i*****y
发帖数: 3449 | 1 http://www.cnn.com/2014/02/26/politics/texas-same-sex/
CNN) -- Texas on Wednesday became the latest state to have a federal judge
strike down its same-sex marriage ban, thanks to a sweeping decision holding
that its current prohibition has no "legitimate governmental purpose."
The ruling, by San Antonio-based Judge Orlando Garcia, will not take effect
immediately: Its enforcement has been stayed while the case works its way
through the appeal process, meaning same-sex couples in Texas cannot get... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 2 Who is the worst president since WWII ?
Posted by
CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser
(CNN) - President Barack Obama tops the list of the worst presidents since
World War Two, according to a new national poll.
And the survey, released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University, also indicates
that a plurality of voters nationwide say in hindsight that the country
would be better off if Mitt Romney had won the 2012 presidential election.
Thirty-three percent of people questioned in the poll say that... 阅读全帖 |
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J*******3
发帖数: 1651 | 3 哈佛大学教授：揭“美国梦”最大丑闻
罗伯特·帕特南（Robert D·Putnam），美国哈佛大学公共政策学教授。曾任哈佛大学
肯尼迪政府管理学院院长、美国政治学会主席。他的主要研究领域是政治学理论和社会
理论，其代表作有《独自打保龄：美国社会资本的衰落》《使民主运转起来》等。近日
，他的新书《我们的孩子：危机中的“美国梦”》（《Our Kids：The American Dream
in Crisis》）即将出版。从该书中，可以让我们看到，“美国梦”对于现在的美国人
来说，已经遥不可及。
对此，陆媒光明日报发文，“美国梦”正渐行渐远。文章称，自1776年独立以来，世世
代代美国人都深信不疑的是，只要通过个人勤奋、勇气、创意和决心，无须依赖于特定
的社会阶级和他人的援助，便能获得更好的生活。建国两百多年来，“美国梦”一直激
励着世界各地的青年人，来到这片土地实现自己的价值，美国也因此被誉为全球成功人
士的摇篮。然而，在美国哈佛大学著名教授罗伯特·帕特南眼中，曾经的“美国梦”如
今正在渐行渐远。
在美国，哪些因素决定了一个人未来的生活？上述决定因素是否会因时间的推移而改变
？在帕特南教授... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 4 George W. Bush Now Crushing Obama in Popularity Poll
Considering Obama’s expansive legacy of failure it’s a wonder how it took
so long for Bush 43 to surpass this abomination in the White House. We know
for sure this will ruin Obama’s days once he learns about it, but that’s
assuming ESPN reports it.
Americans now have a more favorable view of former President George W.
Bush than they do of President Barack Obama.
It is the first time in more than a decade that Americans have expressed
a... 阅读全帖 |
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s********t
发帖数: 4150 | 5 美国一项新的民意调查结果显示，希拉里·克林顿的民意好感度有所下滑，近6成美国
人认为她“不诚实”和“不值得信赖”。
美国有线电视新闻网（CNN)与殴维希民意调查公司（ORC)的民调显示，对希拉里不抱
好感的人高达57%，这比她宣布竞选总统以来升高了8个百分点，也是她自2001年来最糟
糕的表现。只有47%的民众认为希拉里有同情心、关心普通民众，半数人则认为希拉里
无法激励民众信心。
希拉里部分令人失望的因素包括2012年利比亚班加西大使馆遇恐袭事件，此次袭击导
致4名美国人丧生。57%的民众表示对时任国务卿希拉里处理此事不满意。
虽然希拉里遭受挫折，民主党内却尚无可替代的人选。6成民主党人称将选希拉里参加
初选战，这比一个月前下降了9个百分点，即便如此，与其差距最小的竞争对手副总统
乔·拜登只有14%的支持率。
佛蒙特州参议员、民主党社会主义者桑德斯名列第三，支持率是10%。上月30日宣布竞
选的前马里兰州州长马丁·奥马利支持率低得可怜，只有1%。
揭秘克林顿夫妇的20亿美元慈善帝国
美国前总统克林顿在2001年任期结束后并没闲着，除了四处演讲和撰稿以外，一手操
持的克林顿基金会逐渐壮... 阅读全帖 |
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r******g
发帖数: 4002 | 6 过去几十年，随着中美洲合法和非法移民疯狂涌入，美国的人口结构发生了急剧变化，
已经逐渐迈向黑墨国。根据一些调查结果显示，美国总统侯赛因奥巴马的支持率上月攀
升破50％，为2013年来首次。那如果奥巴马可以再次参加总统竞选，情况会怎样？
他说：“我想如果我参选，我会获胜。但是我不能参选。”
奥巴马再次连任是一个有趣的思想实验。根据CNN / ORC的调查，2012年选举前，奥巴
马的支持率为51%。如果他可以在2016年参选并维持50%左右的支持率，他很可能赢得第
三任期。尤其是在目前共和党没有明显领跑者的情况下。 |
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r****p
发帖数: 480 | 7 Hillary Clinton's 9 eyebrow-raising email comments
http://www.cnn.com/2015/08/19/politics/hillary-clinton-emails-9
1. "What, like with a cloth or something?"
