m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 1 http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/ted-cruz-donald-trump-ari
Public polling in Arizona has been scant, though Trump led Cruz by double
digits in the two public surveys released this month. Internal polling from
a Cruz super PAC, obtained by Politico, showed Cruz and Trump in a dead heat
, even in a four-candidate race. In a survey conducted March 7-8, Trump led
25.5 percent to 23.8 percent, with Rubio and Kasich far behind, with 10
percent and 11 percent, respectively, and nearly 30 percent o... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****0
发帖数: 559 | 4 都是有明确目的的。有点脑子看过完整事件的自然知道怎么回事，他也不在乎这群人的
看法，反正已经是trump的铁票。
搞这一出完全是针对undecided选民的。现在媒体上大幅标题都是"Cruz on Trump's
attacks on his wife", 搞的好像他成了受害者。顺便再加上个"Trump's history of
controversy with women"，给不熟悉的人加强先入为主的主观印象。
这一套可能还真有点用。就看有多少人受影响了。 |
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l**********1
发帖数: 2980 | 6 尼玛，这种破学校的POLL居然有人相信，除非初选那天在电脑系统上直接动手脚。
A new Marquette Law School poll shows Texas Sen. Ted Cruz with a 10-point
lead over Donald Trump among likely voters in Wisconsin's upcoming open
primary election.
In the latest poll:
Cruz, 40 percent;
Trump, 30 percent;
Ohio Gov. John Kasich, 21 percent;
Undecided, 8 percent.
According to Politico, if Cruz can hold onto a double-digit win, Wisconsin
would award 15 delegates to his slate, and he could sweep the state's eight
congressional districts, with ea... 阅读全帖 |
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d*2
发帖数: 2053 | 7 A new electoral-map model finds Hillary Clinton crushing Donald Trump and
Ted Cruz
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/electoral-map-model-finds-hillary
An Electoral College projection released Wednesday from Morning Consult
found that Hillary Clinton would secure massive victories in the general
election against either Donald Trump or Ted Cruz, the two most likely
Republican presidential nominees.
But the analysis also showed that Clinton, the former secretary of state and
Democratic frontrunner, wou... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****e
发帖数: 146 | 8 54个unpledged delegates有150多个候选人。Cruz和Trump campaign都在狂打电话给每
个候选人。
候选人里25%选Trump，14% Cruz，1% Kasiach，20% undecided, 40% 说投自己选区的
winner。主党票仓痞子堡大把蓝领民主党要跨线投Trump。这个以前只有Reagan era出
现过。可惜初选是closed primary
州primary Trump铁赢。如果根据上面的比例分，18个选区如果不作弊，总共71个
delegates最后可能拿到53-60个。 |
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a*****e
发帖数: 146 | 9 就是从150多个里选54个人来代表那些delegate呀。不过他们都是unbound的理论上随便
投他们支持的。不过现在的情况是大部分要支持选区winner，明确表示支持哪个候选人
的也是老床优势。比较fishy是那20%undecided，不知道是不是憋着坏但是不敢说 |
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发帖数: 1 | 11 我觉得至少比那种到现在显示结果三人的比例加起来不到90%（即undecided或选other
还超过10%)的poll要准。都什么时候了，该decide的早decide了 |
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x****k
发帖数: 2932 | 12 1. 你的情绪我感同身受，但我不同意说“TRUMP不缺这帮子党奴的票”
trump在NY cd 12输给kasich只有70票，在cd 13只赢kasich 25票。Before trump is
POTUS, every votes count.
2. 这不是仅仅针对个别ID，Cruz/sanders/hillary supporter和undecider也会看到。
骂人除了发泄个人情绪，对trump没有什么实质的帮助。真想帮trump，建议认真地
convince 其他人投trump。
3 对于不讲事实和逻辑的职业五毛和刻意搅局的死硬分子，简单点就不要踩狗屎，把好
贴顶上来，让差贴沉下去。如果写个灌水机会更容易做点。 |
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b*********h
发帖数: 1001 | 13 A new WTHR/Howey Politics poll shows that Republican Gov. Mike Pence is
essentially tied with Democrat challenger John Gregg among Indiana voters,
setting up what appears to be a competitive rematch in November.
