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a********h
发帖数: 819 | 2 what is good? good at using the money?
Printing, postage, shipping & phone $2947
Lobby service fee 32101
Travel expense 5064 |
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j********1
发帖数: 762 | 3 做这种组织，大家都没有经验。NIU是吸收很多教训的。但难免以后犯错误，请大家一
起来参与！ |
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W*********r
发帖数: 989 | 4 Pls. trust them. They are doing the things for us too.
I'd like suggest LIA to make the items more detailed and clear even though I
trust LIA members. More transparent account will build LIA reputation well
if LIA cares about it. |
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E**r
发帖数: 434 | 5 最关键EB2C都盯着以前捐给打官司的钱都跑那里去了.
这个不解决,LIA不会在这里有多少人支持的.毕竟这里EB2多,而且那些钱都是EB2C捐的多.
当然,几年之后,老EB2都不来这里了,大家都忘记这回事情了另当别论了. |
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L******w
发帖数: 5407 | 6 NIU, 猪坚强, 说要打官司, 也有年头了,
到现在也搞不出一点动静来,
说明打官司是不可行的.
的多. |
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c*********e
发帖数: 323 | 7 I thought EB3c effort has been making the good progress on that end, do not
draw the conclusion too fast. |
|
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s**g
发帖数: 709 | 9 We signed the contract and transfer the first payment to the lawfirm, will
have a formal notice later. |
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W*********r
发帖数: 989 | 10 I trust NIU and you. But I don't trust LIA. Why you seems still involved
with LIA? You should leave it as far as
possible.
For someone questioning NIU and 猪坚强, pls ask yourself what you have done
for EB23 and whether you can
do better than them. |
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k*******0
发帖数: 256 | 11 why spillover issue only concerned when it is too late? Chinese got very few
spillover in FY2009. last year this time there were some people working on
these but not much support. if we had continue the effort since then, we
probably are at better position this year.
well, if we keep working on this from now on, probably next year will be
better. this is very bennefitable for those with PD later than Mid 2006. |
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T****k
发帖数: 1374 | 12 Yes, current EB2 backlog will be eliminated! Cheers!
But, if All C, then another backlog will probably build up. Assuming 2-3W/
year EB2I/C*2008+2009+2010=6w-9W 485 applications.
Annul EB2 limits is 4W, without visa recapture or CIR.
FY 2009 Perm ROW 1W6, and that is only 50% of total Perm. As the FY2009
Perm total is around 3W, EB2I/C has comparable number as ROW, roughly
1.5W.
Those EB2I/C haven't file 485 yet. Same applies to EB2I/C with PD later
than 07-07.
Perm data of 2007,2008,2009,2010 o |
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c*********n
发帖数: 1371 | 13 你的意思是大潮之后到现在, 中印加起来还有大约9万人在等着交485?如果再算上NIW的
话,
10万也是很有可能的.......这得多少SO才能all C啊!往最好里打算,明年SO消化掉大潮,
从后年起按照平均一年能有3万SO,这也的最少3年才能到2010年的PD,苍天啊!!!
2-3W/
FY2009
later
factor. |
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c*********n
发帖数: 1371 | 14 这个兄弟的在你帖子里的回帖看得我云里雾里的，好像没那么乐观啊。
发信人: TShark (与神同在), 信区: EB23
标 题: Re: 最新数据分析: 2011年末eB2 将CURRENT!!
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jul 17 16:05:37 2010, 美东)
Yes, current EB2 backlog will be eliminated! Cheers!
But, if All C, then another backlog will probably build up. Assuming 2-3W/
year EB2I/C*2008+2009+2010=6w-9W 485 applications.
Annul EB2 limits is 4W, without visa recapture or CIR.
