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全部话题 - 话题: wager
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 下页 末页 (共7页)
l********t
发帖数: 254
1
来自主题: NCAA版 - Just put on 3 wagers
1)
Straight Wager 10/29/10 11:29 ET
Oregon
USC 10/30/10(20:05 ET)
Oregon -7 (-105)
2)
Straight Wager 10/29/10 11:29 ET
Northwestern
Indiana 10/30/10(12:05 ET)
Northwestern -3.5 (-105)
3)
Straight Wager 10/29/10 11:29 ET
Duke
Navy 10/30/10(15:35 ET)
Navy -13.5 (-105)
K**7
发帖数: 6610
2
来自主题: Oklahoma版 - OK and MO governors make wager
on tonight's cotton bowl
The OK governor is a cowgirl, the MO one is a tiger.
http://www.fox23.com/news/local/story/Fallin-makes-a-wager-on-C
s*****a
发帖数: 688
3
http://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/local/Ed-Lee-Makes-Friendly-Wage
San Francisco Mayor Ed Lee and St. Louis Mayor Francis G. Slay have made a
friendly wager on the outcome of the National League Championships Series
between the Giants and the Cardinals that starts today at AT&T Park.
The mayor of the losing city has agreed to change his profile picture on
Twitter to an image of the winning team's logo for a day, according to a
statement released today by Lee's office.
The losing mayor will also sen... 阅读全帖
v***s
发帖数: 4031
4
来自主题: Golf版 - open a wager?
Today's game is not very competitive on the PGA tour like we had 30 to 50
years ago. It seems Tiger agaisnt the field. I am not surpirsed to see such
wager on Tiger's game.
u*********r
发帖数: 2735
5
来自主题: Pingpong版 - open a wager for xx and jike game?
5 baozi wager between u and me?
J********9
发帖数: 36508
6
来自主题: Pingpong版 - open a wager for xx and jike game?
开盘了

5 baozi wager between u and me?
E*****m
发帖数: 25615
7
Pascal's wager 的隱含假設是神會被這種壓賭注式的信仰所騙,
而且信教沒有成本。 這兩個假設我都不同意-- 即使我先同意
真的有個神。
S*R
发帖数: 1057
8
我们寻找不老泉的目的是什么?是为了延长人类寿命,还是为了提高人类的生活质量?
这是一个非常敏感的伦理学问题。
美国哈佛大学干细胞科学家Amy Wagers指出,随着年龄增大,人体肌肉失去了维持平衡
和再生的能力。她解释道:“我并不是说衰老是一种疾病,但衰老与一些特定疾病患病
率的升高有关联。”
Wagers和许多合作者已经证明,当将年轻老鼠的血液与年老鼠类的血液相互交融循环时
,令人震惊的生理学变化将会产生。许多因衰老而导致的机能下降例如肌肉萎缩、反应
迟钝、认知能力降低等都有所缓和甚至恢复到原先水平。
“返老还童”
“返老还童”一直是生物学研究的重点领域。Wagers和合作者据此相信血液中一定存在
某种物质能够引起如此惊人的改变。实际上,经过不懈研究,她和同事近期终于成功地
从“年轻”的血液中隔离出一种特殊的分子——生长分化因子11(GDF11)。这种分子
似乎能够使心脏、大脑血脉和骨骼肌的生理机能重新焕发活力,至少在动物身上是如此
。Wagers对研究团队说:“GDF11对心脏、骨骼肌和大脑来说是一座‘不老泉’,是使
器官恢复活力的有益蛋白质。”
1998年,世界上第一个人体胚胎干... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
9
【 以下文字转载自 Biology 讨论区 】
发信人: SPR (SPR), 信区: Biology
标 题: 以科学的名义返老还童 血液抗衰老研究曙光乍现
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Sep 22 17:38:28 2014, 美东)
我们寻找不老泉的目的是什么?是为了延长人类寿命,还是为了提高人类的生活质量?
