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m*********k
发帖数: 10521 | 2 =====================================================================
=========================Nature质疑叶诗文事件========================
=========================Nature致歉及网友反应========================
http://www.mitbbs.com/mitbbs_article_t.php?board=Olympics&gid=3
发信人: aylayl (我脚疼), 信区: Olympics
标 题: 热烈祝贺Nature就叶诗文事件道歉！！
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Aug 6 11:51:35 2012, 美东)
这是一个重大的胜利。在我眼里，不亚于一块金牌。
总结：
1）感谢所有在网上留言还击的同胞，特别是那些用英文且能注意技巧的人。感谢饶毅
老师和他所引用的那几位华人的努力。他们的做法是榜样。他们告诉我们，还击不是为
了宣泄，而是为了在道义上打败对方，并争取在舆论上打败对方（... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 3 by Quin Hillyer
At CFIF, I explain why the Boston bombing was the predictable outcome of (
even if not, of course, directly blamable on) policies deliberately forced
on the FBI by the Obama administration. This is actually really important
stuff, and it’s not jsut some ex post facto blame-game: Some of us were
warning about these policies six months (or more) ago.
Here’s a rather lengthy, key passage:
Granted, hindsight is 20/20. But the whole point is that it should not
have taken hindsight... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****n
发帖数: 760 | 4 1. You have a class that supports to input sample records and to compute the
average of the samples. The class has two members: total and count. How
would you make the class thread-safe? If 99% of the time average() is called
, how to optimize for that?
2. Talk about your recent interesting project/bug.
3. You have 100 files, each containing 10G sorted integers. How to merge all
integers into one sorted file?
4. Write a function to reverse digits of an integer. E.g. 123 --> 321, -890
--> -98.
5.... 阅读全帖 |
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S**b
发帖数: 1883 | 5 纽约时报心理专家说了，几个美军乱枪打死记者和孩子时谈笑风生是在战争状态下减压的正常行为，不必大惊小怪：
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/08/world/08psych.html
"The video’s emotional impact on viewers is also partly rooted in the
combination of intimacy and distance it gives them, some experts said. The
viewer sees a wider tragedy unfolding, in hindsight, from the safety of a
desk; the soldiers are reacting in real time, on high alert, exposed. "
"After the helicopter guns down a group of men, the video shows a van
stopping to pick up one of the wou |
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J*G
发帖数: 6489 | 6 你这纯粹是hindsight，是马后炮，用这样的方式把木樨地和公主坟那边定义为最危险
的地方就没意思了。现在不是让你放马后炮，20多年后了，看哪个地方死人最多，哪个地方最危险。
你问问北京的老百姓，在最后血洗西长安街这个事实发生之前，谁会认为木樨地比广场
还危险？在镇压之前甚至在镇压已经开始以后，广场被认为是最危险的地方，这是毋庸
置疑的。 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 7 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: Stock
标 题: Is It 1937 All Over Again?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Aug 16 03:34:03 2011, 美东)
Is It 1937 All Over Again?
Background:
Have global events begun to look and sound too familiar in 2011 to a
previous era in the 1930s? In 1937, economic conditions were surprisingly
similar to those at present. Commodity prices were rising, people worried
about inflation and deficits, and so they acted -- and paid the price. Many
who remember histor... 阅读全帖 |
|
a*****c
发帖数: 3525 | 8 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: agostic (π-packing), 信区: Military
标 题: (中英文)原子弹下无冤魂：B29飞行员查尔斯•斯韦尼将军1995国会演讲
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Aug 15 20:13:42 2012, 美东)
只有记忆才能带来真正的原谅，而遗忘就可能冒重复历史的危险。
One can only forgive by remembering. And to forget, is to risk repeating
history.