FY 2009 Perm ROW 1W6, and that is only 50% of total Perm. As the FY2009
Perm total is around 3W, EB2I/C has comparable n |
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k********o
发帖数: 1139 | 15 FB那边上一年的剩余，年初就加到总数里了吧？FY2009 EB最后一个季度的剩余据说是
从EB1/4/5来的，大约7千多。忘了是不是NIU说的了。今年剩余超过2万的可能很大。
9月和12月的排期很重要！真希望数据再公开些，省得大家这么多假设。再有半个月，
看看今年有多少剩余。 |
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e**o
发帖数: 131 | 16 根据sfdg最近分享的daily demand data，我修正了一下EB3C在FY2011排期的预测。
1. FY2010结束的时候即9月份PD是10/22/2003，accumulative demand prior to this
date is 338。
Source: http://www.eb3chinese.org/9.html
2. 2010年8月份的PD是9/22/2003，计算出2010年9月份的visa allocation
China
Demand prior to 9/22/2003 48
Demand prior to 10/22/2003 338
Allocation 290
3. 过去三年的quarterly allocation number如下
FY2008 FY2009 FY2010
Q1 529 833 1037
Q2 1352 934 773
Q3 1380 |
|
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f***i
发帖数: 185 | 18 this is data for FY2009
this is why EB3 law suit is filed, I think |
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m*********t
发帖数: 242 | 19 eb3c要不要付钱给游说，不是民主宽容解决的。
投票的方式是民主，但是内容不一定民主。
这就是第四票赞成票投票记录：
“I do not think it is a good time to renew the contract. But if you guys
insist it is fine with me.”
又：
LIA前主席仍是LIA的Chairman of the Board， 代表LIA，不能代表EB3C。
借用JOHN87的旧帖，来说明游说的真实情况。
发信人: JOHN87 (游客), 信区: EB23
标 题: EB3C 游说项目反思之一：来年游说项目是多余的了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Aug 18 10:00:59 2010, 美东)
EB3C 游说项目反思之一：来年游说项目是多余的了
2010财政年度的最后一个月排期尘埃落定，乐观估计本财政年度将有3500-3700 EB3C获
批，令人欣慰。游说项目组的主要任务接近完成。作为自由人，我今天有时间写... 阅读全帖 |
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s**u
发帖数: 9035 | 21 Also I found in Philippines, Demand data before Jan 2010 is 18575, but CP
waiting list on 11/1/2011 is 46633, how to explain huge difference? 老猪can
explain it?
哪位知道下面两个EB3C怎么回事？Demand里January 1, 2010之前有6,450，而
WaitingList里FY2010是6,724+EW5,142，难道说9个月里光CP就增加了将近1倍？可是
list里的EMPLOYMENT THIRD TOTAL在FY2009到FY2010变化不大(-0.5%)不大呀。 |
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c*********n
发帖数: 60 | 22 The official perm data for FY2010.
http://www.foreignlaborcert.doleta.gov/pdf/Perm_OFLC_DATA_DISCLOSURE_FY2010.mdb
Around +4000 china perms got approved between 2009 10-1 and 2010 09-30. If I
do the math wrong. Please correct me.
For FY2008, over 3400 perms got approved
For FY2009 over 2000 perms got approved.
I think roughly close to 10,000 EB2 demand right now after Aug 2007, adding
the NIW |
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f*******e
发帖数: 4531 | 23 Some of the FY2010 data are actually belonging to FY2009 because DOL did
massive audit to PERM applications in early 2009. For lots of case, it took
over a year to get PERM approved. |
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G****y
发帖数: 3537 | 24 About 3000 spillover from EB in FY2010.
FY2008 ROW PERM 35K
FY2009 ROW PERM 16K
FY2010 ROW PERM 37K |
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t****1
发帖数: 827 | 25 2010年批准的ROW的3万多不是有一半以上是2008，2009audit
3万多，有一半是2008/2009， 这话有什么依据？
FY2008 ROW PERM 35K
FY2009 ROW PERM 16K
FY2010 ROW PERM 37K |
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s**u
发帖数: 9035 | 26 要准备延期
When you get green, I guess summer 2012(fastest) to summer 2013(slowest). I
cannot estimate more clearly.
