c******s
发帖数: 428 | 1 IBD/TIPP Polls were the most accurate polls from the 2004 presidential race.
Here is what they are saying as of 10/23/08
"McCain has cut into Obama's lead for a second day an is now just 1.1 points
behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is
making headway with middle- and working class voters, and has surged 10
points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has
also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics."
In addition, |
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a****t
发帖数: 7049 | 2 NEW YORK (Reuters) - New Jersey voters are split on whether to legalize gay
marriage, but more people now oppose it than support it, a poll found on
Wednesday.
The Quinnipiac University survey found 49 percent of voters oppose a law
allowing same-sex couples to marry, while 46 percent support such
legislation, reversing an April poll that found 49 percent supported it and
43 percent opposed it.
"When we asked about gay marriage in April, it won narrow approval. Now that
it seems closer to a legi |
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a**t
发帖数: 3833 | 3 那个最近poll？ 大部分poll的结果都是Coakley领先一丁点。
这个brown，干脆一个开pickup truck的红脖子，他反对给强奸受害妇女医院治疗，
可见brown红脖子到了什么程度。
支持brown的红脖子， 都是绝望的充满了仇恨的种族岐视份子 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 4 By Noel Sheppard | July 21, 2011 | 17:24
In the past week, you couldn't swing a debt cat without hitting a press
report about how irresponsible the "Cut, Cap and Balance" bill passed by
House Republicans is.
A new CNN/ORC poll released a few hours ago finds the media very much on the
wrong side of public opinion concerning this issue:
23. In another proposal, Congress would raise the debt ceiling only if a
balanced budget amendment were passed by both houses of Congress and
substantial spending ... 阅读全帖 |
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a**t
发帖数: 3833 | 5 Just do not look at any polls.
There is not doubt that Obama will get reelected for another 8 years.
Last year many polls predicted Hillary would win and others predicted
McCaain would win, but what Obama beat them all, just like what many people
had hoped.
. |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 6 Thursday, 07 Jun 2012 11:02 PM
A new CBS News/New York Times poll shows that more than half of Americans
think that Arizona’s tough immigration law is just “about right” for
protecting our southern border.
Signed into law in April 2010, the law is considered among the most
stringent immigration laws in the nation. It requires police and other state
law enforcement authorities to check the citizenship status of anyone they
believe appears to be an undocumented immigrant.
That’s what has sparked s... 阅读全帖 |
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l**w
发帖数: 865 | 7 Four in 10 Americans in a national poll say ending the Bush-era tax cuts on
annual earnings of $250,000 or more would help the economy, supporting the
position President Barack Obama has stressed in his re-election campaign.
The survey by the Pew Research Center released yesterday shows that 44
percent said the higher taxes would be beneficial, while 22 percent said
such a move would harm the economy and 24 percent said there would be no
effect.
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-07-16/poll-... 阅读全帖 |
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y****t
发帖数: 10233 | 8 this is bipartisan
The big flop! 'Banal...dull...flat...warmed-over rehash': Critics savage
Obama's speech as new poll shows NO convention bounce
Left and Right united in thumbs down for address
Obama's reputation as masterful orator under threat
New poll shows no 'bounce' after Michelle Obama speech
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2199935/Democratic-Nati |
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C*******r
发帖数: 10345 | 9 人有多大胆，poll有多大产。坟地僵尸全都poll过了？ |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 10 Ignorance is not the excuse for blindness. Even worse when the ignorant
accused other without checking first.
In this Reuter poll, though Romney got improvement, Obama still is seen more
favor than Romney.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/04/us-usa-campaign-poll-
======================
"Where is the source?" |
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t*b
发帖数: 850 | 11 Research all previous 5 president election results and the last poll before
election.
Republican candidate in average did better by about 2% in real election
results than in average poll results. |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 13 这当口推出Romney领先的poll, 明显是怕被人看笑话嘛。
每次大选后，都有poll排名。Gallup的排名实在不怎么样。这次显然有咸鱼翻身的打算。 |
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y***r
发帖数: 16594 | 14 A CNN poll of registered voters scored the showdown as essentially a tie,
with 48 percent declaring Ryan the winner and 44 percent siding with Biden.
