o**********n
发帖数: 367 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: optionoption (option), 信区: Stock
标 题: Optionpain.com predicted GOOG bad ER 5 days early
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Oct 18 12:52:54 2012, 美东)
Here is the record of the discussion on Optionpain's 99% forum
GOOG Option Movements Before Oct. 2012 ER
by Optionpain » Fri Oct 12, 2012 5:28 pm
About 10, 000 contracts of Oct. $700 Puts were dumped to the market around
Sep 25 and 26 at $7.2.
Re: GOOG Option Movements Before Oct. 2012 ER
by Optionpain » Fri Oct 12, 2012 5:51 ... 阅读全帖 |
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h****n
发帖数: 298 | 3 SAS (Enterprise Miner) Data Mining Analyst / Predictive Modeler / Researcher
/ SAS Programmer
需要有统计背景。
Please contact me via h*******[email protected] if you are interested!
Thanks! |
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s****s
发帖数: 20 | 4 Home-insurance premiums predicted to rise this year
By Becky Yerak
Chicago Tribune
Related
The options
SO PREMIUMS are going up; what's a policyholder to do?
The Consumer Federation of America provides tips at its Buyer's Guide to
Insurance on its website,consumerfed.org. The National Association of
Insurance Commissioners' site, naic.org, has a feature called Consumer
Information Source, where shoppers can find data about an insurer's
complaints, licensing information and key financial data.
Ot... 阅读全帖 |
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d*********f
发帖数: 87 | 5 不知道版上的朋友们有没有兴趣填一份调查问卷，本人在UW上门课的final project需
要做一份调查问卷再进行问卷分析。这是为了预测KING county area在SR520 Bridge收
费之后的交通状况而设计的问卷。
希望西版的朋友们能帮忙提供点样本，也欢迎对问卷的设计的建议：）
Thanks！
问卷的链接：
https://catalyst.uw.edu/webq/survey/changcc/126270
Here is a SR520 tolling survey distributed by UW students. This is part of a
graduate class project (INDE/CEE 599: Analytical Methods in Human Factors
and Transportation, instructor:
Prof. Linda Ng Boyle),University of Washington. Your responses will
contribute to a traffic flow predict... 阅读全帖 |
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j****s
发帖数: 60 | 6 Nate Silver predicts super bowl match between Patroits and Seahawks, and
Seahawks win. |
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d*****s
发帖数: 313 | 7 If I bet on it, I will not be this lucky.
Actually I was confident with Marlins ever since they beat Phillies for
the NL wildcard. This team has this huge momentum and is so fit for playoff
baseball. So I thought they get a shot.
But the other predictions are just luck... |
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Y*****s
发帖数: 342 | 8 no need prediction.
Yanks all the way, baby! |
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Y*****s
发帖数: 342 | 9 3:0 Sox vs Angel?
That's the most insane prediction I've ever seen :)
Here is mine: |
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n*******e
发帖数: 2213 | 10 Still three months to go before season kicks off. Can't wait. Football
season is over. NBA sucks. Three long months ahead...
Anyway, this is is my very very early prediction. It probably does not
make any sense. Just for the fun of it.
Of course, everything starts from AL East. So I am going to start there.
Yankees:
As always, Cashman makes plenty of off-season moves. This year, however,
the attention is paid on pitching.
Significant moves:
Shef to Tigers/Wright to Orioles/Sign Andy Pettitte/Tra |
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n*******e
发帖数: 2213 | 11 AL Central: Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins had a magical run in 2006. With defending WS champion in
their division, very few predicted that they would finish as division
champion. In fact, by All-Star break, they were 11 games behind then
division-leading Detroit Tigers and were only third place in the divison
behind White Sox. With a late season schedule full of teams from strong AL
Central and AL East, many declared them dead. Results? They posted a very
impressive 49W 27L record the rest of |
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m*******e
发帖数: 1280 | 12 OKay I do feel I still need to answer your prediction.
For postseason, we all know that if a team gets hot or the opponents
suddenly melt down, it could mean a championship. So forget about that.
For regular season games, statistics? Let's talk about statistics :-)
Offense-wise, this team's gonna score runs, a lot of runs.
There is Pujols, THE best offensive player in the big league, batting 3rd.
There is Eckstein, the little guy who will find ways to get on base.
Scott Rolen hit 48 doubles and |
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n*******e
发帖数: 2213 | 13 NL West: Arizona Diamondbacks
If I were to write prediction for 08' season now, I would have put D'Backs
on top of the NL West Division.
This may look like a distant stretch, given that D'Backs finished last in NL
West in 06' and were 12 games behind the eventual winner Padres. But as
overused as promising is, this D'Backs team has a lot of talents and has a
lot of potential to offer.
D'Backs was an expansion team less than a decade ago. Its co-expansion team?
