l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 bluechips 俱乐部 】
发信人: liliwater (lyrist), 信区: bluechips
标 题: 3 Reasons Why Trading Breakouts is a Losers Game
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jul 6 18:50:44 2010, 美东)
The word “breakout” sounds so exciting doesn’t it? It sure sounded
exciting to me when I first started trading. But then I realized that it is
much easier (and smarter) to buy pullbacks.
First of all, “What is a breakout?”.
A breakout is defined as a stock price that moves outside of a support or
resistance area. You would then buy |
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P******l
发帖数: 1648 | 2 好图 breakout failure一起马后炮学习哈 也同向大夫请教
(another example RH 9/10/2013 不过那个是因为ER)
breakout因为是测试前高 需要有vol才能突破阻力
vol力量可以来自个股 and/or group and/or大盘
1. 大盘刚刚开始进入升势的breakout成功率高 到上周大盘已经涨了好久 领头股早
breakout 现在都是第二 第三买点 blmn算落后股
2. 最近两个月 餐馆股group不错
3. blmn 11/6 ER反应neutral, base 2失败概率小 不过这次还是失败了. blmn 11/
25 vol very good. 第二天量小收低位 之后K线三只乌鸦
blmn fa/ta都还不错 马上到50ma 我觉得应该hold 看看到50ma什么反应
stage |
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g********4
发帖数: 4959 | 3 ok, I just set a tight stop sell for it.
发信人: chinagogogo (gochinago), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: if a stock has many times of false breakout,
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Feb 25 13:28:47 2011, 美东)
which pick are you talking about? if so, I will not buy it. but how do you
identify if it has fake breakout or just up trend...? |
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r*******u
发帖数: 143 | 4 Stock Research Trader
Sprewell Yu
Week ending: 02/04/2012
READING THE MARKET
It seems as the market wants to keep on marching higher as the Nasdaq
surpass the 2011 high with three accumulation day in one week with strong
job data on Friday. Leading stocks are acting well, and plenty of them break
out in heavy volume, the most in many years. There’s a tremendous amount
of strength in the market as volume pick the day before the Nasdaq break out
. In this market environment, all negative news has ... 阅读全帖 |
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l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 5 But look at the pattern. That guy said everyone is talking about the
breakout of reverse H&S pattern...
Anyway, let us see. |
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S******n
发帖数: 1009 | 6 breakouts work very well in bull market, it is over-sold situation now |
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j******e
发帖数: 294 | 7 I saw several small cap Chinese stock breakout in the morning. like KONE,
SYUT. a lot of these names had a nice consolidation due to the fallout of
RINO. there should be many opportunities in this area.
Any comment for this? |
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j******e
发帖数: 294 | 8 Continue to see small Chinese stock breakout today. like SIHI, KONE in a
very bad tape |
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g********4
发帖数: 4959 | 9 And each false breakout had new high.That brought in my concern. |
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c*********o
发帖数: 8367 | 10 which pick are you talking about? if so, I will not buy it. but how do you
identify if it has fake breakout or just up trend...? |
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g********4
发帖数: 4959 | 12 I don't need good luck for my trading. I just talk general trading idea here
, you don't need to know which ticker it is.Thanks.
发信人: chinagogogo (gochinago), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: if a stock has many times of false breakout,
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Feb 25 13:31:18 2011, 美东)
Unless I see the pick, I REALLY have nothing to talk about now...good luck. |
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g********4
发帖数: 4959 | 13 there are two bottom lines (BL for short). It ranged between TL (top line)
and BLa for a while, and false breakeout happened, each time it retreated to
a line in the middle of TL and BLa, I call this line BLb. This Tuesday, BLb
was pierced but BLa held. Long-term trendline held too. I just hold this
stock to see what will happen, let the market tell.
发信人: kelvin2088 (哈罗哈精神), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: if a stock has many times of false breakout,
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Feb 25 13:47:59 2011, 美东)
how about t... 阅读全帖 |
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l****x
发帖数: 197 | 14 【 以下文字转载自 MidDayStockMovers 俱乐部 】
发信人: liusix (动须相应), 信区: MidDayStockMovers
标 题: PRIM breakout
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Sep 6 13:35:29 2013, 美东)
24 |
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m******u
发帖数: 12400 | 15 平音打字MTDR，第一个跳出的就是“没太多人”。正合题意。
发信人: mos (刀疤老九), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: breakout: MTDR
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 11 14:34:01 2013, 美东)
今天的量是不是小了？ |
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l****x
发帖数: 197 | 17 您的 acct 比较大 :-) 这个股上两三百股没事啊
BDBD breakout too, interested? |
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l****x
发帖数: 197 | 18 偶尔也在您那边混
EQM 从5月到现在刚 breakout, 怎么就走？
不是有句话：横盘多长就该长多高
20% ~ 30% I guess |
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w*******e
发帖数: 734 | 19 I was in KNDI at $7.7 on 12/09, expecting a breakout, but it did not happen
right way.
it shook twice in last 9 days. now it closes to end of triangle pattern.
