|
h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 2 TNX真粗俗. 大本确实买多也不好,买少也不好. 不过,我估计他还是会买的,就算中国把
国债都卖回来,大本毕竟只是用印钞机,没有什么直接成本.
对于掌握印钞机的,通货膨胀不那么可怕. |
|
S******n
发帖数: 617 | 3 Look at the spike on TNX.
And to make it worse, the FNMA 4.5 collapsed as well:
Tomorrow $25B 7-year auction. Next week? 10-year & 30-year long bonds.
Primary dealers have to defend the Treasury market (big tail, fail...).
There isn't enough cash left to pump the equities and or the
commodities.... |
|
|
S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 5 Yeah sure, with TNX fall below 2% and US treasury is able to sell $21B 10-
year notes yielding 1.9% this month, show how confident the market is.
Last August, TNX fall from about 3% to less than 2% in a little more than a
month, bond market fall with stock? |
|
|
|
b*******7
发帖数: 907 | 8 这个mortgage rate到底跟什么正相关？又看了一下这个TNX的变化，整个3月份4月份变
化挺大，先高后低，但mortgage rate波动很小，30y基本保持在3.375%。5月份TNX一路
上涨，mortgage rate也每周跟着涨。
今天30y fixed比上周五又涨了一档，至3.875%了 |
|
m***y
发帖数: 35 | 9
they claim no. but u pay commission.. u need expense it..
so maybe fund is better
good day to buy spy? wathc ^tnx in yahoo, when u feel it bottom, buy..
say tnx at 35.x is good buy for next 6 months IMO:-) |
|
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 10 不就跌了一天嘛。有啥大不了。还是个range market. 5帮主与俺要如鱼得水了。
俺大胆预测，在中期选举之前，$SPX会在50MA与200MA上下振荡。今天动静大些，后面
会越振越小。
有大牛说$TNX一直看着熊？只能说这个信号不支持大牛市。07年Bear Stearns出事以后
，出现过这种$TNX与大盘的背离。后来的结果大家也清楚。问题是现在的情况跟那时一
样吗？答案是否定的。10年债yield下降的直接原因是FED用到期的MBS本金再次购买债
券。yield不会一直下降。有熊说会到2%。可以啊。它有本事就到2%,俺再re-fi. 俺不
大相信会到那一步。yield走势反转之日，就是股市暴涨之时。
不能突破1130，牛牛挫折感是当然的。熊熊是否能如愿以偿，再搞出个年内新低呢？俺
表示严重怀疑。为什么怀疑？告诉诸位一个秘密。俺最近访到一位号称“百万年一人”
的超级原始人神牛，从不是人，炒着炒着就变成人了! |
|
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 11 Read this 3 times:
http://www.mitbbs.com/article/Stock/33573277_3.html
If you understand what drives the market,
you shouldn't ask this question.
For double dip, double recession balabala..
$TNX is the way to go, and Friday and Monday,
there is a very obvious divergence between
$SPX and $TNX, and as always, bond market is smarter. |
|
m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 12 yes. I bought when 10 year at 3%。I saw huge resistance of 10 year at 3.5%.
You could look at the 10 year ^TNX chart.
At that time, AGNC trade at 20% discount to book value.
With one year interest income of 10%, AGNC was traded at 30% discount to the
value at the 2014 year end。
I reasoned that if rate did increased to 3.5% that most guru predicted, AGNC
would drop book value another 10%. To lose money, the rate would have to
increase to 4.5% at the end 2014 .
Right now, 2.5% is the very important... 阅读全帖 |
|
u********e
发帖数: 4950 | 13 股版确实能人很多
炒股的童鞋们，别再玩垃圾股， 学习mdrosophila 如何在AGNC中５个月获利26%吧
----------------------------------
发信人: mdrosophila (ranger), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: 这儿有人关心美国国债利息和MBS的么？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jun 3 11:56:24 2014, 美东)
yes. I bought when 10 year at 3%。I saw huge resistance of 10 year at 3.5%.
You could look at the 10 year ^TNX chart.
At that time, AGNC trade at 20% discount to book value.
With one year interest income of 10%, AGNC was traded at 30% discount to the
value at the 2014 year end。
I reasoned that if... 阅读全帖 |
|
k******y
发帖数: 1407 | 14 写出的文件是*.dat 具有下面的格式：
4 200 300 11
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
………………
**********************************************
write(51,*)tnx,tny,tnz,nt
do k=1,tnz
do j=1,tny
do i=1,tnx
write(51,*)mat1001(i,j,k,t)
enddo
enddo
enddo
enddo
**********************************************
因为一直是用Mac下的DataTank作图，请问一下要是使用Windows下的TecPlot对于上述
的格式的dat文件应该怎么读入呢？
到处找资料都有些晕头了，希望能有人回答一下，谢谢！！！ |
|
q*********u
发帖数: 9501 | 15 10年的TNX在7月1日最低是2.88，今天没有跌破这个点位，我认为可能次TNX是双底。 |
|
f******s
发帖数: 713 | 16 贴贴自己的实际交易，请大家批评指正帮助新人！
TLT的trade是反趋势的，因为TLT周线在上升。但treasury不可能长期维持现在的价位
， TNX甚至接近了08年financial crisis的位置，如果没有经济二次探底的忧虑话TNX
现在的价位是way too low。所以基本面上TLT是长期看熊。另一方面讲，Bond是bubble
这个许多人都承认，这个bubble什么时候破就不知道了，也许一年，也许两年或更多。
因此我不想长期hold一个卖空TLT的仓位。
但最近TLT和其他的treasury还有LQD都显示了明确的周线weakness,考虑到这些都是抵
御风险的bond,至少在中短期（1-3月)，treasury/LQD可能进入consolidation.这算是
这次卖空 TLT的背景。
我8/27用1/2的资金卖空TLT，价位是108.13.目标102.当天TLT走了一个bearish
reversal加强了我的信心，stop设在109。5.设在这里是觉得如果 TLT创新高，那我对
它正在reversal的判断就是错的，没必要纠缠，接下来 TLT走了一个周线的bear... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
|
b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 19 来自主题: _pennystock版 - NFLX his prediction on July 1st
10 days later in his post : moment of truth
TNX is about to break that downtrend line, the moment truth was coming,
break or reject?
