p*********o
发帖数: 628 | 1 以前一直压单场，直到前几天看了小胖的帖子。
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t1/NBA/32070597_0_1.html
对比我自己的押注，我觉得Parlay的优势是在压两个比分。假设每个押注额相
同，胜率都是50%.
1. 如果两个都猜对，Parlay的回报比分别压两个的回报高 (1/4概率)
2. 如果一个错了，Parlay只会输一个注的，对比压两个，还节省了手续费。(1/2概率）
3. 如果两个都错了，Parlay只输一个注，对比压两个，节省一个注的。(1/4概率）
结论：如果要压两个比分，Parlay比分开下注划算。
修改：
- 对超过两个parlay的计算有误……
parlay高手们怎么看 |
|
s**c
发帖数: 34339 | 2 赢了100刀
01/02 08:44 PM 1467868307- 1 Parlay Won $10.00 $24.53 Basketball NBA -
Philadelphia 76ers @ Phoenix SunsTotal O 53 -115 for 1st Quarter (Won)
Basketball NBA - Atlanta Hawks @ Utah JazzTotal O 47½ -115 for 1st
Quarter (Won)
01/02 08:42 PM 1467868085- 1 Parlay Won $9.06 $22.23 Basketball NBA -
Detroit Pistons @ New York KnicksTotal U 48½ -115 for 3rd Quarter (Won)
Basketball NBA - Dallas Mavericks @ Boston CelticsTotal U 54 -115 for 3rd
Quarter (Won)
01/02 07:22 PM 14... 阅读全帖 |
|
p*********o
发帖数: 628 | 3 恭喜独角的大胜，再次仔细算了一下Parlay。假设胜率为50%，赔率为-110,假设押注为
$1
Parlay对比分注: 总期望值(Total EV)是一致的，正如zblgaoxin所说。但是Parlay越
多，总期望值越低。
- 提高回报率的方法就是
1. 提高胜率(超过53%的胜率就可以将回报率提高到正值），选自己最有把握的放到
Parly里
2. 提高赔率(找-105或Even的盘),如果赔率从-110增加到-105，总期望值能提高一倍。
谢谢大家的讨论，学到了很多！:) |
|
l*******s
发帖数: 26303 | 4 那盘取消，只计算parlay剩余盘。parlay赔率也按不算那盘来调整 |
|
E*****n
发帖数: 7961 | 5 [在 pandatoledo (PT) 的大作中提到：]
：以前一直压单场，直到前几天看了小胖的帖子。
：
：...........
1-3个parlay。还能有机会
特别是压全场大小分
这样算起来比单个压划算多了
我是新手。 我会牙一个小的parlay。1拨六。然后丫一个最有把我的大小分。
这样总的来说有收益 |
|
E*****n
发帖数: 7961 | 6
比如你想从5毛那里赢12块钱回来
按5毛那个 3个的parlay 就是 1赔6， 你需要压2块，三个全胜 你可得12，
输一个以上 你丢2块。
但是如果你分开压：
你要是压单个的把bet 赔率按1.1：1算
你需要下注12X1.1= 13.2 才行， 三者丢一，你的收益就是 8 - 4.4 =3.6
也就是你下13.2 的赌本 只能博回来 3.6
要是我的话 我会用1块钱去买Parlay，三个全赢 得6块，
用剩下的 12.2 去压最有把握那个大小分 |
|
l*******s
发帖数: 26303 | 7 外面赌场的parlay啊，你们没玩过么？赌的是2个或2个以上的比赛事件，全猜对了赢了
就是狂捞一笔，错一个就全输。 |
|
c*********7
发帖数: 3442 | 8 is anyway we can do parlay games? that would be more fun |
|
p*********o
发帖数: 628 | 9 牛！明白了！同理篮球同一场的Spread 和moneyline也不能Parlay. |
|
E*****n
发帖数: 7961 | 10
是的 我的直觉就是 在比赛比较多的某天 选择一个大的parlay （特别是总比分，分差
比较悬次之）
宁可相信强队放水 也不接受烂队反弹（烂队根本没有廉耻，有时候最后一分钟为了刷
分啥都干的出来，全主力留着刷分都有） |
|
p*********o
发帖数: 628 | 11 同意，我现在parlay里面的都是60%胜率的7个强队，马刺轮休不好预测除外。 |
|
HL
发帖数: 2269 | 12 小小BSO一下。
日后有了包子再给大家发一圈。
1) BET ID=347190472
Parlay (2 Teams) 03/17/11 20:48 ET
bet 1.00 to win 2.60 (paid 3.6) Result: Wager Won
2Grizzlies(Memphis) 48
2Knicks(NewYork) 61 03/17/11(21:10 ET)
2Knicks(NewYork) +0.5 (1.91)
2Grizzlies(Memphis) 48
2Knicks(NewYork) 61 03/17/11(21:10 ET)
Over 106.5 (1.91)
2) BET ID=347124218
Parlay (4 Teams) 03/17/11 15:46 ET
bet 1.00 to win 10.00 (paid 11.0) Result: Wager Won
1Bulls(Chicago) 43
1Nets(NewJersey) 36 03/17/11(19:13 ET)... 阅读全帖 |
|
s******r
发帖数: 21961 | 13 赌场内部消息：
$250,000 parlay riding on Monday Night Football betting odds
By JASON LOGAN
Monday Night Football games often operate as the banker game for sportsbooks
, deciding whether the NFL week will be a winning one or a losing one thanks
to multiple parlays and teasers rolling over into the primetime finale.
