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全部话题 - 话题: probabity
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d******1
发帖数: 92
1
来自主题: Mathematics版 - 问一个关于converge 的问题 (转载)
【 以下文字转载自 Statistics 讨论区 】
发信人: dealsea1 (deal2buy), 信区: Statistics
标 题: 问一个关于converge 的问题
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Sep 12 10:07:34 2009, 美东)
probabality converge 和almost true converge 到底有什么区别呀,能不能举一个
probabality converge, while almost true not converge 的例子,那位高人指点一
下,很急呀, 马上要交作业了
u*****l
发帖数: 444
2
来自主题: Mathematics版 - 美国高中生发表SCI数学论文
我开会碰到一个低年级PHD,是我见过最牛B的PHD, 本科的时候发了一堆paper了,包括
Ann of Math. 这人刚从普林毕业,在斯坦福第一年还是第二年,刚做了Hilbert--Smith
conjecture for three-manifolds.做的领域也相当广,代数几何,拓扑,概率都做. 个人
感觉这个人比同时期的TAO要强.
The Hilbert--Smith conjecture for three-manifolds. Submitted. (April 2012).
The link concordance invariant from Lee homology. Algebr. Geom. Topol. 12 (
2012), no. 2, 1081--1098. Published Version. MR2928905.
(with János Kollár). Algebraic varieties with semialgebraic universal
cover. J. Topol. 5 (2012), no. 1, 199--212. Publi... 阅读全帖
o*******w
发帖数: 349
3
来自主题: Mathematics版 - 求文章
有两篇关键的文章就是找不到。请帮忙
J. D. Biggins “Chernoff's Theorem in the branching random walk”. Jnl. Appl
. Probab. (1977), 14, 630-636.
J. D. Biggins “Martingale convergence in the branching random walk”. Jnl.
Appl. Probab (1977), 14, 25-37.
发到这里
[email protected]
/* */
谢谢
d******1
发帖数: 92
4
来自主题: Statistics版 - 问一个关于converge 的问题
probabality converge 和almost true converge 到底有什么区别呀,能不能举一个
probabality converge, while almost true not converge 的例子,那位高人指点一
下,很急呀, 马上要交作业了
w********d
发帖数: 369
5
来自主题: History版 - 《建党伟业》的确是伟业
though you probabely need a visa to get into china...
g*q
发帖数: 26623
6
来自主题: Military版 - Google这几天上蹿下跳啊
早上的新闻
Google Says Web Search, Advertising Being Blocked in China
下午变成
Google changes tune, search still working in China
Google says its search engine and several other services are working
normally in mainland China after previously reporting the service had been
completely blocked.
The company's system for tracking Internet access may have misinterpreted
what was happening to its search, mobile and advertising services in China,
according to a Google statement issued late Thursday.
That probab
y***l
发帖数: 6963
7
来自主题: Military版 - 鬼子们湿了
Check your geography folks. Beijing to Shanghai does not make a high speed r
ail "system". Besides, how will they get to the village 5 miles away? Probab
ly by oxcart, or moped. And based on their well deserved reputation for buil
ding crap, I wouldn't set foot on that accident waiting to happen.
牛车都出来了
w*******e
发帖数: 15912
8
http://www.wenxuecity.com/news/2011/10/30/1516498.html
一片沸腾!看看美国愤青讨论:
导读:这是从美国某着名军事网站上整理出美国网友关于“假如中美开战”的专题讨论
和跟贴,且看美国的愤青都怎么说吧!
China would win。 We wouldn’t use nukes and they have more people
中国会赢,我们不会使用核武器而他们有更多的人。
sorry buddy, but america is nuke happy and if any one f*cks with them,
about 50 are headed in their direction
对不起,哥们,但美国是非常乐意使用核武器的,谁要敢招美国,就会有50颗弹头对向
他。
You are a f*cking dumbass。 China has been stealing our nuclear military
secrets for years。 For all we know, they could sabotage our... 阅读全帖
w*********g
发帖数: 30882
9
美国愤青们谈“假如中美开战”, 美国向中国同时投1500颗核弹
来源: 小黑白菜 于 2011-11-03 09:05:06 [档案] [博客] 旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄
悄话] 本文已被阅读:49次 字体:调大/调小/重置 | 加入书签 | 打印 | 所有跟帖 |
加跟贴 | 查看当前最热讨论主题
导读:这是从美国某着名军事网站上整理出美国网友关于“假如中美开战”的专题讨论
和跟贴,看美国的愤青都怎么说吧!
China would win。 We wouldn’t use nukes and they have more people
中国会赢,我们不会使用核武器而他们有更多的人。
sorry buddy, but america is nuke happy and if any one f*cks with them,
about 50 are headed in their direction
对不起,哥们,但美国是非常乐意使用核武器的,谁要敢招美国,就会有50颗弹头对向
他。
You are a f*cking dumbass。 China has been steali... 阅读全帖
s********i
发帖数: 17328
10
美剧里,你如果拿到DNA去抓人,没问题,但不能抓到人在查DNA,基本常识,probab
cause。如果,你无缘无故抓了人,再查DNA,那么DNA证据是无效的。
DNA不需要造假,因为就是警方一句话,你去查证据,对不起,查完,丢失了。另外,
妓女说没带套。
退一万步,造假也很容易,前列腺弄点东西,放套里就行了。
J*V
发帖数: 3150
11
美国愤青们谈“假如中美开战”, 美国向中国同时投1500颗核弹
来源: 小黑白菜 于 2011-11-03 09:05:06 [档案] [博客] 旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄
悄话] 本文已被阅读:49次 字体:调大/调小/重置 | 加入书签 | 打印 | 所有跟帖 |
加跟贴 | 查看当前最热讨论主题
导读:这是从美国某着名军事网站上整理出美国网友关于“假如中美开战”的专题讨论
和跟贴,看美国的愤青都怎么说吧!
China would win。 We wouldn’t use nukes and they have more people
中国会赢,我们不会使用核武器而他们有更多的人。
sorry buddy, but america is nuke happy and if any one f*cks with them,
about 50 are headed in their direction
对不起,哥们,但美国是非常乐意使用核武器的,谁要敢招美国,就会有50颗弹头对向
他。
You are a f*cking dumbass。 China has been steali... 阅读全帖
f*******e
发帖数: 489
12
来自主题: USANews版 - Let's talk about liberal facts.
You know, truly, this conversation is not very fulfilling. I lost all intere
st.
Piece of advice: it'll probabally do you a lot of good should you expand you
r vacabulary a little bit beyond "libtard", and stay away from those awkward
one-liners. And stop watching Foxnews... But who am I kidding?
b********t
发帖数: 1776
13
疮舔又要忙洗地了
A comment Flynn made last year on MSNBC: "when you are given immunity, that
means you probably committed a crime."
n***t
发帖数: 8357
14
lol
really? can u find the video?
n***t
发帖数: 8357
N*******M
发帖数: 3963
16
也许真是 smart move

