c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 1 Charles McCarry, When Kennedy Blinked. Wall Street Journal, May 28, 2011
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB100014240527487048166
04576335594159928256.html?mod=WSJ_Books_LS_Books_5
(book review on Frederick Kempe, Berlin 1961; Kennedy, Khrushchev, and the
most dangerous place on earth. Putnam 2011)
Note:
(a) benighted (adj):
"1: overtaken by darkness or night
2: existing in a state of intellectual, moral, or social darkness :
UNENLIGHTENED"
(b) primal (adj; Latin primus, first): "first in importanc... 阅读全帖 |
|
l****e
发帖数: 609 | 2 (一)历史篇
（1）总统辩论
1980年里根和卡特的十月28日辩论之前，卡特的Favorable 和支持率都很高。当时10月
28日辩论的收看人数是个记录(80+million) ，辩论之后，获得辩论胜利的里根扭转局
势，他的Favorable 和支持率急速上升，两个星期后当选总统。
今年的辩论的收视率也是个记录（84+millions），还有人看网络直播的。Hillary获得
了辩论的胜利，本来她的Favorable 和支持率本来就比trump的要好，辩论之后她的他
的Favorable 和支持率扶摇直上。
虽然第二场副总统辩论是Pence赢了，但是9月26日的第一次辩论是这四场辩论中最重要
的一场，而且观看的人那么多，由此推论Hillary必会当选。
（2）Favorable 和 Unfavorable rating
http://www.gallup.com/poll/193376/trump-leads-clinton-historically-bad-image-ratings.aspx
Favorable 和 Unfavorable是一个重要指标。根据历史数据，从1956年... 阅读全帖 |
|
h*******i
发帖数: 4386 | 3 米疣媒体立即不提这茬了。
ev是landslide. |
|
f****g
发帖数: 1 | 4 NPR/NT Times has reportded 150+ rescue workers have been buried by landslide
...original news are here:
新华网北京5月19日电（刘笑冬）记者刚刚从交通运输部公路司戴东昌司长处获悉，据
四川省交通厅统计，截至5月19日 19时，在“5·12”地震灾害中，四川省交通系统职
工伤亡共183人，其中：死亡56人，受伤64人，失踪63人。截至目前，参加道路抢通保
通工作人员无人员殉职。 |
|
l*****o
发帖数: 9235 | 5 Yangtze River has never had any flooding after the Three Gorge Dam. But
those small branches had occasional rainstorms and landslides. |
|
O*******d
发帖数: 20343 | 6 瑞典政府在1967年不顾83％的选民的反对，强制推行路上行车靠右的法律。
Switching side against the people's will
In 1955 a national referendum was held and there was strong campaigning from
both sides. Right side campaigners used rational arguments based on facts,
like safer overtaking. The "lefties" played on people's long-time habits and
emotions; "Do you want to see your mother killed?"
Of course such arguments paid off. The result was a landslide victory to
stay on the left side –83 per cent against 15 per cent of the voters. |
|
r********n
发帖数: 7441 | 7 到 youtube 上搜搜 landslide, mud flow disaster 去，你会发现普世价值面对泥石
流也是没辙 |
|
r********n
发帖数: 7441 | 8 山沟里面就不该住人，除此以外没有别的办法，山石从诞生那日起就开始了风化过程，
风化的山石自然崩溃就形成landslide，遇到下大雨就是泥石流 mud flow/debris flow
，一部分原因是山上的水流渗进地下冲刷着山石下面的岩土，岩土水分含量太高就提高
了流动性，一旦局部地方松动了，泥石流就开始形成，泥石流中的石块会像锉刀一样不
断锉下流经的岩土 |
|
|
|
O*******d
发帖数: 20343 | 10 瑞典政府在1967年不顾83％的选民的反对，强制推行路上行车靠右的法律。
Switching side against the people's will
In 1955 a national referendum was held and there was strong campaigning from
both sides. Right side campaigners used rational arguments based on facts,
like safer overtaking. The "lefties" played on people's long-time habits and
emotions; "Do you want to see your mother killed?"
