k********o
发帖数: 1139 | 1 觉得推进大半年这种可能是不小的，因为谁也不知道有多少ready to be approved的
case，如果太保守，很可能浪费很多名额。貌似DOS一直有这种逻辑。
BTW，all current是100%不可能的，到我的PD是99.9%不可能的，所以我分析数据的时
候也没太多期望在里面。呵呵 |
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l****6
发帖数: 159 | 2 从2009，9.23起，移民局网站，每三个月回公布上个季度的485库存量 |
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s****t
发帖数: 427 | 4 He asked if it was LIA made this happen? |
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g**********0
发帖数: 315 | 5 别把自己搞得太紧张了，还有3，4年漫长的等待呢，你每天都琢磨这个事情，你还活不
活了？绿卡就那么回事吧。 |
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k********o
发帖数: 1139 | 6 已经好几年没想过GC的问题了。最近上班很闲，而且公司有可能并购，研究研究绿卡的
问题。保守估计我的绿卡2012年也差不多了，所以也不是很担心。 |
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c*********n
发帖数: 1371 | 7 绿卡这事是挺重要的，关系到其他很多方面，不然大家也不会费这么大功夫在这琢磨。
想想没有北京户口的打工仔，上班没多少钱，下班怕被抓去昌平筛沙子，看着楼价比
天高，犹豫该不该出手，看着小孩长大了，为了上个学头疼死。 |
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g**********0
发帖数: 315 | 8 问题在于你琢磨管用么？喜欢琢磨，你就琢磨吧。过来人纯属过路打酱油。 |
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f***i
发帖数: 185 | 11 well, everyone here is 琢磨ing
otherwise why they come here? |
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f***i
发帖数: 185 | 12 this is also my projection. |
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k********o
发帖数: 1139 | 14 其实美国绿卡最讨厌的是uncertainty太多。如果能每个月把各国的140/485/FB的数据
公开，大家一看就知道自己什么时候拿到卡，也不用操心了。 |
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c*******g
发帖数: 580 | 16 Thanks dude, finally you show up. I think you are right about no 大进大退,
but I hope 进 a few months. |
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g**********0
发帖数: 315 | 17 印度人2006年刨掉2006/1-2月的，还有16K+，再加上中国人7K，就是23K，九月还有23K
剩余名额分？？所以这个事情很简单，只要9月排期还是EB2C/I捆绑，既然捆绑，再怎
么进也进不了2007年，这个是铁定的,崩瞎琢磨了。 |
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f*******u
发帖数: 660 | 18 P whatever，你的言语也太模糊了。大退大进，到底多少算大退大进？你给个稍明确点
的定义。到下个月排期公布的时候，才能比较。 |
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g*******t
发帖数: 552 | 19 就是啊,能再有10K 剩余名额都已经是奇迹了.竟然还有人指望9月还有25K剩余名额.
23K |
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f***i
发帖数: 185 | 20 07不可能
但为了保证名额用完前进到06下半年，还是有可能的
23K |
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g**********0
发帖数: 315 | 21 个人感觉不会超过2006/06，纯属主观臆测。 |
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Q*K
发帖数: 3464 | 25 基本上扯淡
没有信息量，另外大进大退的可能性很小
doubt,
countries |
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y*******w
发帖数: 5917 | 26 LIA就不要自己贴金了，就LIA还能够“迫使”移民局， |
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p**6
发帖数: 158 | 27 寄信人: *****
标 题: Re: Sept VB prediction from Carl Shusterman
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jul 24 01:27:02 2010)
Thanks Dude. It's really good to see you are here. :-)
Just wish it can move a little quicker, you know my PD is 0*/06 and I can't stand live like this any longer |
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p**8
发帖数: 3883 | 30 http://shusterman.com/newsletterusimmigrationapril2011.html#b
EB-2 Visa Availability – Charlie Oppenheim, Chief, Immigrant Visa Control
and Reporting Division, U.S. Department of State, informed AILA of a
dramatic reduction in the use of EB-1 numbers. He stated:
“[US]CIS says they have seen a decline in filings, and does not expect a
change in the number use pattern. Therefore, this decline in EB-1 number use
will allow me to begin having those ‘otherwise unused’ numbers drop down
and be availab... 阅读全帖 |
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p**8
发帖数: 3883 | 32 http://shusterman.com/newsletterusimmigrationapril2011.html#b
Availability – Charlie Oppenheim, Chief, Immigrant Visa Control and
Reporting Division, U.S. Department of State, informed AILA of a dramatic
reduction in the use of EB-1 numbers. He stated:
“[US]CIS says they have seen a decline in filings, and does not expect a
change in the number use pattern. Therefore, this decline in EB-1 number use
will allow me to begin having those ‘otherwise unused’ numbers drop down
and be available for use... 阅读全帖 |
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S*******r
发帖数: 11017 | 33 此公是移民律师界颇有声望之人
不过去年也是此人预测了9月排期有大幅前进结果P都没有发生 |
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z*s
发帖数: 1695 | 34 我很困惑这个前几几年他们怎么算的？就1万，可等待的烙印好几万啊？就算他们都给
烙印，也不是几年啊？ |
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l********7
发帖数: 1089 | 35 一着急把月打成年了？？？ 还能有啥解释啊。。。 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 36 Read the following: I wish this comes true..
http://shusterman.com/newsletterusimmigrationapril2011.html#b
EB-2 Visa Availability – Charlie Oppenheim, Chief, Immigrant Visa Control
and Reporting Division, U.S. Department of State, informed AILA of a
dramatic reduction in the use of EB-1 numbers. He stated:
“[US]CIS says they have seen a decline in filings, and does not expect a
change in the number use pattern. Therefore, this decline in EB-1 number use
will allow me to begin having those ‘other... 阅读全帖 |
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G******t
发帖数: 1782 | 37 It basically said nothing beyond summarizing whatever has
already happened. I got the email last night from them and
was wondering WTF...
month
000 |
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s*****c
发帖数: 753 | 39 http://www.shusterman.com/pdf/yatesusimmigrationmemo92305.pdf
Page 6
Determining the Priority Date.
