s*******u
发帖数: 2249 | 1 最近放出来的白宫前幕僚McClellan现在疯狂攻击BUSH是政治骗子. 把ROVE气的痛斥
是左棍的阴谋,大失风度.
老马还在各地大谈伊拉克战争的策略有多重要有多成功,他的国防能力有多强. 这个时
候经济一团槽，不去谈这个话题，还去扯这很多人都烦的泥潭,比较失策。不是说伊拉
克战争不该打，只是现在还有更重要的话题民众要关心。人NBC现在天天放油价有多高
，经济危机,白领们都眼含眼泪跑去和黑兄弟去FOOD BANK领救济食品，您个老头还天天说自己打
仗在行，让人怎么活？
藕大师自己也不会不打IRAQ的，退兵就是逗大家玩。民主党总统大体都和战争连在一起
，比如抬到天上去的肯拟底和越战。只是他一谈就是不打，把马老头当布实第３任,骗你没商量。现
在这么凶狠的攻击布实的IRAQ战争合法性，就是要断了老马的根。
八马这政治流氓和以前的戈尔，克里，老希不同。这人和手下比较狠，下三烂手段繁多
。老马不打黑拳不用种族牌的话，弄不好就和老希一样灰头土面。别忘了，蓝领不喜欢八
马也不会喜欢老马。老马是不反对外包和自由贸易的。
当初和神棍演周喻打黄盖的把戏，还有人没看出来，指望黑兄弟会转投老希。
别太小看这 |
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c******i
发帖数: 27 | 2 Presumptive Republican presidential nominee John McCain will appear in a
live town hall meeting broadcast on FOX News Channel tonight at 7 p.m. ET.
The hour-long event will be held at Federal Hall in New York City where
George Washington was first inaugurated. The town hall meeting will be
hosted by FOX News’ Shepard Smith, who will introduce the candidate and
anchor a post-event analysis with former Bush White House Deputy Chief of
Staff Karl Rove and Democratic strategists Bob Beckel and Kirst |
|
t***o
发帖数: 462 | 3 Obama Can't Win Against Palin
By KARL ROVE
September 11, 2008; Page A13
Of all the advantages Gov. Sarah Palin has brought to the GOP ticket, the
most important may be that she has gotten into Barack Obama's head. How else
to explain Sen. Obama's decision to go one-on-one against "Sarah Barracuda,
" captain of the Wasilla High state basketball champs?
It's a matchup he'll lose. If Mr. Obama wants to win, he needs to remember
he's running against John McCain for president, not Mrs. Palin for vice |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 4 2000年Bush和Gore辩论完了都没觉得谁胜谁负，媒体揪出Gore听着Bush语焉不详而不耐
烦呼吸像是在叹气，咬定Gore没风度，第二天的主流报道就是Gore输了。
那一年媒体有点像现在喜欢Obama一样喜欢Bush，老是设问“whom do you want to
drink a beer with?"做调查。Gore被认为stiff并是serial exaggerator, Bush是down
to earth 和 likable。Karl Rove 给Bush 造的 compassionate conservatism，
bipartisan spirit 和 humble diplomacy 都被媒体惊艳，现在看来没有比这更可笑的
了，有点像现在Obama的bipartisanship&post racial politics.
选了Bush就是这帮主流媒体造的孽,现在又生造出Obama这一尊神， 全是自作自受。 |
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t***o
发帖数: 462 | 5 麦肯这种自动机器打电话抹黑的方法真象是karl rove的主意,不过很好,对付小人就要
用小人的方法.麦肯的弱点就是老想当君子,不够狠.当初奥巴马在内华大到处撒反希拉
里小报的时候,应该预料到自己也会有这种报应.
By Robert Barnes and Mary Pat Flaherty
Washington Post Staff Writers
Saturday, October 18, 2008; Page A02
The 1960s radical William Ayers was not invoked on the campaign trail
yesterday, but for anyone living in a battleground state, his name may have
been left on an answering machine.
