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全部话题 - 话题: hunch
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W*****B
发帖数: 4796
1
下面这篇文章挺有意思的。床铺根本就没想要当总统。他只是想利用选举给自己增加知
名度。他竞选团队里头的人也没指望他当总统。结果他意外当选了,现在竞选团队里的
人反而麻烦了。另外床铺一开始组阁时候的混乱也说明他根本也没有预料或者期待当选。
Donald Trump Didn’t Want to Be President
On the afternoon of November 8, 2016, Kellyanne Conway settled into her
glass office at Trump Tower. Right up until the last weeks of the race, the
campaign headquarters had remained a listless place. All that seemed to
distinguish it from a corporate back office were a few posters with right-
wing slogans.
Conway, the campaign’s manager, ... 阅读全帖
a*******g
发帖数: 53
2
来自主题: Automobile版 - Anyone help me with a VIN check?
I have a hunch that this car has lots of problems, but could anyone help me
with a carfax to verify? Thanks in advance!
WVWAD63B45E072600
n*********0
发帖数: 925
3
来自主题: Automobile版 - The Speeding Ticket---Powerful
Just wanted to share
Read This Slowly
Jack took a long look at his speedometer before slowing down: 73 in a 55
zone.Fourth time in as many months..How could a guy get caught so often?
When his car had slowed to 10 miles an hour,Jack pulled over, but only
partially.Let the cop worry about the potential traffic hazard..Maybe some
other car will tweak his backside with a mirror.The cop was stepping out of
his car,The big pad in hand..
Bob? Bob from Church? Jack sunk farther into his trench coat.Thi... 阅读全帖
i**e
发帖数: 6810
4
来自主题: Automobile版 - Accord的维修,真不可思议
Sorry to hear that. After your trying other brands I have
a hunch that you might come back to Toyota (maybe Honda,
Acura or Lexus) if reliability is your thing :)

t*********g
发帖数: 3618
5
来自主题: ChinaStock版 - 持仓更新(8月)

no, i made the decision by my hunch. i was actually thinking about going for
600482, but i finally picked 2456,2460 since they had been tailed by the
real market force.
t*********g
发帖数: 3618
6
来自主题: ChinaStock版 - 持仓更新(8月)

no, i made the decision by my hunch. i was actually thinking about going for
600482, but i finally picked 2456,2460 since they had been tailed by the
real market force.
c*******5
发帖数: 263
7
I never have a successful experience of selecting my students. Some of my
master students are much much better than my phds. Some phds are much much
better than other phds. I used same methods to choose them, but their
performance varies to a degree that I can't make correlation between the
quality of students and the methods of selecting them. Now I think it is
pure luck, and I choose by hunch.
P*****t
发帖数: 4978
8
来自主题: Faculty版 - 女Faculty怎么找人结婚?
你太认真了。这个凭hunch就知道根本行不通,你还偏偏要洋洋洒洒的凭逻辑论述。

1/
k***n
发帖数: 11247
9
i have a hunch this won't work for LZ's case
s*******t
发帖数: 148
10
来自主题: Family版 - 老婆出轨, 我现在很揪结
Dude, I have a hunch, it was not just 30 minutes. All answer lies in why
your wife told you this or how you found it out. You never mentioned that in
detail.
There is a reason that this surfaces after 7 years. A 30 minutes one time
stand doesn't have enough gravity to surface after 7 years, my friend. You
sound like a smart guy. I think you can find out the truth which you are
entitled to know. Of course that doesn;t mean you have to divorce her.
Maybe you will find out your wife is really a pie... 阅读全帖
M******8
发帖数: 10589
11
来自主题: HouseRental版 - 18 reasons to dump a roommate (转载)
【 以下文字转载自 WaterWorld 讨论区 】
发信人: Math1978 (数学), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: 18 reasons to dump a roommate
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Nov 11 09:18:32 2012, 美东)
The scary scene that arises when one's roommates are two women.
You know things are bad when Angry Toast starts writing notes.
This is what happens when your roommate who works in a pharmacy goes on a
labeling spree.
The guy who posted this on Reddit has a hunch that his roomie smokes too
much pot.
Never live with a roommate who's too cheap to buy an iro... 阅读全帖
c******7
发帖数: 439
12
This is a good one, but I am not sure what my answer will be.
I will argue with my broker for the bug as a start,
but this is only a trick answer.
My hunch is either the two methods are irrelevant/give random result
or buy back is no worse than the other one.
Because why DCA it in 6 month? Why not 2 years.
Is there a best time scale or it is totally irrelevant?
I cannot imagine there is a optimized time scale for that,
so I tend to think it is irrelevant.
Do you have an answer for this?

