s******n
发帖数: 7166 | 1 Projected East standings
1. Cleveland Cavaliers
Proj. record: 57-25
Last season: 57-25
The Cavaliers cruised to 57 wins last season and will face an even lighter c
hallenge in the East this season, according to our forecast. While free agen
t LeBron James is expected to return, J.R. Smith could still sign elsewhere
this summer. Smith led the Cavaliers with 204 3-pointers last season, 46 mor
e than anyone else on the roster.
T-2. Boston Celtics
Proj. record: 51-31
Last season: 48-34
Our panel sees the Celtics improving their record for the third straight sea
son and breaking the 50-win barrier. Does it shortchange Boston to suggest A
l Horford and No. 3 pick Jaylen Brown are worth only three wins? Perhaps. Bu
t though accomplished, Horford has been a part of only two 50-win teams in h
is nine-year NBA career.
T-2. Toronto Raptors
Proj. record: 51-31
Last season: 56-26
The Raptors' frontcourt lost depth this offseason, as both Bismack Biyombo (
82 games played last season) and Luis Scola (76 games) signed elsewhere, to
be replaced by Jared Sullinger and rookie Jakob Poeltl. If the Raptors do wi
n their projected 51 games next season, it would still be the second-most wi
ns in a season in franchise history.
T-4. Detroit Pistons
Proj. record: 45-37
Last season: 44-38
The Pistons are bringing back virtually the same roster they fielded last po
stseason, which would explain an increase of only one win by our panel. Last
season, the Pistons didn't have many peaks or valleys: They never finished
a month more than three games above or below .500.
T-4. Indiana Pacers
Proj. record: 45-37
Last season: 45-37
Upon first glance, the 3-team trade that brought in Jeff Teague and shipped
out George Hill might appear to be a win for the Pacers. Teague is two years
younger and is coming off a 2015-16 season in which he averaged more points
and assists per game than Hill. But ESPN's Real Plus-Minus (RPM) paints a d
ifferent picture. In 2015-16, Hill ranked 17th among point guards while Teag
ue ranked 29th. Hill had ranked ahead of Teague in RPM each of the past thre
e seasons.
6. Atlanta Hawks
Proj. record: 44-38
Last season: 48-34
On the surface, Dwight Howard brings more rebounds, blocked shots and a bett
er ability to finish at the hoop. However, according to RPM, which estimates
on-court team performance, former Hawk Horford ranked 27th with a 2.97 rati
ng last season, while Howard had a -0.04 rating. Atlanta still projects as a
playoff team, but our forecast thinks it'll take a hit with Dwight.
7. Charlotte Hornets
Proj. record: 43-39
Last season: 48-34
Kemba Walker took a step forward last season, averaging a career-best 20.9 p
oints per game. His potential has the Hornets still above .500 according to
our projections, but the losses of Al Jefferson, Jeremy Lin and Courtney Lee
will make it hard for the Hornets to get back to such heights.
8. Washington Wizards
Proj. record: 41-41
Last season: 41-41
Having spent seven seasons with Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, new Wiza
rds coach Scott Brooks has experience winning with a pair of young stars. An
d while John Wall is a proven All-Star, there are still questions about Brad
ley Beal, who inked a max contract this summer. For Brooks to get the most o
ut of them, Beal needs to be healthy. In four seasons, the now 23-year-old s
hooting guard has played in 65 or more games just once (179 players have app
eared in more games than Beal in the past four seasons).
T-9. New York Knicks
Proj. record: 40-42
Last season: 32-50
The Knicks were the most improved team last season in terms of win-loss reco
rd, and now they've added former MVP Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah to the fol
d. If healthy, our projections could short the Knicks. However, our panel kn
ows that Rose has missed 244 games the past five seasons and Noah has missed
68 games the past two seasons.
T-9. Chicago Bulls
Proj. record: 40-42
Last season: 42-40
The Bulls made some of the biggest splashes of the offseason, trading Rose w
hile bringing in assist machine Rajon Rondo and three-time NBA champion Dwya
ne Wade. But is this Bulls team built for the modern NBA? The Bulls' startin
g perimeter -- Rondo, Wade and Jimmy Butler -- combined to make 133 3-pointe
rs last season on 31.7 percent shooting.
