h********8
发帖数: 7355 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Living 讨论区 】
发信人: paoyipao (泡泡), 信区: Living
标 题: 装灯求建议
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Feb 22 13:20:58 2011, 美东)
一点没经验，大家给点意见，谢谢。
family room: ceiling fan with light
kitchen: recessed light
dining: Chandelier or hanging fixture
bedroom: ceiling fan with light
感觉recessed light是不是哪里都可以？
family room 用ceiling fan with light还是recessed light？
小面积的卧室是不是ceiling fan with light显得太大？
还有装recessed light为什么墙上要打洞？还要补洞？ |
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b***n
发帖数: 13455 | 2 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
ttxs2010 (ttxs2010) 于 (Thu Apr 21 21:26:20 2011, 美东) 提到:
我对他表示羡慕，说你们CS软件真是好找工作啊！
她虽然赞同，但是也表示CS不如表面上看着那么爽。
她说，的确，就业口径是挺宽的，但是那是因为工业界对码工的需求量很大。
码工成天编程，拼的是青春饭，你年龄大了，就拼不过新上来的一茬又一茬新人了，如
果说年龄大有经验的话，软件这一行不像硬件那么看重“经验”。。。
她说，码工如果三四十岁，还没爬上去做管理之类的，就毁了，裁员的时候先把老同志
给裁了。。。。。。
我就比较疑问了，难道硕士，PhD毕业（比美国小本知识强很多），难道毕业也是码工
？比如CS PhD毕业，企业会不会更重用你呢？
“爬上管理XX”，每年CS毕业生就业那么多，肯定只有少数人爬上去吧，难道10年前的
编程前辈，今天因为没有“爬上去”就失业了？
我本来想过往软件这坑里跳呢，但一想：我读完PHD也得挺大年龄了，按照她的说法，
我假如读了一个CS PhD，那不就直接作为老同志，被... 阅读全帖 |
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G*********8
发帖数: 644 | 3 Goldman Sachs Says U.S. Economy May Be ‘Fairly Bad’
Oct. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said the U.S. economy is
likely to be “fairly bad” or “very bad” over the next six to nine months
.
“We see two main scenarios,” analysts led by Jan Hatzius, the New York-
based chief U.S. economist at the company, wrote in an e-mail to clients. “
A fairly bad one in which the economy grows at a 1 1/2 percent to 2 percent
rate through the middle of next year and the unemployment rate rises
moderate... 阅读全帖 |
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q*1
发帖数: 1128 | 4 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-11571644
The Japanese economy is at a standstill, Japan's government has said, as
concerns about the strong yen continue to grow.
The recovery in the economy was "pausing", the Cabinet Office said in a
monthly statement.
It is the most negative the government has been about the economy in nearly
two years.
The rising yen and a slowdown in global demand for Japanese exports was
blamed for the downgrade.
In recent months, the government has insisted that the econ... 阅读全帖 |
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A*Q
发帖数: 1579 | 5 Perhaps the most striking feature of the Great Recession is that those
without jobs are enduring the longest spells of unemployment recorded in the
post-WWII era. At the start of the recession, in December 2007, the median
duration of unemployment was 8.4 weeks. By June 2009, the median duration
had risen to 17.4 weeks. It continued to rise beyond the end of the
recession and peaked at 25.5 weeks in June 2010.
美国的失业率和失业期已经很严重。
美国政府一再延长失业可以领取失业金的期限，不然美国就是茉莉花革命的中心。
其副作用是美国政府一再借债，现在每新借的一块钱有0.42是还的利... 阅读全帖 |
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f**c
发帖数: 192 | 6 现在学化学的，大概80%的祖孙三代要倒霉。2007年以后才开始读博士的，如果学有机
，已经是白痴。90%的祖宗八代子孙后代都倒了血霉。
2014年还在学有机合成的，99.9%的祖宗八代子孙后代都要倒血霉。80年代的有机土博美
国制药工作N年，55岁回国挣大钱操小妞的（张江药谷的听说过没有？）不算，人家那
是80年代学的化学。
中国的稀土官司又输了，无非是技术控制在别人手里。出口低端进口高端产品。这无妨
北大稀土严纯华高松之流的院士继续坑蒙拐骗。严纯华之流，甚至他的同学，假设在美
国，也是下岗失业回国的命运吧。
http://cen.acs.org/articles/90/i45/Barely-Hanging.html
Home > Volume 90 Issue 45 > Barely Hanging
Job loss can feel like a lonely journey.