Ayers and his connection to Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama are
at the heart of an ambitious |
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b*d
发帖数: 161 | 6 The rise of the Obamacons
Oct 23rd 2008
From The Economist print edition
A striking number of conservatives are planning to vote for Obama
Illustration by KAL
IN “W.”, his biopic about his Yale classmate, Oliver Stone details Colin
Powell’s agonies during George Bush’s first term. Throughout the film Mr
Powell repeatedly raises doubts about the invasion of Iraq—and is
repeatedly overruled by the ghoulish trio of Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld
and Karl Rove. In one of the final scenes, with his dir |
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s*i
发帖数: 5025 | 7 Trust me, those polling companies worry more about their accuracy of polls.
That is their life-line and credit, and they don't want to ruin it.
You can always argue the accuracy of polls. But I would rather choose to
believe it with certain confidence than a number imagined by myself.
The failure of republicans, in my opinion, is not due to their ideas and
believes. Rather, it is because they lost credit.
Karl Rove is a big problem. His tactics worked pretty well when the Internet
eco-system is |
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k***k
发帖数: 791 | 8 1. 04大选后，共和党尝到了往右偏的甜头，以为拿定evanjelical 就万事大吉了。民
主党则吸取了教训，开始往中间扩大自己的阵营。06年胜出的VA，PA和MT的民主党参议
员都是很靠中间的。VA的韦伯曾经是共和党的海军部长。PA的凯西原来连民主党大会都
不让参加。
2. GOP在近期的大选中一直高挂"value"大旗。以期占领“moral high ground".经常以
此攻击民主党。可惜的是在06年中期选举中搬起石头砸了自己的脚。丑闻不断。FL议员
和男实习生，TX的德拉的腐败，连evanjelical的头头都被揭是同性恋。丢掉道德大旗
共和党在中期选举中吃了大苦头。但很遗憾的是，共和党并没有吸取教训。
3. ROVE（若夫）同学认定得OH和FL者得天下。这在00和04得到了证实。民主党吃了两
次苦头后想出了主意：到敌人后方去！开辟新的战场。在这一点上，理查德森功不可没
。CO+NM+NV也有接近20票，抵的上OH。这样就把战获烧掉共和党的后方了。06年落基山
上贯穿美国南北的蓝色走廊并没有引起共和党的高度重视。08年民主党大会都搬到CO去开了。
共和党还是没有对策。08年 |
|
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y*m
发帖数: 5973 | 10 1:Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton 希拉里
4: Karl Christian Rove 卡尔-罗夫
10: Howard Brush Dean III 丁啸天
12: Ronald Wilson Reagan 里根
大师是不是考虑换个头像？ |
|
C*******r
发帖数: 10345 | 11 By Joseph Curl
ACORN's Bertha Lewis charged Tuesday that accusations about the embattled
community organizing group are racist, alleging that a coordinated political
effort started by former Bush adviser Karl Rove sought to stop the group
from registering minority voters.
"For many years, there've been folks who've disagreed with our ideology or
methodology that [have] gone after us," Mrs. Lewis, ACORN's chief executive
officer, said in a speech at the National Press Club in Washington.
"I mean |
|
f*******l
发帖数: 8811 | 12 见怪不怪了.
political
executive
Rove
to |
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a********l
发帖数: 39524 | 13 美帝的账本上再记上一条。
foxnews就是舔上届政府的货色，现在还请karl rove，还有切尼女儿，还有前白宫发言
人出来说话，留个好名声。 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 14 唉！。。。
It's going to bankrupt the country. |
|
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m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 16 我们说的是两码事,
TEA party will vote for repulicans, almost and always. This is truth.
I do not care what they claim. You are right that some of them claim they
are independent. I accept that. Alright? But it will not change the fact
that tea party will vote repulicans.
Your spin skill has not been good enough and need improvement from Rove. |
|
m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 17 不管你怎么spin,对高盛来说,1百万就是个屁.