that
b********t
发帖数: 1776
17
Mike Flynn Offers to Testify Against Trump In Exchange for Immunity
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7pBq_1cOTuc
今夜我们都是床粉,哈哈哈
b********t
发帖数: 1776
b********t
发帖数: 1776
19
疮舔还是准备洗地吧
A congressional aide confirmed to the Associated Press that discussions with
the Senate intelligence committee involved immunity. The aide spoke on the
condition of anonymity to discuss private conversations.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/03/30/flynn-in-talks-to-testify-in-trump-russia-probe-if-assured-immunity.html

saying
s********e
发帖数: 1503
20
这话是common sense,难道左逼不同意?

:疮舔又要忙洗地了
:A comment Flynn made last year on MSNBC: "when you are given immunity
, that means you probably committed a crime."
b********t
发帖数: 1776
21
不管你是什么逼,你的智商肯定小于74
c******2
发帖数: 4019
22

人都说左棍是蠢货了,还要反复确认吗,要不脑门上刻字吧
t*******e
发帖数: 1633
23
左逼一见fake news就高潮
b********t
发帖数: 1776
24
疮舔今天把foxnews也划到fake news了, 哈哈哈
b********t
发帖数: 1776
25
今晚就你的tweet不是fake news 了
b********t
发帖数: 1776
26
No reasonable person, who has the benefit of advice from counsel, would
submit to questioning in such a highly politicized, witch-hunt environment
without assurances against unfair prosecution
傻逼疮舔,上面这句就是来自律师公告,这还不是seek immunity?美国的悲哀就是一
群像你一样傻逼的疮舔选出了一个精神病总统。

发帖数: 1
27

NC真不是白叫的,还很二,哈哈哈

发帖数: 1
28

猪开导猪,太可笑了
b********t
发帖数: 1776
29
flynn看来要lock himself up first了

发帖数: 1
30
非专家,纯属个人意见,信不信由你。
kansan00 说:“民主党的御用律师Lisa Bloom大选前75万一位,找了16个女人上CNN,
控告竞选对手,这是严重影响选举的政治抹黑行为,follow the money一大堆证据。民
主党不抓这个不能平民愤”
进入主题前,请读者先回答一个问题:你在你家草地上插个支持川普的牌子、在朋友圈
里发文挺川、甚至打电话给亲朋好友拉票,“企图影响选举结果”,请问这有没有犯法?
当然没有!怎样才构成犯法?我的答案:重点要看你(与你的行为)与竞选团队之间的
关系。
你不是竞选团队的一部分,以上行为只是个人自愿的拉票行为,金额没有上限。如果你
把钱捐给竞选团队,或者你代表竞选团队从事某种竞选行为,那就必须遵守相关法律,
不遵守就是犯法。所以重点是你或你的行为与竞选团队之间的关系。
好,观念厘清后,咱们进入正题。
kansan00 的资讯来源是 FoxNews 引述爆料的 The Hill 的一篇报道。报道说有个叫
Bloom 的律师,在 2016 大选前找人捐款,给钱给一些自称受川普性侵害的女性,要
他们出面指控川普。
http://thehill.c... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
31
我在另一楼里对这句话做了补充:要有合理的理由先,a probabal cause。
a*********a
发帖数: 3656
32
red Flag laws violate multitude of constitution rights
It violates the first Amendment cos the government is given the authority to
punish people for their speech and legal activity. It s a minority report
shit show
It violates 2nd amendment that people’s right to keep arm can be
infringed
upon all while he committed no crimes
It violates the 4th amendment against unlawful search and seizure. Warrants
must be issued on PROBABAL cause.
It violates the 6th amendment for the right to face the... 阅读全帖
o****l
发帖数: 1910
33
来自主题: Faculty版 - Ph.D. Interview Preparation Guide
在www下不容易看到这个
重新起一个帖子呗
http://advertising.utexas.edu/JR/InterviewPrep.html
Ph.D. INTERVIEW PREPARATION GUIDE
FOR POSITIONS IN ACADEMIA
By Trina Sego and Jef I. Richards
WHAT THEY ARE LOOKING FOR
There is no way to know specifically what a given faculty member looks f
or when interviewing a job candidate. It will vary tremendously from per
son to person. However, there are a few things that are common to the ob
jectives of many faculty members:
* Someone who will fit in with the current facult... 阅读全帖
d*******n
发帖数: 3851
34
Probabably okey
I mean high probability
d*******n
发帖数: 3851
35
来自主题: GiftCard版 - ptf+ link
Supper new cop?
Your membership and all using this link's will probabally be concelled in a
few month.
All links posted public are dangerous!
d*******n
发帖数: 3851
36
来自主题: GiftCard版 - ahr+ link