Credit: Shutterstock/C&EN
Five years after the economic collapse began in the U.S., unemployed
chemists... 阅读全帖 |
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S*****n
发帖数: 4185 | 7 Since China entered the World Trade Organization in 2001, the massive growth
of trade between China and the United States has had a dramatic and
negative effect on U.S. workers and the domestic economy. Specifically, a
growing U.S. goods trade deficit with China has the United States piling up
foreign debt, losing export capacity, and losing jobs, especially in the
vital but under-siege manufacturing sector. Growth in the U.S. goods trade
deficit with China between 2001 and 2013 eliminated or di... 阅读全帖 |
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W*****B
发帖数: 4796 | 8 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: WCNMLGB (CCC), 信区: USANews
标 题: 刚才看到的一个希婆笑话
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 28 14:52:03 2016, 美东)
Hillary Clinton goes to a gifted-student primary school in New York to talk
about the world. After her talk she offers to answer questions from the kids.
One little boy puts up his hand. Hillary asks him what his name is.
"Kenny," he says.
"And what is your question, Kenny?" she asks.
"I have three questions," he says. "First -- what happened in
Beng... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 9 Spoiler alert: 中或输
https://www.reddit.com/r/taiwan/comments/87i2lk/scenario_the_fourth_taiwan_
strait_crisis_of_2020/
2018 (March onward) – America and China initiate a series of tit-for-tat
trade restrictions and tariffs, gradually resulting in economic losses and
stock market drops totaling in the hundreds of billions
Mid-2019 – Somewhat overdue, the next global recession begins, mostly due
to bad debts and a round of mass layoffs originating in the Chinese economy.
Stock market crashes and so... 阅读全帖 |
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f******d
发帖数: 2394 | 10 这些大佬大不大？
"There's no reason to think that the probability of a recession in the next
year or two is at all elevated" (Powell, Oct. 18); "The Federal Reserve is
not currently forecasting a recession" (Bernanke, Jan. 2008); <1/3>
“We don't have the capability of reliably forecasting a recession” (
Greenspan, Dec. 2000) <2/3> |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 11 America's Social Depression Is Accelerating
http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2018/10/americas-social-depression-is.html
Downward mobility and social defeat lead to social depression. Here are the
conditions that characterize social depression:
1. High expectations of endless rising prosperity have been instilled in
generations of citizens as a birthright.
2. Part-time and unemployed people are marginalized, not just financially
but socially.
3. Widening income/wealth disparity as those in th... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 12 鍙湅鍒拌〃璞★紝娌℃湁鍟ユ繁鍒昏瑙ｃ
Housing market reminiscent of 2006 bubble, ready to burst 鈥Nobel Prize-
winning economist Shiller
Published time: 5 Nov, 2018 06:40
The weakening housing market is similar to the last market high, just before
the subprime housing bubble burst a decade ago, says famed housing-watcher
Robert Shiller.
The economist, who predicted the 2007-2008 crisis, told Yahoo Finance that
current data shows 鈥渁 sign of weakness.鈥br />
Housing pivots take more time than those in the stock market... 阅读全帖 |
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x**8
发帖数: 1939 | 13 同意会有recession，
但是不会像2008那么惨烈，
十年前那次是有次贷引起的整个金融系统的信用风险，
当年bearstern, leman brother, merrill lynch几大投行在金融衍生品市场上裸奔，
现在基本面并没有那么明显严重的问题，
除非市场彻底对Fed失去信心，或者treaury default，
这基本是不太可能的事情，
这次recession也有经济周期的效应，
所以可以看作正常调整，
并不是每次recession都是2008，
shrinking
rolling
debt |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 14 U.S. Prepares Final China Trade Deal as Hawks Urge Caution
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-02-28/u-s-said-to-ready-final-
china-trade-deal-as-hawks-urge-caution?srnd=premium
Working great just like Smoot Hawley you unschooled moron. US farmer
destroyed and on 25 billion welfare from taxpayers. Tariffs are a tax, 2
billion collected. [25 billion spent in WELFARE] LOL... More trumptard
numbers that show how stupid they are.