还有一些人就拿 net profit当收入.高盛50%的收入是用来发年终奖金的. Net profit
就是个零头. 就跟这些人拿 insurance 3% profit当成本一样,事实上保险公司的成本
更接近 30%. 不要拿Rove的那一套就想着这样spin.拿着GOP的托 写的保护insurance
company的那一套 又用来保护.华尔街 |
|
m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 18 what you said has very low or no credibility. You always cite half-truth GOP
propaganda as "truth". I learned enough from your spin master, Karl Rove. |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 19 作者:Gerard
2010-11-07 12:36:56
2010年11月2号,我们不仅见证了共和党近70年来在中期选举中的最大胜利,也同时见证
了共和党一颗未来希望之星的正式升起－－Marco Rubio在佛罗里达州成功当选参议院
议员.
就在一年多之前,对佛罗里达第111选区之外的人来说,”Marco Rubio”还是一个闻所未
闻的名字. 提起Miami,家庭主妇们会两眼发光的说起SHOWTIME剧集里的Dexter Morgan,
男人们会或咬牙切齿或热血沸腾的想起热火队的NBA球星Dwyane Wade, 但是,对于
Marco Rubio,美国人共同回答会是: Who the hell is Marco Rubio?
Son of Exiles
Fox News说”A Political Star [Was] Born” 。Liberal说他是coconut，Anti-
Latino Bigot。究竟谁是Marco Rubio？
39岁的Marco Rubio出生在Miami，Florida。在卡斯特罗夺取古巴政权之后，Marco
Rubio的父母从古巴的流亡到美国。... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 20 http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/american-narcissus_516686.html
American Narcissus
The vanity of Barack Obama
Nov 13, 2010, Vol. 16, No. 10 • By JONATHAN V. LAST
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Fred Barn... 阅读全帖 |
|
l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 21 提出10年让美国联邦债务增加一倍、政府支出增加8.7万亿预算案的奥巴马说共和党削
减2.4万亿支出方案不认真，全世界都笑了
Posted by Jim Hoft on Friday, July 15, 2011, 10:43 AM
Barack Obama addressed the American public this morning for the second time
in one week. Talk about sound bites? We may have enough sound bites for the
next week!
And, he’s supposed to be so smart?
Obama said that 80% of the American public agree with him and want a
balanced appoach. (tax hikes) He said this several times.
The American people are sold… They’re sold… The notion that... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 22 In money race, it's advantage Dems
By: Kenneth P. Vogel
August 24, 2011 04:30 AM EDT
Republicans seem positively gleeful these days about their prospects headed
into 2012, buoyed by a new Gallup Poll showing a handful of Republican
presidential hopefuls within striking distance of President Barack Obama as
well as some recent predictions that the GOP will hold the House and could
take the Senate.
Yet despite all the apparent momentum, the three national party committees
tasked with ushering Repu... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 23 By Larry Bell
Barack Obama's and Rod Blagojevich's convicted felon fund-raiser, Tony Rezko
, has recently been sentenced to ten years minus 44 months for time served
in jail for wide-ranging corruption. Many people would like to ask him
about his connections to others who knew -- even participated in --
practices that helped to get him planted in the pokey. They are also
curious about why he was never subpoenaed to testify at trials of some of
those who were subsequently convicted of corrupt a... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 24 By Daren Jonescu
Much has been said, here at American Thinker and elsewhere, about Barack
Obama's recent pair of teleprompted references to his (presumably) non-
existent sons.
Thomas Lifson toys with the notion that Obama might in fact have secret sons
, as a way of making sense of the seeming insanity of it. Selwyn Duke
suggests it might indicate brain damage from Obama's (presumably) past drug
use. (Funny, isn't it, how often one is left no choice but merely to
presume about the Cipher-in-C... 阅读全帖 |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 25 As of now, per Karl Rove, a godfather for W Bush, Obama is well ahead of
Romney. |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 26 Is this your habit to utter rumor without any substance? Do you really
think people trust you over intrade.com?