Supper new cop?
Your membership and all using this link's will probabally be concelled in a
few month.
All links posted public are dangerous!
f**********e
发帖数: 9
37
If you are interested in an easy way to earn a few extra bucks every week,
sign up as below:
http://www.clixsense.com/?2130713
This is not a scam, nor am I promising you the ability to get rich. It is
100% free. This is a position where you simply view ads online (just click
each advertisement and let it open for 30 seconds) and are credited a small
amount of money for each ad you look at. This is not a way to make a living
or get rich, but it truly only takes 10 minutes a day and you can probab
s**********n
发帖数: 868
38
来自主题: Investment版 - YTD Showoff (05/07/10)
YTD -4.7% (estimated)
I'm -6.0% this week. (Oh my goodness I beat SP500 by 0.8%)
Despite my nearly 10% gold and silver, the whole portfolio was so bloody.
When could my stocks start to turn around? My top stock holding has been
making new lows again and again for half a year now.
Because my stock holdings underperformed so much, I decided to increase
index fund holdings and bought FSIIX on Wednesday's close. My cash level is
pretty low nwo, and I don't think double-dip recession is a high probab
c****l
发帖数: 1280
39
来自主题: JobHunting版 - a brain teaser question
I remembered that someone post a brain teaster question, but cannot find it
now. Based on my memoery, here is it:
a dice with all black surfaces and white inside. cut the dice into 27 small
cubes with 6 cuts. and take one to roll, what is the probabability that a
black surface is on the top?
=> is the question correct?
=> 6/(12+6 ) = 1/3 is the correct answer?
w********9
发帖数: 8613
40
So, usually it should be fine to breast-feed the infant, after 1-2 doses AND
the vaccine shows its working (with a 90%+ probabality).
g*********9
发帖数: 3528
41
来自主题: NextGeneration版 - 老话题,应该把宝宝送回去吗
around 80% grandparents said so...at least once.
but nobody acutally did that as I have heard.
it is true that your child is your child. but you probabely never understand
what a grandparents' feeling toward their grandchild. and never want to
consider that as a normal, common feeling for every grandparents.
And someone is lucky to have good eduation or good finacial status or good
husband, and others are struggling and sacrificing a lot for that.
q***2
发帖数: 1861
42
Just give it a shot. Probabally the only suitable place in this web site?
c******8
发帖数: 3170
43
来自主题: Stock版 - 我的看法
http://projecteuclid.org/DPubS?service=UI&version=1.0&verb=Display&handle=euclid.jap/1143936252
Journal of Applied Probability
Local linear approximations of jump diffusion processes
J. C. Jimenez and F. Carbonell
Source: J. Appl. Probab. Volume 43, Number 1 (2006), 185-194.
Abstract
Local linear approximations have been the main component in the construction
of a class of effective numerical integrators and inference methods for
diffusion processes. In this note, two local linear approximations
v****e
发帖数: 19471
44
来自主题: Stock版 - All trends need time to play out
I personally don't believe DOW will go much lower than 10000. 97XX is probab
ly where it's gonna pivot out.
d*********2
发帖数: 48111
45
来自主题: Stock版 - All trends need time to play out
longer, shallower, $$$ has already been devalued.
hard to see lower low in 2nd dip.
if it does happen, meaning something really bad is next, maybe, a war.