这是一个非常敏感的伦理学问题。
美国哈佛大学干细胞科学家Amy Wagers指出,随着年龄增大,人体肌肉失去了维持平衡
和再生的能力。她解释道:“我并不是说衰老是一种疾病,但衰老与一些特定疾病患病
率的升高有关联。”
Wagers和许多合作者已经证明,当将年轻老鼠的血液与年老鼠类的血液相互交融循环时
,令人震惊的生理学变化将会产生。许多因衰老而导致的机能下降例如肌肉萎缩、反应
迟钝、认知能力降低等都有所缓和甚至恢复到原先水平。
“返老还童”
“返老还童”一直是生物学研究的重点领域。Wagers和合作者据此相信血液中一定存在
某种物质能够引起如此惊人的改变。实际上,经过不懈研究,她和同事近期终于成功地
从“年轻”的血液中隔离出一种特殊的分子——生长分化因子11(... 阅读全帖
y****n
发帖数: 3184
10
最佳影片King's Speech将无悬念登顶
83rd Academy Awards - Odds to Win Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Odds
All wagers have action
127 Hours - Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy 28/1
The Social Network - Aaron Sorkin 1/25
Toy Story 3 - Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee
Unkrich 12/1
True Grit - Joel Coen & Ethan Coen 20/1
Winter's Bone - Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini 28/1
改编剧本-The Social Network
83rd Academy Awards - Odds to Win Best Visual Effects Odds
All wagers hav... 阅读全帖
H****w
发帖数: 1632
11
来自主题: Football版 - Billy Water And The Computer Group
Billy Walter and the computer group:
The Arrests
He was in the bed sleeping when the two men walked into his bedroom.
Billy
Walters sleeps in a big clean bed in Las Vegas, in a small but elaborate
home renovated to his liking, with palm trees and white flowerpots and
two
satellite dishes in the yard, and four large televisions in the den, and
a
security guard who sits just out of sight behind the shrubs across the
street. This environment was disrupted early last Jan. 5, when the two
strangers i... 阅读全帖
D***s
发帖数: 5613
12
这几段关于丑闻的报道看起来怎么都有问题,感觉是Mayack在Wagers实验室重复实验的
时候发现Wagers的早年在《自然》上的研究可能是假象,捅出来了。Wagers被迫撤稿,
然后立刻联手ORI报复Mayack,搞臭Mayack。
2010年夏,Wagers意识到她于当年早些时候发表在《自然》杂志上的文章可能遗漏了一
个问题。与Wagers同在一个实验室的博士后Shane Mayack撰文指出,“不老泉”现象同
时可能增强年老老鼠体内造血干细胞的造血能力。
Wagers担忧研究可能真的存在疏漏,她立刻将此事告诉哈佛医学院。她没有等待审查得
出结果,便立刻撤回了发表在《自然》杂志上的论文,并与《血液》杂志的编辑进行沟
通。Wagers说:“我想到的第一件事就是必须要修改这篇论文。”
2012年,一份由研究诚信办公室(ORI)得出的报告称,Mayack存在学术不端行为。ORI
认为Mayack蓄意使用其他与连体实验无关的研究项目数据,从而为其实验提供有利结论
。此外,Mayack还引用网上的数据作为得出的第一手数据。
Mayack的行为令实验负责人Wagers受到了心理和事业上的双重打... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
13
今天这事儿,关于加拿大卡尔加里市的一位法官,Robin Camp
最近,他即将接受惩戒听证会,决定他是否还能继续做法官.
而这一切,要从2011年发生的一起性侵案说起……
2011年12月13日,一位年仅19岁、无家可归的姑娘J.M.在购买杂物时偶遇了一个名为
Alexander Scott Wagar的男子。
收到邀请之下,两人来到了一个家庭派对...
第二天,J.M.声称自己被Wager性侵,并报了警。
J.M.向警方提供了沾有Wager体液的牛仔裤,展示了自己背部因挣扎而被掐出的淤青,
表示Wager在未经她同意的情况下强行侵犯了她。
而Wager声称,他以为J.M.是同意了才与她发生关系,并没有性侵她
经过一系列取证和调查之后,
法官Robin Camp在2014年审理了这起性侵案
然而最终的审理结果,却引起了极大的争议……
在法庭上,法官Robin Camp向受害者J.M.发起了一系列询问,包括她个人的性史、性癖
,以及一些列诸如此类的问题:
“当时你怎么不把你的腿夹紧呢?”
“你说他把你推到洗手池台上性侵了你,你当时怎么不把屁股挪一下坐到洗手池里去呢
?坐进去他不就插不进去... 阅读全帖
g********0
发帖数: 6201
14
09/04/2012 Melissa Lee Phillips
Former Harvard postdoc Shane Mayack reaches a settlement with the ORI but
maintains that the duplication of flow cytometry images was an error, not
fabrication.