Of course such arguments paid off. The result was a landslide victory to
stay on the left side –83 per cent against 15 per cent of the voters. |
|
b****s
发帖数: 1300 | 11 http://www.economist.com/node/17204635?story_id=17204635
Railways in Tibet
Mount Everest is singing for joy
Everyone else is worried
Oct 7th 2010 | beijing
“MOUNT EVEREST is singing for joy and the Brahmaputra River swirling with
happiness”. Or so says an official Chinese newspaper (using the Tibetan
names, Qomolangma and the Yarlung Tsangpo). After much delay, China has
started to extend its controversial railway line in Tibet that will draw
more tourists to the mountain and boost trade with So... 阅读全帖 |
|
j***h
发帖数: 4412 | 12 Tales of Two Earthquakes Offer Lessons for the Future
Emergency Management By: Eric Holdeman on February 28, 2011
Photo courtesy of Liz Roll/ FEMA
Seattle's historic Pioneer Square was one of the hardest hit areas during
the Feb. 28, 2001, Nisqually earthquake. Photo courtesy of Liz Roll/ FEMA
http://heraldnet.com/apps/pbcsi.dll/bilde?Site=DH&Date=20110228
Ideally we learn from experiences and build on successes while trying not to
repeat our mistakes. Many times in our after-action reviews and... 阅读全帖 |
|
l*y
发帖数: 21010 | 13 【 以下文字转载自 WaterWorld 讨论区 】
发信人: mbp (Mac Book Pro), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: 加州highway 1昨晚山崩...难道整个太平洋板块都开始振动了？？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Mar 17 10:36:53 2011, 美东)
有点恐怖啊。。。
加州highway 1昨晚山崩...封路了。。。
难道和日本地震，广东断裂没有关系么？
http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_17632293?nclick_che
Calif. highway closed because of landslide
The Associated Press
Posted: 03/16/2011 10:44:03 PM PDT
MONTEREY, Calif.—The California Highway Patrol says a section of Highway 1
in
Monterey County is closed after a portion of satura... 阅读全帖 |
|
B*****i
发帖数: 96 | 14 Japan- Media reports that 7,000 US troops will join a 3 day intensive search
for missing persons.
Within 232.272 miles NE of Tokyo, Japan on Kasumigaseki Common Gate West
Tower, 3-2-1 Kasumigaseki Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, Japan
Incident Location:
Pacific Ocean
80 miles E of Sendai, Miyagi
Japan
Incident: Geophysical
Incident Type: Earthquake
Severity: Extreme
When this Happened: 03/11/2011 12:46 PM EST (03/11/2011 09:46 AM PST)
Description:
There are media reports that around 7,000 US troops will join... 阅读全帖 |
|
f*u
发帖数: 5923 | 15 9 dead since Kentville police warning
CBC.ca - 3 hours ago
Kentville Police Chief Mark Mander says nine people have died since he
warned the province about prescription drug abuse in the Annapolis Valley. .
..
9 dead after Taliban gunmen attack Kandahar police centre
WireUpdate - 6 days ago
By BNO News KANDAHAR (BNO NEWS) -- Nine people were killed and several
others wounded on Thursday in suicide blasts and gun attacks in Afghanistan'
s ...
Taliban attack police station in Kanda... 阅读全帖 |
|
W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 16 I like to hear what 都反共反中反脑残了吧-human-scums say on this developed,
rich country. |
|
L******f
发帖数: 5368 | 17 The Indian Removal Act was signed into law by President Andrew Jackson on
May 28, 1830.[1][2]
President Andrew Jackson called for an Indian Removal Act in his 1829 speech
on the issue.
