l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 1 德经济学家预测难民会让德国耗费9000亿欧元
German Economist Concludes Refugees Will Ultimately Cost Germany 00
Billion
In contrast to the absurd Keynesian position that refugees will pay for
themselves via higher growth rates, German economist Bernd Raffelhüschen
estimates that over the long haul Refugees Will Cost Germany 00 billion.
Via translation ... Bernd Raffelhüschen, director of the Research Center
for Generational Contracts totals the cost of all government spending on
refugees, including social insurance,... 阅读全帖 |
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t***h
发帖数: 2924 | 2 Trump set the stage, and the tone of the debate.
He's the master of realistic, and will be the powerful leader to pull the
nation back to the right track. |
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f**********n
发帖数: 29853 | 3 Thomas Sowell: Getting Real About Fantasies Called ‘Entitlements’
During this election year, we are destined to hear many words that are toxic
in the way they misrepresent reality and substitute fantasies that can win
votes. One of these words is “entitlement.”
To hear some politicians tell it, we are all entitled to all sorts of things
, ranging from “affordable housing” to “a living wage.” But the reality
is that the human race is not entitled to anything, not even the food we
need to stay ali... 阅读全帖 |
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s********t
发帖数: 4150 | 4 Realistically speaking, Trump会差Cruz多少delegates? ~50? |
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s*******1
发帖数: 16479 | 5 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: beijingren (to thine own self be true), 信区: Military
标 题: Re: 床铺和被压迫人的奋起
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Mar 4 21:53:46 2016, 美东)
PEGGY NOONAN: Donald Trump and the Rise of the Unprotected:
There are the protected and the unprotected. The protected make public
policy. The unprotected live in it. The unprotected are starting to push
back, powerfully.
The protected are the accomplished, the secure, the successful—those who
have power or access to it. They are protected from muc... 阅读全帖 |
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l*y
发帖数: 21010 | 6 Bloomberg View
Home
Editorial Board
Columnists
Topics
QuickTake
More
The stakes are high.
Photographer: Chip Somodevilla/Getty ImagesTHE STAKES ARE HIGH.
PHOTOGRAPHER: CHIP SOMODEVILLA/GETTY IMAGES
2016 ELECTIONS
The Risk I Will Not Take
MAR 7, 2016 5:00 PM EST
By Michael R. Bloomberg
a A
Americans today face a profound challenge to preserve our common values and
national promise.
Wage stagnation at home and our declining influence abroad have left
Americans angry and frustrated. And yet ... 阅读全帖 |
|
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c***n
发帖数: 1034 | 8 “呼唤驱逐非法移民和禁止非美国公民入境”是没有问题的。不受宪法第一修正案保护
的是他说的“kick them out”，“punch him in the face”，“more fun”，“I
will pay the legal fee”。他的这些煽动暴力言论不受宪法第一修正案保护，因为这
些言论导致imminent and realistic支持者对抗议者的施暴。
人们对他的大规模的警惕和反对是因为他的这些言论真实地导致了立即的暴力后果。人
们也有理由相信他未来很可能处于政治考量做出更加危害社会的事情。在我看来这是人
们强烈反对他的原因。 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 9 No, Not Trump, Not Ever
David Brooks
David Brooks MARCH 18, 2016
The voters have spoken.
In convincing fashion, Republican voters seem to be selecting Donald Trump
as their nominee. And in a democracy, victory has legitimacy to it. Voters
are rarely wise but are usually sensible. They understand their own problems
. And so deference is generally paid to the candidate who wins.
And deference is being paid. Gov. Rick Scott of Florida is urging
Republicans to coalesce around Trump. Pundits are comi... 阅读全帖 |
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 10 I don't see Cruz has any realistic chance to win the primary.
But Trump needs to kill Cruz in Arizona. |
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x****d
发帖数: 2239 | 11 Let's be realistic: if all other races agree with AA, Chinese can't say no
either.