Devil Rays. While D'Rays still str |
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b***p
发帖数: 1398 | 14 My prediction is correct.
any baozi? |
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m**i
发帖数: 9848 | 15 其实你想想，如果场场都公正吹哨的话，比赛更predictable... |
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C******r
发帖数: 282 | 17 小红帽回来让她备案，同时筹办playoff prediction奖品。 |
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s*****j
发帖数: 6435 | 18 就这几个队了, 还brave prediction, 省省吧. |
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p****s
发帖数: 3153 | 19 re这个，哈哈，赛季前预测giants/pats/niners夺冠才是brave prediction |
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H****w
发帖数: 1632 | 20 #20th prediction.
You get the last Baozi |
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j****s
发帖数: 60 | 21 Nate Silver predicts super bowl match between Patroits ans Seahawks, ANSI
Seahawaks win. |
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H****w
发帖数: 1632 | 22 >Which team will win the Super Bowl on 02-03-2013?
San Francisco or Baltimore?
恭喜发财 and 谢谢 ~~~
Result:
9 people for San Francisco = 41.0%
and
13 people for Baltimore = 59.0%
This poll predicts Baltimore will cover the point spread and good chance of
winning the Super Bowl @_@
Good luck and thanks everybody ~~~ |
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H****w
发帖数: 1632 | 23 9 people for San Francisco = 41.0%
and
13 people for Baltimore = 59.0%
This poll predicts Baltimore will cover the point spread and good chance of
winning the Super Bowl @_@
Good luck and thanks everybody ~~~ |
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s*******u
发帖数: 1855 | 26 １）小辉会爆发．上周０分，是小鸡教他怎么做人．小鸡不会就此放弃他，给了巴掌再
给个枣．估计晓辉能够至少１０+分．也行２０+．
我手里有晓辉，可是，我不敢赌．如果不是生死战，我就上他了．可是这周是我提前的
playoff．没办法，还是上rashard jennings．很可能gray会比Jennings分高，但是我
上了Jennings，即使熟了，也没办法．如果上gray赌输了进而导致输球，永远的笑柄．
２）niles paul会爆发．McCoy臂力不成，Jackson要倒霉．便宜的是te．如果reed健康
，将是reed．可是Reed是questionable．多半就是Paul了．还有，为什么三茄子上场，
Mathews爆发？因为都是替补，心心相印．mccoy跟paul有这么默契吧？
我最缺的就是te．可是我还是不敢上paul．因为reed不是out，不是doubtful．很可能
他们俩相加很不错的分，但是这个split，没人能predict．
所以只好赌tim wright．希望lafell的injury能够便宜wright
请问大家，wright是个好赌注吗？
btw，我的te从来... 阅读全帖 |
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w*****1
发帖数: 58 | 28 2 PGA tournments
1 Major
2 Non-PGA tournment
What's your prediction? |
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w*****1
发帖数: 58 | 29 After watching him play the past few weeks I started to have concers about
his ability to close the deal when it comes to Sunday afternoon. He's not
making anymore eagles like he used to. Mid iron shots are not great either.
Putting sucks when under pressure. However still consistently performing
week in week out. I will stand with my prediction as of right now. Still
early in the season. |
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w*****1
发帖数: 58 | 30 2 PGA tournments
1 Major
2 Non-PGA tournment
What's your prediction? |
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w*****1
发帖数: 58 | 31 After watching him play the past few weeks I started to have concers about
his ability to close the deal when it comes to Sunday afternoon. He's not
making anymore eagles like he used to. Mid iron shots are not great either.
Putting sucks when under pressure. However still consistently performing
week in week out. I will stand with my prediction as of right now. Still
early in the season. |
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w*****1
发帖数: 58 | 32 I agree with everything you have said. However, his short iron play still
needs improvement. Back to 2007-2008 season, his 130 yards in shots are much
dialed-in than right now. You expect him to put the ball within 10 ft from
the cup from that kind of distance. Also, he is not making as much eagles as
before due to mostly his putting and feeling the greens. When he get all
those things taking care of, watch out Rory and Luke. He is going to run
away from the rest once again. Still liking his ch... 阅读全帖 |
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l******u
发帖数: 707 | 33 hoho.
this doesn't mean my previous predictions are not serious. but this one
is gonna be correct:
No matter who wins tomorrow's game 7 between wild and canucks, the stanley
cup finals team from western conference is going to be-Anaheim Mighty
Ducks. The reason is, no team in NHL history has ever reached Stanley
Cup Finals after 2 7-game series. The closest teams are 2002 Colorado
Avalanche (lost in 7 to Detriot) and 1993 Maple Leafs (lost in 7 to
LA Kings). |
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G*****a
发帖数: 183 | 34 in April 12,2004, Sports Illustrated's Pierre McGuire (who the heck is this
guy) predicts:
West: Red Wings, San Jose, Calgary, Dallas
East: Tampa Bay, Boston, Philly, Toronto
Only difference here is he picked Red Wings, I like Nashville, and
he picked Calgary over Vancouver. |
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l******u
发帖数: 707 | 35 Islanders @ Lightning: Guess the only question is how many games this series
will play? Tampa edges NYI in every category with talented small, magic
Martin St. Louis. Islanders did hand Tamps a couple of late season losses,
though. Let's see if that prevents them being swept. Tampa in 4.
Devils @ Flyers: Flyers have more balanced O/D but Devils have a much better
goalie and are reign champs. Flyers will give Devils a good battle but
ultimately come up short. Predicted this series to go 7.
