d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 1 June 2011 I-485 Inventory and Notes on EB2 & EB3 Category
http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/05/june-2011-i-485-i
Saturday, May 28, 2011 | AOS , Green Card , I-485 Inventory , Immigration ,
June 2011 , USCIS
Edited - May, 30 - 2011 for additional information and editorial corrections.
Thank you everyone for posting the link to newly released USCIS I-485
Pending Inventory as of June 2011. I have finished analyzing inventory up to
some extent. We are glad it was released now since I am continuously
working on updating green card calculator. So far until this time some of
the highlights of the June 2011 inventory is listed below.
EB2-ROW-M-P
PERM approvals for EB2-ROW-M-P are not converting to I-485 inventory yet. As
per released data, demand for EB1 and EB2-ROW-M-P category looks low. EB2-
ROW-M-P demand is anywhere from 26,600 to 28,600. EB2-ROW-M-P demand can
pick up with more I-140 approvals going forward. Please note AOS demand for
concurrently filed I-485/I-140 is not considered in the demand data until
approval of I-140. EB2-ROW-M-P will continue to stay current for rest of the
year.
EB3-ROW
Significant demand for EB3-ROW is coming from Consulates abroad. EB3-ROW
demand for PDs beyond August 2005 until December 2005 has increased by 2,500
when compared against January inventory. From January until May 2011,
pending inventory until 01 January 2006 has only reduced by 3,500. EB3-ROW
will not cross 2005 until December 2011. Total Demand until December 2005 is
around 17k.
EB3-India
Total inventory for EB3-India until May 2006 has reduced from 47,087 to 44,
682, indicating EB3 to EB2 porting of ONLY 2,400 from January until May 2011
. Starting 01 June 2011, USCIS will see post PD June 2006 upgrade demand. We
expect this demand to be around another 1500 maximum. Total upgrade demand
from EB3 to EB2 for FY 2011 should not be more than 4,500.
EB3-China-Mexico-Philippines
These categories are progressing as expected. We expect them to move as per
predictions. Please note EB3-P will be moving with EB3-ROW for rest of the
year.
Please note - This analysis is solely based on released inventory.
EB2-India & China
•EB2-ROW-M-P - FY 2011 worst-case (taking into account Jan and June
inventory) demand expected is around - 28,600 - On Average Spillover
expected is - 6,000
•EB1- FY 2011 worst case demand expected- 21,506 - On Average
Spillover expected is - 19k-12k = 7,000
•EB5 - FY 2011 worst case demand expected - 1,880 - On Average
Spillover expected is - 8,000
•Porting does not look more than 2,800 until this inventory. Please
assume 1,500 maximum spillover for PD post July 2006.
Total Spillover expected for rest of the year
6000 + 7000 + 8000 - 1500 = 19,500 (enough to just reach 15 July 2007)
What to expect?
Anything more than 23,000 spillover means either EB2-IC will get current for
small time or at least reach late 2007 as long as NVC has enough pipeline
to support the demand . If NVC does not have enough demand then some portion
of these visas will be utilized to approve pre-adjudicated cases from EB3-
ROW. These numbers have to be used by September 2011 in order to be count
these visas for current fiscal year. Again, please note this is solely based
on inventory and this can change with how PERM/I-140 approvals will convert
into I-485 inventory for EB2-ROW or other EB3 to EB2 Porting demand.
Recommended Action for EB2-IC (Chances are 50%)
Please make sure that the required documents for I-485 filings is upto date
for an individual and ready for small window that may open in few months.
Most importantly prepare for long lead items like your birth certificate et
al so that they are in place with right name and place of birth.If not then
have your notarized affidavits ready from your home country.
Please note though chances are small but if we have more 23,000 unused visa
spillover then DOS has to move dates to get unused visa numbers utilized
before September 2011. In case large number of unused visa numbers are
available, USCIS will not have the capacity to process the entire load, and
thus load have to be shared among Consular Posts abroad by advancing dates
more than required in August - September 2011 and retrogressing it in
October 2011.
If by any chance this demand is not observed by end of this fiscal year, EB2
-IC is still expected to move into late 2007 sooner or later in FY 2012. | s*****m
发帖数: 2024 | 2 ding，可惜没包子了
,
corrections.
to
【在 d******8 的大作中提到】
: June 2011 I-485 Inventory and Notes on EB2 & EB3 Category
: http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/05/june-2011-i-485-i
: Saturday, May 28, 2011 | AOS , Green Card , I-485 Inventory , Immigration ,
: June 2011 , USCIS
: Edited - May, 30 - 2011 for additional information and editorial corrections.
: Thank you everyone for posting the link to newly released USCIS I-485
: Pending Inventory as of June 2011. I have finished analyzing inventory up to
: some extent. We are glad it was released now since I am continuously
: working on updating green card calculator. So far until this time some of
: the highlights of the June 2011 inventory is listed below.
| S*******r
发帖数: 11017 | | a***x
发帖数: 26368 | 4 不要呀
【在 S*******r 的大作中提到】
: 如果SO大于23K
: 会出现2011大潮？
| s*****m
发帖数: 2024 | 5 唱反调？
【在 a***x 的大作中提到】
: 不要呀
| S*******r
发帖数: 11017 | 6 怕是07年初的PD
怕大潮冲了正常的绿卡审批 呵呵
心情可以理解
【在 s*****m 的大作中提到】
: 唱反调？
| a***x
发帖数: 26368 | 7 要读史
【在 s*****m 的大作中提到】
: 唱反调？
|
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