M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 1 最新的 AAPL 预测如下, 预测下跌 $11.69：
AAPL, 20111014, 419.5500, -11.6905, -2.8
今天也侦查到 AAPL 的 新一轮 Short Squeeze。
因此估计这 Short Squeeze 还会持续至少一到两天。
那这 Short Squeeze 会制造什么样的短期高峰呢？
根据不久前的 -4.9% 短期高峰极限，得以下结果：
4.9 - 2.8 = 2.1
$419.55 X 1.021 = $428.36
所以 $428.36 是最可能的 Short Squeeze 的未来目标价。
也就是说，短期高峰预计会比目前的价钱高达约 $9。
所以估计墙街和媒体的炒作，会使 AAPL 再飙升约 $9。
也就是说，如果想卖空，比较保守的做法是等价钱到 $428。
等 AAPL 到达 $428.36 的附近时，用 Trend Line 帮助。
一旦 Up-Trend Line 破了，就是可以短期卖(或卖空)的信号。
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/33901975.html
http://... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 2 最新的 AMZN 预测如下, 预测下跌 $5.86：
AMZN, 20111014, 244.4600, -5.8565, -2.4
同时也侦查到 AMZN 的 新一轮 Short Squeeze。
因此估计这 Short Squeeze 还会持续至少一到两天。
那这 Short Squeeze 会制造什么样的短期高峰呢？
根据不久前的 -5.3% 短期高峰极限，得以下结果：
5.3 - 2.4 = 2.9
$244.46 X 1.029 = $251.55
所以 $251.55 是最可能的 Short Squeeze 的未来目标价。
也就是说，短期高峰预计会比目前的价钱高达约 $7。
也就是说，如果想卖空，比较保守的做法是等价钱到 $251+。
等 AMZN 到达 $251.55 的附近时，用 Trend Line 帮助。
一旦 Up-Trend Line 破了，就是可以短期卖(或卖空)的信号。
但由于下跌幅度有限，这卖空机会远不如卖空 GOOG 的机会。
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/33902227.html
http:/... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 3
...............
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: PCLN AS OF 20111107 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111107 was 517.5000
STOCK RATING: MODESTLY BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN:-15.9779 (-3.10%)
Short-Term Price Target: 501.5221
At Price Target, profit is 30.8752 on $1000 investment. (+3.09%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 501.5221
There is a small chan... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 4
...............
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: PCLN AS OF 20111107 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111107 was 517.5000
STOCK RATING: MODESTLY BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN:-15.9779 (-3.10%)
Short-Term Price Target: 501.5221
At Price Target, profit is 30.8752 on $1000 investment. (+3.09%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 501.5221
There is a small chan... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 5 以下是昨晚最新的苹果电脑 AAPL 短期股价预测。
不是马后炮，因为开市前一分钟，已提供给这里的一些朋友。
由于 Gap Up，正确做法是画 Intra-Day Uptrend Line，
等 Uptrend Line 一破(在$674附近)，即可卖或卖空。
这么做，就能充分利用ＭＭ的抬轿，从中获取更大利润。
一般ＭＭ的高峰抬轿，用的是基金的钱，也就是散户的。
关键句(看下面预测分析的最后一段)：
IN CASE OF SHORT SQUEEZE, expect price to peak at/below 670.2696
一般如果 Squeeze 超过预期高峰，代表 MM 拉高过度，卖空的机会更佳。
也就是说，ＭＭ 的 Short Squeeze 超高峰之后，股价会跌得更快更凶。
\\*** PRICE FORECAST ON SYMBOL: AAPL, AS OF 20120820 (YYYYMMDD) ***///
CLOSING PRICE [+AFTER HOURS] ON 20120820 was: 664.9500
*** NOTE: TARGETS & PROFITS... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 6
.......................