学英文是为了更好地了解历史。文章很长，有兴趣学英语同时了解历史的同学，希望耐
心地看完（也可以拷贝下来仔细研读）。不仅仅是学英语，更重要的是学如何写作，如
何摆事实，讲道理，反驳质疑。可以学的东西(中英文)原子弹下无冤魂：B29飞行员查
尔斯•斯韦尼将军1995国会演讲很多，就看你是否能够用心去领悟。这是一篇难
得的informative/historical/linguastic article. Enjoy and welcome to ... 阅读全帖 |
|
s**********t
发帖数: 1846 | 9 http://news.yahoo.com/ap-source-retired-gen-norman-schwarzkopf-
AP source: Retired Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf dies
By By RICHARD PYLE and LOLITA C. BALDOR | Associated Press – 10 mins ago
WASHINGTON (AP) — Retired Gen. H. Norman Schwarzkopf, who topped an
illustrious military career by commanding the U.S.-led international
coalition that drove Saddam Hussein's forces out of Kuwait in 1991 but kept
a low public profile in controversies over the second Gulf War against Iraq,
died Thursday. He was 78.... 阅读全帖 |
|
k********k
发帖数: 5617 | 10 http://news.yahoo.com/ap-source-retired-gen-norman-schwarzkopf-
AP source: Retired Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf dies
By By RICHARD PYLE and LOLITA C. BALDOR | Associated Press – 10 mins ago
WASHINGTON (AP) — Retired Gen. H. Norman Schwarzkopf, who topped an
illustrious military career by commanding the U.S.-led international
coalition that drove Saddam Hussein's forces out of Kuwait in 1991 but kept
a low public profile in controversies over the second Gulf War against Iraq,
died Thursday. He was 78.... 阅读全帖 |
|
p******o
发帖数: 9007 | 11 省省吧。
这套推断在行为经济学上有个名词很贴用：hindsight bias. |
|
a*****c
发帖数: 3525 | 12 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: agostic (π-packing), 信区: Military
标 题: (中英文)原子弹下无冤魂：B29飞行员查尔斯•斯韦尼将军1995国会演讲
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Aug 15 20:13:42 2012, 美东)
只有记忆才能带来真正的原谅，而遗忘就可能冒重复历史的危险。
One can only forgive by remembering. And to forget, is to risk repeating
history.
学英文是为了更好地了解历史。文章很长，有兴趣学英语同时了解历史的同学，希望耐
心地看完（也可以拷贝下来仔细研读）。不仅仅是学英语，更重要的是学如何写作，如
何摆事实，讲道理，反驳质疑。可以学的东西(中英文)原子弹下无冤魂：B29飞行员查
尔斯•斯韦尼将军1995国会演讲很多，就看你是否能够用心去领悟。这是一篇难
得的informative/historical/linguastic article. Enjoy and welcome to ... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
m***n
发帖数: 12188 | 14 所谓科举造成了思想僵化，这是误会。五四以来，传统成了敌人，漫无边际的攻击传统。
科举时代，社会有活力，有和平的斗争，有斗争就有变化，当然，变化是不是“进步”
，这往往是个“后视”（hindsight）的判断。
您最多可以说没有如西欧那样，找到通往近代，科技革命的道路。 不能说思想僵化。
真正的一挡专政＋文字狱才造成思想僵化。 思想最僵化的是清朝， 清代的旗人作为统
治党，而且是世袭的党，而且上升路线完全是靠取悦上级（“主子”）。 其科举和本
朝的民主党派一样，基本是摆设。 所以对世界的认识下降到零。
在真正的科举政治下， 有活力，有惊喜 ， 有思想斗争，王学左派，王学右派，明代
江南某些地区号称一村一个学派。 大家斗来斗去，有思想斗争，学术派别， 也有地
域争端，闽党蜀党，也有意气之争 （你老婆比我老婆漂亮） 。
关于中国为何没有自己演化为近代社会和科技革命（李约瑟问题），其实很没意思的问
题。
或许进入近代社会是一个黑天鹅事件，如 Taleb 说的，本身是各种偶然因素凑在一起
形成的小概率，强非线性事件。 比如说美洲这么一个大陆在那里，要是没有美洲，西
欧的过剩人口肯定造反爆... 阅读全帖 |
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m***n
发帖数: 12188 | 15 所谓科举造成了思想僵化，这是误会。五四以来，传统成了敌人，漫无边际的攻击传统。
科举时代，社会有活力，有和平的斗争，有斗争就有变化，当然，变化是不是“进步”
，这往往是个“后视”（hindsight）的判断。
您最多可以说没有如西欧那样，找到通往近代，科技革命的道路。 不能说思想僵化。
真正的一挡专政＋文字狱才造成思想僵化。 思想最僵化的是清朝， 清代的旗人作为统
治党，而且是世袭的党，而且上升路线完全是靠取悦上级（“主子”）。 其科举和本
朝的民主党派一样，基本是摆设。 所以对世界的认识下降到零。
在真正的科举政治下， 有活力，有惊喜 ， 有思想斗争，王学左派，王学右派，明代
江南某些地区号称一村一个学派。 大家斗来斗去，有思想斗争，学术派别， 也有地
域争端，闽党蜀党，也有意气之争 （你老婆比我老婆漂亮，凭什么！ 所以你赞同的，
我一定反对） 。
关于中国为何没有自己演化为近代社会和科技革命（李约瑟问题），其实很没意思的问
题。 五四以来，大家找出一个一个理由， 怪罪于科举，儒家，汉字，黄色文明，没有
宗教，或者宗教太强大，或者宗教不好， 专制政治，或者不够专制， 都是意义... 阅读全帖 |
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c********i
