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全部话题 - 话题: fy15
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l*******n
发帖数: 8388
1
奥本本月退3类排期的主要原因是USCIS没有能够及时的给他提供数据,出于保守(毕竟
年中,还有大把机会调整排期),和现有的大幅的EB3 usage,他暂时退了3 的排期。
这个退并没有(像去年一样)退到史前,而且在很快的将来还会有调整。
很遗憾,你想把我和fuwu 相提并论,所有的前提都是错了。
首先,并不是我个人偷偷的在形势一片大好时候背后插刀。受广大TSC的收到的relink 到
2类的网友的委托,NIU的志愿者共同起草了给TSC 头头 的信件。在没有收到回音的时
候,我们跟uscis的public engagement的几位女士交流,反映出了TSC的问题。你看看2
月之后TSC有多少报绿!
其次,我自己并没有绿。我的排期在14年大倒退后再也没有C过,在FY15 里 C的机会也
不大。我可没有在自己拿卡之后悄悄的损害同胞的利益。某人当时把身为盟友和打手的
你, nccam,一齐整了。
我不会就向TSC的提出 relink错误的诉求再跟任何人辩白。 相信清者自清,网友的眼
光是雪亮的。
y******0
发帖数: 8807
2
来自主题: EB23版 - EA对排期影响
The DOS has advanced the EB2 India cutoff date earlier in FY15 than in past
years. This action, as explained by Mr. Oppenheim, is intended to allow case
adjudications before certain documents expire (e.g., medical examinations).
As previously explained, the DOS expects President Obama’s executive
actions will place a greater demand on U.S. Citizenship and Immigration
Services (USCIS) resources toward the end of the fiscal year. The DOS must
advance the dates early enough to allow for utilization... 阅读全帖
p******i
发帖数: 1358
3
来自主题: EB23版 - EB2C 7月全c
奥本说的
EB2 and Employment-Based, Third Preference (EB3) China
The DOS has advanced the EB2 China cutoff date by several years, in an
effort to generate demand for visa numbers. The level of demand for EB2
China has been low enough to potentially allow excess numbers to fall down
to EB3 China towards the end of FY15.
f*c
发帖数: 2726
4
来自主题: EB23版 - EB2C 7月全c
EB2C 若全C还有剩余名额,那也是给EB2I,不可能 allow excess numbers to fall
down
to EB3 China towards the end of FY15
z****d
发帖数: 1761
5
来自主题: EB23版 - EB2C 7月全c
我怎么感觉
The level of demand for EB2 China has been low enough to potentially allow
excess numbers to fall down to EB3 China towards the end of FY15.
怪怪的,
把“low”换成“high"好像更合理点
c********m
发帖数: 49
6
来自主题: EB23版 - EB2C 7月全c
The level of demand for EB2 China has been low enough to potentially allow
excess [EB2 VISA] numbers to fall down to EB3 China towards the end of FY15.
是不是加上[EB2 VISA]在句子里就好理解了?
二类的需求太低, 导致今年到年底都用不完EB2 Visa Numbers, 那就只好剩给EB3C用了
.
应该是这个意思吧.
z****d
发帖数: 1761
7
来自主题: EB23版 - EB2C 7月全c
这个不对,你读worldwide里的预测就知道今年全世界的EB2也用的差不多了,烙印都吃
不了多少。
http://www.murthy.com/2015/05/19/analysis-predictions-and-trend

allow
FY15.
b***e
发帖数: 383
8
来自主题: EB23版 - EB2C 7月全c

应该是low, 而不是high.
因为现在6月份的VB才刚出来, EB2前进了1年, 所以和上面说的 "The level of demand
for EB2 China has been low enough to ..." 是一致的.
但是 "to potentially allow excess numbers to fall down to EB3 China towards
the end of FY15" 的确不知道是什么意思, 毕竟按照大家的说法, 即便EB2 全C, 剩余
的名额只可能给India EB2, 而不会给 China EB3.
c****n
发帖数: 1630
9
来自主题: EB23版 - 解毒奥本的话
你们都从哪个字里行间读出来奥本工作失误或者要开闸全C的意思?