But we need get something back. With current representation of those Chinese
democratic representatives, we get bad deals. |
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s********t
发帖数: 4150 | 12 Money is only part of it, I think. Crooked Hillary getting indicted is a
realistic possibility. |
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t**********r
发帖数: 882 | 13 Do your math and you will know how realistic 15% tax rate is. |
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a****n
发帖数: 1528 | 14 Donald Trump is epically unprepared to be president. He has no realistic
policies, no advisers, no capacity to learn. His vast narcissism makes him a
closed fortress. He doesn’t know what he doesn’t know and he’s
uninterested in finding out. He insults the office Abraham Lincoln once
occupied by running for it with less preparation than most of us would
undertake to buy a sofa. |
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 15
I think I hear him pretty clearly. He said his plan is a proposal, a tax
cut for everyone, including the rich. But he does not think it can be all
accepted by the left. Instead of forcing his plan through, he is willing to
negotiate with the left and the rich, hopefully getting a deal that the left
would accept and the rich will pay more that his plan proposed, while the
tax
cut for the middle class can remain intact. It sounds realistic. Would he
do it this way, I don't know. I am not a Trump ... 阅读全帖 |
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j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 16 英文原文，Cited from page 273 to page 286
Charles W. Sweeney, et al., War's End: An Eyewitness Account of
America's Last Atomic Mission, July 6, 1999, Quill Press
此书Amazon有售
http://www.amazon.com/Wars-End-Eyewitness-Account-Americas/dp/0
Testimony of Major General Charles W. Sweeney, U.S.A.F. (Ret.)
delivered before the United States Senate Committee on Rules and
Administration – hearings on the Smithsonian Institution: Management
Guidelines for the Future, May 11, 1995.
I am Major General Charles W.... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 17 I think the most severe problem is that Americans are priced out of jobs.
Supposedly free trade would free Americans from low end jobs and they can
focus on more creative and profitable jobs. But realistically, most people
can only do low end jobs. A liberal mantra is that everybody has potential
and all they need is to be provided with education and opportunities. But no
matter how much education they get, the majority are not going to be on the
creative front of the world labor force. So a gen... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******1
发帖数: 16479 | 18 我觉得朱利安尼并非同情非移，而是being realistic。 to deport all the illegal
immigrants is just not possible in real life. Register them. Have record
of those who never committed a crime and let them pay tax is a far more
feasible way to achieve the goal
front-runners, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney attacked rival Rudy
Giuliani Wednesday, implying that Giuliani supported illegal immigration
when he was mayor of New York. |
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j****y
发帖数: 597 | 19 是的，朱利安尼非常realistic. trump也是这样类型。
朱利安尼在电视上明确说，黑人百分之九十几是被黑人杀死的，那些警察如果不是为了
保护黑人，谁愿意冒生命危险去烂区。
民主党的人讲究pc, 事实怎样根本不在乎。
illegal
record |
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H***l
发帖数: 1936 | 20 http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2016/08/01/open-letter-to-mr-khizr-khan.html
An open letter to Mr. Khizr Khan
Dear Mr. Khan,
I, like millions of Americans saw your speech at the DNC on Thursday night.
I wish to offer my sympathy for the death of your son, Captain Humayun Khan,
who was killed in action in Iraq.
As a former US Army officer, and a veteran of the Gulf War, I can certainly
understand the pain and anguish that you and your wife endure every day.
Your son died saving the lives of his fe... 阅读全帖 |
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w*********g
发帖数: 30882 | 21 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: wayofflying (小破熊), 信区: Military
标 题: 6年前我预言的事开始--加州告急，同胞们请伸出援手 zt
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Aug 11 10:05:39 2016, 美东)
黑墨开始着手哄抢教育福利、工作福利和住房福利了。 这是我6年前预言过的事情
http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_53a7ac510102vl5b.html
===================================================
-加州告急，同胞们请伸出援手 zt
来源: sunnypacific 于 2016-08-11 06:22:26 [档案] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已
被阅读：162 次 (25752 bytes)
字体：调大/重置/调小 | 加入书签 | 打印 | 所有跟帖 | 加跟贴 | 当前最热讨论主题
美国是在找死的路上狂奔?-加州告急，同胞们请伸出援手 zt
送交者: 一枪中的 2016年08月10日10:01:47 于 [... 阅读全帖 |
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z*****y
发帖数: 554 | 22 To answer LZ's question: I am a hard core anti-liberal, anti-Communism, anti
-Socialism, anti-political correctness, small government, low tax, rationale
, realistic non-Trump-fan old right winger who endorses and admires Trump
for bringing many innocent and independent people to the big right tent. |
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a*********a
发帖数: 3656 | 23 I actually find that more realistic.