好吧。没关系。反正苹果如果冲到 $683左右，应该会跌。
目前这预测的未来高峰价，极可能就是下星期一(8月27日)。
估计会 Gap Up，正确做法是画 Intra-Day Uptrend Line，
等 Uptrend Line 一破(估计$683附近)，即可卖或卖空。
要充分利用ＭＭ的 Short Squeeze，从中获取最大利润。
一般ＭＭ的高峰抬轿，用的是基金的钱，也就是散户的。
关键句(看预测分析的最后一段)：
IN CASE OF SHORT SQUEEZE, expect price to peak at/below 683.1187
一般如果 Squeeze 超过预期高峰，代表 MM 拉高过度，卖空的机会更佳。
也就是说，ＭＭ 的 Short Squeeze 超高峰之后，股价会跌得更快更凶。
用 Trend Line，就是为了能 Pinpoint 这超高峰，充分利用墙街的舞弊。
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/34415791.html |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 7 GLD CLOSING PRICE [+AFTER HOURS] ON 20120906 was: 164.8700
SHORT-TERM RATING FOR GLD: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL (55.7% CONFIDENCE)
("SHORT-TERM" is usually within two(2) weeks, sometimes longer.)
(One should wait for 75% CONFIDENCE or higher to go long/short.)
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN, i.e. -0.4234 (-0.30%)
Short-Term Price Target: 164.4466
IN CASE OF SHORT SQUEEZE, expect price to peak at/below 168.4971
SOME RECENT HISTORICAL REFERENCES:
SHORT-SQUEEZE DETECTED ON 20120906,AS SHOWN BY SHAR... 阅读全帖 |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 8 寄信人: jianye5 (Jian)
标 题: Re: MM is too lihai
发信站: 未名空间 (Mon Jun 16 16:09:19 2014)
来 源: 192.
but how do we tell they are doing bear raids or short squeezes?
For example, right now what are they doing?
This deserves a PUBIC ANSWER:
There are a number of signs, among them, the most important ones are:
(0) Public sold and sold short correctly at a price peak (before short
squeeze) OR bought correctly and heavily at a price bottom (before bear raid)
(1) Suddenly the financial media begin to tout, h... 阅读全帖 |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 9
I respond for the benefit of other readers, NOT you. You're a pest that I
truly despise and a loser that no employer should hire but all should fire.
Now back to the topic for other readers' benefit:
My trading in TSLA is not perfect, and my TSLA forecasts were somewhat below
my expectation and my norm, but I do not consider it to be bad luck or too
serious a problem.
I typically double up at least (as I did at 234+) if not triple up, at the
end of a short-squeeze, so I would be breaking even a... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 10 【 以下文字转载自 TraderSuccess 俱乐部 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: TraderSuccess
标 题: Re: 欧元接近短期高峰。 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jan 21 15:53:55 2011, 美东)
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
FXE, 20110120, 134.2400, -0.6027, -0.4
FXE, 20110119, 134.1400, -0.7164, -0.5
FXE, 20110118, 133.3300, -1.8917, -1.4 <<--SHORT SQUEEZE
FXE, 20110114, 133.2300, -3.0833, -2.3
On 20110118 price went up yet forecast became much
less negative rather than the... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 11 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: Stock
标 题: 最新的 SINA 预测。
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 14 04:13:08 2011, 美东)
最新的 SINA 预测如下。跌幅的潜力是 -12%，不错。
SINA, 20111013, 91.6800, -11.0230, -12.0,
如果要现在就卖空，只要量不大，应该还是安全的。
那为什么量不能大呢？
因为侦查到墙街在10月13日又开始 Short Squeeze。
而墙街的 Short Squeeze 一般会持续至少一两天。
所以 SINA 也有可能上升。考虑不久前它曾经有到 -16.9%,
我们可以估计如果 Squeeze 发生，上冲的幅度大概是 +4.9% 。
也就是 $4.5 或 五元 左右。 估计在 $97 左右是高峰。
所以只要维持大笔的现金，在目前的价卖空一小部分风险不大。
万一被 Short Squeeze 而冲到 $97, 则 Average UP。
http://www.m... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 12 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: Stock
标 题: 昨晚的苹果电脑 AAPL 股价预测。
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Aug 21 13:26:39 2012, 美东)
以下是昨晚最新的苹果电脑 AAPL 短期股价预测。
不是马后炮，因为开市前一分钟，已提供给这里的一些朋友。
由于 Gap Up，正确做法是画 Intra-Day Uptrend Line，
等 Uptrend Line 一破(在$674附近)，即可卖或卖空。
这么做，就能充分利用ＭＭ的抬轿，从中获取更大利润。