发帖数: 1489 | 16 http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1234719/
User Reviews
It's God Awful
23 November 2012 | by dbupte-537-27342 – See all my reviews
Honestly you are better off going to North Korea than seeing this poor
excuse of a movie. Honestly I wish N. Korea would invade us just so they
could stop the distribution of this awful film. It is a shame that this
movie was made in Michigan, not exactly a boost to our rep. I have no idea
why they chose Josh Peck for one of the male leads. He makes Hayden
Christiansen loo... 阅读全帖 |
|
S**b
发帖数: 1883 | 17 纽约时报心理专家说了，几个美军乱枪打死记者和孩子时谈笑风生是在战争状态下减压的正常行为，不必大惊小怪：
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/08/world/08psych.html
"The video’s emotional impact on viewers is also partly rooted in the
combination of intimacy and distance it gives them, some experts said. The
viewer sees a wider tragedy unfolding, in hindsight, from the safety of a
desk; the soldiers are reacting in real time, on high alert, exposed. "
"After the helicopter guns down a group of men, the video shows a van
stopping to pick up one of the wou |
|
h***y
发帖数: 4936 | 18 国共内战期间Life派了很多记者去中国。其中Jack Birns拍了很多照片，真实纪录了当
年中国的情形，但是因为不符合老板Henry Luce的反共宣传需要而不被发表，被雪藏了
几十年后才在2003年集册出版。
书的序言中也提到了为什么他的照片被老板打入冷宫：
His effort to show China's misery up close ran afoul of Time-Life publisher
Henry R. Luce's fervent anti-communism, and for half a century many of these
historic photographs lay unpublished in Time-Life's archives. Printed here
for the first time, they offer a graphic vision of a great city, Shanghai,
poised on the precipice of political revolution.
Seen through the... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 19 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: Stock
标 题: Is It 1937 All Over Again?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Aug 16 03:34:03 2011, 美东)
Is It 1937 All Over Again?
Background:
Have global events begun to look and sound too familiar in 2011 to a
previous era in the 1930s? In 1937, economic conditions were surprisingly
similar to those at present. Commodity prices were rising, people worried
about inflation and deficits, and so they acted -- and paid the price. Many
who remember histor... 阅读全帖 |
|
x****u
发帖数: 12955 | 20
差。时间在苏联一边。
It's a gamble. Odds to win were in favor of attacking Moscow directly.
However, the consequence of going for the win and failing it would have been
disastrous. So the risk/reward calculation was still roughly 50/50 for
either option.
A safe bet with hindsight would have been to attack Kiev as historically
happened, forgo Operation Typhoon, solidify the central front, and exploit
the advantage in Ukraine. Then make a push for Moscow in spring of 1942. |
|
c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 21 Did/do you see the long lines everywhere in Soviet Union?
In 1980s I was a graduate students at University of Illinois. African
students in the campus who had been invited to study in Soviet Union
lavished praise on Soviet Union. Ayt the time I did not know the long lines
there, which US media later brought to our attention (us means people in US)
only after Soviet Union collapsed (talk about 20/20 hindsight).