US EXPORTS down 12% Globally China Exports up 14% globally a... 阅读全帖 |
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b*********3
发帖数: 1709 | 15 11 Reasons Why So Many Experts Believe That A US Economic Crisis Is Imminent
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-08-20/11-reasons-why-so-many-experts-
believe-us-economic-crisis-imminent
Well, the following are 11 reasons why so many experts now believe that a U.
S. economic crisis is imminent…
#1 Last week, the “spread between the U.S. 2-year and 10-year yields”
turned negative for the very first time in 12 years. An inversion of the
yield curve has occurred prior to every single U.S. recessio... 阅读全帖 |
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f******o
发帖数: 2469 | 16 TOP NEWS
LIVE TV
A recession in 2020 would hurt Trump, but it wouldn't necessarily sink his
reelection
A recession in 2020 would hurt Trump, but it wouldn’t necessarily sink his
reelection
Trump is fixated on the strength of the economy as he runs for reelection,
so growing concerns about a recession have him worried. |
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u***r
发帖数: 4825 | 17 https://time.com/5770140/millennials-change-american-politics/?utm_source=
facebook.com&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=social-share-article&utm_content
=20200127&fbclid=IwAR36be58A6V9VvNGfu55yIWFvzqs8zNMpZsfrol02sAtggNde_
tGjMlveqI
How Millennial Leaders Will Change America
BY CHARLOTTE ALTER JANUARY 23, 2020
Love ’em or hate ’em, this much is true: one day soon, millennials will
rule America.
This is neither wish nor warning but fact, rooted in the physics of time and
the biology of human cells... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 19 http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/washington-whispers/2011/08/30
Allan Lichtman, the American University professor whose election formula has
correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election,
has a belated birthday present for Barack Obama: Rest easy, your re-election
is in the bag.
“Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” says
Lichtman, the brains behind The Keys to the White House.
Lichtman’s prediction helps to explain a quirk in some polling th... 阅读全帖 |
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a***o
发帖数: 3734 | 20 that's exactly your problem: "bring this country out of recession".
You guys wants to plan everything and let everything run as you ordered them.
A bunch of idiots and a bunch of scammers bring this country into recession,
let those idiots eat the consequences and send those scammers to prison.
recession will heal itself. All so called "help" doesn't really help. It's
like common cold, it heals in a week if you take medicine. It takes seven
days if you don't.
Don't try to be smart and think you |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 21 Tuesday, June 14, 2011
By Matt Cover
(CNSNews.com) – Twenty-eight months after Congress passed President Obama’
s signature economic stimulus law, and nearly one year after he declared the
summer of 2010 to be “Recovery Summer,” 1.9 million fewer people are
employed.
In February 2009, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that 141.7
million people were employed. By the end of May 2011 – the last month for
which data are available – that number had fallen to 139.8 million, a
difference of... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 22 衰退？什么衰退？官僚满街跑的华盛顿成为美国最富裕的大都会，联邦雇员平均收入$
12.6万
Federal employees whose compensation averages more than $126,000 and the
nation’s greatest concentration of lawyers helped Washington edge out San
Jose as the wealthiest U.S. metropolitan area, government data show.
The U.S. capital has swapped top spots with Silicon Valley, according to
recent Census Bureau figures, with the typical household in the Washington
metro area earning $84,523 last year. The national median income for 2010
was $50,046.
The ... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 23 By John F. Di Leo
We think of the world of transportation -- especially trucking and
automobile manufacturing -- as being one of the most fundamental of
Democratic Party constituencies. Detroit has long been a party stronghold,
with the UAW and Teamsters among Democrats' most powerful union supporters.
From the worker at the DMV to the driver he licenses, this is one solid
chain of Democrats.
But is this political loyalty deserved today, if indeed it ever was? Since
the Democratic Party was t... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 24 By Phil Izzo
49.1%: Percent of the population that lives in a household where at least
one member received some type of government benefit in the first quarter of
2011.
Cutting government spending is no easy task, and it’s made more complicated
by recent Census Bureau data showing that nearly half of the people in the
U.S. live in a household that receives at least one government benefit, and
many likely received more than one.