一般ＭＭ的高峰抬轿，用的是基金的钱，也就是散户的。
关键句(看下面预测分析的最后一段)：
IN CASE OF SHORT SQUEEZE, expect price to peak at/below 670.2696
一般如果 Squeeze 超过预期高峰，代表 MM 拉高过度，卖空的机会更佳。
也就是说，ＭＭ 的 Short Squeeze 超高峰之后，股价会跌得更快更凶。
\\*** PRICE ... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 13 目前这预测的未来高峰价，极可能就是下星期一(8月27日)。
估计会 Gap Up，正确做法是画 Intra-Day Uptrend Line，
等 Uptrend Line 一破(估计$683附近)，即可卖或卖空。
要充分利用ＭＭ的 Short Squeeze，从中获取最大利润。
一般ＭＭ的高峰抬轿，用的是基金的钱，也就是散户的。
关键句(看预测分析的最后一段)：
IN CASE OF SHORT SQUEEZE, expect price to peak at/below 683.1187
一般如果 Squeeze 超过预期高峰，代表 MM 拉高过度，卖空的机会更佳。
也就是说，ＭＭ 的 Short Squeeze 超高峰之后，股价会跌得更快更凶。
用 Trend Line，就是为了能 Pinpoint 这超高峰，充分利用墙街的舞弊。
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Military/38239923.html |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 14 GLD CLOSING PRICE [+AFTER HOURS] ON 20120906 was: 164.8700
SHORT-TERM RATING FOR GLD: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL (55.7% CONFIDENCE)
("SHORT-TERM" is usually within two(2) weeks, sometimes longer.)
(One should wait for 75% CONFIDENCE or higher to go long/short.)
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN, i.e. -0.4234 (-0.30%)
Short-Term Price Target: 164.4466
IN CASE OF SHORT SQUEEZE, expect price to peak at/below 168.4971
SOME RECENT HISTORICAL REFERENCES:
SHORT-SQUEEZE DETECTED ON 20120906,AS SHOWN BY SHAR... 阅读全帖 |
|
a***n
发帖数: 287 | 15
a
once
Well, I was just saying what I agree with Hugh Kelsey, based on
my understanding of his words of course. What I understand is
that you do not need complicated squeezes. Single squeeze and
double squeeze are of course not complicated. I believe that
it is OK for top player to miss a complicated squeeze.
Other part of your reply (regarding Wang's performance) is
not what I replied that post for, so maybe you should have
made a separate post to his/her original post. |
|
b*****e
发帖数: 5133 | 16 除非是头发丝扳机，其它扳机猛扣肯定枪口点头。
从慢镜头上不一定看不出，但再快的速射也有一个hesitation的时刻，发生在trigger
prep和trigger squeeze之间，同时也是瞄准确认。trigger squeeze虽说要稳，但一旦
开始整个过程可以非常之快。trigger prep在长双动上比较特殊，先不考虑，其它枪基
本上在prep之后扣不了多长就击发了。squeeze一般要比prep多用力，在后座过程中或
即将完成前做好trigger prep，枪口在返回后稳定中和确认瞄准时squeeze开始并保证
枪不点头，之后迅速又稳当地扣到底。也就是速射时阻铁刚吃上劲的时候要注意，这时
用力变化大容易晃，从这时一扣到底不会有准头的。
知道枪在后座在中啥脾气也有好处，这叫timing the gun，对尽快稳定枪又帮助。
sight picture可以不用太准，但扳机还是要扣好。打飞的不是没看见要看到的sight
picture等不及开枪，就是扳机扣错了。另外精度要求不能和慢射相比，center mass的
15-20厘米的散布就是USPSA的A区和IDPA的-0。
左手把... 阅读全帖 |
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W********m
发帖数: 7793 | 17 Lots of notes.. lol.. must be a regular. have a lot of history too
"10X 3 bet lp vs my mp riase 3X and i fold;
JJ check flop with over pair and bets turn and bets river 2/3 pot with over pair and call my 3X raise river over pair;
raise flop with flopped straight and call 3 bet and raise all in river flat preflop button with AQ;
call limp reraise utg and 2/3 pot when check to 4.5X and call 15X;
3.5X and fold to my 15X squeeze 1 caller;
flat button with pocket Js and call 14X squeeze and call flop... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 18 目前这预测的未来高峰价，极可能就是下星期一(8月27日)。
估计会 Gap Up，正确做法是画 Intra-Day Uptrend Line，
等 Uptrend Line 一破(估计$683附近)，即可卖或卖空。
要充分利用ＭＭ的 Short Squeeze，从中获取最大利润。
一般ＭＭ的高峰抬轿，用的是基金的钱，也就是散户的。
关键句(看预测分析的最后一段)：
IN CASE OF SHORT SQUEEZE, expect price to peak at/below 683.1187
一般如果 Squeeze 超过预期高峰，代表 MM 拉高过度，卖空的机会更佳。
也就是说，ＭＭ 的 Short Squeeze 超高峰之后，股价会跌得更快更凶。
用 Trend Line，就是为了能 Pinpoint 这超高峰，充分利用墙街的舞弊。
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Military/38239923.html |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 19 GLD CLOSING PRICE [+AFTER HOURS] ON 20120906 was: 164.8700
SHORT-TERM RATING FOR GLD: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL (55.7% CONFIDENCE)
("SHORT-TERM" is usually within two(2) weeks, sometimes longer.)