The poll released Tuesday has Pence leading in a general election 49 percent
to Gregg's 45 percent, with 5 percent still undecided. Pence's narrow lead
falls within the poll's 4.3 percent margin of error.
这个时候走错一步棋估计这州长就没了吧 |
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发帖数: 1 | 14 什么点了还有那么多undecided和others? |
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s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 15 不扭捏啊。只不过现在还是undecided。
等两个候选人的GE竞选纲领出来了，等他们新的position就位了，研究之后才能选择哦。
放心吧烂苹果，如果我决定加入反川联盟，一定会第一时间通知你和你的马甲毛毛虫，
也一定会尽力做个合格的对手，不会像著名右派隔壁老王那样逃跑的。 |
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W***o
发帖数: 6519 | 16 最近在IN州的town hall 提问的听众都自称undecided, 我他妈的就奇怪了咋尼玛这么
多墙头草 |
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m********g
发帖数: 10469 | 17 呵呵，和美新老右都斗了８年的左疯永动机甜妈今天还自称undecided |
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a*****e
发帖数: 146 | 19 这会儿已经没什么undecided票了。所以应该没什么影响。明天拿45-48票吧。 |
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s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 20 前提条件是 “政策先放下不提”，你懂不懂啊，杰瑞猫？
综合考虑，在GOP初选中我还是支持床铺：只不过是捂着鼻子忍着恶心投票罢了。
大选阶段，目前是undecided：盼望床铺重塑自己的形象。 |
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s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 22 初选投Trump。
大选undecided.
你注意区分自己和毛毛虫说话风格哈：马甲也要有个马甲的样子。 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 23 Poll: Trump, Clinton in statistical tie
Trump and Hillary Clinton are in a statistical tie in a head-to-head match-
up for the presidency, a new national poll released Wednesday finds.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Clinton with 41 percent support to Trump’s 40
percent. Nineteen percent of voters are still undecided.
Trump is surging since Ted Cruz and John Kasich exited the GOP race. Last
week, Clinton led Trump by about 13 points in the same poll.
Polls are showing a race between Trump and Clin... 阅读全帖 |
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i**********k
发帖数: 5274 | 24 看一看人家的干货：川普对老黑比任何共和党候选人有吸引力。
"Mitt Romney only garnered 6 percent of the black vote in 2012. However,
this election is shaping up to be more competitive: nearly one-tenth of
African-Americans view the Donald positively, with another 15 percent
undecided. If even half of the latter group ultimately sides with Trump, or
simply stays home on Election Day, Clinton loses. For her to win, African-
American participation needs to at least match 2012 turnout, and Clinton
must win roughly 90 percent of t... 阅读全帖 |
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s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 25 I am undecided.
我要等到两个党的全国代表大会之后，听听他们的辩论，再慢慢做决定哈。
不是还有五个月呢么？急啥？ |
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j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 27 公元2016年3月8日，号称
“I do solemnly swear that I, no matter how I feel, no matter what the
conditions, if there are hurricanes or whatever, 无论天上下雨下雪下冰雹，不
管地上有虎有狼有藏獒，I will vote for Donald J. Trump for president.”
发信人: sweetsister (甜甜), 信区: USANews
标 题: 我愿高举右手庄严宣誓
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Mar 8 17:30:16 2016, 美东)
今天挺忙的，才回家做饭，结果到美新版一看，这几个ID又造谣造了一火车，什么我诋
毁Trump了啊，什么我支持希拉里了啊，这造谣到什么时候是个头呢？你们烦不烦啊？
好吧，好吧，虽然我已经多次表达过，我今天要再次重申我对Trump的支持。
我愿高举右手，庄严宣誓如下：
“I do solemnly swear that I, no matter how I feel, no matter w... 阅读全帖 |
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s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 28 嗯，我们 undecided voters都这样啊。Deal with it.