Why, in FY2009. China got spillover only 140(total 3045), in FY 2010, China
got spillover 3700 (total 6650).
So every year is quite different, nobody can estimate clearly. |
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G****y
发帖数: 3537 | 27 FY2010 spillover 16000 from FY2009 family-based, about 3000 from EB ROW. |
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i**y
发帖数: 1170 | 28 You mean there were dozens of thousands of ROW NIW? I don't see it,
especially when their PERM does not require any waiting time.
Anyway, I am not talking about eb2, I am checking the entire EB ROW should
have 40k+ quota left in FY2009, no matter EB1/2/3. NIW ROW should not be
greater than I/C EB2 PERM, so 40k+ in my original formula is still there.
Where are these 40k+ quota? |
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r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 29 http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
- PD -- FY2007 - FY2008 - FY2009 - FY2010--FY2011(Q1+Q2) --Total
Jan-07 --- 30 -------22 ------ 9 ------ 1 ----- 2 ------- 64
Feb-07 --- 52 -------45 ------20 ------ 5 ----- 1 ------ 123
Mar-07 ---119 ------ 46 ------14 ------ 3 ----- 1 ------ 183
Apr-07 -- 155 ------ 79 ------36 ------ 3 ----- 0 ------ 273
May-07 -- 369 ------110 ------38 ------ 6 ----- 2 ------ 525
Jun-07 -- 493 ------283 ----- 41 ------12 ----- 2 ------ 831
Jul-0... 阅读全帖 |
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G******i
发帖数: 5226 | 30 没看出有啥问题啊?
China的PERM自2006到2010年每年都只有几千个
几乎可以忽略不计
大头出在老印身上
India的PERM自2006到2010年每年数量保持在11K到23K之间
考虑到每年85K的H1B名额大都被老印以各种手段抢占的情况
这个数字很正常啊
再看老印PERM高峰期的07和08年(每年23K的PERM)
也正好发生于由于ICC泛滥
造成H1B名额一周用完不得不抽签的疯狂局面的07和08年
INDIA ----- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q2 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 393 ------ 27 ------- 5 ------- 1 ------------- 0 ------- 426
2006 ------ 11,461 ----- 108 ------ 54 ------ 11 ------------- 1 ---- 11,635
2007 ------ 12,719 --- 8,335 ----- 962 --- 1,005 -----------... 阅读全帖 |
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A****S
发帖数: 978 | 31 INDIA ----- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q2 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 393 ------ 27 ------- 5 ------- 1 ------------- 0 ------- 426
2006 ------ 11,461 ----- 108 ------ 54 ------ 11 ------------- 1 ---- 11,635
2007 ------ 12,719 --- 8,335 ----- 962 --- 1,005 ------------ 43 ---- 23,064
2008 ----------- 0 --- 8,099 -- 10,358 --- 3,702 --------- 1,193 ---- 23,352
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 8 -- 15,054 ----------- 940 ---- 16,002
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0... 阅读全帖 |
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k********o
发帖数: 1139 | 32 从http://blog.lucidtext.com找到的。去年一共批了1,885个EB5。不过，根据该网站的另一个统计，FY2011 Q1已经批了1,421个，所以预计FY 2011总数应该远大于FY2010，估计有5,000多吧。那么FY2011可用的EB5剩余应该是4,000-5,000。
EB-5 Visa Usage by Country 2010
February 10, 2011 by Suzanne (www.lucidtext.com) Leave a Comment
The U.S. Department of State has published their final visa usage statistics
for FY2010. A total of 1,885 EB-5 visas were issued, with the following
countries making up the Top 10:
1.People’s Republic of China (772 or 40.9%)
2.Republic of South Korea (29... 阅读全帖 |
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r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 33 未来两个月VB走势和数据的分析
1.)17495 C&I PERM with PD 2007 got approved after July 2007. If we assume
half of these 17k are EB2, adding the family factor multiplying 2, we will
get 17k demand from PERM EB2. If we assume we have 3k EB2 NIW demand, we
will get 20k demand from the PD of 2007.