The 49.1% of the population in a household that gets benefits is up ... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 25 By Jennifer Rubin
As the wheels come off the Obama campaign bus, it seems that virtually every
day brings news that the president simply has no clue how to restart the
economy. The latest from the Associated Press:
U.S. states expect to collect higher tax revenues in the coming budget
year that combined would top pre-recession levels, according to a survey
released Tuesday. The increase could reduce pressure on states to cut
budgets and lay off workers.
A slowly healing job market and mo... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 26 by Andrew
Russ Roberts, who hosts the brilliant EconTalk, talks with John Taylor about
the extremely slow recovery to our current recession and how that doesn’t
match up with previous recessions. Previous recessions and recoveries have
been either deep and brisk or mild and slow. This one has been deep and slow
. Their discussion is well worth a listen: |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 27 The annotated Obama: How 90% of the deficit becomes somebody else's fault.
A question raised by President Obama's immortal line on CBS's "60 Minutes"
on Sunday—"I think that, you know, as President, I bear responsibility for
everything, to some degree"—is what that degree really is. Maybe 70% or 80%
of the buck stops with him? Or is it halfsies?
Nope. Now we know: It turns out the figure is 10%. The other 90% is somebody
else's fault.
This revelation came when Steve Kroft mentioned that the nati... 阅读全帖 |
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i**y
发帖数: 1170 | 28 I don't quite understand. Now you are comparing this recession with the
great depression?
how long did it take for USA to fully recover from 2001 recession? DEM
thought Clinton did a good job, but he actually left Bush with a collapsing
high-tech bubble. The recession started right after Bush took the oval
office but ended just a few months later. Can I say Bush is a great
president to avoid a bigger trouble of the tech-bubble? No, he pumped a
bigger bubble, housing.
Same logic here. Obama avoid... 阅读全帖 |
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B******e
发帖数: 16928 | 29 LZ knows nothing about economy. The worse the recession, the stronger the
recovery. Just check all those recessions in U.S. history. The intuition is
quite simple: market mechanism. Take an extreme case, suppose housing prices
drop to zero, then everybody would like to buy houses and market demand
will drive price up. The more severe the drop the stronger the recovery will
be. Even if a dog were the president of the U.S., the recovery can be
driven by the invisible hand. However, Obama's policy ... 阅读全帖 |
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d********f
发帖数: 43471 | 30 Multiple reports of welfare abuse have hit the headlines in recent weeks,
from a million-dollar lottery winner receiving food stamps to a
Massachusetts drug dealer attempting to use welfare cash to post bail and an
Alabama nightclub advertising a “Food Stamp Friday” party.
These examples highlight the need to reform a welfare system that is
contributing to a culture of entitlement. A crucial element of reform is
tackling the ballooning costs of the welfare state, which has become the
fastest gro... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 31 Secretary of the Treasury Jack Lew called on Congress Thursday to "raise the
debt ceiling as soon as members get back to Washington after summer recess."
Lew delivered a strident, partisan speech, repeating familiar arguments from
the 2012 presidential campaign.
Many of Lew's remarks were, in fact, repetitions of remarks he had given on
May 7 at the City Club of Cleveland. Compare the following paragraphs (
emphasis added on verbatim repetitions):
Cleveland, May 7:
Just over four yea... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 32 Extended Unemployment Benefits Slow Growth, Hoax on the Working Poor
Reinstating emergency unemployment benefits, as President Obama urges, would
slow growth and impose unconscionable burdens on the working poor.
State governments provide a basic benefit, averaging $300 per week for 26
weeks. During the Great Recession, Washington financed additional benefits
for as long as 99 weeks.
With the recovery in its 55th month, the emergency is over. Another
extension would make long-term benefits de fa... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 33 U.S. Economic Growth Slows To a Crawl in First Quarter
Frigid Weather, Weak Exports Curtail Activity
WASHINGTON—The U.S. economy nearly stalled in the first quarter as weakness
overseas hurt exports and frigid weather curtailed business investment.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced
across the economy, grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 0.1% in the
first quarter, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. That matched the
second-weakest quarterly r... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 34 21.7% of American Children Were on Food Stamps in 2014
January 29, 2015 - 12:27 PM
By Ali Meyer
(CNSNews.com) - One in five children, or 21.7 percent, received food stamps
in 2014, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau released Thursday –
more than at the beginning of the 2007 recession.