probab
H**E
发帖数: 620
46
来自主题: Carolinas版 - Greenville, NC
not a lot chinese there.. most are students and faculties at univ of east
carolina.
a very small town.. not sure about the school, probabably doesn't matter
since it's such a small town..
s********6
发帖数: 238
47
来自主题: Florida版 - 关于明年报税
thanks a lot.
I have got that booklet from the post office @@
I guessed I could probabely get more than $800 back for last year
@@ Money Money........
v****e
发帖数: 19471
48
来自主题: LosAngeles版 - 也说小费
you have no idea what it is, do you? Hillary Swank or Yang Ziqiong is probab
ly a 10%. for you, who I heard is quite an elephant, 30% is a probably reaso
nable guess... lol
f**********9
发帖数: 1297
49
来自主题: LosAngeles版 - 也说小费
you stupid piece of shit, are you retarded or blind?!
what a loser!!!

probab
reaso
Y*****2
发帖数: 38613
50
来自主题: NewYork版 - my ideal soulmate
The concept of a soulmate is nothing new. In his "Symposium," Plato refers
to a soulmate by using the analogy of humans who originally had four legs
and arms, until the Greek God Zeus split them in half and scatter them
around the world. Since then, people have always been looking for their
other half, in an attempt to become a full person again.
The New Age concept of a soulmate is somewhat similar to Plato's idea,
except that the theory goes a step further, implying that a soulmate has
probab
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