治。 |
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w****2
发帖数: 12072 | 22 【 以下文字转载自 CS 讨论区 】
发信人: wlwl12 (戒网), 信区: CS
标 题: Stevey's Google Platforms Rant
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 14 14:56:59 2011, 美东)
Stevey's Google Platforms Rant
I was at Amazon for about six and a half years, and now I've been at Google
for that long. One thing that struck me immediately about the two companies
-- an impression that has been reinforced almost daily -- is that Amazon
does everything wrong, and Google does everything right. Sure, it's a
sweeping generalization, but a surprisingly acc... 阅读全帖 |
|
f********t
发帖数: 6999 | 23 》》原作者：aylayl 《《
发信人: aylayl (我脚疼), 信区: Olympics
标 题: 热烈祝贺Nature就叶诗文事件道歉！！
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Aug 6 11:51:35 2012, 美东)
这是一个重大的胜利。在我眼里，不亚于一块金牌。
总结：
1）感谢所有在网上留言还击的同胞，特别是那些用英文且能注意技巧的人。感谢饶毅
老师和他所引用的那几位华人的努力。他们的做法是榜样。他们告诉我们，还击不是为
了宣泄，而是为了在道义上打败对方，并争取在舆论上打败对方（这点目前很难，因为
我们没有话语权）
2）思考题：为什么nature能出来反省？WSJ，CNN等就没这个压力呢？
http://www.nature.com/news/why-great-olympic-feats-raise-suspic
The story’s intention as an Explainer was to examine how science can help
resolve debates over extraordinary performances, ... 阅读全帖 |
|
y*****9
发帖数: 516 | 24 【 以下文字转载自 Olympics 讨论区 】
发信人: aylayl (我脚疼), 信区: Olympics
标 题: 热烈祝贺Nature就叶诗文事件道歉！！
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Aug 6 11:51:35 2012, 美东)
这是一个重大的胜利。在我眼里，不亚于一块金牌。
总结：
1）感谢所有在网上留言还击的同胞，特别是那些用英文且能注意技巧的人。感谢饶毅
老师和他所引用的那几位华人的努力。他们的做法是榜样。他们告诉我们，还击不是为
了宣泄，而是为了在道义上打败对方，并争取在舆论上打败对方（这点目前很难，因为
我们没有话语权）
2）思考：为什么nature能出来反省？WSJ，CNN等就没这个压力呢？
http://www.nature.com/news/why-great-olympic-feats-raise-suspic
The story’s intention as an Explainer was to examine how science can help
resolve debates over extraordinary perfor... 阅读全帖 |
|
a*****c
发帖数: 3525 | 25 只有记忆才能带来真正的原谅，而遗忘就可能冒重复历史的危险。
One can only forgive by remembering. And to forget, is to risk repeating
history.
学英文是为了更好地了解历史。文章很长，有兴趣学英语同时了解历史的同学，希望耐
心地看完（也可以拷贝下来仔细研读）。不仅仅是学英语，更重要的是学如何写作，如
何摆事实，讲道理，反驳质疑。可以学的东西(中英文)原子弹下无冤魂：B29飞行员查
尔斯•斯韦尼将军1995国会演讲很多，就看你是否能够用心去领悟。这是一篇难
得的informative/historical/linguastic article. Enjoy and welcome to comment.