The Removal Act was strongly supported in the South, where states were eager
to gain access to lands inhabited by the Five Civilized Tribes. In
particular, Georgia, the largest state at that time, was involved in a
contentious jurisdictional dispute with the Cherokee nation. President
Jackson hoped removal would r... 阅读全帖 |
|
c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 18 VOA Chinese, Oct 15, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news
/20111015-Making-of-nation-131917023.html
, which is translated from
American History: As War in Europe Expands, US Continues Policy of
Neutrality. VOA, May 11, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/learningenglish/home/us-history
/War-in-Europe-Expands-US-121661844.html
Note:
(a) The speech given by FDR: 罗斯福总统：“美国绝大多数人寻求和平，寻求国内
和平，也寻求别国和平，从而不会使美国国内和平受到威胁。The overwhelming
masses of our people seek peace. Peace at home, and the kind of peace i... 阅读全帖 |
|
d**********1
发帖数: 108 | 19 五毛逼估计没看到这一段
The cliffs are made chiefly of sediment and rock formations that slope
seawards. The ocean also erodes the base of the cliffs, and there have been
several slow-moving landslides since the 1950s that threatened several
hundred homes. |
|
w*********g
发帖数: 30882 | 20 美元作为世界货币霸主的日子不长了 2012-03-27 07:47:02
http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/10-reasons-why-the-
10 Reasons Why The Reign Of The Dollar As The World Reserve Currency Is
About To Come To An End
The Economic Collapse, 26 March 2012
The U.S. dollar has probably been the closest thing to a true global
currency that the world has ever seen. For decades, the use of the U.S.
dollar has been absolutely dominant in international trade. This has had
tremendous benefits for the U.S. financial system a... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
t**********3
发帖数: 12623 | 22 University of Colorado一个教授的模型，据说从1980年至今没有失手过 |
|
w********e
发帖数: 8594 | 23 有这等神器，怎能拿来示人？用来炒股票，不赚个几个亿才怪。 |
|
|
l*********1
发帖数: 2971 | 25 不可能的。选举这东西哪里能让数学模型能预测出来的？
大嘴O能让死人出来投票，他一个教授书呆子还鼓捣模型？ |
|
|
m*****n
发帖数: 5245 | 27
PA、OH、FL都划给罗姆尼了？太理想了吧。 |
|
H****g
发帖数: 14447 | 28 王绍光的演讲生动有趣，讲的深入浅出，即使像我这样的外行，看了也有收获。印象最
深刻的是“抽签民主”，这一点，以前数学（陈必红）多次也写过。抽签的实质是随机
抽样，只有随机抽样，才能解决大样本的代表性问题。也就是说，只有抽签，才能真正
的实现representative democracy所声称的代表性。当然，光是有代表性，仍然不足以
实现民主，这就需要群众性的参与，也就是毛泽东思想里的群众路线，王给群众路线起
了一个洋名，"qunticipation"，"qun"就是群众的意思。
总之，王绍光的这篇演讲，还是很值得一看的。内容也很丰富，可以从中大致了解毛派
对民主制度建设的观点。
=============================================
王绍光：民主：独轮车还是四轮驱动
来源:本文为作者2012年5月27日在清华大学演讲的整理稿，初稿由观察者网整理，欧树
军校出修正稿，最终经王绍光教授审阅
摘要:今天的讲演，我讨论实现民主的四个"轮子"：选举、抽签、公众参与、群众路线
。民主的实践方式其实比很多人想象的要丰富的多。现在的民主基本都是所谓"代议政
府"，... 阅读全帖 |
|
I******5
发帖数: 92 | 29 Obama Electoral College Landslide
共和党今天的失败真是拜党内极右翼势力所赐，什么神创世界论写进教材，种族歧视，
禁止堕胎，降低枪支管制，约束同行恋权益，经济政策上不听经济学家的劝告，为富人
减税，取消对中产阶级税收优惠，减少对穷人的帮助，阻止提供公平教育机会，都已经
让人吃不消了。还又加大穷人和少数民族投票困难，喉舌们和爪牙们的行动言语和人品
也明显走形掉到极致。实在咎由自取。
所谓回头是岸，共和党尽可放下屠刀，回归理性公平和正义。加上共和党的一些公认的
好的理念，相信会改邪归正成为美国的正面力量。 |
|
e*******e
发帖数: 9616 | 30 landslide lady bike in the middle? |
|
S*******l
发帖数: 4637 | 31 一战老兵。胡佛选举失败和这个事件相关。两老兵死亡，是被被围住的两个警察用防身
左轮打死的。后来罗斯福上台以后派自己老婆去做工作，然后给老兵安排工作，两院投
票推翻总统反对，补发了当初承诺的$2 billion bonus.