That’s the case for MGM sportsbooks in Las Vegas, where one football bettor
has around $250,000 riding on the New York Giants -1.5 against the Miami
Dolphins Monday night.
According to Jeff ... 阅读全帖 |
|
s**c
发帖数: 34339 | 14 Parlay Won $100.00 $260.00 Basketball NBA - Philadelphia
76ers @ Dallas MavericksTotal O 204½ -110 for Game (Won) Basketball NBA
- Dallas Mavericks -9½ -110 for Game (Won)
Parlay Won $100.00 $260.00 Basketball NBA - Utah Jazz @
Portland TrailblazersTotal O 196 -110 for Game (Won) Basketball NBA -
Portland Trailblazers -3½ -110 for Game (Won) |
|
k*j
发帖数: 2317 | 15 1.最高境界是不赌
2.不要情绪化投注，最忌全部押上，留得青山在很重要。专业博彩人员都是5%-10%的最
高额度。细水长流
3.不投小注，那些低于1.6的基本不用考虑，除非parlay
4.管住你的手，不要频繁投注，每周5-10场足矣。多投的结果就是多输，降低胜利的机
会。
5.parlay不超过3场，多了基本没结果
6.不熟悉的场次投注无益，跟踪某个队活某个联赛
7.坚持纪律。
8.如果当日不利，就地休息。
9.不能忘记生活
赌性不同，有人丝毫没有，有人天生赌徒。忽然发现自己是个赌徒。想起托斯陀耶夫斯
基。
有同道众人我们不妨偶尔开个帖子讨论后面联赛的博彩。 |
|
l*******z
发帖数: 4276 | 16 有没有哪个网站是支持这场决赛parlay的，看了好几个都是这场比赛不能parlay |
|
l*******z
发帖数: 4276 | 17 没有啊，以前NFL的时候，还有今天这场NBA,都可以随便parlay啊，就是这场UEFA不能
。而且是加上这一场就不行，比如赌今晚NBA和UEFA的parlay结果都不行 |
|
b****e
发帖数: 1275 | 18 do you only parlay those >-500 to take "safe money"? or do you parlay that
with a spread bet as a magnifying factor |
|
c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 19 My comment:
(a) Taiwan's machine tool production and, in particular, export, has made
great strides, parlaying nations's strong suit in electronics. Indeed,
Taiwan banks on the industry as the next "pillar" of economic growth, after
semiconductors, LCD display and photonics (LED and photovoltaics)--various
specialities of electronics.
(b) For years, I know world export ranking as well as production and export
values of Taiwan, based on news reports from Taiwan. Chinese are hungry for
data, too. ... 阅读全帖 |
|
l*****l
发帖数: 363 | 20 事件的起因：有人在youtube上发了一个视频，结果引起各地人民（多数为米国）大量
围观，点击量顷刻之间上百万之多。当然评论永远要比原视频有意思。
从各地 2000 多评论里挑了 130 条出来，选的标准基本是排除了重复的，纯表赞叹或
纯开骂无多少内容的、跑题跑太远的，还有那些虽然 ID 显示国外但看主页似乎咱自家
留学生或华裔的评论因为时间所限也没翻。被标注推荐比较多的基本都入选了。红色部
分是译文。有出错的地方请大家一定不吝指点 (*^__^*)~ ！
以下是视频和部分评论:
Ark Hotel Construction time lapse building 15 storeys in 2 days！！！
youtube源地址： http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ps0DSihggio&feature=player_embedded （需Fan墙）
评论：
wazham2 17 小时之前
everything is possible in Japan
在日本真是一切皆有可能 ~
allin1readerwriter 17... 阅读全帖 |
|
w********t
发帖数: 12853 | 21 How Turkey Exports ISIS Oil To The World: The Scientific Evidence
Tyler Durden's pictur
eSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 11/27/2015 15:00 -0500
B
... 阅读全帖 |
|
g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 22 Will Larry Kudlow’s Past Cocaine Addiction Change the Nature of the
Presidency?
http://observer.com/2018/03/larry-kudlow-cocaine-addiction-white-house-precedent/
Surprise! Another White House hire has sparked controversy.