2. "Those messages disappear all by themselves."
3. "No more secrecy. No more zone of privacy. After all, what good did that
do for me?"
4. The White House wouldn't have been hacked "had they been using my server."
5. "Maybe the heat is getting to everybody."
6. "Now I think it's kind of fun. People get a real-time, behind-the-scenes
look a... 阅读全帖 |
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T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 8 CNN/ORC新民调显示，川普在两组人群中的支持率获增明显：一组是女选民，另一组是
高学历选民（获大学毕业者）。
在女选民中，川普的支持率由8月的20%升到目前的33%，跃升了13个百分点。在获大学
毕业的选民中，他的支持率由8月的16%跃升到目前的28%。
在男选民中，川普的支持率达到31%，比8月提升了4个百分点。在没有学历的选民中，
他的支持率由8月的28%升至目前的33%。
川普在茶党中的支持率更是获明显增幅，由8月的27%跃升到目前的41%。
＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼＼
也许女选民也明白，能把国家从民主党烂泥里拔出来的，才是能保证每个公民，包括这
些女选民的孩子，还有那么个前途的。这也许才是最重要的。 |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 9 iowa 的poll一直叫人看不懂。12月7日有两个iowa poll
Monmouth: Cruz 24 Trump 19
CNN/ORC: Cruz 20 Trump 33
如果说Cruz差4个点算正常的化，Trump在同一个时间段差了14点，绝对不正常。
在我看来这只说明一件事：有人说谎！
再看前几届的选举，iowa的poll不仅不准，而且选举前起伏非常大。可能这和iowa的选
民特色有关。选举一直从这个州开始，选民对poll都审美疲劳了。 |
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b*******m
发帖数: 5492 | 11 http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/03/politics/obama-mosque-visit-musli
(CNN)Seeking to rebut what he views as perilous election-year bombast about
Muslims, President Barack Obama is at a mosque in Baltimore on Wednesday,
his first visit to such a site in the United States.
"Muslim Americans keep up safe," Obama told the audience, crediting the
contributions Muslims have made to communities. "They are our police. They
are our fire fighters. They're in (the Department of) Homeland Security."
At the Islam... 阅读全帖 |
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 12 http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/16/politics/south-carolina-poll-cnn-
In the Republican race, Trump, at 38%, tops Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who holds
second place with 22%. Behind those two, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio garners 14
% support, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is at 10%, retired neurosurgeon Ben
Carson has 6% and Ohio Gov. John Kasich is at 4%. |
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h******n
发帖数: 3599 | 13 http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/16/politics/south-carolina-poll-cnn-
Washington (CNN)Donald Trump holds a broad 16-point lead among those likely
to vote in South Carolina's Republican primary this Saturday, according to a
new CNN/ORC Poll. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton tops Bernie Sanders by 18
points in the state's Democratic primary, which will be held a week later.
In the Republican race, Trump, at 38%, tops Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who holds
second place with 22%. Behind those two, Florida Sen. Marco Ru... 阅读全帖 |
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b*********h
发帖数: 1001 | 15 这家的poll之前说nevada trump是45% ，最后出来的结果是45.9% |
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x****d
发帖数: 2239 | 16 从民主党角度来说，三德子is finished. |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 18 The GOP establishment and MSM’s coordinated assault on Trump has only made
him more popular.
Negative advertising and in your face attacks on the Teflon Don have left
his opponents burned.
Trump and nice guy Carson gained support at their expense.
Democrats will discover burying Trump in an avalanche of negative
advertising and in your face attacks isn’t going to take him down.
Trump seems pretty much invulnerable.