The DOS has advanced the EB2 China cutoff date by several years, in
an effort to generate demand for visa numbers. The level of demand for
EB2 China has been low enough to potentially allow excess numbers to
fall down to EB3 China towards the end of FY15.
翻译:
(过去的这几个月)EB2已经前进了好几年了,(为什么呢?)是为了增加EB2
的demand。(为什么前进了这么多呢?为什么超过了EB3呢?)因为EB2的
demand已经低到了足够可以分担一些EB3的程度。(所以我们把EB2推进到
EB3前面,好让一批EB3升级或者relink回来。)
这段话与其过度解读成“工作失误”或者“全C”,不如解读为安抚阿三。
(阿三:凭什么我们前进的少,老中却可以前进那么多?!)
(奥本... 阅读全帖
L*******d
发帖数: 2760
10
来自主题: EB23版 - 解毒奥本的话
The DOS has advanced the EB2 China cutoff date by several years, in
an effort to generate demand for visa numbers. The level of demand for
EB2 China has been low enough to potentially allow excess numbers to
fall down to EB3 China towards the end of FY15.
I am not sure if I am right:
EB2 will not move forward anymore because the demand is low now after it
generates the demand. Therefore, the excess EB2 will fall down to EB3.
but it says 'has been', maybe I am wrong!
W***o
发帖数: 6519
11
The DOS has advanced the EB2 China cutoff date by several years, in an
effort to generate demand for visa numbers. The level of demand for EB2
China has been low enough to potentially allow excess numbers to fall down
to EB3 China towards the end of FY15.
DOS **已经**把EB2C前进了几年。。。。EB2C的demand **已经**足够低,所以能把更
多的名额给EB3C用.
关键词是"has been“,就是说EB2的前进是**已经**完成了的事,下面的大戏是EB3C的
了,所以那个帖子说7月全C明显是过分解读了
w**d
发帖数: 163
12
照年前3类到过12年10月,2类各种降级relink。
能乐观估计2类真实排期在FY15结束能到12年10月或者12年底吗?
w**d
发帖数: 163
13
这么理解的话, 3类的名额都被谁用光了? 在10年5月到11年9月间的2类降级,吃光了
大量3类FY15的名额?
原先估计这个时间段不可能那么多2类降级。
l*******n
发帖数: 8388
14
询问本年quota是否用完,首先要知道今年的quota是多少。FY15并没有从FB得到什么名
额,所以2&3 的基本名额是2800 和2500. 关于3 的使用名额, 我上个月的粗略估计
是 按 20-33%的报绿,大约为1700-2600. 根据奥本最新的VB 3类大退步,可能应该使
用20%报绿率的经验数据。即 3类的本年名额已经用完了。此点可以被印证的依据是,
早两个月,奥本已经在不同场合多次跟不同stake holders说过,3类本财年之内不会再
进,而会停滞不前。请注意,5月份的时候2类才刚刚超过3类的排期。
其次,在没有demand和inventory的数据的条件下,所有计算估计都是粗略到不能再粗
略的。不要说7月份出的4月1号的inventory data,那个就是一页笑话。如果所有人都
没有数据,那么一切都是猜测。请不要恶意指责和谩骂任何人,无论23类。
第三,奥本说最近有3类的demand增加,请注意,3类的排期目前仅到11年底,今年3类
就没有突破过11年。而新交的EB2,除了NIW和一些PERM的PD是12年之前的,其他的从5月
份开始递交的,都是12-13PD... 阅读全帖
z**k
发帖数: 945
15
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
From October 1, 2014 to September 30, 2015, Department of Labor made
decisions on 618,810 labor condition applications for H-1B visa jobs, the
highest number on record and a 19% increase over last year's 519,503. Among
them, 10,983 were denied, 40,772 were withdrawn(view detailed report).