The survey of 381 respondents has a margin of error plus or minus 5
percentage points. A CBS poll of 431 undecided voters showed Biden the
winner over Ryan, 50 percent to 31 percent, with a margin of error of 5
percentage points.
CNN：44% vs 48%， CNN 这个加起来好像 102% 了。没搞懂
CBS: 50% Vs 31% |
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P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 15 呵呵回头看终于明白了为啥罗姆尼输了，就算poll是准的，poll里这么小的优势，架不
住选举日的时候非Likely的voter 随便投一投就把这优势扫光光了。 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 16 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: TravisBickle (Travis), 信区: Military
标 题: POLL: Obama Leads Among Children Who Can't Vote
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 17 16:55:36 2012, 美东)
President Barack Obama won the Scholastic Student Vote by a margin of 51
percent to 45 percent over Mitt Romney. The vote polls those under 18 to
weigh their preferences in a mock election. More than 250,000 did. Obama
took home Colorado, Florida, Nevada and Ohio, while Romney won Virginia. |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 17 我很怀疑 Gallup的poll。现在是RV Romney的优势比昨天小（从+2 到 +1），LV的优势
怎么就增加了呢？ |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 18 不对，
你自己搜搜
Poll Accuracy in the 2008 Presidential election
最准的是Rasmussen 和 Pew
IBD 排第12
Gallup排第17
这次简单说是两个烂poll打起来了 |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 19 这个就更怪了。gallup昨天是Romney +6， 假设他核对了一下，今天就变成Romney+7了
。而且Gallup的RV 也同步在变，今天是Romney +3，很久没有看到Romney在Gallup上有
这么大的优势了。
现在一直争论的是Gallup的LV poll，但是即使看他家的RV poll，我还是觉得Romney优
势有点大了。 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 20 nbc偏左,wsj偏右.人家专门搭伴做poll.就是为了怕人说poll biased. |
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S****r
发帖数: 982 | 21 Yahoo是左翼媒体吧？
POLL
Who do you think won the final presidential debate?
Oops you have already voted on the poll
Obama (1564)
38%
Romney (2511)
62% |
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w******g
发帖数: 2047 | 22 The most recent Rasmussen daily presidential tracking poll indicates that
President Obama is currently receiving 82% of the support of his fellow-
Democrats while Romney is receiving 89% of the Republican's support.
Concerning voters who are not affiliated with either of the two major
parties, Mitt Romney has a nine-point advantage.
Romney 50% to Obama 46%: Rasmussen daily presidential tracking poll for
Tuesday |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 23 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: TravisBickle (Travis), 信区: Military
标 题: 2012选举的exit poll出来了，以色列米犹支持R
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Oct 23 21:35:05 2012, 美东)
75000以色列的星条国民投了票，大部分支持Romney。
Many Americans in Israel Back Romney, Informal Survey Shows
JERUSALEM — Americans living in Israel went to the polls this week,
dropping sealed envelopes into improvised ballot boxes at community centers
in this city and at other locations around the country.
。。。。。。。。。。。
“In the United States, like most people, I voted De... 阅读全帖 |
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t*b
发帖数: 850 | 25 Much better than all other polls.
So I trust Rasmussen poll.
It predicts Wisconsin is the biggest battleground state not Ohio. |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 27 不对吧，现在的National Poll 哪有领先6的。民主党一直在early vote上有优势。最
近1个月来，Gallup一直是Romney表现最好的一个Poll。我多少有点怀疑 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 28 EVEN MORE MITTMENTUM: OREGON POLL PUTS OBAMA AT ONLY 47%: The newly
released Oregonian poll has the presidential race at 47-41 for Obama, with 8
% undecided and a 5% margin of error. Says the paper:
Obama’s lead is considerably smaller than his margin of victory in Oregon
four years ago and is a sign of how tight the presidential race has become
across the nation.