More than anything the world now sees how dishonest and fraudulent the anti
Trump... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******o
发帖数: 8869 | 19 还orc? 你把政府想得太高大上了？外交部record keeping就是打印装箱锁起来，据说
已经积了好几千箱了。 |
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S*********g
发帖数: 24893 | 20 难怪初选大功臣lewandowski被无情地解雇了
RCP Average 6/2 - 6/19 -- -- 45.0 39.2 Clinton +5.8
CNN/ORC 6/16 - 6/19 891 RV 3.5 47 42 Clinton +5
Monmouth 6/15 - 6/19 721 LV 3.7 49 41 Clinton +8
Gravis 6/16 - 6/16 2197 RV 2.1 51 49 Clinton +2
Rasmussen Reports 6/14 - 6/15 1000 LV 3.0 44 39 Clinton +5
Reuters/Ipsos 6/11 - 6/15 1323 RV 2.8 41 32 Clinton +9
CNBC 6/11 - 6/13 801 RV 3.5 40 35 Cli... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 21 When it comes to the economy, Donald Trump is the preferred choice of
American voters.
Voters overwhelmingly think Democrat Hillary Clinton will be the next
president (whether they want that or not), but when they are asked
specifically who would be the better candidate to "handle the economy," 51%
say Trump and only 43% say Clinton, according to the latest CNN/ORC poll
released Tuesday morning.
http://money.cnn.com/2016/06/21/news/economy/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-economy/index.html |
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d*******2
发帖数: 3045 | 22 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: StephenKing (金博士), 信区: Military
标 题: 希拉里的优势扩大到7%了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jun 26 13:01:51 2016, 美东)
希拉里的优势扩大到7%了
而且希拉里在绝大多数swing state领先
RCP Average 6/9 - 6/23 -- -- 46.1 39.4 Clinton +6.7
ABC News/Wash Post 6/20 - 6/23 836 RV 4.0 51 39 Clinton +
12
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 6/19 - 6/23 1000 RV 3.1 46 41
Clinton +5
Rasmussen Reports 6/20 - 6/21 1000 LV 3.0 44 39 Clinton +5
Reuters/Ipsos 6/18 - 6/22 ... 阅读全帖 |
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S******4
发帖数: 2865 | 23 Dude... You seriously need to check out your mental state.
支持Trump与否是个可以讨论很久的命题。正反方说实话都可以说出道理。
没办法看到现实，那只能说明你智商和脑子出了问题。
RCP Average 6/16 - 6/29 -- -- 44.6 39.8 Clinton +4.8
---
IBD/TIPP 6/24 - 6/29 837 RV 3.5 44 40 Clinton +4
FOX News 6/26 - 6/28 1017 RV 3.0 44 38 Clinton +6
Rasmussen Reports 6/28 - 6/29 1000 LV 3.0 39 43 Trump +4
PPP (D) 6/27 - 6/28 947 RV 3.2 48 44 Clinton +4
Reuters/Ipsos 6/25 - 6/29 1247 RV 2.8 42 32 Clinton +10
Quinnipiac 6/21 - 6/27 1610 RV 2.4 42 4... 阅读全帖 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 24 Americans now favor Republican Donald Trump over Democrat Hillary Clinton by
a significant margin according to a new CNN/ORC poll, which attributes
Trump’s jump in popularity to the recently concluded Republican Convention.
In his best showing since September 2015, Trump now commands a remarkable 44
% to 39% lead over the Democrat candidate in the race for the White House,
when compared in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill
Stein (3%).
When just the two candidates are consid... 阅读全帖 |
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M****o
发帖数: 4860 | 25 Washington (CNN)Donald Trump's Russia problem isn't going away.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/02/politics/donald-trump-russia-problem-putin-hayden/index.html
In the past week, the Republican presidential nominee has been pilloried for
his comments expressing openness to Russia's annexation of Crimea, has
called on the Russian government to share emails it possibly hacked from
Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and drawn rebukes from critics who say he
's soft on a traditional US adversary.
Trump sa... 阅读全帖 |
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p**f
发帖数: 3549 | 26 DNC后，民调54%支持巴马。第二任期来新高。
"The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone July 29-31 among a random
national sample of 1,003 adults, including 894 registered voters. Results
among the sample of registered voters have a margin of sampling error of
plus or minus 3.5 percentage points."
"The increase in Obama's approval rating comes mostly among younger
Americans -- he's up 9 points among those under age 45 while losing a point
among those age 45 or older -- and political independents and moderates --
u... 阅读全帖 |
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r*********e
发帖数: 7733 | 27 AZ是传统红州。不过今年有McCain 捣乱。
North
traditionally |
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T**********2
发帖数: 341 | 29 北卡我相信希拉里绝对不可能领先，我在北卡，我们周围的人，身边的朋友，还有朋友
的朋友，都是支持Trump,就算去加油站，听到人们的对话，也是支持Trump的。 |
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C****t
发帖数: 3813 | 30 I bet 2000 dollar for a Hillary in north Carolina |
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d*2
发帖数: 2053 | 31 http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/06/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-election-2016/index.html
(CNN)Donald Trump is aiming to pull off one of the greatest political
comebacks in history.