The original means vision and/or hard work, I fail to see any of those from
your great guesswork. I dont judge poll study quality by their parisanship
alone. For instance, as much I disagree with Karl Rove, his election map is
still a serious work and deserts good attention. |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 27 Karl Rove's machine is running in full speed, and his American Crossroads
will raise and spend more than 300 million dollars in this election cycle...
44 has no chance! |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 28 创作还是参考Karl Rove, realClearPolitics, 等等？
又看了一下，好像是 realClearPolitics， 不过你的说明是你的创作了。
realClearPolitics是所有数据的平均值，应当是客观数据。 |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 29 你这个是原创。 看来， 共和党也意识到不利，理论家Karl Rove居然违背自己的地图
规则。本来他还算冷静，共和党大会后，眼看没有起色，就公然篡改自己编的地图，还
此地无银三百两辩解。
建议黄T们，还是用脚投票，搬到中部的摇摆穷州去，另外象你建议的那样，在Intrade
赌O一把，双双获利. 一方面可以真真出一口恶气，在那里投票有点价值。另外，现在
在intrade买O股只花6元左右，到时候，变成100元的可能比0元的可能大多了。黄T最看
重的不就是profit吗。
...........
CO |
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P*********0
发帖数: 4321 | 30 http://politicalcorrection.org/blog/201007300006
The Modern Republican Party: Brought To You By Fraud & Tax Evasion
July 30, 2010 3:53 pm ET — Alan Pyke
Texan billionaire brothers Charles Wyly Jr. and Samuel Wyly stand accused of
"engag[ing] in a 13-year fraudulent scheme" using "an elaborate sham system
of trusts and subsidiary companies" based offshore to rack up an "unlawful
gain of over $31.7 million."
These charges from the SEC are hanging over the GOP because the Wylys have
been huge Repub... 阅读全帖 |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 31 有时间看过 Karl Rove 的图吗。本来还可以，十天前连他也沉不住气，公开违规＂作
弊＂。
不知realcal 里面的 poll, 是 likely voter 还是 registered voter". |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 32 全部不可信，还是一部分不可信？
比如说Rausmussan 或 Karl Rove. |
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S*********g
发帖数: 24893 | 33 以前还连摆带白活，说只要罗姆尼拿下FL，VA，WI，IA，CO，NV的话，不需要OH也能赢。
这脸皮得厚到什么程度啊？
顺便调查一下，版上还有觉得罗姆尼会赢的吗？说说你的理由吧。 |
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k**o
发帖数: 15334 | 34 poll有个问题，就是实际投票的时候，republican投票率高于democrat4个百分
点左右。民主党的票仓普遍too lazy to vote。 |
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c******g
发帖数: 1217 | 35 haha, red neck yellow t-bags don't know how poll works, what a surprise! |
|
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 37 Don't worry, Karl Rove already got it... |
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y***r
发帖数: 16594 | 38 这是共和党的危机。其实这些都是那个karl rove搞坏的，把共和党彻底给推向右边了。 |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 39 Just one time guessing?
If only one time,
O's EC # is either 277 or 290, based on GOP Rove's map on 10/22.
Some GOP supporter, how about Romney 500 but Obama 38 ? |
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y***l
发帖数: 1371 | 40 那就是不能让那帮白人极端右翼种族分子用钱买下这次总统大选。不能让那帮匿名捐给
Romney 8700万的家伙最后来赢得大选。
本来我和我不少同事都是更相信共和党的经济，政治理念，特别是moderate republic
ideas. 他们很多人2008年都是投的McCain的票。但是今年自从最高法院通过citizen
united后，共和党完全变质了。
其实这场大选，本来根本不会这么复杂，我们看看传统的总统竞选Campaign Finance吧
，这些钱是financed with donations that are capped at $5,000 and disclosed.