The U.S. Office of Research Integrity (ORI) has concluded that former
Harvard postdoctoral fellow Shane Mayack engaged in research misconduct
while working in the Joslin Diabetes Center lab of high-profile stem cell
biologist Amy Wagers.
The U.S. Office of Research Integrity (ORI) has concluded that former... 阅读全帖
HL
发帖数: 2269
15
小小BSO一下。
日后有了包子再给大家发一圈。
1) BET ID=347190472
Parlay (2 Teams) 03/17/11 20:48 ET
bet 1.00 to win 2.60 (paid 3.6) Result: Wager Won
2Grizzlies(Memphis) 48
2Knicks(NewYork) 61 03/17/11(21:10 ET)
2Knicks(NewYork) +0.5 (1.91)
2Grizzlies(Memphis) 48
2Knicks(NewYork) 61 03/17/11(21:10 ET)
Over 106.5 (1.91)
2) BET ID=347124218
Parlay (4 Teams) 03/17/11 15:46 ET
bet 1.00 to win 10.00 (paid 11.0) Result: Wager Won
1Bulls(Chicago) 43
1Nets(NewJersey) 36 03/17/11(19:13 ET)... 阅读全帖
h****s
发帖数: 16779
16
赌博的收入得大于某个数才行:
Reportable Gambling Winnings
Report gambling winnings on Form W-2G if:
The winnings (not reduced by the wager) are $1,200 or more from a bingo
game or slot machine,
The winnings (reduced by the wager) are $1,500 or more from a keno game,
The winnings (reduced by the wager or buy-in) are more than $5,000 from
a poker tournament,
The winnings (except winnings from bingo, slot machines, keno, and poker
tournaments) reduced, at the option of the payer, by the wager are... 阅读全帖
j*******7
发帖数: 6300
17
来自主题: TrustInJesus版 - 一段鲜为人知的历史
The Wager
The philosophy uses the following logic (excerpts from Pensées, part
III,
note 233):
1. "God is, or He is not"
2. A Game is being played... where heads or tails will turn up.
3. According to reason, you can defend neither of the propositions.
4. You must wager. (It's not optional.)
5. Let us weigh the gain and the loss in wagering that God is. Let us
estimate these two chances. If you gain, you gain all; if you lose, you
lose
nothing.
6. Wager, then, without hesitation that He is. (...... 阅读全帖
P*****l
发帖数: 438
18
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/15/science/15retract.html?_r=1
3 Harvard Researchers Retract a Claim on the Aging of Stem Cells
By NICHOLAS WADE
Published: October 14, 2010
Harvard researchers have retracted a far-reaching claim they made in January
that the aging of stem cells might be reversible.
The retraction was published in Thursday’s issue of Nature and is signed by
the senior author, Amy J. Wagers, and two others. They say that serious
concerns, which they did not specify, have undermined... 阅读全帖
h******t
发帖数: 872
19
http://www.wsj.com/articles/currency-war-u-s-hedge-funds-mount-
Some of the biggest names in the hedge-fund industry are piling up bets
against China’s currency, setting up a showdown between Wall Street and the
leaders of the world’s second-largest economy.
Kyle Bass’s Hayman Capital Management has sold off the bulk of its
investments in stocks, commodities and bonds so it can focus on shorting
Asian currencies, including the yuan and the Hong Kong dollar.
It is the biggest concentrated wager t... 阅读全帖
w****n
发帖数: 1737
20
来自主题: Stock版 - JPM为啥没人买
From 'Caveman' to 'Whale'
J.P. Morgan's Iksil Wagered Large, and Won, Last Year, but Bets in 2012
Soured
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405270230387960457740862
ml?KEYWORDS=london+whale
Months before Bruno Iksil became famous as the "London whale," the trader wh
o contributed to a loss of more than $2 billion at J.P. Morgan Chase JPM -4.