I do not even have problem if he leaves eventual citizenship open. just that
those who pass a background check get back in line with a working or F visa
and go through the visa to green card to citizen process as all other
immigrants, and they must wait behind all legal immigrants who came before
they "come of out the closet".
let s face it, the 1st gen would wait in line forever, the 2nd gen are
automatic citizens anyway.
so called pay back tax and stuff are... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 24 The “Racial card”, how long Politicians still want to play?
种族这张牌政客们还要打多久？
The general election just like playing a card game, when no candidate is
perfect (let’s be realistic, do we really expect a perfect candidate?), who
has the most powerful cards left on their deck will most likely to win the
final race. There are many types of cards each candidate could play: vision
for the country, economy, strategies to defeat ISIS, solutions for income
inequality, international relation etc. All of them... 阅读全帖 |
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p*******e
发帖数: 2310 | 25 早上开车时听的，Bill Spadea said Hillary’s answer was BS, all the great
ideas she has need money, but who is going to pay for all the things that
she had proposed. While trump is the person who gives an answer that trying
to solve the real problem, like creating jobs.
I also hear people calling in, saying about the same thing. People feel that
Hillary is talking about very fancy things, but not realistic, more like a
politically talking.
So I guess that’s why the poll shows Trump wins? Because this is t... 阅读全帖 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 26 ... if Trump's poll #s drop big time in coming days. Pence could
beat Hillary giving her loads of scandals if Trump steps aside. It
is time to think of plan B, folks. Time to be realistic.
Unless Wikileaks releases an even bigger bombshell on Hillary fast,
Trump will lose a big pile of independent / woman voters and thus
the election for sure. Pence as president OTOH is not bad at all. |
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l***o
发帖数: 7937 | 27 http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3480782/posts?page=46
后面评论不错
Rasmussen and PPD show similar results. So this poll validated independently
. If one does the math on the D+10 polls out there by making them a
realistic D+5 they, too, show a tie game. The election will be decided by
late game choices by the 5% true undecided. |
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G****e
发帖数: 11198 | 28 Julie Nagel:
It's women like Hillary that make all women look bad. Disgrace. She has not
worked her way to the top, she has bought her way, lied, killed, and done
corrupt things her whole life. That is not a role model.
Hillary and Obama are not listening to intelligence of Isis entering the
country. Same as Bill Clinton ignored the intelligence of Osama Bin Ladin.
History repeats itself. 911 was 9 months into Bush's term. Clinton was the
one that was warned and they had Osama located and wanted... 阅读全帖 |
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t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 30 CNN前一主持人刚说Trump election is over， 后一个人，带着一批专家，又把他批一
通，结论有是no realistic person still think Trump is in the race。好了，到此
为止。
下一个节目又来了。。。， 有完没完啊？你们已经下结论了，有没有必要每天24小时
不断重复啊？
NBC也是如此，观众满耳都是Trump，你们怕不怕反作用啊？
: 老太婆稳蝇，精选经费太多了花不完，现在就使劲儿造，吃回扣。
|
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l********k
发帖数: 14844 | 31 这帮主持人一个高潮接着另一个高潮，都没有不应期。
: CNN前一主持人刚说Trump election is over， 后一个人，带着一批专家，又把
他批一
: 通，结论有是no realistic person still think Trump is in the race。好了
，到此
: 为止。
: 下一个节目又来了。。。， 有完没完啊？你们已经下结论了，有没有必要每天
24小时
: 不断重复啊？
|
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s*********l
发帖数: 213 | 32 政治团体里也不是第一次出现REAL women
参见加拿大的组织 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/REAL_Women_of_Canada
隔壁连spin的对白都想好了，还怕个球，男人那么叽歪女人都不如
发信人: realLaw (), 信区: USANews
标 题: 大家注意 大写的REAL
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Oct 29 17:50:10 2016, 美东)
其实就是保守派的意思
REAL stands for "Realistic, Equal, Active, for Life".
估计是那个组织想多曝光 反正被spin最好 希望她们给了分子钱 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 33 其实就是保守派的意思
REAL stands for "Realistic, Equal, Active, for Life".