C’mon 8% undecided Oregonians! Can you really stand 4 more years of the
same??? |
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P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 29 自个儿记着，等选举结果出来了，看谁最准，下回就认它。Ohio俺看好Romney要赢了。
弄虚作假是民猪党的最爱，所以真想要看truth,劝您接受现实，表看民主党的poll.不
过民主党好像比共和党热心搞polls, 前阵子把八马搞得很high。 |
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B*********n
发帖数: 2552 | 30 1。media里面是差不多打平
2。romney内部poll是乐观赢的
3。obama内部poll也是如此。
4。客观说，early vote是obama上峰，但是大选当天turn out rate是romney上风
结果这次是非常close的大选，就算是内部也没人知道输赢。
非常精彩。。 |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 31 #2, your comment is unwarranted, this issue is more with pollsters than
newsmedia.
I am not sure what lz called "adjustment for polls". Polls are carried
equally within certain random fashion with the industry stand. And most of
those pollsters are making living out of them, and the reputation matters
too. |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 32 poll expert, which one you can trust, or what is your poll? |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 33 You always like to quote the extremist site without thinking. If what they
said is correct, why Gallup wont raise Obama's poll? Instead Gallup poll is
the only consistent outlier at this moment. |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 34 A just released USA Today/Gallup Poll finds swing state voters are now split
48-48. comparing last poll, Obama up 4.
The battle between 538 Nate and Gallup: Nate scores 1. |
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P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 35 还有就是很多poll用2008年的民主党共和党投票率建的poll model,完全忽视了今年共
和党民的热情比民主党民的热情高很多，再加上中间派支持romney的多，romney没理由
不赢今年的大选。 |
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m****n
发帖数: 2415 | 36 我觉得这个GALLUP是想在最后时候收敛一点吧.
很多POLL 要么说是CLOSE要么是O领先一点.
要是OBAMA明天赢了, 误差那么大, 下一届选举还有人相信GALLUP POLL吗? |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 37 Yes, that was for swing states poll. They haven't released new statement
regarding this national poll.
By the way, GOP strategist Rove reported a few of days ago that he
predicted 279 for R. Now he just released his new map, O:R = 231:206 so
far, he kept total silent for 279 number. For swing states, with 5 leads, 2
Tied, 1 behind for O, is Rove one of left "media"? |
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P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 38 难怪o8要revenge呢。
On Monday, CNN’s Ashleigh Banfield highlighted CNN/ORC poll numbers showing
that, when it comes to support for President Barack Obama this election, 86
% of those voting for him are doing so because they genuinely like and agree
with him, while 12% report that they’re simply casting a vote against Mitt
Romney. Meanwhile, 62% of those voting for Romney are doing so because they
like and support him, with 37% admitting that they’re casting a vote
against Obama.
http://www.mediaite.c... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 40 8:29 AM, Dec 11, 2013 • By MICHAEL WARREN
The latest national opinion poll show Barack Obama continuing to receive low
marks from the American people, just over a year after his reelection. The
poll, commissioned by NBC News and the Wall Street Journal, found that 54
percent of Americans disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president, a
record high for his term in office, while 43 percent say they approve. This
finding continues a downward trend for Obama's approval rating since late
Oc... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 41 January 28, 2014 - 4:07 PM
By Timothy Hill
Would your grandfather be proud of this news? A new NBC News poll shows that
only three percent of Americans believe the current state of our country is
"strong."
How can these three percent of survey respondents miss the fact that 10.4
million Americans are unemployed? It is no wonder that Americans are
frustrated. How could they miss the fact that nearly half of the jobs
created during the first year of the president's second term were in retail?
Clea... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 42 Poll: GOP Candidate Holds 13-Point Lead in Democratic New York Congressional
District
6:28 PM, Sep 11, 2014 • By JOHN MCCORMACK
In New York's 21st congressional district, Republican Elise Stefanik is
leading Democrat Aaron Woolf 46 precent to 33 percent, according to a new
poll released by Siena College Thursday evening. Green Party candidate Matt
Funiciello garners 10 percent of the vote, and 11 percent remain undecided.
The race for the 21st district has been rated a "toss-up" by the Coo... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 43 by Jammie via Jammie Wearing Fools
What happens when a belligerent nurse refuses to obey the law and throws a
week-long temper tantrum aided and abetted by the Democratic Party and the
media? Most of America recoils in horror and disgust.