Many are criticizing President Donald Trump for appointing Larry Kudlow as
the White House’s chief economic advisor, given the economist’s past
struggles with addiction.
The Times UK published a piece on Thursday titled, “Trump names cocaine TV
pundit Larry Kudlow as chief econ... 阅读全帖 |
|
s******r
发帖数: 5309 | 23 GOP fundraiser Broidy under investigation for alleged effort to sell
government influence, people familiar with probe say
By Carol D. Leonnig
, Reporter
Devlin Barrett
, Reporter
Ellen Nakashima
, Reporter
Josh Dawsey
, White House reporter
August 17 at 8:43 PM
The Justice Department is investigating whether longtime Republican
fundraiser Elliott Broidy sought to sell his influence with the Trump
administration by offering to deliver U.S. government actions for foreign
officials in exchange for ... 阅读全帖 |
|
s******r
发帖数: 5309 | 24 President Trump’s former campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, has agreed to
plead guilty to federal crimes at a hearing Friday morning, officials said.
The planned plea, if accepted by a judge, would short-circuit his second
trial scheduled to begin later this month in the District on charges of
money laundering and lobbying violations.
The details of Manafort’s plea were not immediately clear, including
whether he would be providing any information to special counsel Robert S.
Mueller III as part ... 阅读全帖 |
|
k**********4
发帖数: 16092 | 25 yes, he was the son of a pious Sunni family from the Iraqi district of
Samarra, al-Baghdadi parlayed religious fervor, hatred of nonbelievers and
the power of the internet into the path that catapulted him onto the global
stage. |
|
发帖数: 1 | 26 "I'm a cheerleader for the country," President Donald Trump said in his
final coronavirus press conference in March — a month in which the US death
toll increased from two to more than 4,000.
John Avlon
John Avlon
It was a rare moment of honesty in a press conference typically full of
falsehoods. Trump has always been a cheerleader — a hype man, a master
marketer of himself which he parlayed into hyperpartisan politics and the
presidency.
But, with apologies to cheerleaders, Trump is confronting... 阅读全帖 |
|
d***h
发帖数: 97 | 27 Billions in Hidden Riches for Family of Chinese Leader
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/26/business/global/family-of-wen
BEIJING — The mother of China’s prime minister was a schoolteacher in
northern China. His father was ordered to tend pigs in one of Mao’s
political campaigns. And during childhood, “my family was extremely poor,”
the prime minister, Wen Jiabao, said in a speech last year.
But now 90, the prime minister’s mother, Yang Zhiyun, not only left
poverty behind — she became outright ric... 阅读全帖 |
|
m******c
发帖数: 830 | 28 The accusation sounds very solid to me.
http://longcon.kycir.org/#chapter-four
Maranda Richmond sips a cup of water and takes a seat in the newsroom's
studio.
The 21-year-old shifts her weight in the chair and says she is ready. She
has waited years for this day. And she looks as comfortable as anyone could
be while telling us about an alleged sexual assault that occurred years ago
at the hands of her trusted pastor, who later parlayed voters’ trust into a
seat in the statehouse.
The story of ho... 阅读全帖 |
|
j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 29 Senators Chuck Grassley and Lindsey Graham have released a heavily redacted,
yet very revealing copy of their criminal referral against ex-British spy
Christopher Steele, the author of the dubious dossier we now know was
parlayed into a FISA warrant by Trump-hating operatives at the Justice
Department.