(One should wait for 75% CONFIDENCE or higher to go long/short.)
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN, i.e. -0.4234 (-0.30%)
Short-Term Price Target: 164.4466
IN CASE OF SHORT SQUEEZE, expect price to peak at/below 168.4971
SOME RECENT HISTORICAL REFERENCES:
SHORT-SQUEEZE DETECTED ON 20120906,AS SHOWN BY SHAR... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 20 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: Stock
标 题: 最新的 SINA 预测。
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 14 04:13:08 2011, 美东)
最新的 SINA 预测如下。跌幅的潜力是 -12%，不错。
SINA, 20111013, 91.6800, -11.0230, -12.0,
如果要现在就卖空，只要量不大，应该还是安全的。
那为什么量不能大呢？
因为侦查到墙街在10月13日又开始 Short Squeeze。
而墙街的 Short Squeeze 一般会持续至少一两天。
所以 SINA 也有可能上升。考虑不久前它曾经有到 -16.9%,
我们可以估计如果 Squeeze 发生，上冲的幅度大概是 +4.9% 。
也就是 $4.5 或 五元 左右。 估计在 $97 左右是高峰。
所以只要维持大笔的现金，在目前的价卖空一小部分风险不大。
万一被 Short Squeeze 而冲到 $97, 则 Average UP。
http://www.m... 阅读全帖 |
|
k*********u
发帖数: 2897 | 21 美国拿粮食收割世界的时间应该快到了。
布局都布了10多年，差不多该收网了。
就等着天灾加把油了，一切具备了。
China to add to squeeze on world corn supply
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-add-squeeze-world-corn-0221
BEIJING/SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Beijing and the influential U.S. agriculture
department may have overstated China's corn crop by as much as 14 percent,
pointing to higher imports from the world's second-largest consumer of the
grain that could squeeze already tightening global supplies.
If China plugs the gap between projected and actua... 阅读全帖 |
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r**s
发帖数: 129 | 22 Let's be fair here. I have a gorgeous, adorable Taiwanese girlfriend that I
am willing to spend the rest of my life with. Not because she is Hello Kitty
, submissive, shallow, brain dead and a good fuck. Because she calls herself
a freak (a surprisingly foxy one) , standing out from that essentially
numbed crowd that I call most of Taiwan (excluding the "hen qi guay" lot),
in ways that make most other girls look like total idiots.
就這方面而言，我想講幾句實在話：我有一個台灣女朋友，看起來漂亮又大氣。我很願
意跟她共度下半輩子。我之所以如此，不是因為她對丈夫言... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 23 Obama Energy Nominee: We Need a Carbon Tax to Triple the Cost of Energy or
Something
by Jammie
You ever notice Obama deliberately goes out of his way to nominate the
looniest extremists possible? What other reason could this be except for the
fact he’s also a far-left extremist?
President Obama’s Energy secretary nominee regards a carbon tax as one
of the simplest ways to move the energy industry towards clean technologies
, though he notes that government would have to come up with a plan ... 阅读全帖 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 24 一起吃饭邻座说被捏了两次屁股，这种破事十几年后拿出来控诉。
Thomas, Smith said, was sitting in the middle seat of the rectangular table
with his right side facing the kitchen.