(中英文)原子弹下无冤魂：B29飞行员查尔斯•斯韦尼将军1995国会演讲
英文版来源：
http://www.archive.org/stream/smithsonianinsti00unit/smithsonia
Fulltext of Charles W. Sweeney's Hea... 阅读全帖 |
|
k********k
发帖数: 5617 | 26 http://news.yahoo.com/ap-source-retired-gen-norman-schwarzkopf-
AP source: Retired Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf dies
By By RICHARD PYLE and LOLITA C. BALDOR | Associated Press – 10 mins ago
WASHINGTON (AP) — Retired Gen. H. Norman Schwarzkopf, who topped an
illustrious military career by commanding the U.S.-led international
coalition that drove Saddam Hussein's forces out of Kuwait in 1991 but kept
a low public profile in controversies over the second Gulf War against Iraq,
died Thursday. He was 78.... 阅读全帖 |
|
s*****r
发帖数: 11545 | 27 从HINDSIGHT的角度来看，很多事情都觉得有可能并且可以证实，问题是，谁有可能接
触到这样的化学试剂，谁有动机谋害朱令，谁有机会下毒。 没错，很多化学实验室的
管理很松，可是没接触过这东西的人根本就不会想象到它的毒性并考虑以它为毒品，而
氰化钾/钠人人知道而且更有效些，即使是学化学的，在朱令事件出来前，有多少知道
铊的毒性大小？或许朱令认识到社会上的一些人，但是那些人要搞到铊又没那么容易，
更别说他们没多少知道铊的毒性了。你孙家人带着证明铊很容易获得这个目的去偷点铊
，目的性那么强那当然可以做得到。假设朱令在酒吧结识了一个心胸狭隘男友而招致杀
身之祸，他会想到专门搞些铊去朱令宿舍毒死她？
假设一个案件成立要证明ABCD，很多人都可以满足其中任何一项，但是所有项都满足的
往往就是凶手一个。
如果在这样的事实下都不能定罪，那实在不知其可也。估计要亲眼看见某人从实验室拿
铊，下毒，朱令服下毒品的连贯过程才能令他们信服。否则，拿铊不能证明下毒，下毒
不能证明就是毒也不能证明朱令服下，朱令服下不能证明偷铊者下毒，这样一来，很多
案件就根本不可能破了。
在刑事犯罪方面，即使按照美国的标准 - ... 阅读全帖 |
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W******r
发帖数: 789 | 28 Well said. This is hindsight bias, nothing mysterious.
that |
|
s*****r
发帖数: 11545 | 29 It is hard to know a person's real intent and plan. It is easy to say from
the perspective of hindsight.
If Wang is a common citizen, he absolutely has no duty to report. But Wang
is a policeman, he might have a duty, how much duty he owed to the victim is
a question of legal ambiguity. On the other hand, Wang was forced into such
a dilemma, and he has a defense. Think about it, if he makes a report and
stops the crime, Gu's reputation is ruined and she would still want to kill
Heywood, hating... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******r
发帖数: 527 | 30 In hindsight, it is pretty funny. We should cheer that apartheid was over. |
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p*********e
发帖数: 32207 | 31 hindsight总是容易
实事求是的说,现在再把我拉回十年前,要没刘志军这种非常的手段
我都不太相信十年内中国高铁有今日的成就
贪归贪,credit要给人家. |
|
z**********3
发帖数: 11979 | 32 Ben Bernanke Has an Impressive Passive-Aggressive Streak, and Other Things .
..
New York Times - 8 hours ago
The annual release of transcripts of Federal Reserve meetings is a time to
take stock of how some of the nation's top economic policy makers made their
decisions, with the comfortable advantage of five years of hindsight. |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 33 http://www.tomdispatch.com/blog/176003/
Delusionary Thinking in Washington
The Desperate Plight of a Declining Superpower
By Michael T. Klare
Take a look around the world and it’s hard not to conclude that the United
States is a superpower in decline. Whether in Europe, Asia, or the Middle
East, aspiring powers are flexing their muscles, ignoring Washington’s
dictates, or actively combating them. Russia refuses to curtail its support
for armed separatists in Ukraine; China refuses to abandon its... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 34 US Must Hustle On Hypersonics, EW, AI: VCJCS Selva & Work
By SYDNEY J. FREEDBERG JR. on June 21, 2018 at 3:52 PM
WASHINGTON: China is besting the United States in key military technologies
like hypersonic missiles and electronic warfare, Gen. Paul Selva, vice-
chairman of the Joint Chiefs said today. We can still catch up, he predicted
.
What about Artificial Intelligence? That’s too close to call, said former
deputy Defense Secretary Bob Work, so we’d better get a move on. Both men
spoke at a C... 阅读全帖 |
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I*3
发帖数: 7012 | 35 就算领先我帝，也是剽窃我帝的。
-- 狗粮
technologies
predicted
former
Edge.
hindsight |
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I*3
发帖数: 7012 | 36 We can still catch up, he predicted
原创的要catch up剽窃的？哪个狗粮来捋一捋？
technologies
predicted
former
Edge.
hindsight |
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w*********r
发帖数: 42116 | 37 看看人家美国将的回帖
jlmtik 8 min ago
That was the danger of moving factory to China. For long time Steve Jobs
refused to let Chinese produce Iphone because he knew the copy issue. Huawei
is the brainchild iof China’s intellectual infringement. Japan set up a
motorcycle plant in China as their trade deal with China and right next to
this new plant, China has its own built and guess what they are identical
motorcycle except in name. That’s why President Trump wants factory here at
home. China demands all t... 阅读全帖 |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 38 Trump is finally realizing that he has very little control over markets now.