holding... 阅读全帖
m*********a
发帖数: 3299
13
来自主题: Investment版 - QE taper
it is hard to understand what you want to say.
You mean FED believe that economy is quite robust so let taper Jan or March
2014. While tapering or after tapering, FED finds out that, kabo!,the
economy is actually in the shit land. With help of tapering, the economy
officially in the recession zone.
If my understanding is right, what do you mean that the market is fully
priced in the QE taper early next year? Do you mean that bond market and
stock market will not move at all when FED announces ta... 阅读全帖
w***n
发帖数: 1519
14
来自主题: Investment版 - 今天清空了401K
There is no free lunch. You either risk big draw downs from time to time (
buy and hold), or risk realizing some loss but not participating in the
recovery and also becoming vulnerable to whipsaws (trend following/momentum
trading). Or, if you let your emotion/hunches control the process, rather
than sound rules, you could do a lot worse.
l*******g
发帖数: 71
15
【 以下文字转载自 Working 讨论区 】
发信人: lovemydog (lovemydog), 信区: Working
标 题: 讨论一下interview碰到怕你比他强的peer怎么办?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue May 31 18:34:36 2011, 美东)
在骑驴找马找工作,刚知道上周五的一个onsite黄了,挺感兴趣得一个startup
分析一下,跟两个VP都谈得很好,估计就是被一个peer给说了坏话
先说一下背景,hiring VP相当年轻有为,手下一个一把年纪的,就是这个peer,一看
明显的不聪明干练
其实这个peer两年前的title是VP,没干好所以bring in了现在这个VP,从此公司的
product strategy得到调整蒸蒸日上
当时onsite就觉得这个peer不太友好,绵里藏针。Hunch就是他怕我加入了更影响他地位
不知道大家有什么好建议碰到这种情况怎么办?
n********e
发帖数: 41
16
来自主题: JobHunting版 - Leetcode的系统真是弱爆了
楼主 看到 你 isDiffByOne 函数就知道你必然要超时
Leetcode免费给你用 就别挑剔了。凡事要先从自身找问题
你那个测试不是大数据
真正的大数据在这里:
start = "nanny";
end = "aloud";
String[] d = {"ricky","grind","cubic","panic","lover","farce","gofer
","sales","flint","omens","lipid","briny","cloth","anted","slime","oaten","
harsh","touts","stoop","cabal","lazed","elton","skunk","nicer","pesky","
kusch","bused","kinda","tunis","enjoy","aches","prowl","babar","rooms","
burst","slush","pines","urine","pinky","bayed","mania","light","flare","
wares","wom... 阅读全帖
s**x
发帖数: 7506
17
来自主题: JobHunting版 - 面试又挂了!难过死
为什么有人喜欢问feedback? I never asked. They can not be honest with you due
to any potential law suit. So just forget it and move on. You should have a
hunch where went wrong.
e***a
发帖数: 1661
18
来自主题: JobHunting版 - IT 行业可能会突然在今年崩盘
yes, some ppl have such a hunch.
w**z
发帖数: 8232
19
http://www.businessinsider.com/tips-for-negotiating-the-salary-
Negotiating your salary can be awkward and challenging — and actually
getting the pay you want often seems impossible.
But it isn't.
"A job interview can be stressful, especially when it comes time to talk
about money," says etiquette expert and "Poised for Success" author
Jacqueline Whitmore. "However, you can get what you want and deserve — most
job seekers just aren't sure when and how to ask for it."
To master the delicate dance... 阅读全帖
b**********5
发帖数: 7881
20
来自主题: JobHunting版 - 无限的假期到底是什么?
Tech startups love millennials. Tasty, tasty millennials who get underpaid,
overworked, churned up and turned into nourishment for venture capitalists.
Millennials are the Soylent Green of the tech world.
As each batch gets mashed up, there’s a long line of new hires eager to be
made into the next meal for the execs and their billionaire backers, as tech
survivor Dan Lyons shows in a scathingly funny new book, “Disrupted: My
Misadventure in the Start-Up Bubble” (Hachette Books).
Lyons became a s... 阅读全帖
Y******u
发帖数: 1912
21
来自主题: Living版 - 布鲁克林房价创新高
"Apartment rents in Brooklyn have also accelerated, jumping
14 percent in June from a year earlier to a median of $2,737,
the highest in records dating to 2008, Miller Samuel and Douglas
Elliman said in a separate report today. In Manhattan, rents
climbed 1.9 percent last month to $3,195, putting them 2.1
percent from the previous peak reached at the end of 2006."
“At one open house on a weekend, it literally looked like
a tour bus just unloaded in front of the place,” said Lang, a
29-year-old l... 阅读全帖
m*****t
发帖数: 5
22
from slashdot
"Researchers at Woodend Hospital in Aberdeen, Scotland used a new form of
magnetic resonance imaging to collect images from 22 healthy volunteers, who
assumed three different sitting positions: slouching posture in which the
body is hunched forward, an upright 90-degree sitting position, and a
relaxed position where the subject reclined backward 135 degrees. They
concluded that the reclined position is the best, and the forward slouch the
worst."
From the article: "'We were not cre
w*********s
发帖数: 2136
23
Jeffry John Aufderheide
vactruth.com
05/25/2010
http://vactruth.com/2010/05/25/vaccines-rockefeller-social-control/
PART I.
History books proclaim with absolute certainty that the pinnacle of public
health is defined by the polio vaccine program. Disease finally conquered by
science. The polio effort was a benchmark for the public to mentally accept
the concept “shots prevent disease.” However, hidden to most Americans
was an elaborate Public Relations scheme being carefully applied by
Rockefell... 阅读全帖
u****s
发帖数: 2186
24
【 以下文字转载自 shopping 讨论区 】
发信人: unless (unless), 信区: shopping
标 题: Security Guard Foils Fake Credit Card Ring
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Mar 15 20:22:20 2011, 美东)
http://www.wsbtv.com/news/27203362/detail.html
LEXINGTON, Ky. -- A security staffer at a retail store helped break up an
interstate crime ring that used counterfeit credit cards from Georgia to
Ohio, police said.
Three men were arrested after a loss-prevention manager at a Meijer store in
Lexington, Kentucky reported that they were acting stra... 阅读全帖
t*****0
发帖数: 64
25
看这里的review:
http://www.amazon.com/review/R2PGEWUH95SPR3/ref=cm_cr_dp_cmt?ie
好象比较小.有偷工减料的嫌疑.
I have been going back and forth over which lightweight stroller to order. I
am buying for my 3 child and had several stroller over the years from every
brand. This however was a first purchase from Kolcraft. I read the reviews
over and over and finally ordered it.
Shipped fast and the stroller is nice looking from afar. I think it looks to
be made a bit cheap though(up close). I guess for $[...] you get ... 阅读全帖
s**********1
发帖数: 4651
26
you sound like a "tuo", no offense, just my hunch