The Republican nominee is rebounding from a summer of repeated stumbles that
threatened to undermine his candidacy, underscoring his ability to claw his
way back and stay competitive despite controversies that would sink any
other politician.
Poll: Nine weeks out, a near even race
Trump and Hillary Clinton enter t... 阅读全帖 |
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s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 32 上周CNN的poll说Trump领先 3 points 呢。
是不是CNN上周比较香，这周就变臭了？
------------------------------------------
Clinton's 5-point advantage is wider than other recent polls out of the
state, including a CNN/ORC survey released last week that found Trump up by
3, within the poll's 3.5 percentage point margin of error. |
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a*****6
发帖数: 1800 | 33 这也证明 cnn 没有信用。 才7天， POLL 的变化 不可能这么大的。
发信人: sweetsister (甜甜), 信区: USANews
标 题: Re: Florida Poll，希拉里领先5 point
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Sep 20 22:19:39 2016, 美东)
上周CNN的poll说Trump领先 3 points 呢。
是不是CNN上周比较香，这周就变臭了？
------------------------------------------
Clinton's 5-point advantage is wider than other recent polls out of the
state, including a CNN/ORC survey released last week that found Trump up by
3, within the poll's 3.5 percentage point margin of error. |
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a*****6
发帖数: 1800 | 34 数学 证明 cnn 这么大的 variance 就是假 POLL
发信人: lengxi1981 (test), 信区: USANews
标 题: Re: Florida Poll，希拉里领先5 point
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Sep 20 22:22:43 2016, 美东)
poll是抽样统计，本身就有variance，你没学过数学？
【 在 addadd6 (haha) 的大作中提到: 】
: 标 题: Re: Florida Poll，希拉里领先5 point
: 发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Sep 20 22:19:39 2016, 美东)
: 上周CNN的poll说Trump领先 3 points 呢。
: state, including a CNN/ORC survey released last week that found Trump up
by
: 3, within the poll's 3.5 percentage point margin of error. |
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m*****s
发帖数: 4427 | 35 Clinton 62%
Trump 27%
ORC Poll |
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h**********4
发帖数: 148 | 36 CNN, are you kidding 301.3 million US citizens?
"Hillary Clinton was deemed the winner of Monday night's debate by 62% of
voters who tuned in to watch, while just 27% said they thought Donald Trump
had the better night "
But it is by "Interviews with 521 registered voters who watched the
presidential debate conducted by telephone (landline and cell)
by ORC International on September 26, 2016."
http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/27/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-debate-poll/ |
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m*****n
发帖数: 3644 | 37 联邦移民官和司法辅助人员组成的全国移民和海关执法协会发表声明说，他们是“美国
社区的最后一道防线”，每天都接触许多全世界最危险的人，包括犯罪集团分子、帮派
分子、武器走私分子、杀人犯、毒贩、暴力攻击犯，可是“不道德的政治议程和腐败领
袖”却使他们无法逮捕或被迫释放许多最危险的人，让他们回到美国社区。
协会以前从未公开支持任何民选公职候选人，因此这次的做法极不寻常，显示执法
人员对欧巴马政府的移民政策已忍无可忍，并担心克林顿沿袭这种方针。
工会发表声明说，他们是“美国社区的最后一道防线”，每天都接触许多全世界最
危险的人，包括犯罪集团分子、帮派分子、武器走私分子、杀人犯、毒贩、暴力攻击犯
，可是“不道德的政治议程和腐败领袖”却使他们无法逮捕或被迫释放许多最危险的人
，让他们回到美国社区。
声明中说，欧巴马总统违宪的行政命令，使他们连执行最基本的移民法都不行，包
括禁止非法工作、非法入境、非法逾期居留的法律。
有线电视新闻网与民意研究公司(CNN/ORC)本月7日发表的民调，发现有49%已登记
选民表示他们相信克林顿能够处理移民问题，有47%相信川普。但是，移民官工会进行
的内部投票，克林... 阅读全帖 |
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k**k
发帖数: 214 | 38 Pence 48%
Kaine 42%
BREAKING: Mike Pence narrowly wins #VPDebate, CNN/ORC instant poll finds
cnn.it/2dQXQ29 |
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发帖数: 1 | 39 In Poll After Poll Trump Leads Clinton Among Independent Voters
Alex Pfeiffer
General election polls of the nation and battleground states consistently
show Republican nominee Donald Trump besting Democratic nominee Hillary
Clinton among independent voters.