一个残酷的事实是：大选就是我们这样的swing vote决定的。你悲愤也没有用。
A swing vote is a vote that is seen as potentially going to any of a number
of candidates in an election, or, in a two-party system, may go to either of
the two dominant political parties. Such votes are usually sought after in
elections, since they can play a big role in determining the outcome. |
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m********g
发帖数: 10469 | 29 甜妈恬着脸说自己是UNDECIDED，这厚脸皮
极左永疯战斗鸡
number
of
in |
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s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 31 其实这个版上undecided的很多，特别是潜水的沉默大多数。
因为对Trump和希拉里都不满意，立场有反复是很正常的。
而你们几个极端川粉，一会骂这个是卧底，一会骂那个无节操，客观上增加了大家对
Trump的反感。
说你们是高级黑，冤枉你们了吗？ |
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s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 32 其实这个版上undecided的很多，特别是潜水的沉默大多数。
因为对Trump和希拉里都不满意，立场有反复是很正常的。
而你们几个极端川粉，一会骂这个是卧底，一会骂那个无节操，客观上增加了大家对
Trump的反感。
说你们是高级黑，冤枉你们了吗？ |
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j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 33 因为它只有它高举右手庄严宣誓支持川普做总统。wait，现在它又声称自己是
undecided了，肿么回事？ |
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发帖数: 1 | 34 Undecided voters are the biggest idiots in the universe. |
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i**********k
发帖数: 5274 | 35 With Donald Trump under increasing criticism from leaders in his own party,
Hillary Clinton has moved to a five-point lead in Rasmussen Reports’ latest
weekly White House Watch survey.
A new national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds
Clinton with 44% support to Trump’s 39%. Fourteen percent (14%) still
prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided. |
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j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 36 那是初选，初选，我现在是undecided--舔麻 |
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r*********e
发帖数: 7733 | 37 班上好像没有搞过投票。我来尝试一下吧。
欢迎左派，右派踊跃参与。这是展现集体力量的时候。马甲们还是自觉点不要搅浑水。
说的就是你，老大爷。
1. what's your political stance?
a. GOP / REPUBLICAN
b. Dem
c. Independent
d. Other
2. are you a registered voter?
a. Yes
b. No
3. which presidential candidate would you elect in November?
a. Trump
b. Hillary
c. Other
d. don't plan to vote
e. Undecided |
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d*****r
发帖数: 39446 | 38 【此篇文章是由自动发信系统所张贴】
⊙ 投票开启于：Sat Jun 25 10:01:33 2016 类别：单选
⊙ 主题：rottenapple建议之三
⊙ 票选题目描述：
rottenapple (名媛的最爱)\r\n原文在 http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/USANews/31972051.html\r\n\r\n\r\n推荐了三个投票。我挑选了第三个在本版尝试\r\n\r\n如果你有投票权，在11月，你会选谁当总统？\r\nWhich presidential candidate would you elect in November?\r\n
【选项如下】
(1) Trump
(2) Hillary
(3) Other
(4) 不去投票
(5) Undecided ... 阅读全帖 |
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i**********k
发帖数: 5274 | 39 On Friday June 24th there was an on-line MSN voting (1) Donald Trump for
president (2) Hillary Clinton for president (3) Other candidate . There were
more than 1 million VOTES. The result was:
- Trump: 49%
- Hillary: 31%
- Other candidate: 20%
Many pollers out there are being paid by special interests, who want their
particular candidate to win the election, so the pollers can skew the
polling results to influence the undecided voters to vote for the polling
winner in November. Many pro-Clinton ... 阅读全帖 |
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j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 40 发信人: sweetsister (甜甜), 信区: USANews
标 题: Re: Trump的政策先放下不提，我真的没有办法喜欢他这个人 发信站: BBS
未名空间站 (Sat May 7 12:04:52 2016, 美东)
初选投Trump。
大选undecided. |
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S******8
发帖数: 24594 | 41 很少有人注意到还有近20%undecided。
在当前这种环境下，谁的支持者比较有顾虑，不愿轻易暴露立场？ |
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i**********k
发帖数: 5274 | 42 The tables have turned in this week’s White House Watch. After trailing
Hillary Clinton by five points for the prior two weeks, Donald Trump has now
taken a four-point lead.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely
U.S. Voters finds Trump with 43% of the vote, while Clinton earns 39%.