11. Milwaukee Bucks
Proj. record: 39-43
Last season: 33-49
The Bucks' size continues to intrigue and leads our panel to believe the tea
m can improve despite Matthew Dellavedova and Mirza Teletovic being the big
offseason additions. But a starting lineup of five players all 6-foot-6 or t
aller, and the potential of more Giannis Antetokounmpo at the point, should
get the Bucks closer to .500.
12. Miami Heat
Proj. record: 36-46
Last season: 48-34
The franchise leader in scoring and the guy who helped bring three titles to
Miami is gone, as are Luol Deng and Joe Johnson. But our panel isn't totall
y crushing the Heat, because a youth movement built on Hassan Whiteside, Jus
tise Winslow and Josh Richardson could keep Miami in the hunt.
13. Orlando Magic
Proj. record: 35-47
Last season: 35-47
Are the Magic any better or worse off for trading Victor Oladipo for Serge I
baka? Both play great defense but struggle to get involved offensively. You
could say the same for other Magic additions in Bismack Biyombo and Jeff Gre
en.
T-14. Philadelphia 76ers
Proj. record: 20-62
Last season: 10-72
Our projections have the 76ers doubling their win total from last season tha
nks in part to No. 1 overall pick Ben Simmons. While it's a projection of "o
nly" 20 wins, for Philadelphia that would be the franchise's most since 2012
-13 when the Sixers won 34 games.
T-14. Brooklyn Nets
Proj. record: 20-62
Last season: 21-61
Despite mainstay Brook Lopez and Linsanity hitting Brooklyn, the Nets are pr
ojected to drop a win, according to our panel. The Nets had the second-worst
defensive efficiency last season, and offensive-minded additions like Lin,
Luis Scola and Greivis Vasquez aren't going to help matters. | s******n
发帖数: 7166 | 2 竟然跟76人一样了。 另外感觉步行者应该不止第4，他们的阵容挺好的
明天可能出西边的，前4估计是勇士马刺小船灰熊
c
agen
elsewhere
mor
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】
: Projected East standings
: 1. Cleveland Cavaliers
: Proj. record: 57-25
: Last season: 57-25
: The Cavaliers cruised to 57 wins last season and will face an even lighter c
: hallenge in the East this season, according to our forecast. While free agen
: t LeBron James is expected to return, J.R. Smith could still sign elsewhere
: this summer. Smith led the Cavaliers with 204 3-pointers last season, 46 mor
: e than anyone else on the roster.
: T-2. Boston Celtics
| c**t
发帖数: 9197 | | s******n
发帖数: 7166 | 4 干过76人肯定没有问题，席梦思也没什么用，鲁色气质太浓了
看看去年的狼，有两状元还不是快垫底了
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: 倒数第二就是胜利
| s******n
发帖数: 7166 | 5
前3都猜对了，但是，灰熊花了这么多钱还只给排了第7啊
Western Conference projections
1. Golden State Warriors
Proj. record: 67-15
Last season: 73-9
The Warriors became the first team in NBA history to finish a season with th
e league's best record and then add a former MVP still under the age of 30 i
n the next offseason. Despite the addition of Kevin Durant, our forecast pro
jects the record-breaking Warriors to come back down to earth -- slightly --
to the tune of 67 wins. The folks in Vegas have placed Golden State's over/
under win total at 68.5. You can also get +500 odds for the Dubs to win 74 o
r more games.
2. San Antonio Spurs
Proj. record: 57-25
Last season: 67-15
For the first time since 1996-97, the Spurs will open a season without Tim D
uncan, who retired this summer after 19 seasons. While losing Duncan is cert
ainly the headliner, San Antonio's frontcourt must also replace the producti
on of David West, Boris Diaw and fan-favorite Boban Marjanovic. The main add
ition is Pau Gasol, who made the All-Star team each of the last two seasons
and is one of three players to average at least 15 points and 10 rebounds pe
r game in each of the last two seasons. The others? Anthony Davis and DeMarc
us Cousins.