do
cannot

发帖数: 1
27
Secretive, selective ... sexist? The college is pushing its elite all-male (
and all-female) organizations to change. Here’s a peek inside.
One midnight near semester’s end on the skirts of Harvard Yard, music
thumped and laughs rang out from a colonnaded, Greek-revival mansion, the
sort usually seen in Hollywood fantasies about fraternal campus life. But it
was the scene outside that suggested something other than a frat party.
This was the headquarters of the Fly, an exclusive men’s fellowship... 阅读全帖
a*****g
发帖数: 19398
28
来自主题: Parenting版 - 赢在起跑线上
spatial skill的能力更基本——
Follow-up surveys—at ages 18, 23, 33 and 48—backed up his hunch. A 2013
analysis found a correlation between the number of patents and peer-refereed
publications that people had produced and their earlier scores on SATs and
spatial-ability tests. The SAT tests jointly accounted for about 11% of the
variance; spatial ability accounted for an additional 7.6%.

top
.
C******n
发帖数: 9204
29
来自主题: shopping版 - walmart.com就没有可买的东西了
如果是桌子上有hunch的比较贵。
而且其实不好用。没法用大屏幕。
如果桌子旁边放书架。单独买就是了。walmart有29块钱5层书架。
u****s
发帖数: 2186
30
来自主题: shopping版 - Security Guard Foils Fake Credit Card Ring
http://www.wsbtv.com/news/27203362/detail.html
LEXINGTON, Ky. -- A security staffer at a retail store helped break up an
interstate crime ring that used counterfeit credit cards from Georgia to
Ohio, police said.
Three men were arrested after a loss-prevention manager at a Meijer store in
Lexington, Kentucky reported that they were acting strangely while buying
iPods.
The men, Le Yu, 22, Lei Tian, 22, and Liye Zhei, 23, are believed to be
Chinese citizens who have used faked credit cards in at l... 阅读全帖
h******b
发帖数: 312
31
来自主题: StartUp版 - 有无人投资软件技术。
hancheng同学能在这里法帖子问问题,就是成功开始的第一步。值得鼓励。
但是大家说得都很有道理,表明虽然迈出了第一步,但是路途还是很远很险。良药苦口
,都是好的信息。不中听但是也要记在心里,会有帮助的。
说点儿实在的吧:
1。你第二个方向,医学图像,有专利吗?
2。请列出三点说明:
a,在哪些方面国内现在的技术不如你的技术,是必需的吗?
b,你如何证明国内有需求升级到你的技术, just a hunch? 还是有数据/信息来证明.
c,你有囊括并超越http://www.vidadiagnostics.com/ 上面的技术,那么,如果他们进军中国市场(如果中国市场真得很大),你如何竞争?换句话说,他们目前为什么不进军中国?
如果你能购具体论证这些问题,你的思路就会更清晰了.free2009说得对,你这个整好了
能拿到投资.
n****a
发帖数: 782
32
Darma: Sit smart for a healthy body and mind
Darma光纤传感坐姿健康监控坐垫
http://bit.ly/SupportDarma
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cAMVlJr_m0
目前进展顺利
第一个小时:达到目标pledged $40,000 goal
24小时内:已超过$100,000
第一周:已超过$160,000
现在还剩38天,争取更上层楼!
感谢大家的支持!
今天央视新闻频道也报道了Darma的智能坐垫,下面是凤凰视频的转播:
http://v.ifeng.com/news/world/201410/01558d23-91ef-4770-a87c-a7
ABC WXYZ News对于Darma坐垫在众筹网项目的报道:
http://www.wxyz.com/news/no-hunching-smart-cushion-darma-could-
n****a
发帖数: 782
33
10/07, ABC WXYZ News对于本款Darma坐垫在众筹网项目的报道:
http://www.wxyz.com/news/no-hunching-smart-cushion-darma-could-
看来众筹搞得好可以引来媒体关注,对于创业也很有宣传作用
n****a
发帖数: 782
34
Darma: Sit smart for a healthy body and mind
Darma光纤传感坐姿健康监控坐垫
http://bit.ly/SupportDarma
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cAMVlJr_m0
目前进展顺利
第一个小时:达到目标pledged $40,000 goal
24小时内:已超过$100,000
第一周:已超过$160,000
现在还剩38天,争取更上层楼!
感谢大家的支持!
今天央视新闻频道也报道了Darma的智能坐垫,下面是凤凰视频的转播:
http://v.ifeng.com/news/world/201410/01558d23-91ef-4770-a87c-a7