Grassley and Graham tell us that, while working on a second dossier for
Clinton opposition research firm Fusion GPS, Steele was being fed
information directly from the Obama State Department and f... 阅读全帖 |
|
l*********0
发帖数: 2508 | 30 【 以下文字转载自 WaterWorld 讨论区 】
发信人: WillyBass (微粒鲈), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: 美国车行面面观 （第九集）完
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Jan 23 17:03:57 2012, 美东)
到了晚上，我把车子停在大门口，有刮痕的那边背光对着停车场。小留夫妇按时来取车
。他们并没有看得很仔细，黑车，又是晚上，也看不出啥东东，他们最后在取车认可
文书上签了字，我以为这事就过去了。二天之后，我几乎就忘了这事。嘿，我看见这辆
车又拐进了车行，胡汉三又回来了。果然不错，这女的苦逼个脸一句话也不说，这男的
跟我说这车上有刮伤，他们擦车的时候发现了。“是不是别人碰到的啊？”我揣着明白
装糊涂的问。那男的说“应该不是的，要是别人碰到了则么上面还有黑水笔描过的痕迹
？”我叫他们等会我去见经理。“报告旅座，共军杀上山来。”胖子老神在在的那幅腔
调，椅子一转，头一耷，手托下巴壳子，不闲不淡的说，“天王盖地虎，宝塔镇河妖，
木哈木哈，慌张什么？这字签了，这车也出去二天了，还有事吗？” “报告旅座，这
事是我们知道的。。。”我进一步解释。许... 阅读全帖 |
|
t*********1
发帖数: 343 | 31 此文版权归原作者所有，发现水区已经没有此帖了，mitbbs小编就知道删帖。特转发备
份，供大家参考。
共九集，一次发完。
=============================================================
发信人: WillyBass (微粒鲈), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: 美国车行面面观。(第一集）
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Dec 30 15:45:49 2011, 美东)
上次写了中餐馆的事获得大家的热情鼓励，包子收了不少。有多人要求我写写美国车行
的内幕，今天没大事就写几段。笔者在B城多家车行干过销售员。多数是大学毕业后专
业没着落，零打碎敲的过路活，也有在被裁员的时候专业干过Internet Sales
Manager一年多。车行销售员人事起伏就像过旋转门的人流，干坐几天没人来就呆不住
了，也有年轻气盛，超速斗车罚单吃多了，驾照吊销后没法干了。我混过的车行有
Buick，Nissan，Chevy，Toyota，Honda。都是陈年烂芝麻的旧事，但是车行的总体销
售运作架构还是没啥变化的。
车行，毫无疑问是... 阅读全帖 |
|
B******1
发帖数: 9094 | 32 1) No.
2) Yeah, I did both. (I know, so shameless to admit that.)
3) But the situation has change when comparing my childhood with that of
James.
I want to add two episodes of my parents' way of teaching me.
A) After I finished elementary school, I had no Summer Homework for the
first time in 5 years. So I asked my parents to borrow books from Beida
library for me. Then my dad made a deal with me. I needed to memorize lessons
from English 900 in exchange for the right to read books from the lib... 阅读全帖 |
|
w**d
发帖数: 2334 | 33 I graduated from Harvard in 2006, and have spent eight of the last nine
years working as an admissions officer for my alma mater. A low-level
volunteer, sure, but an official one all the same. I served as one of
thousands of alumni volunteers around the world—a Regional Representative
for my local Schools Committee, if you want to get technical. And, as a
Regional Rep, my duties fell somewhere between Harvard recruiter and Harvard
gatekeeper.
But now I'm done with all that. For a long time, I be... 阅读全帖 |
|
j******u
发帖数: 41683 | 34 【 以下文字转载自 WaterWorld 讨论区 】
发信人: WillyBass (微粒鲈), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: 美国车行面面观 （第九集）完
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Jan 23 17:03:57 2012, 美东)
到了晚上，我把车子停在大门口，有刮痕的那边背光对着停车场。小留夫妇按时来取车
。他们并没有看得很仔细，黑车，又是晚上，也看不出啥东东，他们最后在取车认可
文书上签了字，我以为这事就过去了。二天之后，我几乎就忘了这事。嘿，我看见这辆
车又拐进了车行，胡汉三又回来了。果然不错，这女的苦逼个脸一句话也不说，这男的
跟我说这车上有刮伤，他们擦车的时候发现了。“是不是别人碰到的啊？”我揣着明白
装糊涂的问。那男的说“应该不是的，要是别人碰到了则么上面还有黑水笔描过的痕迹
？”我叫他们等会我去见经理。“报告旅座，共军杀上山来。”胖子老神在在的那幅腔
调，椅子一转，头一耷，手托下巴壳子，不闲不淡的说，“天王盖地虎，宝塔镇河妖，
木哈木哈，慌张什么？这字签了，这车也出去二天了，还有事吗？” “报告旅座，这
事是我们知道的。。。”我进一步解释。许... 阅读全帖 |
|
s*****n
发帖数: 5488 | 35 求职皓月不能说是骗子。历史上，大牛市来了，号召金字塔加仓做空的news letter多
了。
老邱这事，对了他就是股神。可惜他错了。为什么还有这么青蛙喜欢花钱买呢。因为他
们好这口。
" By nature, people who play the options market tend to be gamblers,
dreamers, who hope to parlay a couple thousand dollars into a fortune. As a
group, they represent the dumb money at the its dumbest".