3. Los Angeles Clippers
Proj. record: 52-30
Last season: 53-29
Our panel sees a similar regular season for the Clippers, whose promising po
stseason ended with injuries to Chris Paul and Blake Griffin. It's mostly th
e same roster, with Doc Rivers re-signing Jamal Crawford, Austin Rivers, Luc
Mbah a Moute and Wesley Johnson while adding Raymond Felton, Brandon Bass a
nd Marreese Speights. This could be the group's last run together, as both P
aul and Griffin can become unrestricted free agents after this season.
4. Portland Trail Blazers
Proj. record: 46-36
Last season: 44-38
Last season's surprise, our panel sees further progress for a Portland team
that spent serious dough this summer to keep its roster intact. The Blazers
spent just north of a combined $290 million dollars this offseason on new de
als for C.J. McCollum, Allen Crabbe, Meyers Leonard and Evan Turner. And wit
h Damian Lillard's five year, $139.9 million contract kicking in this season
, Portland is going all-in to return to contention in the West.
5. Utah Jazz
Proj. record: 45-37
Last season: 40-42
With veterans George Hill, Joe Johnson and Boris Diaw joining a young and pr
omising nucleus led by Gordon Hayward, Derrick Favors and Rudy Gobert, our f
orecast has Utah leaping from the lottery to the No. 5 seed. In addition to
the stable of veteran support, Dante Exum -- the No. 5 overall pick in 2014
-- is set to return after missing all of last season with a torn ACL. A meth
odical squad, the Jazz ranked third in defensive efficiency after the All-St
ar break while playing at the league's slowest pace.
6. Oklahoma City Thunder
Proj. record: 44-38
Last season: 55-27
Despite OKC's losing Kevin Durant and trading away Serge Ibaka for Victor Ol
adipo, Ersan Ilyasova and Domantas Sabonis, our panel still likes the Thunde
r's chances of making the playoffs. Over the last two seasons, Russell Westb
rook played 48 games without Durant. He averaged 30.5 PPG, 9.2 APG and 7.6 R
PG with 11 triple-doubles. Oklahoma City went 25-23 in those 48 games, which
would equate to 43 wins, just barely south of where our forecast places the
Thunder in 2016-17.
7. Memphis Grizzlies
Proj. record: 43-39
Last season: 42-40
A total of 28 players recorded a minute for the Grizzlies last season, an NB
A single-season record, so why does our panel project an improvement of only
one win despite the Grizzlies adding Chandler Parsons and re-signing Mike C
onley? Age and health are factors. Zach Randolph turned 35 in July and has s
aw declines in scoring and rebounding last season, and Marc Gasol, who will
be 32 by season's end, is recovering from a broken foot and has missed 20 or
more games in two of the last three seasons.
8. Houston Rockets
Proj. record: 41-41
Last season: 41-41
We know a bit about how Houston will play. The already 3-oriented offense sh
ould get a boost with new coach Mike D'Antoni arriving in town and the addit
ions of Ryan Anderson and Eric Gordon, who both averaged 15.0 points and 2.0
3-pointers per game last season in New Orleans. But the departure of Dwight
Howard cost Houston a strong interior presence on defense. Our panel expect
s the Rockets to hover around .500 once again.
9. Dallas Mavericks
Proj. record: 40-42
Last season: 42-40
The Mavericks added Harrison Barnes, Andrew Bogut and a player named Curry (
Steph's brother, Seth) this offseason, but don't expect this team to become
the Dallas Warriors. Our panel projects the Mavericks to see a decrease in w
ins this season. Age is a big issue here: Dirk Nowitzki is 38, Deron William
s is 32, Wesley Matthews will be 30 in October and Bogut will be 32 in Novem
ber.
10. Minnesota Timberwolves
Proj. record: 39-43
Last season: 29-53
One of the biggest projected win increases next season belongs to the Timber
wolves and it's not hard to see why. Look at the young talent new coach Tom
Thibodeau has on hand. Karl-Anthony Towns averaged 18 points and 10 rebounds
per game in his rookie season -- the last five rookies to do that before hi
m were Blake Griffin, Elton Brand, Tim Duncan, Alonzo Mourning and Shaquille
O'Neal. The 2014 No. 1 overall pick, Andrew Wiggins, averaged 20 points per
game last season, and Kris Dunn, whom the Wolves took fifth overall in June
's draft, looks like the next young star in line.