ABC WXYZ News对于Darma坐垫在众筹网项目的报道:
http://www.wxyz.com/news/no-hunching-smart-cushion-darma-could-
10/15/14
CCTV美洲台进行了报道
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UInv3ulTzuQ
n****a
发帖数: 782
35
10/07, ABC WXYZ News对于本款Darma坐垫在众筹网项目的报道:
http://www.wxyz.com/news/no-hunching-smart-cushion-darma-could-
看来众筹搞得好可以引来媒体关注,对于创业也很有宣传作用
E*********r
发帖数: 4984
36
I agree. Big money players usually got the key numbers beforehand so they
will try to manipulate the news to make the most profit. Last month, the
news strongly emphasized the impact of bad weather and predicted the
unemployment rate would go up. Then on Friday, the number was miraculously
not bad, which naturally boosed the confidence of the investors. My hunch
is this time, the big players are using similar strategies.
The market has risen very rapidly in the past two months. It is hard t
w*********s
发帖数: 2136
37
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: whiteclouds (/ 参考消息 /), 信区: Military
标 题: ------ 疫苗产业与洛克菲乐集团 -------
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Nov 27 20:31:19 2010, 美东)
Jeffry John Aufderheide
vactruth.com
05/25/2010
http://vactruth.com/2010/05/25/vaccines-rockefeller-social-control/
PART I.
History books proclaim with absolute certainty that the pinnacle of public
health is defined by the polio vaccine program. Disease finally conquered by
science. The polio effort was a benchmark for the public to mentally accept... 阅读全帖
A*******k
发帖数: 319
38
This time it looks it will break soon. A hunch.
~5.7 sounds like a support in this wave since early Dec. You might already
notices that drys' cycle is about 6 weeks. I have been watching it and will
dive in as long as DJI cooperates.
s*****r
发帖数: 1745
39
来自主题: Stock版 - 暂时告别股市比较健康?
I have a hunch PEP will be upgraded next week.
s*****r
发帖数: 1745
40
来自主题: Stock版 - GUANJIU
I tried both, there is no definite answer, Been watching them for long time,
I just hit the buttons with my own hunch.
t******y
发帖数: 6206
41
黑老大高盛又在香港发话了,内容见下文。
觉得太长的,教授给个自己读的摘要:
1,我黑老大转述以下白老大的话,白老大他已经怒了。五月九号十号的调查显示,你
们这些投资者一帮猴精都撤回资金准备逃了,sell in May了,不带这么玩的。白老大
说了,我要pump全世界经济形势,看好欧洲,澳洲,加拿大那里也不错。你们资金都给
我回来,该去哪去哪,不知道去哪就去中国。
2,中国股事下半年很可能要彪,通货膨胀目前还不是问题,我们要继续吹大中国,以
及金砖四国。听清楚了,我黑老大说了,中国股市是会发狂的彪的。
3,世界经济复苏,要源于中国。为了让中国发狂的彪,我黑老大准备直接在中国设办
事处,用人民币来炒。你们有数的也都来一起炒,我都这么做了,你们还不放心么?
高盛开始看牛中国股市和看低通货膨胀威胁,暗示黑老大要开始布局了。
p.s.
教授这一阵子忙得像陀螺,乱七八糟却都挺重要的事情有一大堆。实在是无法分出更多
的精力来在股版和大家一起仔细分析大盘和股票,所以很多都是零碎之言,也缺乏体系
和论证过程。我还是暂时淡出一个月,七月份再回来,届时会带来教授的详细TA分析以
及对主席操作的分析和理解,再... 阅读全帖
o*********l
发帖数: 1807
42
got a hunch , bet a bunch. I like MQP....we will see who is the winner? when
will be your exit point on oil?
w****l
发帖数: 6122
43
【No indication of substantial rally in the future】
Forex, commodity and treasury all show no significant signs for a stock
market rally, but I have a strong hunch of possible government intervention
from Western countries.
s***e
发帖数: 267
44
来自主题: Stock版 - Once again, about "time decay"
I think your hunch is essentially correct although your example and
explanation wasn't great.
Unfortunately very few people got it including someone who seem to work on
the street.