The first half of 2008 will generate at least 13-15k demand. Total demand
from 2007 and Q1/Q2 of 2008 will be close to 33-35k demand.
2.)The Q's Indian website did very good analysis of the data. Totally we
have 500 PERM ... 阅读全帖 |
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r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 34 Another version, but it's close.
- PD -- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 --- Total ---- %
Jan-07 ---- 58 ------ 29 ------ 17 ------- 1 ------- 3 ----- 108 --- 0.62%
Feb-07 --- 125 ------ 42 ------ 22 ------- 5 ------- 1 ----- 195 --- 1.12%
Mar-07 --- 259 ------ 55 ------ 18 ------- 4 ------- 1 ----- 337 --- 1.93%
Apr-07 --- 702 ------ 71 ------ 24 ------- 3 ------- 0 ----- 800 --- 4.58%
May-07 --- 804 ----- 141 ------ 49 ------ 11 ------- 2 --- 1,007 --- 5.76%
Jun-07 --- 838 -----... 阅读全帖 |
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f***r
发帖数: 528 | 35 I grabbed number of certified perm cases from the txt files on flcdatacenter
.com
FY2010
767 2009
3307 2010
FY2009
254 2008
1876 2009
These numbers are for both EB2 and EB3 China.
I dont know how to filter EB2 only data. can someone give some pointers?
by job title and/or prevailing salary? |
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f***r
发帖数: 528 | 36 by filtering out all the "level 1" jobs I got refined data
FY2009
190 2008
1198 2009
FY2010
524 2009
2102 2010
Those should be closer to EB2 China certified perms in those 2 years. again,
NIW not included.
flcdatacenter |
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H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 37 没有这方面的数据，但是我上面贴出来的数据表明，一旦排期过了大潮，大概只须要一
年左右的时间就可以清空FY2008和FY2009年的EB2库存。这两年只有区区5340人批了
PERM, 其中包括有人换工作（相当于一人在两年里申请了两个PERM,这种人极其少，我
们算八十个吧），还包括从2008年到2011年海归的人（这种人应该有四百人左右），还
包括与美国公民结婚的（我们算五十个吧），还包括...
总共剩下来的大约4900人左右，其中就算70%是EB2, 也不过是3430人，假设25%是夫妻
都申请的，25%是单身，总共需要5145个绿卡名额。
我们EB2一年有2803的配额，加上下面两年美国公司帮员工申请绿卡的应该比往年少，
能够产生Spill Over, 如果中国EB2能够拿到两千三百个左右的Spill Over，应该一年
就可以消化掉2008和2009年的中国EB2。
但是到了2010年就慢下来了... |
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H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 38 没有这方面的数据，但是我上面贴出来的数据表明，一旦排期过了大潮，大概只须要一
年左右的时间就可以清空FY2008和FY2009年的EB2库存。这两年只有区区5340人批了
PERM, 其中包括有人换工作（相当于一人在两年里申请了两个PERM,这种人极其少，我
们算八十个吧），还包括从2008年到2011年海归的人（这种人应该有四百人左右），还
包括与美国公民结婚的（我们算五十个吧），还包括...
总共剩下来的大约4900人左右，其中就算70%是EB2, 也不过是3430人，假设25%是夫妻
都申请的，25%是单身，总共需要5145个绿卡名额。
我们EB2一年有2803的配额，加上下面两年美国公司帮员工申请绿卡的应该比往年少，
能够产生Spill Over, 如果中国EB2能够拿到两千三百个左右的Spill Over，应该一年
就可以消化掉2008和2009年的中国EB2。
但是到了2010年就慢下来了... |
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m********e
发帖数: 5088 | 39 主要reference是
1：I-485 Employment-Based Inventory Statistics (updated August 28, 2009)
2：2009 LC annual report http://www.foreignlaborcert.doleta.gov/pdf/2009_Annual_Report.pdf
FY2009 annual report里有这么一句话：
“In FY 2008, there was a 42 percent decrease from FY
2007 in cases certifi ed. In FY 2009, there were 29,502
cases certifi ed representing a 40 percent decrease from
the number of cases certifi ed in FY 2008.”