看看板上多少上option,上fas, faz就知道了。反正也是个陪，再哪里赔都一样。
我说的那个判断。那么我有资格说我不是骗子。 |
|
s*****n
发帖数: 5488 | 36 " By nature, people who play the options market tend to be gamblers,
dreamers, who hope to parlay a couple thousand dollars into a fortune. As a
group, they represent the dumb money at the its dumbest".
-Richard Band, Contrary investing
没事别瞎玩options.最好是在卖方不是买方。 |
|
|
m*****y
发帖数: 3981 | 38 3 parlay 应该是 6
Las Vegas stand rate |
|
a******n
发帖数: 206 | 39 先声明：我没有站边, either pump or dump btc. 只是读到了自己觉得不错的文章，
分享过来，想听听大牛怎么说。
链接在此：https://blog.chain.com/a-letter-to-jamie-dimon-de89d417cb80?from=
singlemessage&isappinstalled=0
原文很长。总结如下。
Cryptocurrencies (which I prefer to call crypto assets) are a new asset
class that enable decentralized applications
Decentralized applications enable services we already have today, like
payments, storage, or computing, but without a central operator of those
services
This software model is useful to people who need c... 阅读全帖 |
|
G****a
发帖数: 10208 | 40 After one of the more improbable comebacks in postseason history, the St.
Louis Cardinals will kick off the National League Championship Series on
Sunday against the San Francisco Giants in a matchup of the last two World
Series winners.
The Cardinals overcame an early six-run deficit and were behind by two
entering the ninth on Friday, but scored four times in their final at bat to
shock the Washington Nationals, 9-7, in the decisive fifth game of the NLDS.
"They just don't quit. I think that j... 阅读全帖 |
|
p**********u
发帖数: 15479 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 Automobile 讨论区 】
发信人: tiaomaren01 (条码人lol彪哥), 信区: Automobile
标 题: mit雄文转贴：北美车行面面观
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Aug 19 17:59:02 2013, 美东)
此文版权归原作者所有，发现水区已经没有此帖了，mitbbs小编就知道删帖。特转发备
份，供大家参考。
共九集，一次发完。
=============================================================
发信人: WillyBass (微粒鲈), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: 美国车行面面观。(第一集）
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Dec 30 15:45:49 2011, 美东)
上次写了中餐馆的事获得大家的热情鼓励，包子收了不少。有多人要求我写写美国车行
的内幕，今天没大事就写几段。笔者在B城多家车行干过销售员。多数是大学毕业后专
业没着落，零打碎敲的过路活，也有在被裁员的时候专业干过Internet Sales
Manager一年多。车行销... 阅读全帖 |
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e**********e
发帖数: 999 | 42 the point is that he didn't want to pay. He is probably one of those big 4
back offices flying around racking up star wood hotel points and try to use
those points to parlay into free sex. |
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b**********5
发帖数: 7881 | 43 “Follow the money.” That telling phrase, which has come to summarize the
Watergate scandal, has been a part of the lexicon since 1976. It’s
shorthand for political corruption: At what point do “contributions”
become bribes, “constituent services” turn into quid pro quos and “
charities” become slush funds?
Ronald Reagan was severely criticized in 1989 when, after he left office, he
was paid $2 million for a couple of speeches in Japan. “The founding
fathers would have been stunned that an occupa... 阅读全帖 |
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l***o
发帖数: 1111 | 44 http://espn.go.com/blog/new-york/knicks/post/_/id/14366/lin-was
By Jared Zwerling
NEW YORK -- To Jeremy Lin, Mike D'Antoni was more than his Knicks head coach
. He was his career savior.
After going undrafted, not getting a real shot with three NBA teams (the
Mavericks, Warriors and Rockets), being sent down to the D-League three
times, Lin found himself at the end of the Knicks' bench -- wondering,
praying, hoping he would get a chance.
Then, on Feb. 4 against the Nets, at the mecca for basketb... 阅读全帖 |
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c******n
发帖数: 5697 | 46 http://articles.latimes.com/2012/dec/31/sports/la-sp-nfl-bettin
LAS VEGAS — It wasn't the mysterious fan with a briefcase of cash who
picked this town clean during NFL gambling season.
Rather, it's been bettors wearing a new orange Peyton Manning jersey, or
Packers fans with their cheesehead hats, or Patriots fans — who loyally bet
on their favored teams each week.
The problem for Las Vegas sports books is that many popular NFL teams beat
the point spread during the regular season. And with many... 阅读全帖 |
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s*****h
发帖数: 44903 | 47 本周黑猫输老鹰
发空输大鱼
罢课这眼看也要输红鸟
这个3 Team Parlay bet odds。。。 |
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