TOP 10 Positions
Computer Systems Analysts
332,885
Software Developers,
Applications
145,180
Computer Programmers
141,756
Computer Occupations, All
Other
113,221
Software Developers, Systems
Software
69,980
Man... 阅读全帖
c******3
发帖数: 6509
16
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
61万多LCA?今年H1B抽签中签比例比10%高得多吧?
r***h
发帖数: 460
17
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
马丹
烙印真是狠
c*********4
发帖数: 45
18
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
seriously? 德勤全球员工也不过20万出头吧,今年就给11万人申了h1b?
K******r
发帖数: 4052
19
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
h1b一年不是才八万五吗?怎么会有60万perm?
y******u
发帖数: 1181
20
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
明白着是与老墨来争夺美国。
y******u
发帖数: 1181
21
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
60万是H1B申请,不是perm申请。
Employers often commonly confuse the LCA (Labor Condition Application) with
the LC (PERM Labor Certification). So, what is the difference between an LCA
and a LC?
→ The Labor Certification (or LC) is a process related to an application
for permanent residency (aka a “green card”). This is a lengthy, complex
process in which an employer must follow a process to prove to the
Department of Labor (DOL) that there are no available willing and qualified
U.S. workers for the give... 阅读全帖
c*********4
发帖数: 45
22
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
23万新申请加37万transfer? 不知道transfer要不要LCA
y******u
发帖数: 1181
23
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
x 2, x 3, x 4, ....
z**k
发帖数: 945
24
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
From October 1, 2014 to September 30, 2015, Department of Labor made
decisions on 618,810 labor condition applications for H-1B visa jobs, the
highest number on record and a 19% increase over last year's 519,503. Among
them, 10,983 were denied, 40,772 were withdrawn(view detailed report).
TOP 10 Positions
Computer Systems Analysts
332,885
Software Developers,
Applications
145,180
Computer Programmers
141,756
Computer Occupations, All
Other
113,221
Software Developers, Systems
Software
69,980
Man... 阅读全帖
c******3
发帖数: 6509
25
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
61万多LCA?今年H1B抽签中签比例比10%高得多吧?
r***h
发帖数: 460
26
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
马丹
烙印真是狠
c*********4
发帖数: 45
27
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
seriously? 德勤全球员工也不过20万出头吧,今年就给11万人申了h1b?
K******r
发帖数: 4052
28
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
h1b一年不是才八万五吗?怎么会有60万perm?
y******u
发帖数: 1181
29
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
明白着是与老墨来争夺美国。
y******u
发帖数: 1181
30
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
60万是H1B申请,不是perm申请。
Employers often commonly confuse the LCA (Labor Condition Application) with
the LC (PERM Labor Certification). So, what is the difference between an LCA
and a LC?
→ The Labor Certification (or LC) is a process related to an application
for permanent residency (aka a “green card”). This is a lengthy, complex
process in which an employer must follow a process to prove to the
Department of Labor (DOL) that there are no available willing and qualified
U.S. workers for the give... 阅读全帖
c*********4
发帖数: 45
31
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
23万新申请加37万transfer? 不知道transfer要不要LCA
y******u
发帖数: 1181
32
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
x 2, x 3, x 4, ....
a****r
发帖数: 4965
33
来自主题: EB23版 - Record PERM filed in FY15
再说一遍 Labor Condition Application 不是 Labor Certification Application,
别搞混了!

Among
t*****4
发帖数: 520
34
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
pai
h***f
发帖数: 71
35
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
PAI!
p******i
发帖数: 1358
36
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
pai
k******8
发帖数: 913
37
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
排一个!
o**i
发帖数: 1165
38
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
pai
d*****2
发帖数: 120
39
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
m******u
发帖数: 516
40
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
pai!
c******t
发帖数: 1500
41
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
Psi
v***a
发帖数: 23651
42
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
re
e******n
发帖数: 73
43
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
pai
M**Q
发帖数: 477
44
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
pai
conrga~~!!
G*****h
发帖数: 2272
45
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
好消息
m********1
发帖数: 681
46
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
Yeah! 再接再厉。
m****w
发帖数: 46
47
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
pai
o****c
发帖数: 511
48
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
排包子
n**********y
发帖数: 916
49
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
排~
B********t
发帖数: 1321
50
来自主题: EB23版 - FY15 2类4200个 3类3200个
吃包子!
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