The Bonus Army incident proved disastrous for Hoover's chances at re-
election; he lost the 1932 election in a landslide to Franklin D. Roosevelt.
During the presidential campaign of 1932, Franklin D. Roosevelt opposed the
veterans' bonus demands.[23] When they organized a second demonstration in
May 1933, he provided the marchers with a campsite in Virginia and provided
them three mea... 阅读全帖 |
|
S***1
发帖数: 3140 | 32 这个新总理很厉害，一上来就合纵连横，和宿敌巴基斯坦握手，向中国伸出橄榄枝，为
印度经济发展创造有利条件。
不可小觑。
NEW DELHI (Reuters) - Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi invited Chinese
President Xi Jinping on Thursday to visit, seeking greater engagement
between the world's two most populous nations on trade and regional security.
Modi extended the invitation when he spoke by telephone with Chinese Premier
Li Keqiang, who had called to congratulate him on his victory in India's
general election, the Ministry of External Affairs said in a statemen... 阅读全帖 |
|
X******i
发帖数: 1384 | 33 当然是小概率事件，但是如果最后票数相当，就这么几票的区别，那当然每一票都是重
要的。
而且即便最后是LANDSLIDE， 那也不能说我那一票就没用。正因为你不把这个选举看成
一个很严肃的事情，才会认为自己的那一票是不重要的。 |
|
d******a
发帖数: 32122 | 34
AUSTIN, Texas -- George P. Bush was elected Texas land commissioner in a
landslide Tuesday, winning a little-known but powerful post that could
eventually lead to higher offices and becoming the first in his family's
political dynasty to win his first race.
Bush, a 38-year-old Fort Worth attorney and energy consultant, raised more
than $3 million against his little-known Democratic opponent, former El Paso
Mayor John Cook. Nonetheless, he spent months crisscrossing the state in a
campaign bus a... 阅读全帖 |
|
b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 35 Democrats made a strategic mistake by passing the Affordable Care Act, Sen.
Charles Schumer (N.Y.), the third-ranking member of the Senate Democratic
leadership, said Tuesday.
Schumer says Democrats “blew the opportunity the American people gave them
” in the 2008 elections, a Democratic landslide, by focusing on healthcare
reform instead of legislation to boost the middle class.
ADVERTISEMENT
“After passing the stimulus, Democrats should have continued to propose
middle class-oriented programs ... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
t*****1
发帖数: 1459 | 37 When he travels for work he always buys a Business Select ticket, which
means he's one of the first people to board the airplane. Even though my
husband is the director of engineering at his company he does not like to
dress up when he travels. After my husband lined up in the A1 position some
old guy a few spots behind him turned to his friend and said, "Why is that
big wetback ahead of us? That won't happen when Trump is President." He then
went further and told my husband, "Trump's going to s... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 39 Remember when Nixon played China as a strategic counter to Cold War Russia?
Made a certain amount of sense. He may have been mildly corrupt (by today's
standards), but he had the intelligence to keep us out of a direct war with
countries having tens of thousands of nukes.
Today's neocons, from the Bushes to the afirmative action golf enthusiast,
and most importantly - Hillary - just can't wait to stick it to Putin, and
if China wants to go along for the ride, so be it. What the hell, their kids
... 阅读全帖 |
|
b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 40 Remember when Nixon played China as a strategic counter to Cold War Russia?
Made a certain amount of sense. He may have been mildly corrupt (by today's
standards), but he had the intelligence to keep us out of a direct war with
countries having tens of thousands of nukes.