Alone with Thomas, “I was setting the place to his right when he reached
out, sort of cupped his hand around my butt and pulled me pretty close to
him,” Smith said in an interview. “He said, ‘Where are you sitting?’ and
gave me a squeeze. I said, ‘I’m sitting down at the garden table.’ He
said, ‘I think you should sit next to me,’ giving me squeezes. I... 阅读全帖 |
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d*****1
发帖数: 8618 | 25 【 以下文字转载自 TexasHoldem 讨论区 】
发信人: cmis91 (dontknow), 信区: TexasHoldem
标 题: 我是如何拿下Poker Stars周日百万赛冠军的
关键字: PokerStars SundayMillion 8202名参赛者 冠军$246K
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Nov 13 15:03:46 2010, 美东)
(pic. provided by fryking, lol)
First briefly describe the course how I reach the final table. At the very
beginning of tourney, I got double up over someone’s donkey move. After
that, my AA 3 bet preflop, villain call and hit bottom two pairs, we went
all in and fortunately I catched higher two pairs at r... 阅读全帖 |
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s******e
发帖数: 207 | 26 Help without any compensation?
You can argue that any high margin business relys on "squeezing" others to
profit. Wall street trader/investment advisors, medical doctors, attorneys,
the list goes on. Indeed electricians have hard time to profit from
customers due to the competition and in case like the author's, the customer
may have the skillset to resolve small issues.
Even to free service like Facebook, Google, they profit from "squeezing"
coroporation/business to pay for marketing/advertisin... 阅读全帖 |
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c********l
发帖数: 1292 | 27 squeeze squeeze squeeze |
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n*******y
发帖数: 3337 | 28 【 以下文字转载自 TexasHoldem 讨论区 】
发信人: cmis91 (dontknow), 信区: TexasHoldem
标 题: 我是如何拿下Poker Stars周日百万赛冠军的
关键字: PokerStars SundayMillion 8202名参赛者 冠军$246K
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Nov 13 15:03:46 2010, 美东)
(pic. provided by fryking, lol)
First briefly describe the course how I reach the final table. At the very
beginning of tourney, I got double up over someone’s donkey move. After
that, my AA 3 bet preflop, villain call and hit bottom two pairs, we went
all in and fortunately I catched higher two pairs at r... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 29
.......................
墙街除了控制了无与伦比的盘大炮灰资本，
还有其它非常关键的优势：
１。控制全球的主流金融媒体的内容为其服务。
２。背后有政府，尤其是联储局，为其撑腰。
所以主权基金把钱交给墙街管理等于养虎成患。
但是要把资本撤回来，也要讲求技术和时机。
例如，等墙街 Short Squeeze 到极限时，
突然把借墙街或交其代管的主权资金撤回。
这必然使墙街措手不及，无法继续 Squeeze。
墙街在高价购买后，被迫减仓，必无利可图。
Short Squeeze 失败的后果，就是亏损。 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 30
.......................
墙街除了控制了无与伦比的盘大炮灰资本，
还有其它非常关键的优势：
１。控制全球的主流金融媒体的内容为其服务。
２。背后有政府，尤其是联储局，为其撑腰。
所以主权基金把钱交给墙街管理等于养虎成患。
但是要把资本撤回来，也要讲求技术和时机。
例如，等墙街 Short Squeeze 到极限时，
突然把借墙街或交其代管的主权资金撤回。
这必然使墙街措手不及，无法继续 Squeeze。
墙街在高价购买后，被迫减仓，必无利可图。
Short Squeeze 失败的后果，就是亏损。 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 31 最新的 SPY 预测如下, 预测下跌 $2.27：
SPY, 20111014, 122.7000, -2.2674, -1.8
虽然侦查到对 SPY 的 新一轮 Short Squeeze。
但是不算很强，所以即使再拉高，幅度应该不大。
那这 Short Squeeze 会制造什么样的短期高峰呢？
根据不久前的 -4.1% 短期高峰极限，得以下结果：
4.1 - 1.8 = 2.3
$122.70 X 1.023 = $125.52
所以 $125.52 是比较高估的 Short Squeeze 的短期极限。
也就是说，短期高峰最高预计会比目前的价钱高大约 $2.82。
也就是说，如果想卖空，比较保守的做法是等价钱到 $125+。
等 SPY 到达 $125.52 的附近时，用 Up-Trend Line 帮助。
一旦 Up-Trend Line 破了，就是可以短期卖(或卖空)的信号。
http://www.mitbbs.com/article/Stock/33902275_3.html
http://www.mitbbs.com/article/Stock/33902... 阅读全帖 |
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d*********2
发帖数: 48111 | 32 这种fill了gap, squeeze以后再一个整数位置出现的强阻， 呵呵， 想想是什么吧。
当然也还可能还有1-2个小squeeze, 但是如果是突破， 1点多借squeeze就上去了。 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 33
......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: LLL AS OF 20111107 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111107 was 70.4900
STOCK RATING: BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -3.3294 (-4.70%)
Short-Term Price Target: 67.1606
At Price Target, profit is 47.2322 on $1000 investment. (+4.72%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 67.1606
There is a small chance ... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 34 提供一个应付 Short Squeeze 的策略。
例如：
某股票目前是 500，
预测会跌至 430，
预测 Short Squeeze 的 上限是 550。
你在 500 卖空，
股票稍跌后反弹，
你判断这是 Short Squeeze。
于是每卖空 50 股，你购买一个 550 的 Call，
也就是两倍的卖空保护量。