This lead among independent/non-party affiliated voters for Trump is also
found in polls where Clinton leads overall. For example, in the most recent
poll of national voters from Public Policy Polling, Clinton leads Trump 46
percent to 41 per... 阅读全帖 |
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g*****g
发帖数: 1067 | 40 RCP Average 9/28 - 10/9 -- -- 48.3 42.5 Clinton +5.8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/8 - 10/9 447 LV 4.6 52 38
Clinton +14
Economist/YouGov 10/7 - 10/8 971 RV 4.2 48 43 Clinton +5
LA Times/USC Tracking 10/3 - 10/9 2893 LV 4.5 43 46 Trump+
3
NBC News/SM 10/3 - 10/9 23329 LV 1.0 51 44 Clinton +7
FOX News 10/3 - 10/6 896 LV 3.0 48 44 Clinton +4
Quinnipiac 10/5 - 10/6 1064 LV 3.0 50 4... 阅读全帖 |
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l****e
发帖数: 609 | 41 现在补贴CNN的数据
Hillary 62% vs Trump 27%
被调查的人
Democrats 41%
Republicans 26%
Independents 33%
说Hillary赢辩论有问题吗？
Hillary Clinton was deemed the winner of Monday night's debate
by 62% of voters who tuned in to watch, while just 27% said
they thought Donald Trump had the better night
Interviews with 521 registered voters who watched the
presidential debate conducted by telephone (landline and cell)
by ORC International on September 26, 2016. The margin of
sampling error for results based on the tota... 阅读全帖 |
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s******r
发帖数: 21961 | 42 who's winning?
cnn/orc
Hillary Clinton headshot photo
47%
Clinton
Donald Trump headshot photo
42%
Trump
Gary Johnson headshot photo
7%
Johnson
Jill Stein headshot photo
2%
Stein |
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s******r
发帖数: 21961 | 43 who's winning?
cnn/orc
Hillary Clinton headshot photo
47%
Clinton
Donald Trump headshot photo
42%
Trump
Gary Johnson headshot photo
7%
Johnson
Jill Stein headshot photo
2%
Stein |
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i******d
发帖数: 248 | 44 老妖婆连赢三场，可喜可贺。
a
they
job, |
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a******e
发帖数: 5411 | 45 yeah right she is the fucking best |
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d********f
发帖数: 43471 | 46 她当年不是也连赢好多场大统领么
a
they
job, |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 48 [环球网综合报道]据俄新社11月22日报道，美国有线电视新闻网/民意研究公司（CNN/
ORC）近日发布的民调结果显示，超半数（53%）的美国民众认为，唐纳徳•特朗
普能够很好地胜任总统一职。
调查显示，53%的美国民众认为，唐纳徳•特朗普能够胜任总统一职，且有40
%的受访者相信，特朗普将会解决美国经济问题。
大部分受访者表示，相信特朗普将会完成其在竞选期间所列举的的内政目标。还有
63%的受访者表示，期望国家经济能在2017年有所好转。
与此同时，有三分之二（66%）的受访者认为，特朗普当任总统将会引起美国国内
发生巨变，但只有43%的人相信会是好的改变。
此次民调于11月17日到20日通过电话的方式进行，共有1000多人参与其中，统计误
差为3%。 |
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发帖数: 1 | 49 查到了，这些州：
Alabama (Code of Ala. §17-19-2)
Alaska (Alaska Stat. §15.30.090)
California (Election Code §6906)
Colorado (CRS §1-4-304)
Connecticut (Conn. Gen. Stat. §9-176)
Delaware (15 Del C §4303)
District of Columbia (§1-1312(g))
Florida (Fla. Stat. §103.021(1))
Hawaii (HRS §14-28)
Maine (21-A MRS §805)
Maryland (Md Ann Code art 33, §8-505)
Massachusetts (MGL, ch. 53, §8)
Michigan (MCL §168.47)
Mississippi (Miss Code Ann §23-15-785)
Montana (MCA §13-25-104)
Nebraska (§32-714)
Nevada (NRS §298.050... 阅读全帖 |
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l******a
发帖数: 3803 | 50 http://www.businessinsider.com/trump-travel-ban-polls-2017-2
President Donald Trump's executive order barring refugees and citizens from
seven majority-Muslim countries from entering the US is one of his most
popular so far, according to a new poll from Morning Consult and Politico.
The order has a 55% approval rating (with 35% saying they "strongly approve"
) with only 38% of voters polled saying they disapprove of it.
Opinions about the ban fall along partisan lines — 82% of Republicans
suppor... 阅读全帖 |
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