Today's neocons, from the Bushes to the afirmative action golf enthusiast,
and most importantly - Hillary - just can't wait to stick it to Putin, and
if China wants to go along for the ride, so be it. What the hell, their kids
... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
G**Y
发帖数: 33224 | 42 是有语法错误。
应该说
Trump will win by a landslide. |
|
l****e
发帖数: 609 | 43 (一)历史篇
（1）总统辩论
1980年里根和卡特的十月28日辩论之前，卡特的Favorable 和支持率都很高。当时10月
28日辩论的收看人数是个记录(80+million) ，辩论之后，获得辩论胜利的里根扭转局
势，他的Favorable 和支持率急速上升，两个星期后当选总统。
今年的辩论的收视率也是个记录（84+millions），还有人看网络直播的。Hillary获得
了辩论的胜利，本来她的Favorable 和支持率本来就比trump的要好，辩论之后她的他
的Favorable 和支持率扶摇直上。
虽然第二场副总统辩论是Pence赢了，但是9月26日的第一次辩论是这四场辩论中最重要
的一场，而且观看的人那么多，由此推论Hillary必会当选。
（2）Favorable 和 Unfavorable rating
http://www.gallup.com/poll/193376/trump-leads-clinton-historically-bad-image-ratings.aspx
Favorable 和 Unfavorable是一个重要指标。根据历史数据，从1956年... 阅读全帖 |
|
l*******1
发帖数: 16217 | 44 GOP要是能出一个少数族裔候选人八成能够 landslide, 可是Y们一聚会就能弄得和3K党
集会一样 |
|
d*******2
发帖数: 3045 | 45 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: dalihe102 (dalihe), 信区: USANews
标 题: 支持Trump的人是morons
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Oct 15 20:17:24 2016, 美东)
It doesn't get much more delusional than this. According to his supporters,
there are exactly two outcomes for this election:
1. Despite countless pollsters, statisticians, political historians, GOP
strategists, past and former GOP politicians, etc. overwhelmingly saying
otherwise, Trump will win in a landslide.
2. Hillary steals the election from Trump through illegi... 阅读全帖 |
|
d*******2
发帖数: 3045 | 46 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: dalihe102 (dalihe), 信区: USANews
标 题: 支持Trump的华人眼界之低
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Oct 15 22:49:27 2016, 美东)
支持他的华人也许不少受到高等教育，但是甘于与trump那些under educated的core一
个战壕，正说明他们眼界之低，政治智慧远见之匮乏！no decent person can stand
together with him. To be honest, 共和党这次要是出个capable，decent的候选人，
胜算大很多！ with trump, it's going down a sewer. 他就是一orange hitler！
华人一向自扫门前雪，精致利己主义盛行，不奇怪会有这么多川粉，但是很sad！华人
的政治素质修养怎么提高，怎样提高！？前一阵子一个英国网友转了金融时报一篇文章
分析美国选举乱象，一群川粉谩骂侮辱，穷追猛打，一口咬定对方是穆斯林！我希望11
/8 Hillary有landslide的胜利！不是因... 阅读全帖 |
|
T*******a
发帖数: 23033 | 47 尼玛，偏偏没说trump the pussy grabber。 |
|
h*********r
发帖数: 10182 | 48 MISOGYNIST，毕竟是报纸，不能上脏字。 |
|
l*****7
发帖数: 8463 | 49 发信人: gemini2012 (双子AB), 信区: USANews
标 题: 克林顿基金会前CEO在俄国请求紧急政治避难（多图）
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Oct 25 09:23:59 2016, 美东)
Kremlin In Turmoil After Clinton Foundation CEO Requests “Urgent And
Immediate” Asylum
An extraordinary Security Council (SC) report circulating in the Kremlin
today says this morning President Putin was “officially presented” with a
Main Directorate for Migration Affairs (GUVM) of the Ministry of Internal
Affairs (MVD) “file for review” relating to a request for “urgent and
immediat... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
