a*m
发帖数: 293 | 1 Peter Wallison of the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think-
tank, warns that a new bubble is forming. Mr Wallison reckons rents are a
good yardstick: house prices that rise in line with rents make sense, since
both are a sign of high demand. But when house prices outstrip rents, as has
been the case recently, buyers should worry. An analysis of 20 cities by
The Economist shows that homes in Denver, Boston and Los Angeles all look
over-priced.
There are already signs that the market is stalling. Data released by the
National Association of Realtors (NAR) on April 22nd and 23rd reveal a
bloodless market. Existing home sales were down for the seventh time in
eight months, and are 7.5% lower than in March 2013. New-home sales were
even worse, down 14.5% between February and March. Price rises are slowing:
data released on April 22nd showed annual rises of 6.9%, down from over 8% a
year ago. Prices in New England dropped a startling 2.5% in a single month.
http://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21601296-lack-suppl |
A*A
发帖数: 257 | 2 喜讯啊，NE一个月降2.5%！
想买房的有福了，等着继续跌吧！
since
has
【在 a*m 的大作中提到】
: Peter Wallison of the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think-
: tank, warns that a new bubble is forming. Mr Wallison reckons rents are a
: good yardstick: house prices that rise in line with rents make sense, since
: both are a sign of high demand. But when house prices outstrip rents, as has
: been the case recently, buyers should worry. An analysis of 20 cities by
: The Economist shows that homes in Denver, Boston and Los Angeles all look
: over-priced.
: There are already signs that the market is stalling. Data released by the
: National Association of Realtors (NAR) on April 22nd and 23rd reveal a
: bloodless market. Existing home sales were down for the seventh time in
|
r**f
发帖数: 594 | 3 期望
since
has
【在 a*m 的大作中提到】
: Peter Wallison of the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think-
: tank, warns that a new bubble is forming. Mr Wallison reckons rents are a
: good yardstick: house prices that rise in line with rents make sense, since
: both are a sign of high demand. But when house prices outstrip rents, as has
: been the case recently, buyers should worry. An analysis of 20 cities by
: The Economist shows that homes in Denver, Boston and Los Angeles all look
: over-priced.
: There are already signs that the market is stalling. Data released by the
: National Association of Realtors (NAR) on April 22nd and 23rd reveal a
: bloodless market. Existing home sales were down for the seventh time in
|
l*****e
发帖数: 284 | 4 很遗憾，如果房子出来一个走一个，房价一时半会恐怕还降不下去呀。第一季度成交量
低和冰雪天气有关。房地产趋势地域性很强，新闻可以参考，判断还需要自己做。 |
H**********8
发帖数: 49 | 5 the 2.5% drop is for NE overall. This time the house market is driven by
investment( easy communication for easy to rent and better appreciation
opportunity) & upgrade(to better location and/or school system). That means
house in good commute location and school systems are still rising. And
for
the houses in the relative bad locations, the price is still dropping. So
this won't work for the metro Boston area, more likely that the house price
is till going to go up while the house of more rural areas will continue to
drop.
So this is not applicable to most of the folks on this board since they are
looking for good location and school systems. :-(
just my 0.001 cent. |
A*A
发帖数: 257 | 6 Zillow有没有可信性？
比如Belmont的平均值
Jan2013: 693k
Jan2014: 752k
涨了8.5%，可信否？
means
price
to
are
【在 H**********8 的大作中提到】
: the 2.5% drop is for NE overall. This time the house market is driven by
: investment( easy communication for easy to rent and better appreciation
: opportunity) & upgrade(to better location and/or school system). That means
: house in good commute location and school systems are still rising. And
: for
: the houses in the relative bad locations, the price is still dropping. So
: this won't work for the metro Boston area, more likely that the house price
: is till going to go up while the house of more rural areas will continue to
: drop.
: So this is not applicable to most of the folks on this board since they are
|
c**m
发帖数: 1457 | 7 I never trust or use the House value provided by Zillow. Although the
individual house value provided by Zillow is useless, the statistics
provided by Zillow for relative value is still a good reference. Like the 8
.5% number your provided in this case, it's a very good indicator for the
market trend
【在 A*A 的大作中提到】
: Zillow有没有可信性？
: 比如Belmont的平均值
: Jan2013: 693k
: Jan2014: 752k
: 涨了8.5%，可信否？
:
: means
: price
: to
: are
|
S****6
发帖数: 214 | 8 我就是见一个抢一个，昨天 终于高位在Sharon 抢到一个小房子
【在 l*****e 的大作中提到】
: 很遗憾，如果房子出来一个走一个，房价一时半会恐怕还降不下去呀。第一季度成交量
: 低和冰雪天气有关。房地产趋势地域性很强，新闻可以参考，判断还需要自己做。
|
S*******s
发帖数: 10098 | |
c**m
发帖数: 1457 | 10 这句话很现实！ ：-）
【在 S*******s 的大作中提到】
: 希望和现实之间，有一段比较长的距离
|
|
|
I*****e
发帖数: 15123 | 11 I agree.
means
price
to
are
【在 H**********8 的大作中提到】
: the 2.5% drop is for NE overall. This time the house market is driven by
: investment( easy communication for easy to rent and better appreciation
: opportunity) & upgrade(to better location and/or school system). That means
: house in good commute location and school systems are still rising. And
: for
: the houses in the relative bad locations, the price is still dropping. So
: this won't work for the metro Boston area, more likely that the house price
: is till going to go up while the house of more rural areas will continue to
: drop.
: So this is not applicable to most of the folks on this board since they are
|
S****6
发帖数: 214 | 12 即使现在签约，俩月closing时间也紧了。 大家还不同意租房 |
c**m
发帖数: 1457 | 13 现在签约，一个月可以close.
【在 S****6 的大作中提到】
: 即使现在签约，俩月closing时间也紧了。 大家还不同意租房
|
m***y
发帖数: 14763 | 14 嗯，嚼的Zillow还是统计正确的。大样本，啊，大样本。
8
【在 c**m 的大作中提到】
: I never trust or use the House value provided by Zillow. Although the
: individual house value provided by Zillow is useless, the statistics
: provided by Zillow for relative value is still a good reference. Like the 8
: .5% number your provided in this case, it's a very good indicator for the
: market trend
|
s***a
发帖数: 4921 | 15 arlington 489k的房子今天成交价是535k
这个好像抬价不是很多
【在 r**f 的大作中提到】
: 期望
:
: since
: has
|
S****6
发帖数: 214 | 16 在太牛了， 看来加了10%还不够，还得达到绝对值加5万才叫加价了
%
【在 s***a 的大作中提到】
: arlington 489k的房子今天成交价是535k
: 这个好像抬价不是很多
|
S*******s
发帖数: 10098 | 17 好心提醒：千万别用+10%作为标准， 那样自己吃大亏。
我同事今天还讨论了， 每一个房子， 要加的钱各不同， 所加的钱看情况。 |