这基本反映了demand的变化，所以对于FY07,FY08,FY09，EB2demand应该与这个相应，
所以demand应该为
FY07 FY08 FY... 阅读全帖 |
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m********e
发帖数: 5088 | 40 主要reference是
1：I-485 Employment-Based Inventory Statistics (updated August 28, 2009)
2：2009 LC annual report http://www.foreignlaborcert.doleta.gov/pdf/2009_Annual_Report.pdf
FY2009 annual report里有这么一句话：
“In FY 2008, there was a 42 percent decrease from FY
2007 in cases certifi ed. In FY 2009, there were 29,502
cases certifi ed representing a 40 percent decrease from
the number of cases certifi ed in FY 2008.”
这基本反映了demand的变化，所以对于FY07,FY08,FY09，EB2demand应该与这个相应，
所以demand应该为
FY07 FY08 FY... 阅读全帖 |
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N*******r
发帖数: 1098 | 41 Copied from Trackitt;
Here is an interesting data published by December 29, 2011 by DHS. It was
basically released by USCIS Ombudsman's Office and talks about improving
quality in Extraordinary Ability and other Employment Based Petition
Adjudications.
However, the most interesting part is on Page 6 of the PDF document. Look at
the first graph where number of I-140 receipts filed at both TSC and NSC in
EB2 category have significantly gone down in 2008 and especially in 2009.
Number of EB2 I-140 ... 阅读全帖 |
|
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p*****a
发帖数: 3634 | 43 Here is an interesting data published by December 29, 2011 by DHS. It was
basically released by USCIS Ombudsman's Office and talks about improving
quality in Extraordinary Ability and other Employment Based Petition
Adjudications.
However, the most interesting part is on Page 6 of the PDF document. Look at
the first graph where number of I-140 receipts filed at both TSC and NSC in
EB2 category have significantly gone down in 2008 and especially in 2009.
Number of EB2 I-140 receipts do pick up in... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******t
发帖数: 2459 | 44 是的. 真正FY2010内递交批准的PERM比FY2009年少了28%.
所以2009PDer的数目被大大低估了.
FY2010PD的数目被高估了.
NVC的事情可能是预计年底PD能走到2011年初设计的. |
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y******0
发帖数: 8807 | 45 嗯，你说的对的。
FY2009 FB Total是215，333，少于226，000 limit. Unuse10667个。 |
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y******0
发帖数: 8807 | 46 那就是说FY2010有10000多个到EB1和的2quote来自FY2009的FB？可以这么认为吗？
那么FY2010 FB已经超过226000的limit了，FY2011的EB是没有来自FB的，进而我们在考
虑FY2012 EB的时候也要考虑FY2011的FB？ |
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a***k
发帖数: 1038 | 47 08上半年的PD2012夏绝对能绿？单单07年就有2万多在你前面啊。你是给O的大放水给搞
糊涂了。EB2-IC一年吃2万多名额并不是常态。
这次大放水得益的是08年的PD，批了的完全得益，没批的提前交了485，你别得了便宜
还不满。
In FY2005 EB2-IC received 26k visas in total.
In FY2006 EB2-IC received 7k visas in total.
In FY2007 EB2-IC received 13k visas in total.
In FY2008 EB2-IC received 21.8k visas in total.
In FY2009 EB2-IC received 13.1k visas in total.
In FY2010 EB2-IC received 26.5k visas in total. |
|
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S***E
发帖数: 1977 | 49 FY2009-11经济不是很差么，H1B都很久才用完，怎么PERM这么多？感觉ICC滥用H1b那一
套在PERM上还是大把大把的 |
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S***E
发帖数: 1977 | 50 FY2009-11经济不是很差么，H1B都很久才用完，怎么PERM这么多？感觉ICC滥用H1b那一
套在PERM上还是大把大把的 |
|