估计是那个组织想多曝光 反正被spin最好 希望她们给了分子钱 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 34 Pollsters Claim Black Voters More Excited About Hillary Than They Ever Were
For Obama
Luke Rosiak
Investigative Reporter
7:25 PM 11/01/2016
Black Lives Matter Sign Joseph Sohm / Shutterstock.com, Hillary Clinton:
Evan El-Amin / Shutterstock.com Black Lives Matter Sign Joseph Sohm /
Shutterstock.com, Hillary Clinton: Evan El-Amin / Shutterstock.com
Polls showing Hillary Clinton with a massive lead over Donald Trump are
based on the dubious assumption that black voters will turn out for a white
... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 35 Being a Teacher Is Making Me Question Humanity
Eve B.,xoJane 22 hours ago
I've had parents tell me that I was the reason that their child would fail
at life.
Growing up, I had many ambitions: pop star, horse whisperer, and probably
most realistically, teacher. As a kid, I used to subject my baby brother to
hours of carefully orchestrated lessons, which I’m sure he found thrilling.
As high school ended, and then my first year of college, I faced a choice.
What was I going to be? I thought fleetin... 阅读全帖 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 36 老白今年没动作让给老太肠子都悔青了
Vice President Joe Biden told a small group of reporters Monday that he may
run for president in 2020.
"Yeah, I am. I am going to run in 2020," Biden said when asked if he would
run for office again. When asked what role he would seek, the 74-year-old
vice president responded: "For president. And also, you know so, what the
hell man, anyway."
"I'm not committing not to run. I'm not committed to anything. I learned a
long time ago, fate has a strange way of intervening," he said... 阅读全帖 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 37 President Trump ignites a lot of fights, but the biggest defeat in his short
time in the White House was the result of a long-running Republican civil
war that had already humbled a generation of party leaders before him.
A precedent-flouting president who believes that Washington’s usual rules
and consequences of politics do not apply to him, Mr. Trump now finds
himself shackled by them.
In stopping the repeal of the Affordable Care Act, the Republican Party’s
professed priority for the last se... 阅读全帖 |
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w****h
发帖数: 1344 | 38 Will Trump drain the swamp? Unfortunately, no. Because there were
hundreds of trillions of dollars behind them. Trump is not going risk
everything he has, betray all his billionare friends, betray his daughter,
sons, and his in laws to fight for a mission impossible. It is not
realistic to expect Trump "drain the swamp". I am OK with it. I am happy
with what he has done. Hundreds of millions people will benefit from Trump'
s economic and foreign policy. That is what matters. On the oth... 阅读全帖 |
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x****d
发帖数: 2239 | 39 more realistic? Le Pen will win in 2022. By that time EU is gone, France is
shithole. |
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j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 40 Sanders investigation: Bernie's wife attempted to evict disabled group home
residents, report claims
Sen. Bernie Sanders’s wife has been accused of heartlessly trying to boot
disabled group home residents when she was president of a Vermont college
and closed on a real estate deal now under FBI scrutiny.
The home with 16 residents was on property Jane O’Meara Sanders purchased
for Burlington College in 2010 as part of an expansion project, the
conservative watchdog group Judicial Watch claimed T... 阅读全帖 |
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d*2
发帖数: 2053 | 41 https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/03/world/europe/uk-trump-pope-francis-
charlie-gard.html
人家自己掏钱送美国治病也不行么？
LONDON — Charlie Gard, who turns 11 months old on Tuesday, was born with an
extremely rare genetic disease. He is blind and deaf, and he cannot breathe
or move on his own. He suffers from persistent epileptic seizures.
Now he is at the center of a global debate, drawing in the Vatican and
President Trump, over what medical treatment, if any, he is entitled to
receive, and who decides — his f... 阅读全帖 |
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h****r
发帖数: 258 | 42 Inside the Left’s Plans to Occupy Trump
Veterans of Occupy Wall Street are dusting off an old protest tactic for a
new era.
NEW YORK — One week after Charlottesville, “the Resistance” is planning
its next move. Members of a group calling itself “Refuse Fascism” met in
five cities around the country on Saturday with the intent to plan and
organize nationwide demonstrations later this year. Their goal, according to
Eva Sahana, a 22 year-old organizer, is simply to “drive out the Trump and
Pence fa... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 43 Hillary Clinton said Tuesday that she would have been called a "genius" and
her campaign "perfect" if she had won the 2016 presidential election.