这样，你在预期的高峰再卖空时，
你基本无忧，因为受到 Call 的保护。
由于对错一般几天内，或一星期内就知道，
所以这种 Call 的时效不需要多过一到两星期。 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 35
............................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: SAM AS OF 20111108 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111108 was 99.7600
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.1523 (-0.20%)
Short-Term Price Target: 99.6077
At Price Target, profit is 1.5267 on $1000 investment. (+0.15%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 99.6077
There ... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 36
..................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: MON AS OF 20111201 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111201 was 73.2000
STOCK RATING: SLIGHTLY BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -2.1550 (-2.90%)
Short-Term Price Target: 71.0450
At Price Target, profit is 29.4399 on $1000 investment. (+2.94%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 71.0450
There is a small ch... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 37
......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: GOOG AS OF 20111202 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111202 was 619.5000
STOCK RATING: BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN:-19.1972 (-3.10%)
Short-Term Price Target: 600.3028
At Price Target, profit is 30.9882 on $1000 investment. (+3.10%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 600.3028
There is a small chance... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 38
.......................
Don't over-commit, i.e. take too large a position
Wait for short-squeeze peak to average up
Wait for bear raid bottom to average down.
Always keep plenty of cash, remember, price just swings.
short/sell at peaks of swings and buy/cover at their bottoms.
Also, don't be greedy, begin taking profits when prices have
move 1/2 or more of forecast. Use trend lines.
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for larg... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 39
......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: LLL AS OF 20111107 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111107 was 70.4900
STOCK RATING: BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -3.3294 (-4.70%)
Short-Term Price Target: 67.1606
At Price Target, profit is 47.2322 on $1000 investment. (+4.72%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 67.1606
There is a small chance ... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 40 提供一个应付 Short Squeeze 的策略。
例如：
某股票目前是 500，
预测会跌至 430，
预测 Short Squeeze 的 上限是 550。
你在 500 卖空，
股票稍跌后反弹，
你判断这是 Short Squeeze。
于是每卖空 50 股，你购买一个 550 的 Call，
也就是两倍的卖空保护量。
这样，你在预期的高峰再卖空时，
你基本无忧，因为受到 Call 的保护。
由于对错一般几天内，或一星期内就知道，
所以这种 Call 的时效不需要多过一到两星期。 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 41
............................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: SAM AS OF 20111108 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111108 was 99.7600
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.1523 (-0.20%)
Short-Term Price Target: 99.6077
At Price Target, profit is 1.5267 on $1000 investment. (+0.15%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 99.6077
There ... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 42
..................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: MON AS OF 20111201 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111201 was 73.2000
STOCK RATING: SLIGHTLY BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -2.1550 (-2.90%)
Short-Term Price Target: 71.0450
At Price Target, profit is 29.4399 on $1000 investment. (+2.94%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 71.0450
There is a small ch... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 43
......................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: GOOG AS OF 20111202 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111202 was 619.5000
STOCK RATING: BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN:-19.1972 (-3.10%)
Short-Term Price Target: 600.3028
At Price Target, profit is 30.9882 on $1000 investment. (+3.10%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 600.3028
There is a small chance... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 44
.......................