In general, if a petition is supported by an individual labor certification
issued by DOL, the priority date is the earliest date upon which the labor
certification application was filed with DOL. In those cases where the
alien’s priority date is established by the filing of the labor
certification, once the alien’s Form I-140 petition has been approved, the
alien beneficiary retains his or her ... 阅读全帖 |
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J********n
发帖数: 32 | 41 关于H1B持有人是否使用AP、EAD的问题已经被问了无数次， 版主可不可以置顶一段时间。现在很多人都有EAD、AP但485还要1－2年才批，一个清晰的FAQ相信对大家都有益。
以下是我目前所了解的情况，有些地方我还有疑问，请大家补充，更正，我会及时更新：
以下先集中几个关键问题，一些常识以后补充：
（1）用了EAD，就是AOS，就不是H1B，不是non-immigrant了,这个大家都知道。
万一485出问题，你必须马上离开美国，这个虽然很麻烦但不可怕。
关键是Out of Status 的开始计算时间，因为这关系到3年/10年不得入境的条例。根据下面皮匠的blog以及他引用的USCIS的说明，OOS的开始时间是485被据那一天，而不是EAD使用的那一天。这样使用EAD就不用担心这个问题了。
http://blog.wenxuecity.com/myblog/14332/200806/6037.html
（2）H1B的I-797还有效，但没有H1B visa stamp，使用AP入境，能不能保持H1B，如何做？
这个问题我不是十分清楚，但知道以下的情况：
（a）你的I-94写的是AOS... 阅读全帖 |
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M***O
发帖数: 3718 | 43 This is probably old news. But for people like me who have not followed CIR
closely.
"Fourth, there will be increases in the employment-based preference
categories. For example, persons with STEM (science, technology,
engineering and mathematics) graduate degrees from universities in the U.S.
may be able to qualify for green cards in unlimited numbers. This may also
be true for persons of extraordinary ability and for outstanding professors
and researchers."
Source:
http://shusterman.com/newsl... 阅读全帖 |
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k******o
发帖数: 550 | 44 Would you share source of 'As long as you don't use EAD, you are still in H1
-B status'? This is an interesting area with lots of vagueness, I only have
seen INS memo http://shusterman.com/handlvisas-travelingonadvanceparole.html indicating you may still extend H-1B upon arrival using AP which would result in the original admittance status change to H-1B as well, otherwise you shall be in 'Parolee' status when admitted using AP.
from? |
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h*******l
发帖数: 477 | 46 http://www.ilw.com/immigrationdaily/
Comment: VisaGate Lawsuit Against USCIS DOS
Immigration Daily has learned that Greg Siskind is coordinating, pro bono, a
federal lawsuit in the DC circuit against USCIS, DOS and others re
VisaGate2015 (shades of VisaGate2007). This class-action complaint will soon
be filed, tens of thousands of immigrants are among those affected. An
analysis of the highly selective manner in which USCIS/DOS went about
undoing the original, lawfully issued, October Visa Bulle... 阅读全帖 |
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d*2
发帖数: 2053 | 48 【 以下文字转载自 EB23 讨论区 】
发信人: metsrock (nymets), 信区: EB23
标 题: A3网站上抄来的小道消息
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jul 9 20:20:14 2010, 美东)
Wanted to share this with you all..
Attorney Carl Shusterman
This is what it says :
August Visa Bulletin- Big Advance for Chine/India E-2
July 9,2010
The August Visa Bulletin will be issued by the U.S Department of State early
next week.
Today,we received the following message written by the State Department's
Charles Oppenheimer:
Just wanted to let you know that the august cut- |
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a*o
发帖数: 25262 | 50 Gabriella Demczuk for The New York Times
塔-奈西希·科特斯凭《在世界与我之间》获得美国国家图书奖非虚构类大奖。
星期三晚上，塔-奈西希·科特斯(Ta-Nehisi Coates)的《在世界与我之间》(Between
the World and Me)获得国家图书奖非虚构类大奖，这是一部真诚直率的作品，探索作
者身为黑人在美国的经历。今年夏天它出版之时，正值整个国家都在讨论种族关系与种
族不平等话题的时机。
“每一天打开电视，都能看到针对黑人的暴力，”科特斯在动人的获奖致辞中说，“一
次又一次，这种事还在持续发生。”
今年的虚构类奖项由亚当·约翰逊(Adam Johnson)的《幸运在微笑》(Fortune Smile)
获得，这部短篇小说集中充满超现实与滑稽的故事，内容包括天灾、技术与政治，有的
发生在加利福尼亚的帕罗奥图，有的发生在新奥尔良，还有的发生在朝鲜。评委说约翰
逊是“同代人中最有才华的一位作者”，并说他的小说“时而惊人、时而奇妙、时而滑
稽，时而可怕”。2012年，约翰逊曾凭着小说《孤儿大师之子》(The Orphan Master... 阅读全帖 |
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