Today $TNX is moving to the target of wave 5 in his drawing. |
|
m*****t
发帖数: 257 | 20 来自主题: _pennystock版 - NFLX 怀玉， 你的tza打算多少出？
c/PjccucU0aRI/s1600/tnx.png
0/yVmO12w9Xg8/s1600/tnx.png |
|
C*******d
发帖数: 15836 | 21 Perl/CGI开发网站服务啊啊，有很多它和PHP的比较，你查一下就知道了。
Perl不像PHP那样，它是通用性语言。正因为如此，它在很多专用方面，比如字符解码
等，的效率和功能要明显强于PHP。它可以用200个左右的函数完全处理基本上任何复杂
的和未来的网站要求，而PHP现在已经拥有2500个函数左右，但在实现某些特殊功能方
面显示出严重的不足。
还有诸如：
PHP lacks support for modules
PHP lacks a consistent database API
PHP dangerously caches database query results
更多的比较你可以在这里开到：
http://tnx.nl/php.html |
|
M********3
发帖数: 309 | 22 就是因为废除了金本位，近期已经不可能出现主权违约了。不要拿技术性“违约”说事
。看看这几个月的 $TYX, $TNX 就知道了。国债市场波澜不惊。。。 |
|
w*********r
发帖数: 42116 | 23 定性了。美国政府不能眼看着美国人民的财富被TG糟蹋了。
US stocks are getting hammered in early trading as uncertainty over the
Chinese growth story sends investors to the sidelines. The S&P 500 (^GSPC)
and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) are both down over 1.5% and the
yield on the US 10-year (^TNX) note has risen over 2.6% for the first time
in nearly 2 years.
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) triggered the latest sell-off after it in
effect told participants in the Chinese banking system that they would be
left ... 阅读全帖 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 24 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: drugbull (药牛), 信区: Stock
标 题: 好像真的maga了，贸易赤字创了7个月新低
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jun 6 11:58:35 2018, 美东)
下面就是财政赤字了，不过TNX没有理会这个消息，还在继续涨。
大家可以谈谈想法 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
t******e
发帖数: 362 | 31 【 以下文字转载自 FleaMarket 讨论区 】
发信人: tofubobe (toufutobe), 信区: FleaMarket
标 题: wanted: discounted shipping label to taiwan
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Oct 14 21:00:02 2010, 美东)
tnx |
|
t******e
发帖数: 362 | 32 cheaper for seller? or anything else?
tnx |
|
|
t******e
发帖数: 362 | 34 just do it or wat?
tnx a lot! |
|
e***l
发帖数: 6493 | 35 i recieved the HP tablet ... its been charging for 6-7 hours ..its not
turning on ..please call me at xxx xxx xxxx。 i like to get the info on
returning policy or exchange..tnx
靠，一个崭新的32G touchpad到他那儿就不能开机了？？？ 怎搞？ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
e****n
发帖数: 659 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 SanFrancisco 讨论区 】
发信人: eyewin (eyewin), 信区: SanFrancisco
标 题: 有好心人处理超大个相框的没？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 21 21:43:37 2009, 美东)
用来装衣服挂起来
就好象小肥羊san mateo interior design thaty type.
tnx a lot~
the cheaper the better, if free, u r just AWESOME |
|
|
|
S******n
发帖数: 617 | 44 While a little message from the stock market:
"S&P traders are 80% bullish per Prechter - that's the highest bullish
reading since October 2007 at 88%"
~~~~~~~~~~~~@@ |
|
S******n
发帖数: 617 | 45 Total Par Amt Accepted (mlns) : $6,007
Total Par Amt Submitted (mlns): $22,857
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York bought $6.007 billion in Treasurys
maturing between 2012 and 2013 on Tuesday.
But long ends barely flinched (TNX is UP). If his purchase can on longer
drive it down, Ben will shit bricks soon. What's next? Interest rate control?
Get back to the old trick: crash the equity market.
Daddy is watching... o)< |
|
S******n
发帖数: 617 | 46 Or do you think the steepening curve is good for bank earning powers? |
|
s**********n
发帖数: 868 | 47 Looks like China is showing some angry face recently. |
|
m***m
发帖数: 324 | 48 the FNMA 4.5 collapsed as well是什么意思？菜鸟问。 |
|
S******n
发帖数: 617 | 49 TNX at 3.64+ while MBS lost 93 bps.
A wonderful greeting to Turbo-tax Timmy ha? Show us some math.
When will Bernanke & PDs pull liquidity out of stock market to save
the long bonds....@@ |
|
S******n
发帖数: 617 | 50 MBS benchmark for 30-year fixed. Heading to 7% rate soon?
Not only TNX is kicking a$$ on Bernanke, but IRX,WTF. |
|