In an interview with WNYC, the former secretary of State reflected on being
the first female presidential nominee of a major political party. She said
that because of the hurdles women face, she would have been hailed as
brilliant if she won.
"I thought it was pretty revolutionary that I was the first woman to have a
realistic chance of becoming presid... 阅读全帖 |
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z*****8
发帖数: 1051 | 44 http://blog.dilbert.com/post/165334092961/i-explain-the-persuasion-techniques-president
I Explain the Persuasion Techniques President Trump is using on The Wall and
DACA
Visual Persuasion: President Trump describes border security (a concept)
with the word “wall” because you can visualize it. Our visual sense is our
most persuasive path for influence. It would be weak persuasion to talk
about border security as a concept without a visual.
Simplicity: Border security is a big topic, and the metho... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 45 http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2017/10/24/juan-williams-trumps-cynical-sabotage-obamacare.html
“If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor. If you like your
plan,
you can keep your plan.”
For years, Republicans used that exaggerated pledge to thrash the Affordable
Care Act (ACA) and President Obama for not keeping his promise. Politifact
labeled it as “lie of the year” in 2013.
Politifact will have a lot of lies to choose from this year, given the
hurricane of fals... 阅读全帖 |
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t*b
发帖数: 850 | 46 Using an example of $134k W-2 income, $424k LLC income. This W-2 to LLC
income ratio reflects Obama's average W-2 to his book business income for
2008-2015, but at a more realistic total income level for some business
owners (assuming one spouse on W-2 and one on LLC).
$134k W-2 income, $424k LLC income
1. adjust self-employment retirement plans, per some CPA, one LLC owner
could get up to around $127k retirement plan. so here we maximize this
adjustment
2. Under current law, assuming $70k itemi... 阅读全帖 |
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p******e
发帖数: 897 | 47 A profile of Steve Bannon indicates that the Breitbart chief is getting
increasingly frustrated with President Donald Trump, and might tap into his
own presidential ambitions in the coming years.
Vanity Fair’s Gabriel Sherman wrote an extensive report stating that the
former White House chief strategist has expressed concern to various aides
about the longevity of Trump’s presidency. Even though Trump and Bannon are
believed to be still in close contact with each other, the latter is
unhappy wit... 阅读全帖 |
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l********l
发帖数: 4 | 48 This post is pure bullshit.
With the current interest rate, 10-year treasury notes return is ~2.5%. You
spend $100 to buy treasury now, you will get $102.5 back in 10 years. Or,
more realistically, you pay ~$97.5 to buy US treasury notes with face value
$100, which will mature in 10 years.
What happens when the interest rate increases? Obvious, higher interest rate
means higher treasury return. Lets say the interest rate increases and 10-
year notes return is 3.5%. Now you can pay ~$96.5 to buy ... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******e
发帖数: 5818 | 49 本人一直以为 星巴克是 自由派的 一面 大旗！
Howard Schultz: So Many Voices In Democratic Party Are Going So Far To The
Left
On Tuesday's edition of CNBC's Squawk Box, Starbucks founder Howard Schultz
said the Democratic party has gone too far left and asked a simple question
about public programs: "How are we going to pay for these things?"
SCHULTZ: It concerns me that so many voices within the Democratic Party are
going so far to the left. I say to myself, 'How are we going to pay for
these things,' in terms of th... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******e
发帖数: 5818 | 50 如果抢到，后果不堪设想，
俄州法庭，对一个有 持枪犯罪的被告庭审，法官拒绝对 给被告 concealed restraint
的 请求，结果这个被告 试图抢枪，被迅速制服，
如果 允许 concealed restraint，就是一种 “electronic restraint” ，即使不能
在开始阻止被告开始抢枪，但 一旦抢到，警察也可以给 electric shock，并制服被告
，而不至于 出人命，人名很可能是 被告本人 和其它法警，工作人员 等 的。
所以，对 法官这个拒绝 很不理解，不过就是 一个 concealed restraint，还主要是
预防为主，也许这个 concealed restraint 对身体有巨大的 损害？ 反正不太理解！
觉得这个 法官对罪犯 无理的 “仁慈” ！
###########
Oregon man lunges for police officer’s gun during trial in shocking video
A shocking video captured the moment a defendant on trial We... 阅读全帖 |
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