11. New Orleans Pelicans
Proj. record: 35-47
Last season: 30-52
After winning 45 games and making the playoffs in 2014-15, the Pelicans fell
well below expectations with a 30-win effort last season. Anthony Davis mis
sed 21 games and posted the worst shooting percentage of his career as the P
elicans finished 12th in the West. Our panel is expecting a bounce-back of s
orts for New Orleans this season, but until Davis proves he can play a full
season (he's missed at least 14 games every year), the Pelicans' ceiling mig
ht go only so high.
12. Denver Nuggets
Proj. record: 34-48
Last season: 33-49
The Nuggets' youth movement continued this offseason as the franchise had th
ree first-round picks. Jamal Murray (19 years old), Malik Beasley (19) and J
uan Hernangomez (20) will join the likes of Emmanuel Mudiay (20), Nikola Jok
ic (21) and Jusuf Nurkic (21) next season. Our panel doesn't project the Nug
gets' showing much immediate improvement, but it depends on how quickly the
young pieces come together.
13. Sacramento Kings
Proj. record: 30-52
Last season: 33-49
Last season the Kings won their most games (33) since the 2007-08 season, bu
t our projections have the team regressing once again. DeMarcus Cousins set
a career-high in scoring last season (26.9 PPG) but the disgruntled supersta
r was once again unhappy with the Kings' draft after the team took Greek big
man Georgios Papagiannis (via trade) and drafted another Kentucky big in Sk
al Labissiere.
14. Phoenix Suns
Proj. record: 26-56
Last season: 23-59
The Suns walked away from the 2016 NBA Draft with two of the top eight picks
in power forwards Dragan Bender (fourth overall) and Marquese Chriss (eight
h overall). Throw in the 13th overall pick from 2015 in Devin Booker, and th
e Suns have a trio of players who will be no older than 20 by season's end.
The youthful talent is intriguing, and our panel expects improvement from Ph
oenix, but also knows that inexperience doesn't lead to wins in the NBA.
15. Los Angeles Lakers
Proj. record: 25-57
Last season: 17-65
The 2016-17 season will be the first since 1995-96 without Kobe Bryant in a
Lakers uniform. Kobe's retirement might not help ticket sales, but it will g
ive D'Angelo Russell and Brandon Ingram a chance to shine in L.A.'s spotligh
t. That should allow the Lakers a chance to improve on a franchise-worst 17
wins last season
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】
: 竟然跟76人一样了。 另外感觉步行者应该不止第4，他们的阵容挺好的
: 明天可能出西边的，前4估计是勇士马刺小船灰熊
:
: c
: agen
: elsewhere
: mor
| l*****i
发帖数: 20533 | | s******n
发帖数: 7166 | 7 我当然觉得也很好，打得不好不用背锅，打得好还能再神奇
【在 l*****i 的大作中提到】
: 对林来说其实这样挺好的。没有压力，就是干！
| J*******s
发帖数: 2708 | | J*******s
发帖数: 2708 | | b**k
发帖数: 3563 | 10 灰熊伤病是个大隐患啊，要是健康，前四没跑
th
i
pro
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】
: 我当然觉得也很好，打得不好不用背锅，打得好还能再神奇
| | | s*****m
发帖数: 13092 | | w*********s
发帖数: 8428 | | m**u
发帖数: 541 | 13 只要球队搞定团结和一心要赢球，net不会垫底甚至有可能进季候。其实这些球员除了
真牛的那很少几个，其它差距不是很多。 团队蓝球搞好了差距不大，能弥补。 另外，
反正大家都觉得你不行，反而可以放开使劲打，打好了赚的，输了正常么不是，没有包
袱。 | t*******r
发帖数: 184 | | B**y
发帖数: 824 | 15 支持小林闯进季后赛，打脸ESPN砖家。
c
agen
elsewhere
mor
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】
: Projected East standings
: 1. Cleveland Cavaliers
: Proj. record: 57-25
: Last season: 57-25
: The Cavaliers cruised to 57 wins last season and will face an even lighter c
: hallenge in the East this season, according to our forecast. While free agen
: t LeBron James is expected to return, J.R. Smith could still sign elsewhere
: this summer. Smith led the Cavaliers with 204 3-pointers last season, 46 mor
: e than anyone else on the roster.
: T-2. Boston Celtics
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