31% & Co., he earned a different nickname: the "Caveman," for pursuing trade
s that rivals sometimes thought were overly aggressive but often led to hug... 阅读全帖
U********f
发帖数: 2482
21
来自主题: Stock版 - Kelly bet- 资金管理数学方式
For simple bets with two outcomes, one involving losing the entire amount
bet, and the other involving winning the bet amount multiplied by the payoff
odds, the Kelly bet is:
f*=(bp-q)/b
where:
f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
b is the net odds received on the wager ("b to 1"); that is, you could win $
b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet 赔率
p is the probability of winning; 赚的概率
q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p. 输的概率
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% ch... 阅读全帖
w******s
发帖数: 35
22
Bus Lines:
Coach Canada/Trentway-Wager
Servicing over 350,000 passengers via the Kingston terminal in 1999,
CoachCanada /Trentway-Wager Bus Lines operates, on average, 25 daily
departures and arrivals at the City of Kingston terminal. Providing passengers
with quality service and convenient connections to and from major city centers
such as Toronto, Montreal, Ottawa, Cornwall, and Peterborough,
CoachCanada/Trentway-Wager provides passenger, charter and cargo services to
and from the City of King
i**********t
发帖数: 55
23
我先贴一次我在一个网站试玩的情形,今天结束看看结果如何:
0) BET ID=123141177
Straight Wager 09/25/05 10:30 ET
10.00/9.09 Result: Pending
Cowboys(Dallas)
49ers(SanFrancisco) 09/25/05 (16:10 ET)
Over 40.5
1) BET ID=123134613
Straight Wager 09/25/05 10:08 ET
10.00/8.70 Result: Pending
Giants(NewYork)
Chargers(SanDiego) 09/25/05 (20:35 ET)
Chargers(SanDiego) -6 (-115)

2) BET ID=123133876
Straight Wager 09/25/05 10:05 ET
10.00/10.00 Result: Pending
Patriots(NewEngland)
Steelers(Pittsburgh) 09/25/05 (16:10 ET)
Patriots(N
i**********t
发帖数: 55
24
Up to now: 8 wins + 153.24 4 loses, so a profit of $33.24 on $120 betting
0) BET ID=123141177
Straight Wager 09/25/05 10:30 ET
10.00/9.09 Result: Pending
Cowboys(Dallas)
49ers(SanFrancisco) 09/25/05 (16:10 ET)
Over 40.5
Result: WIN +19.09
1) BET ID=123134613
Straight Wager 09/25/05 10:08 ET
10.00/8.70 Result: Pending
Giants(NewYork)
Chargers(SanDiego) 09/25/05 (20:35 ET)
Chargers(SanDiego) -6 (-115)
Result: WIN 18.70
2) BET ID=123133876
Straight Wager 09/25/05 10:05 ET
10.00/10.00 Resul
c*********t
发帖数: 2921
25
来自主题: Tennis版 - Kind reminder
I am a broken gambler. I never win any bet.
There is my lottery for this year AO finals
Women single:
Serena vs Justine 2:1 wager: 1
Men's single:
Andy vs Roger 3:1 wager:2
Andy vs Roger 3:2 wager:2
If you want to win some weibi, please not choose the same pick as I do.
If you listen to my advice, and win some weibi, please share some with me.
Good luck to everyone tennis fans.
h****8
发帖数: 72
26
Nov. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Jon Corzine’s risk appetite helped
destroy his firm. It also provided an object lesson for Paul
Volcker’s campaign against proprietary trading on Wall Street.
Nineteen months after former New Jersey Governor Corzine
became chairman and chief executive officer, MF Global Holdings
Ltd. yesterday filed for bankruptcy. Corzine’s decision to boost
risk-taking, including a $6.3 billion wager with the firm’s own
money on European government debt, triggered the collapse.
... 阅读全帖
c*****e
发帖数: 737
27
【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: coollpe (coollpe), 信区: Stock
标 题: 中国央行彻底打爆人民币空头: 对冲基金亏得裤子都没了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Mar 15 10:06:16 2016, 美东)
Hedge funds lose US$562 mln in renminbi bets
Hedge funds and other speculators are losing big in a bruising battle with
Chinese regulators over the renminbi.
Seven months after a shock devaluation spurred them to wager on further
declines, the yuan’s unexpected resilience has turned many of those bets
into losses, Bloomberg reports.
At least US$562 million of opt... 阅读全帖
n******e
发帖数: 2547
28
来自主题: Money版 - Wells Fargo CC $10 苍蝇肉
Wells Fargo Rewards® is now Go Far™ Rewards — the exciting
credit card rewards program with the flexibility to redeem for what moves
you.
For a limited time, we can help you get to your next reward even faster:
Step 1:
Use your card to make 5 or more purchases by June 30, 2016. (1)
Step 2:
Earn $10 bonus cash rewards.
No need to enroll — just start using your card today.