“The number of children receiving food stamps remains higher than it was
before the start of the Great Recession in 2007,” reports the Census Bureau
. “The rate of children living with married parents wh... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 35 February 17, 2015 - 12:16 PM
By Ali Meyer
(CNSNews.com) - 30.3 percent of 18- to 34-year-olds are living with a parent
, according to data from the Census Bureau.
The data comes from a Census release called “Young Adults: Then and Now,”
which “illustrates characteristics of the young adult population (age 18-34
) across the decades using data from the 1980, 1990 and 2000 Censuses and
the 2009-2013 American Community Survey.”
In 1980, according to the Census, 22.9 percent of the total population ... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******o
发帖数: 8869 | 36 千呼万唤的《纸牌屋》第三季终于上映了，老谋深算的民主党众议院党鞭（whip）安德
伍德（Frank Underwood）经过在前两季中的运筹帷幄，不择手段和排除异己，终于爬
上了总统的宝座，可以大展身手，为自己的政治遗产奋斗了。不知道为什么，看《纸牌
屋》的第三季好像不如前两季那么痛快淋漓。这其中的一个原因可能是安德伍德在前两
季是躲在暗处算计别人，但是在第三季，安德伍德已经身为总统，高高在上，成为别人
阴谋诡计的对象。他再想施展拳脚就不象以前那样随心所欲了。一个例子就是他提名自
己的老婆克莱尔出任美国驻联合国大使竟然被参议院否决了，逼得他不得不利用参议院
休会的间隙把克莱尔推上大使的宝座。
《纸牌屋》的这个情节来自于美国宪法第二条第二款：（总统）他有权提名,并于取得
参议院的意见和同意后,任命大使、公使及领事、最高法院的法官….。这是美国政治运
作中权力互相制衡的一种手段，总统虽然有权力任命自己的行政班子，但是这个任命必
须经过立法机构参议院的同意才能生效。克莱尔在任命的听证会上中了共和党的诡计，
和参议员吵了起来，大失风度，输掉了提名。
如果我们对宪法的这一条深究一下，就不难发现一... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 37 Professor Calls For A Depression To Fight Global Warming
BY KERRY JACKSON
05:33 PM ET
Are those who continually hector us about saving our world from global
warming truly interested in the planet, or is there some other motive at
work? Quite clearly, it's the latter.
Sometimes the warming warriors will let their real reasons slip. Christiana
Figueres, executive secretary of United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change, has admitted that the aim of climate activists is not to
save us fro... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 38 Robert 5 minutes ago
.. I found this joke, or a least I think it is a joke..
Hillary Clinton goes to a gifted-student primary school in New York to talk
about the world. After her talk she offers question time.
One little boy puts up his hand. Hillary asks him what his name is. "Kenneth
.” "And what is your question, Kenneth?"
"I have three questions:
First - whatever happened in Benghazi?
Second - why would you run for President after your husband shamed the
office?
Third –whatever happened to ... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 39 Stephen Moore : Hillary’s Economic Plan Would Lead America OFF A CLIFF
By Stephen Moore
One of the dumbest statements in modern times was Speaker of the House Nancy
Pelosi’s declaration that “the best way to stimulate the economy” is
through food stamps and unemployment insurance.
This economic mumbo jumbo defies basic common sense and helps explain why we
still have more than 40 million Americans on food stamps — evidently, the
more that get free food, the more prosperous we become. This is the... 阅读全帖 |
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T**********1
发帖数: 2406 | 41 1929 recession turned into a painful Depression was because of the policies
of the Democratic President.
First thing he did when he took office was to shut down all banks, which
immediately cause the deepening of recession . When merchants cut to price
to cope with reduce economic activities, he implemented price control and
wage control policies. Merchants were not allowed to cut price because of
the Law. Market for products can't clear so businesses can't sell products
because price is too... 阅读全帖 |
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W*****B
发帖数: 4796 | 42 Hillary Clinton goes to a gifted-student primary school in New York to talk
about the world. After her talk she offers to answer questions from the kids.
One little boy puts up his hand. Hillary asks him what his name is.
"Kenny," he says.
"And what is your question, Kenny?" she asks.