....what’s done is done and in hindsight I know he wishes he would have
never rattled China’s cage on tariffs. I know he has to be thinking- “what
an obese, flatulent idiot I am!”.......yep, the party is over, Forrest -
better pack your bags soon, because Pelosi is coming after you. |
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发帖数: 1 | 39 August: Soviet counterattack
BT-7 Tanks in the Battle of Khalkhin Gol
BT-7 tank with infantry mounted to bring them into combat
With war apparently imminent in Europe, Zhukov planned a major offensive on
20 August to clear the Japanese from the Khalkhin Gol region and end the
fighting.[41] Zhukov, using a fleet of at least 4,000 trucks (IJA officers
with hindsight dispute this, saying he instead used 10,000 to 20,000 motor
vehicles) transporting supplies from the nearest base in Chita (600
kilom... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 40 hukov, using a fleet of at least 4,000 trucks (IJA officers
with hindsight dispute this, saying he instead used 10,000 to 20,000 motor
vehicles) transporting supplies from the nearest base in Chita (600
kilometres (370 mi) away)[8] assembled a powerful armored force of three
tank brigades (the 4th, 6th and 11th), and two mechanized brigades (the 7th
and 8th, which were armored-car units with attached infantry support). This
force was allocated to the Soviet left and right wings. The entire Sovie... 阅读全帖 |
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d*****s
发帖数: 5610 | 41 Hindsight 20-20
当时说封城是灾难，现在又反了。
用现在的知识看以前，以前的决策全是错的。
这事如果发生在西方，是绝无可能开始就封城。一个新病毒，根本搞不清楚咋回事，还
能无症状传播，也不知道传播方式，或者传播速度，这些都要花时间研究才知道。并且
开始根本没有试剂盒，所有都要新搞起来。
中国早期武汉当地肯定有瞒报，但在无症状传播下，看看CDC的反应，就知道欧美没戏。
并且从韩国的反应，说明即使有瞒报，如果国家会控制，也能控制。
: 「早在12月疫情就擴散了，我都知道它是會人傳人的
: 这么早知道然后啥也没干，这到底是谁恶劣。。。煞笔狗粮总是不能自圆其说
: ★ 发自iPhone App: ChinaWeb 1.1.5
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k********k
发帖数: 5617 | 42 http://news.yahoo.com/ap-source-retired-gen-norman-schwarzkopf-
AP source: Retired Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf dies
By By RICHARD PYLE and LOLITA C. BALDOR | Associated Press – 10 mins ago
WASHINGTON (AP) — Retired Gen. H. Norman Schwarzkopf, who topped an
illustrious military career by commanding the U.S.-led international
coalition that drove Saddam Hussein's forces out of Kuwait in 1991 but kept
a low public profile in controversies over the second Gulf War against Iraq,
died Thursday. He was 78.... 阅读全帖 |
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p******o
发帖数: 9007 | 43 很多东西你事后看和事前看完全两码事。以事后诸葛亮揣测事前决策就是行为学上典型
的hindsight bias。
这种现象在poker大赛上屡见不鲜，一对K输给了一对A，悔恨中大叫不已:"I knew it!
I knew he had Aces!"。世界顶尖高手都犯过这病，我还真见过。 |
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d**********0
发帖数: 13081 | 44 http://www.zzwave.com/cmfweb/history/faq4.shtml
17. Why was PLA 180th Division lost?
In the 5th campaign, PLA had its biggest embarrassment ever: the 180th
Division of the 60th army was totally lost. Except the 3,000 men who
withdrew earlier, the majority of the division were captured by UN. The
division commander and other high ranking officers escaped, but they were
investigated and demoted back home. In the eyes of many Chinese, this was a
shame in PLA history.