1. To qualify for this offer, you must complete a minimum of five (5)
purchase transactions between April 25, 2016,... 阅读全帖
M****o
发帖数: 13571
29
来自主题: PennySaver版 - 问个对赌博彩的问题?
哈哈,这个我熟!最近刚刚去跑马场赌赛马来着。在没有庄家的情况下,和赌跑马是一
个道理,都是pari-mutuel wagering。具体见以下链接:
http://www.lonestarpark.com/How+to+Wager/BeginnersGuide/LoneStarUniversity.htm
热门的赔率低,因为大家都压热门,pool的总数就少,每个人赢的就少。:p
t*********e
发帖数: 313
30
来自主题: Stock版 - 女儿国,能指点一下BAC吗?
http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424052970203367204576065781160852252.html?mod=BOL_hpp_dc
Goldman Sachs' influential derivatives strategists are telling clients to
prepare for Bank of America to surge higher.
In a recent note, John Marshall and Maria Grant told clients to buy Bank of
America's (ticker: BAC) April $16 calls because investors have
underestimated the battered bank's potential to rally higher.
The battered stock declined 9.2% in the past year, and was recently trading
around... 阅读全帖
c*******y
发帖数: 1630
31
FROM ZH
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-13/31-year-old-hedge-fund
Over the weekend, there has been some consternation over the report that the
CEOs of the 6 largest US banks: JPM, BAC, GS, MS, C and WFC, collectively
made $96.1 million in 2013, more than $86.3 million the year before and the
most since the financial crisis.
However, we are confident those same people would have an aneurism if they
were to learn that James "Jimmy" Levin, a 31-year-old hedge fund trader -
head of global cred... 阅读全帖
c*****e
发帖数: 737
32
Hedge funds lose US$562 mln in renminbi bets
Hedge funds and other speculators are losing big in a bruising battle with
Chinese regulators over the renminbi.
Seven months after a shock devaluation spurred them to wager on further
declines, the yuan’s unexpected resilience has turned many of those bets
into losses, Bloomberg reports.
At least US$562 million of options that pay out if the currency drops below
6.6 per dollar — its weakest point since the devaluation — have expired
worthless since A... 阅读全帖
b****e
发帖数: 1275
33
来自主题: Football版 - 真正的赌博牛人还是steeler fan
我虽说是钢黑,对他们diehard的扇子还是很佩服的。尤其是去年superbowl这个steeler
fan...
"One of our clients bet $50,000 to win $200,000 (taking 4:1 odds) that
Pittsburgh would upset Indianapolis," Cosas said. "He then bet his $200,000
profit to win $300,000 on Pittsburgh to upset Denver. Today he wagered his
entire playoff profit of $500,000 (to win $280,000) on Pittsburgh to win the
Super Bowl. If Pittsburgh wins Sunday, he'll win $780,000 on his original $50,
000 wager."
h***o
发帖数: 2321
34
来自主题: Football版 - 压了个sb matchup
will u win anything if you are partically right?
http://sports.bodog.com/sports-betting/football-futures.jsp
Odds to win the 2011 AFC All wagers have action
Baltimore Ravens
5/1
New England Patriots
5/7
New York Jets
15/2
Pittsburgh Steelers
3/1
Odds to win the 2011 NFC All wagers have action.
Atlanta Falcons
33/20
Chicago Bears
21/10
Green Bay Packers
2/1
Seattle Seahawks
11/1
s*****h
发帖数: 44903
35
来自主题: Football版 - 赌场严重不看好宁泽涛呀
Moneyline odds
Moneyline odds are favoured by American bookmakers. There are two
possibilities: the figure quote can be either positive or negative.
If the figure quoted is positive, the odds are quoting how much money
will be won on a $100 wager (this is done if the odds are better than even).
For example, fractional odds of 4/1 would be quoted as +400.
If the figure quoted is negative, then the moneyline odds are quoting
how much money must be wagered to win $100 (this is done if the o... 阅读全帖
C******s
发帖数: 1917
36
经常跟球友打Nassau的比赛,但是从来没有人跟我讲过这个名字的由来。刚才Golf
Channel上有个节目讲起这个名字的由来,才知道是源于长岛的Nassau Country Club.
以下是wikipedia上的解释:
“The Nassau bet gets its name from the Nassau Country Club on Long Island,
where the format was invented in the early 1900s by club captain John B.
Coles Tappan. The game also is known as "2-2-2", and "Best Nines."