Don't over-commit, i.e. take too large a position
Wait for short-squeeze peak to average up
Wait for bear raid bottom to average down.
Always keep plenty of cash, remember, price just swings.
short/sell at peaks of swings and buy/cover at their bottoms.
Also, don't be greedy, begin taking profits when prices have
move 1/2 or more of forecast. Use trend lines.
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for larg... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 45 逼 ＝ 逼迫的意思。
空 ＝ 卖空者，或卖空者的仓位。
＝ Short Seller or Short Position。
逼空 ＝ 挤空。
挤空 ＝ Short Squeeze。
＝ Run Price Up To Force Short Sellers To Buy Back
Their Shares That Were Sold Short。
Smart Short Sellers Actually Wait For Short Squeeze To
Reach Exhaustion (corresponding to the peak price of a
short squeeze) And Average Up (i.e. short some more),
Provided The Stock Remains Very Bearish (i.e. has much
downside to go)。 |
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v*****e
发帖数: 20 | 46 1）FSLR
上周末的上涨，不知道是short squeeze，还是market 看涨。ER是相当mixed，虽然Q3
beat得很厉害，但全年的rev guidance 降了，同时profit margin 和EPS 又调高了。
太阳是否触底反弹还不清楚。FSLR 16.9%的short interests，short squeeze应该还会
继续。
First Solar Inc. (FSLR) saw short interest rise by about 10% to 11.9 million
shares, which represents 16.9% of the company's float. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/solar-short-interest-focused-two-113018651.html
Verdict： 涨
2）FB
Teen trend 是个问题，但上周的下跌已经price in 了；这次的ER beat说明这家公司
monetorize 用户的能力很好。FB 还有很多盈利的地方有待Tap，潜力很大。现在... 阅读全帖 |
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l****y
发帖数: 8847 | 47 good to know
This deserves a PUBIC ANSWER:
There are a number of signs, among them, the most important ones are:
(0) Public sold and sold short correctly at a price peak (before short
squeeze) OR bought correctly and heavily at a price bottom (before bear
raid)
(1) Suddenly the financial media begin to tout, hype and upgrade a stock at
its very high price (short squeeze) or to downgrade and bad mouth a stock
at
its very low price (bear raid)
(2) Volatility increases, i.e. normal price fluctuati... 阅读全帖 |
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c********1
发帖数: 5269 | 48 If the people shorted the stock are individuals and small hedge funds, short
squeeze will more likely to happened.
If the people shorted the stock are GS,big hedge funds, short squeeze would
likely not happened.Sometime short squeeze will happen when bigger players
step in even the short players are big. |
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m*********h
发帖数: 5449 | 49 Examples
Pools: "Agreements, often written, among a group of traders to delegate
authority to a single manager to trade in a specific stock for a specific
period of time and then to share in the resulting profits or losses."
Churning: "When a trader places both buy and sell orders at about the same
price. The increase in activity is intended to attract additional investors,
and increase the price."
Stock Bashing: "This scheme is usually orchestrated by savvy online message
board posters (a.k.a. ... 阅读全帖 |
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f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 50 说的都很在理，但我认为考虑的不够全面，我补充几点。Q3 guidance下调主要是由于
新的hero 4定价太高，市场反应不好，这种新产品估计失误也是科技公司常有的事，而
去也就差了30mil 而已，这不同于做假账之类的，不致于说影响到了对公司的信心吧。
从数字上看确实不如以前了，PE 就算你说的从20到10 吧，但你不觉得你所说的坏消息
大都已经price in 了吗？从8月份的60多到现在的价钱，已经被腰斩了还要多，不至于
那么差吧，我认为短期是回不去巅峰状态了（60-80），但在30-40之间的价位还是比较
反应公司的价值的。股票回购的确受限很多，通常不致于狂拉股价，但是请注意，10/
30的数字显示33mil的short interest, 一下子给他回购回去10mil 的shares 难道不会
造成一个山崩式的short squeeze 吗？这个squeeze 就是我在期待的。一旦结束后，短
期内我都不会再碰Gpro 了，除非他的中国市场取得成功或者推出革命性的新产品。特
此申明，我并不赞成长期long 这只股票，但也不赞成短期内short, 眼下最好的操作就
是做swing... 阅读全帖 |
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