Sens @ |
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t****t
发帖数: 224 | 36 64 predictions in total so far
M : O
blyuyu 24 : 17
ou5603 23 : 21
police 17 : 27
shakey 20 : 23
dollars 17 : 24
gochiefs 28 : 35
FBI 21 : 24
sungy 10 : 24
kuh 24 : 10
NCAA 14 : 35
shark 10 : 24
GoTigers 24 : 27
jabolansky 37 : 34
bbs 42 : 35
tylergu 10 : 28
arcadian 38 : 7
sinnet 14 : 23
PA 26 : 28
tonnie 20 : 34
Must 20 : 30
lex 17 : 13
bearcatsf |
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o****3
发帖数: 5100 | 37 "I am going to make a prediction that the three quarterbacks in the SEC —
Tim Tebow, Jevan Snead and (Ryan) Mallett — will be drafted higher than any
three quarterbacks now playing in any other conference. |
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d********g
发帖数: 11948 | 39 cbs prediction is such a joke. Nebraska beating Mizzu and losing to OU??? If
Neb wins Mizzu game, they will beat OU. The game they lost to Texas had a
great chance to come back. I don't see them losing to OU. MSU is pretty much
locked in Rose Bowl. If they go and play BSU, they will lose. This is what
I don't want to see.... I hope Ohio State plays BSU... |
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t*****i
发帖数: 668 | 40 The champions of selected conferences are contractually committed to certain
bowls, unless they are No. 1 or
No. 2. (ACC: Orange; Big Ten: Rose; Big 12: Fiesta; Pac-10: Rose; SEC: Sugar
). If a Bowl loses a host team to
the title game, then the bowl gets first choice at a replacement team. The
rest of the selection order for 2011
is as follows: Sugar, Orange, Fiesta.
title: duck/auburn
rose:wisc/tcu
sugar:ark/osu
orange: vt/uconn
fiesta: oksu/stanford
http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/bow... 阅读全帖 |
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t*****i
发帖数: 668 | 41 BCS National Championship Game
Jan. 10
Glendale, Ariz.
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2
8:30 p.m., ESPN
Comment: The top two teams in the country will meet in the BCS National
Championship -- and I now project it will be No. 1 Oregon vs. No. 2 Auburn.
With Auburn's 28-27 win over Alabama, the Tigers will beat South Carolina to
win the SEC and play an undefeated Pac-10 champion. -- J. Darin Darst
The champions of selected conferences are contractually committed to certain
bowls, unless they are No. 1 or ... 阅读全帖 |
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b**j
发帖数: 20742 | 42 啊，看到了。呵呵。missed that one. anyway, just a prediction.
the |
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U*L
发帖数: 1449 | 44
kao...all predicted UFL or Auburn. |
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b**j
发帖数: 20742 | 45 新的要2015才开始，人这是2013 prediction. 当然用旧的rule |
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x*******1
发帖数: 28835 | 46 【 以下文字转载自 Football 讨论区 】
发信人: xiaok1981 (xiaokzhu), 信区: Football
标 题: latest prediction from Master K!!
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Dec 17 12:04:20 2012, 美东)
super bowl cinci bengals vs Dallas cowboy:
20: 19, bengals win super bowl.
Andy Dalton superbowl MVP! |
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e*e
发帖数: 6808 | 47 Would have rewarded by Baozi again!
想predict 24:30，结果24:36。不过因为pace没上次控制的好，比上次累一些。
这个真正last minute的决定
一个月前跑了Steven creeks 的5K，WIL512说一个月后我家门口还有一个跑不跑。当时觉得18号跑完半马，估计会挂了，然后25号SVM要去看看，所以暂时就决定不跑。
结果半马跑太放松了（娃哈哈啊），这个星期敢deadline又没怎么运动，就想周六跑个5K也不错啊。跟WIL512联系，昨晚才确定他会带家属和儿子同来（哇塞塞，WIL512的LD好漂亮啊），不用找babysitter。考虑到现场报名要$40，那就去盗跑吧。
这个比赛时间要到10:20，刚好是娃娃足球课时间，于是带着娃去上了9:45年龄小点的session，到一半就撤。10:11分到达比赛停车场。正给WIL512打电话呢，一辆轿车停在我的面前，里面酷酷的WIL512，戴着墨镜，穿着白色Addidas，车窗半落，“你是eve吧？”
（配上他LD在驾驶座，绝对电影效果啊）
到起跑处。
WIL512相当自觉的站到最后，我 |
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 48 This is an example that predictions based purely on number games
without fundamental reasoning will only work until they don't.
Like the famous 李娜定律。 |
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f***n
发帖数: 4 | 49 Predict for next three grand slam:
1. each by one of the top 3 +1 (20% possibility)
2. FF or DJ win 2 (AO & UO) and NADAL win 1 (FO) (10% possibility)
3. One of the top 3 wins all 3 (5% possibility)
Reansonable? |
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d**********9
发帖数: 5215 | 50 oh, it should be QF. anyway I predict birdman and murray meet at final |
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