Twelve percent (12%) still like another candidate, and five percent (5%) are
undecided.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house... 阅读全帖 |
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d*****r
发帖数: 39446 | 43 【此篇文章是由自动发信系统所张贴】
** 投票结果:
** 标题:
rottenapple建议之三
** 描述:
rottenapple (名媛的最爱)\r\n原文在 http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/USANews/31972051.html\r\n\r\n\r\n推荐了三个投票。我挑选了第三个在本版尝试\r\n\r\n如果你有投票权，在11月，你会选谁当总统？\r\nWhich presidential candidate would you elect in November?\r\n
(1) Trump 4 票 约占 36%
(2) Hillary 4 票 约占 36%
(3) Other 2 票 约占 18%
(4) 不去投票 0 票 约占 ... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 44 ...
Johnson firmly rejected polls that suggested Trump enjoyed support from just
one percent of the black community, with, at most, seven or eight percent
undecided.
“No way,” she said. “They poll Democrats. They poll people that are used
to voting for Democrats and just put their name down. They did not poll
average black people.”
“This message is very simple. It is wealth over poverty. If you do not
think that blacks understand that message, you have lost your entire mind,”
Johnson declared. “... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 45 A clear majority of voters prefer the FBI back prosecution of Hillary
Clinton, according to a July 5 poll conducted by Rasmussen Reports.
The poll was taken after FBI director James Comey said July 5 that the FBI
would not urge Clinton’s prosecution for her very careless handling of
classified government information.
Thirty seven percent of likely voters agree with the FBI’s decision to not
urge prosecution, but 54 percent disagreed with the FBI decision to not seek
an indictment of Clinton, acc... 阅读全帖 |
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i**********k
发帖数: 5274 | 46 The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely
U.S. Voters finds Donald Trump with 42% of the vote, while Hillary Clinton
earns 40%. Thirteen percent (13%) still like another candidate, and five
percent (5%) are undecided.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 5, 2016 by Rasmussen
Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95%
level of confidence.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election... 阅读全帖 |
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i**********k
发帖数: 5274 | 47 Trump now earns 73% support among his fellow Republicans and picks up 13% of
the Democratic vote. Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Democrats like Clinton,
as do 11% of GOP voters. Among voters not affiliated with either major party
, Trump holds a 20-point lead, but 33% of these voters like some other
candidate or are undecided. |
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c*******e
发帖数: 5818 | 48 trump 的 acceptance speech 吸引了 ～33M people，比 H多近5M，显然，人们对
trump 有更多的好奇心，直接各大电视网的调查，》60% 的人 对speech 和 trump 持
positive 印象。
原因很显然，Hillary 已在公共视野～30年，几乎是丑闻一个接一个，大部分人都无意
投她，加上大气候民主党已执政快八年，每个人心里都有本帐，既然～70％的 认为是
wrong track，换人换党的心态 明显。
为什么还 没决定，就是想看看 trump 能不能当总统， 所以attention几乎都在trump
身上，trump 的策略就是 身体力行 到处走透透，这比 TV aids 什么的有效多了。然
后通过社交媒体等，以接近耳语的形式 传递信息。
再一个，trump 是个unconventional 候选人，以前的很多playbook 都不太好使，他说
过哪些话，要是放到别人身上，都死好几回了，但到他这儿，不是给pass，有时候到还
涨分。所以现在媒体搞得这个smear，哪个smear，其实都是noise，不会swing 多少
meaning... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 49 给trump 一个机会
还美国一个破产
持
trump |
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N*******M
发帖数: 3963 | 50 我早就知道要选trump，只不过看trump斗西癞痢一定会很精彩。
持
trump |
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