (rocketsfan) 于 (Thu Sep 22 13:57:34 2011, 美东) 提到:
Only a certian percentage of 485 can be approved in 12 months. Some of them
can be audited, REFed, delayed and denied. Also some people have left this
country.
If SOFAD is 30k, he needs 40k to be on the safe side! |
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