During the withdraw phase of th... 阅读全帖 |
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d**********0
发帖数: 13081 | 45 http://www.zzwave.com/cmfweb/history/faq4.shtml
17. Why was PLA 180th Division lost?
In the 5th campaign, PLA had its biggest embarrassment ever: the 180th
Division of the 60th army was totally lost. Except the 3,000 men who
withdrew earlier, the majority of the division were captured by UN. The
division commander and other high ranking officers escaped, but they were
investigated and demoted back home. In the eyes of many Chinese, this was a
shame in PLA history.
During the withdraw phase of th... 阅读全帖 |
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c*h
发帖数: 2598 | 46 But we acknowledge that the combination of errors discussed above and the
absence of a more detailed discussion of the statistics (which with
hindsight we regret) gave the impression that we were supporting accusations
against her, even though this was emphatically not our intention. For that,
we apologize to our readers and to Ye Shiwen. |
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a****l
发帖数: 1696 | 47 这是一个重大的胜利。在我眼里，不亚于一块金牌。
总结：
1）感谢所有在网上留言还击的同胞，特别是那些用英文且能注意技巧的人。感谢饶毅
老师和他所引用的那几位华人的努力。他们的做法是榜样。他们告诉我们，还击不是为
了宣泄，而是为了在道义上打败对方，并争取在舆论上打败对方（这点目前很难，因为
我们没有话语权）
2）思考：为什么nature能出来反省？WSJ，CNN等就没这个压力呢？
http://www.nature.com/news/why-great-olympic-feats-raise-suspic
The story’s intention as an Explainer was to examine how science can help
resolve debates over extraordinary performances, not to examine those
performance statistics in detail. Several analyses done by others convinced
us that it was fair to ch... 阅读全帖 |
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T*P
发帖数: 2697 | 48 cong.
这是一个重大的胜利。在我眼里，不亚于一块金牌。
总结：
1）感谢所有在网上留言还击的同胞，特别是那些用英文且能注意技巧的人。感谢饶毅
老师和他所引用的那几位华人的努力。他们的做法是榜样。他们告诉我们，还击不是为
了宣泄，而是为了在道义上打败对方，并争取在舆论上打败对方（这点目前很难，因为
我们没有话语权）
2）思考：为什么nature能出来反省？WSJ，CNN等就没这个压力呢？
http://www.nature.com/news/why-great-olympic-feats-raise-suspic
The story’s intention as an Explainer was to examine how science can help
resolve debates over extraordinary performances, not to examine those
performance statistics in detail. Several analyses done by others convinced
us that it was fai... 阅读全帖 |
|
L*****y
发帖数: 4290 | 49 这次牛就牛在不光在bbs上抱怨, 大家真的行动起来了
这是一个重大的胜利。在我眼里，不亚于一块金牌。
总结：
1）感谢所有在网上留言还击的同胞，特别是那些用英文且能注意技巧的人。感谢饶毅
老师和他所引用的那几位华人的努力。他们的做法是榜样。他们告诉我们，还击不是为
了宣泄，而是为了在道义上打败对方，并争取在舆论上打败对方（这点目前很难，因为
我们没有话语权）
2）思考：为什么nature能出来反省？WSJ，CNN等就没这个压力呢？
http://www.nature.com/news/why-great-olympic-feats-raise-suspic
The story’s intention as an Explainer was to examine how science can help
resolve debates over extraordinary performances, not to examine those
performance statistics in detail. Several analyses done by others convinc... 阅读全帖 |
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i*****c
发帖数: 1322 | 50 我觉得这事不应该完。那个所谓的道歉一点也不真诚，首先原文不撤，而且字里行间还
在为原文辩护，你仔细读读，尤其最后两句 But we acknowledge that the
combination of errors discussed above and the absence of a more detailed
discussion of the statistics (which with hindsight we regret) gave the
impression that we were supporting accusations against her, even though this
was emphatically not our intention. For that, we apologize to our readers
and to Ye Shiwen.
很多其他媒体杂志，包括Science American 都转载了修改前的原文，恶劣影响都造成
了，然后编辑在文章后面轻描淡写地来几句，这是认真道歉吗？玩文字游戏呢？我们不
应该满足于这种不痛不痒的道歉... 阅读全帖 |
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