The Nassau is a type of bet in golf that is essentially three separate bets.
Money is wagered on the best match play score in the front nine (holes 1–9
), back nine (holes 1... 阅读全帖
s******r
发帖数: 21961
37
来自主题: NBA版 - 今天酱紫有可能要挂
赌场内部消息:
$250,000 parlay riding on Monday Night Football betting odds
By JASON LOGAN
Monday Night Football games often operate as the banker game for sportsbooks
, deciding whether the NFL week will be a winning one or a losing one thanks
to multiple parlays and teasers rolling over into the primetime finale.
That’s the case for MGM sportsbooks in Las Vegas, where one football bettor
has around $250,000 riding on the New York Giants -1.5 against the Miami
Dolphins Monday night.
According to Jeff ... 阅读全帖
s**c
发帖数: 34339
38
来自主题: NBA版 - 真的骑士蜜
Wager Type : Spread (or run line)
Wager Status : WinRisk / To Win Amount : 200.00 / 194.17(USD)
Accepted : 6/7/2017 5:49PM - PST
Won : 194.17
Amount Paid : 394.17
Sport / Period : NBA Basketball / Game
Selection : Golden State Warriors Time : 6/7/2017 6:00:00PM - (PST)
Line : -4 -103 Result : Golden State Warriors 118 - Cleveland
Cavaliers 11
x****h
发帖数: 6590
39
来自主题: NBA版 - 真的骑士蜜
厉害!
[在 sioc (煎饼爱果子) 的大作中提到:]
:Wager Type : Spread (or run line)
:Wager Status : WinRisk / To Win Amount : 200.00 / 194.17(USD)
:Accepted : 6/7/2017 5:49PM - PST
:Won : 194.17
:Amount Paid : 394.17
:Sport / Period : NBA Basketball / Game
:Selection : Golden State Warriors Time : 6/7/2017 6:00:00PM - (PST
)Line : -4 -103 Result : Golden State Warriors 118 - Cleveland
:Cavaliers 11
m******o
发帖数: 8504
40
原文链接:
http://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/las-vegas-releases-2016-college-football-win-totals-for-all-128-fbs-teams/
随便抄了一下P5的在下面
For those uninitiated on "prices," minus-odds of -120 mean you'd have to
wager $120 to win $100 and plus-odds (+120) means wagering $100 would win
you $120.
SEC
The fact that LSU is entering 2016 with SEC title expectations less than a
year after nearly firing Les Miles makes Baton Rouge the site of the most
intrigue in the conference heading into the fall.... 阅读全帖
Q**********u
发帖数: 1616
41
太十二也太惨了华盛顿领衔主演

:原文链接:
http://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/las-vegas-releases-2016-college-football-win-totals-for-all-128-fbs-teams/
:随便抄了一下P5的在下面
:For those uninitiated on "prices," minus-odds of -120 mean you'
;d have to
:wager $120 to win $100 and plus-odds (+120) means wagering $100 would win
:you $120.
:SEC
:The fact that LSU is entering 2016 with SEC title expectations less than a
:year after nearly firing Les Miles makes Baton Rouge the site of the most
:intrigue i... 阅读全帖
w***w
发帖数: 6301
42
来自主题: TexasHoldem版 - NBA 2013-2014 赛季总结贴
我没有用软件。你那个软件在哪里找?
5dimes要回去查太难了。
每一个wager要记录两次。这两次又不在同一个地方。有时同一个wager在这一页记一次
,另一页又记一次。
我只是记得我存进多少钱, 后来取出多少钱。肯定是赚的。
另外,我觉得要分析不一定要用软件。
一个方法work不work,当时就能感觉出来。
比如这次世界杯,开始时压高分绝对是大+EV。我记得在11场比赛后压高分是9胜2负。
就是到现在压高分还是正EV,不过edge没有开始时那么大。
当然有些比赛我是不会压高分。比如昨天巴西对墨西哥。首先我不指望墨西哥能进球。
然后巴西的攻击力并不强。第一场它对克罗地亚有两球是裁判送的。所以它一场球也就
能进一球,顶多两球。这样高分3球就风险很大,要进4球才能赢。
但有些比赛就是可以无脑压。比如阿根廷对波黑,德国队对葡萄牙。因为这些队攻击力都
很强。
总之我对形势走向很敏感。开始时高分好压,我大部分都是压高分。现在高分提高到两
球半,我就选择性压。最近一两天压高分的成功率我非常注意,并不需要到很久以后,
用软件分析才知道。
s******c
发帖数: 331
43
http://retractionwatch.com/category/amy-wagers-retractions/
Amy Wagers, stem cell领域的arising star,一篇nature被retracted,一篇blood被
retracted,一篇cell公开在letters to editor of cell被质疑,现在又有两篇
science被质疑,然后居然还是屹立不倒,势头颇为强劲,让人忍不住感叹这是怎样的
一个混乱的领域啊。
c**********e
发帖数: 2007
44
来自主题: Quant版 - What does Kelly Strategy Optimize?