Obama：Total Raised, year to date:$432,197,459.00
Romney：Total Raised, year to date:$279,343,000.00
来源：http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/candidates.html
本来这次大选，Romney一点机会没有，人民用捐款已经投了票。
但是，2010年，美国最高法院通过了citi... 阅读全帖 |
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l*******G
发帖数: 1191 | 41 http://www.eatthestate.org/not-your-grandfathers-gop/
Not Your Grandfather’s GOP
By Lansing Scott • on October 18, 2012 5:55 pm
PRINT
COMMENT FEED
STUMBLE IT
DIGG IT
DEL.ICIO.US
FACEBOOK
One thing that gets lost in the 24 hour news cycle of political reporting is
a longer view of political developments—-not just for today, this week, or
this election cycle, but over a span of decades.
One of the most significant political developments over the past half
century has been the extreme rightwa... 阅读全帖 |
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g***y
发帖数: 1268 | 42 当然美国走上radical的路，罪魁祸首是Clinton。Clinton 之前都是moderate路线。
Clinton是红州Arkansas州长，老布什是副总统不算，Reagan是蓝州California的州长
。Jimmy Carter 是红州Georgia的州长。
Clinton把moderate的路走的太成功。作为Dem的总统，居然不搞大政府，居然 balance
budget，你让GOP怎么活。
等到2000年，GOP选出深红州Texas的州长Bush。他简直就是GOP的stereotype，前总统
的傻儿子，像个不会骗你的修车的。GOP觉得我再怎么moderate，也比不过Gore。人家
毕竟有过去8年做基础。于是Bush还有Karl Rove发明新的战法。一改以往靠赢中间选民
来赢大选。反其道行之，搞提高base的turnout的辟邪剑法。一举赢得两次大选。
Dem一看，这招好使，我也来，我搞个Obama，蓝州的Senator。DEM的stereotype。黑人
，community organizer. Bush的避邪剑法是boost白人evangelical的turn... 阅读全帖 |
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y***l
发帖数: 1371 | 43 这个，Romney有个屁政策。现在连他是conservative还是moderate republican都搞不
清楚。到是围在他周围的人都是布什时代的那帮混蛋，象什么Karl Rove，这家伙就很
有可能拖着Romney去打伊朗的。 |
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y***l
发帖数: 1371 | 44 这个是你自己想的建议还是Romney的。我曾经也跟了不少Romney的发言和辩论，怎么就
看不出来他说了关于简化regulation,medicaid和穷人福利的具体办法。他反复说来就
是一句，要消减，根本没有具体措施。而且他自己也承认，2008年花儿街危机是
regulation不够的缘故。
至于开采油气和建油气管道，这点是一致的，不过他敢不敢全面放开在深海的油气开采
还是个问题，要再出个BP油气泄露事故，他总统也就到期了。
至于打伊朗，更是个大问题。右翼一向喜欢用战争来转移国内注意力，要是国内经济他
搞不动了，他肯定会开战，战争一起，你失业大军有地方去了，没工作上战场吧。国内
的怨言也会少很多，你看，我们士兵在流血，你们在国内的吃点苦头算什么？他的主要
顾问和支持者就是karl rove,这个布什的当年的国家安全顾问干过什么大家都清楚。 |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 45 我自己先表个态。就算Romney能赢，我也不信他能赢那么多。 |
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l**********1
发帖数: 2980 | 46 一般共和党自家人的预测都是偏保守的，就像FOX的民调一样。 |
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I****g
发帖数: 104 | 47 不错了，Dick Morris还说罗姆尼landslid呢，至少300！ |
|
m******O
发帖数: 596 | 48 他的地图数据来源是14天平均数。
他昨天写的预测文章，数据来源是过去一周poll的细化分析。说明近期的poll结果更加
favor Romney。
这就是区别所在。
for
dont |
|
m******O
发帖数: 596 | 49 你这个转移话题的办法是没有用处的。我对EC没有太多深入的研究，也没那个时间。在
这个楼里，我唯一感兴趣而且要说明的，就是你把两篇文章的采样窗口混淆了。
That's all I wanted to say in this post. Period.
give |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 50 I guess lz got hint from Rove's number 279, it could be accidental same
though. |
|