You own this one, Democrats.
Kaci Hickox, the nurse who fought to get out of a quarantine instituted
by New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R), won the first round of her PR battle.
Winning the second round will be very difficult.
Since being transferre... 阅读全帖 |
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T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 44 How impressive is that? Let’s look at the last several presidential results
for Republicans.
When President Obama was running for re-election, despite a sputtering
economy that was impacting blacks the worst, Mitt Romney was able to muster
only 6% of the black vote, according to the Roper Center at the University
of Connecticut.
At the time Obama was facing off against John McCain in 2008, the Republican
received a measly 4%, according stats from to the Roper Center.
When George W. Bush was runn... 阅读全帖 |
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T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 45 上次看到的41%的平均下来变成36了。
A five-day rolling poll by Reuters showed Trump winning 36 percent of
Republican primary voters to Carson’s 14.6 percent.
A University of Massachusetts survey tallied the two at 31 percent and 22
percent respectively.
A Morning Consult poll released Tuesday gave found the real-estate mogul
pulling in 38 percent to Carson’s 19 percent. |
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K********y
发帖数: 5068 | 46 左逼在统计数字上做弊，真恶心， 左逼会遭到报应的；
你们看看共和党的Poll Number， 总和到１００％了么?? 总和是８７％!!
欺负美国人不认识数目啊??
靠， 这也太不要脸了；
如果估计弥补上这种做弊的总和差， Trump应该是at least 45%以上了
信人: solomonhume (家驹), 信区: USANews
标 题: Re: 目前几个TRUMP的新poll
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Nov 18 11:03:54 2015, 美东)
巴黎袭击后Trump支持率在涨
Candidate Nov13-16 Nov5-8 Oct29–Nov1 Oct22-25 Oct15-19
Donald Trump 38% 34% 31% 35% 40%
Ben Carson 19% 19% 21% 20% 14%
Ted Cruz 7% 7% 9% 3% 5%
Marco Rubio 7% 7% 7% ... 阅读全帖 |
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K********y
发帖数: 5068 | 47 左逼媒体在统计数字上做弊，真恶心，左逼会遭到报应的!!
你们看看报道给出的共和党的Poll Number，总和到１００％了么??
总和是８７％!!
欺负美国人不识数啊??
靠， 这也太不要脸了；
如果估计弥补上这种做弊的总和差， Trump应该是at least 45%以上了
信人: solomonhume (家驹), 信区: USANews
标 题: Re: 目前几个TRUMP的新poll
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Nov 18 11:03:54 2015, 美东)
巴黎袭击后Trump支持率在涨
Candidate Nov13-16 Nov5-8 Oct29–Nov1 Oct22-25 Oct15-19
Donald Trump 38% 34% 31% 35% 40%
Ben Carson 19% 19% 21% 20% 14%
Ted Cruz 7% 7% 9% 3% 5%
Marco Rubio 7% 7% 7... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******e
发帖数: 5818 | 49 现在的poll 老太太领先20到30点，即使sanders breach her database，该不该处罚是
个问题，如果真领先这么多，其实没必要，静悄悄赢多好，没必要搞这么大动静。
sanders的竞选和trump有些像，可能更grassroot，他的捐款不少，而且小额的最多，
就说明人多，大金主可以一下给很多，但投票是人一张一张投出来的。估计，老太太的
poll有水分，心里明白，到时候真选出来，没赢那么多，甚至输了，那就丢大发了。其
实左派talk show 基本支持sanders的多。
另外，DNC有这么大voter database，而且centralized 在DNC server，DNC绝对已经列
宁政党化，general election民主党一直投票率很高，DNC，工会等的组织，拉人头，
绝对的，可以跟共产党的居委会大妈有一拼。这边共和党倒是自发去投票的多，有的因
为工作，还可能放弃。 |
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b******i
发帖数: 1183 | 50 CNN Poll上次就是33 比20，没有翻转， 只能说保持优势
要看其他几个DEAD HEAT的POLL有没有变化 |
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