$
9%
a
L**J
发帖数: 606
45
damn, i should trust my hunch this morning. almost half basket load
leveraged gold miner.
i guess my hesitation on gold and gold miner is: simply too many people are
streaming out buy dip on them~~:)
or well~
u**********n
发帖数: 8905
46
来自主题: Stock版 - SVU要破产了?
干脆long的人都割了。大家一起short好了,破产希望很大。我pcx暴跌那天就应该这样
搞。
This supermarket conglomerate owns Albertsons, where Rod Jooyan of La Mesa,
Calif., works as a manager. The San Diego Union Tribune reader thinks the
company could sell the division he works in soon, which could boost the
stock price. (Mr. Jooyan's hunch was on money, if not, apparently, his bet.
Supervalu announced Wednesday—three weeks after Mr. Jooyan made his pick—
that it is indeed considering selling all or part of the company. It also
said i... 阅读全帖
b*****g
发帖数: 2322
47
发件人也不知道是谁,就在我的垃圾邮件里,星期六收到的,
今天一早就涨了58%
下面是信件内容
Think about it. What if you had the hunch to buy something low and sell it
high. What if that clever move made you three or five times your principal?
When is the last time you saw a stock quintuple within a few days?
R_C_H_A is a little biopharma company that you can buy for around 20 cents
on Monday. A little bird has told me that something big is happening over
there and that we can expect to see it go past a dollar before the end of
the week.
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c*******y
发帖数: 1630
48
记得我昨天说的么? 指数上买弱空强,今天又赚死。
学费交的足够多了,往往还是有一些hunch的。
o*********1
发帖数: 2608
49
来自主题: Stock版 - AMD有可能成为下一个RSH
personally I think AMD is turning over---just a hunch, no solid analysis
blablabla
o*********1
发帖数: 2608
50
来自主题: Stock版 - AMD有可能成为下一个RSH
personally I think AMD is turning over---just a hunch, no solid analysis
blablabla
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