"I have three questions," he says. "First -- what happened in
Benghazi? "Second -- why would you run for president if you are not
capable of handling two e-mail accounts? "Third ... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 43 September 28, 2016
Uh, Hillary, Your Hubby Caused the 2008 Recession
By Jack Cashill
On the debate stage Monday night, Hillary Clinton smugly repeated the big
lie that Democrats have been telling with something close to impunity since
2008.
“We had the worst financial crisis, the Great Recession, the worst since
the 1930s,” said Hillary. “That was in large part because of tax policies
that slashed taxes on the wealthy, failed to invest in the middle class,
took their eyes off of Wall Street, and... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****1
发帖数: 3817 | 44 自己去看美国宪法
United States Constitution
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search
United States Constitution
Constitution of the United States, page 1.jpg
Page one of the original copy of the Constitution
Created
September 17, 1787
Ratified
June 21, 1788
Date effective
March 4, 1789; 227 years ago
Location
National Archives,
Washington, D.C.
Author(s)
Philadelphia Convention
Signatories
39 of the 55 delegates
Purpose
To replace the Articles of Confederation (1777)
This articl... 阅读全帖 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 45 给NLRB安了俩anti-union律师。
Trump to Nominate Big Law and Government Lawyer for Labor Board Spots
The Trump Administration has submitted attorneys Marvin Kaplan and William
Emanuel for FBI background checks, and it plans to nominate them by June to
fill the two vacant slots on the National Labor Relations Board, sources
briefed on White House plans confirmed to Bloomberg today.
The administration hopes to have the new members confirmed by the Senate
before the August recess, the sources said.
Business... 阅读全帖 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 47
掉。
是可以recess上任，如果有recess。但开除塞解决不了问题后任也很难找，recess过后
在国会通不过怎么办，开除了mueller国会指定独立检察官更难搞。弹劾只是政治上的
风向，法律上没有underlying crime，床铺开除谁也不会真正犯罪。 |
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W*****e
发帖数: 7759 | 48 【 以下文字转载自 Shanghai 讨论区 】
发信人: vanquish (AM的扇子), 信区: Shanghai
标 题: 从UCLA听经济学家讨论会回来, 有点吓到
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Feb 15 02:52:14 2009)
朋友把我抓去听UCLA经济学家讨论会, 有World bank, 德意志银行, IMF一堆人. 听下
来的结果
欧洲, 马上就要经济风暴 (epic financial storm >>>> 1990年代亚洲). 下半年东欧
全面破产, EU小国基本上也要破
产. 德国可能还好, 英国基本上破产. 意大利, 西班牙可能退出EURO ZONE
亚洲, 日本会继续lost decade, 基本上是lost two to three decades at least
中国, very very serious recession, 但是中国lucky, 这个recession是
garden variety recession with garden
variety solution, 不过不可能一年结束. 中国会 |
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W*****e
发帖数: 7759 | 49 【 以下文字转载自 Shanghai 讨论区 】
发信人: vanquish (AM的扇子), 信区: Shanghai
标 题: 从UCLA听经济学家讨论会回来, 有点吓到
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Feb 15 02:52:14 2009)
朋友把我抓去听UCLA经济学家讨论会, 有World bank, 德意志银行, IMF一堆人. 听下
来的结果
欧洲, 马上就要经济风暴 (epic financial storm >>>> 1990年代亚洲). 下半年东欧
全面破产, EU小国基本上也要破
产. 德国可能还好, 英国基本上破产. 意大利, 西班牙可能退出EURO ZONE
亚洲, 日本会继续lost decade, 基本上是lost two to three decades at least
中国, very very serious recession, 但是中国lucky, 这个recession是
garden variety recession with garden
variety solution, 不过不可能一年结束. 中国会 |
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n******n
发帖数: 12088 | 50 来自主题: Investment版 - 很想烧国债 PIMCO will purchase Treasuries on recession risk
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/PIMCO-will-change-US-short-rb-329
老哥说了，美国再次进入衰退，他才会买国债。
Asked Friday what would change his bet against government debt, Gross told Reuters: "Treasury yields are currently yielding substantially less than historical averages when compared with inflation. Perhaps the only justification for a further rally would be weak economic growth or a future recession that substantially lowered inflation and inflationary expectatio... 阅读全帖 |
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