Statement
For simple bets with two outcomes, one involving losing the entire amount
bet, and the other involving winning the bet amount multiplied by the payoff
odds, the Kelly bet is:
f* = (bp-q)/b
where:
f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
b is the net odds received on the wager (that is, odds are usually quoted as
"b to 1")
p is the probability of winning;
q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
a**i
发帖数: 608
45
来自主题: Quant版 - 大牛 Paulson 今年惨不忍睹
应该是大 FUND 里 2011 ytd performance 倒数第一。
旗下几个FUND 都跌很多,唯一的亮点 gold fund 最近也遭重创。
所以这行当就是3年河东,3年河西。
Paulson's Advantage Plus Loses 46% in 2011 Through November
Kelly Bit, ©2011 Bloomberg News
Dec. 5 (Bloomberg) -- John Paulson, the billionaire money manager having his
worst year, has lost 46 percent in 2011 through November in one of his
largest hedge funds, according to an investor update obtained by Bloomberg
News.
Paulson's Advantage Plus Fund, which seeks to profit from corporate events
such... 阅读全帖
i**********a
发帖数: 32
46
来自主题: Statistics版 - 请教SAS 123题中的17, 57, 68, 72题
马上就要考试了,base 123题中还有几题没有弄清楚,希望能得到大家的解答。谢谢!
17. The contents of two SAS data sets named EMPLOYEE and SALARY are listed
below:
EMPLOYEE SALARY
name age name salary Bruce 30 Bruce 40000
Dan 35 Bruce 35000
Dan 37000
Dan.
The following SAS program is submitted: data work.empsalary;
merge work.employee (in = inemp)
work.salary (in = insal);
by name;
if inemp and insal; run;
How many observations will the data set WORK.EMPSALARY contain?
A. 2
B. 4
C. 5
D. 6
为什么选B?
57. The SAS data set name... 阅读全帖
X*****s
发帖数: 2767
47
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-15/wall-street-traders-co
Duke Buchan III’s $1 billion hedge fund beat U.S. stocks by 46 percent in
the decade through March, a period that included the steepest equity-market
losses since the 1930s.
Then came the selloff in August when global stocks suffered their worst nine
-day drop since the 2008 financial crisis. For four days, The Dow Jones
Industrial Average (INDU) alternated between gains and losses of more than
400 points, the longest streak ever, a... 阅读全帖
X*****s
发帖数: 2767
48
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-15/wall-street-traders-co
Duke Buchan III’s $1 billion hedge fund beat U.S. stocks by 46 percent in
the decade through March, a period that included the steepest equity-market
losses since the 1930s.
Then came the selloff in August when global stocks suffered their worst nine
-day drop since the 2008 financial crisis. For four days, The Dow Jones
Industrial Average (INDU) alternated between gains and losses of more than
400 points, the longest streak ever, a... 阅读全帖
e****i
发帖数: 2152
49
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: erkuai (三天不上bbs,赶得上刘少奇), 信区: Military
标 题: On the Jews and Their Lies, 1543
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 12 23:21:23 2011, 美东)
by Martin Luther (1483-1546)
Translated by Martin H. Bertram
copyright © 1971 Fortress Press & Augsburg Fortress - On the Jews and
Their Lies is from Luther’s Works Volume 47. Augsburg Fortress is the
publishing ministry of the Evangelical Lutheran Church in America.
Funded through sales revenue, Augsburg Fortress is called to provide
produ... 阅读全帖
z*****r
发帖数: 967
50
这个和pascal wager是一样的
即使你认为这个计划的可能性极其小,但是由于如果真的实现的话,危害非常大,理性
的人应该对此采取充分的措施。
要知道人家白种人精英是有一定的能力也有很强的意愿让中国人灭种的。
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