There is not enough time left for another shake. It will break out next week
? which direction.
what are your thoughts? |
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w*******e
发帖数: 734 | 20 BALT will go upward breakout this time or go one more dip?
The volume on weekly chart seems signal a good prospect. |
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o*******2
发帖数: 147 | 21 TSLA Cup and Handle chart pattern, breakout, target 265? |
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l*****r
发帖数: 2123 | 22 我朋友说唯品会牛了很长时间后成了没品会，现在似乎要breakout |
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m******r
发帖数: 485 | 24 217卖掉大部分，还剩200股，后悔啊。好像breakout了，要加仓吗？大牛们说说。 |
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k*****i
发帖数: 102 | 26 The 10 Golden Rules and Tips:
http://www.chartpattern.com/10_golden_rules.html
Dan's 10 Golden Rules
1. Make sure the stock has a well formed base or pattern such as one
described on this web site and can be found on the tab "Understanding Chart
Patterns" on the home page, before considering purchase. Dan highlights
stocks with these patterns in his newsletter.
2. Consider the stock as it moves over the trend line of that base or
pattern and make sure that volume is above recent trend shortly af... 阅读全帖 |
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m*z
发帖数: 2356 | 27 Important Results
Theoretical performance: Bearish continuation
Tested performance: Bearish continuation 71% of the time
Frequency rank: 91
Overall performance rank: 89
Best percentage meeting price target: 40% (bull market, down breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: 4.58% (bull market, up breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 20 (bull market, up breakout)
All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking
1. "Best" means the highest rated of the four combinations o... 阅读全帖 |
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g******0
发帖数: 1165 | 28 Day Trading Filter
Can Use the Filter Below
http://www.trade-ideas.com/StockInfo/_TopListConfig.html
Stock Runing Up : (Trading System 1)
Running up (RU) alert.
Filters :
- Stock Price >1$
- Stock with a spread < 20 cent
- Average $ Daily Volume > 10 000 000$
- Volatile Stock : Volatility > 0.4%
- Current volume (Relative volume) > 6
- Specific RU filter < 4
Channel Breakout : (Trading System 2)
Channel breakout (CHBO) alert.
Filters :
- Stock Price >1$
- Stock with a spread < 20 cent
- Average ... 阅读全帖 |
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r*******u
发帖数: 143 | 29 会更努力的,请给我意见
如果要word file 请留下 email
Stock Research Trader
SPREWELL YU
Week ending: 01/07/2012
READING THE MARKET
The beginning of the New Year starts off with a strong demand from the big
investors. Things have turned much more positive as upside volume come back,
the pass few days every time when the market gap down only to turn positive
in the end of the session. The Nasdaq has reclaim its 50dma and 200dma that
’s a very constructive sign that big investors are back to the market,due to
strong... 阅读全帖 |
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l**********y
发帖数: 2050 | 30 发信人: riseofyou (You), 信区: Stock
标 题: 小弟第一次写股评报告，请大家多多包涵 for week 1/7/12
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jan 7 12:06:02 2012, 美东)
会更努力的,请给我意见
如果要word file 请留下 email
Stock Research Trader
SPREWELL YU
Week ending: 01/07/2012
READING THE MARKET
The beginning of the New Year starts off with a strong demand from the big
investors. Things have turned much more positive as upside volume come back,
the pass few days every time when the market gap down only to turn positive
in the end of the session. The Nasdaq has... 阅读全帖 |
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P******l
发帖数: 1648 | 31 以前也觉得这个图形赏心悦目
多方不断进攻 最后兵临城下 强弱看似一目了然 i like the predictable target
too.
今年碰到多起fail breakout后
包括三月猪市 spx
3/28 breakout 回撤下面的trendline
4/2那个breakout 之后马上被打回到起点
查了一下 才发现这是排名很后的烂pattern
up breakout is 17 out of 23
而且还可以down breakout
http://www.thepatternsite.com/at.html
上升三角不靠谱源于三角不靠谱
三角是很不稳的continuation pattern 只有在1928/1929那样的大牛市里才起过很多作用 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 32 well, any breakout has a chance of false breakdown. so if you buy breakout,
the breakout line is what you need to watch. If the price cross 5% below
the breakout line, combining with volume, peer performance and the market
condition, it's relative sure to say it's a false break out or not. It yes,
then you need to exit. so if you buy within 3% of the breakout line,
combined you'll lose no more than 8%. |
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k*****i
发帖数: 102 | 33 How many of these rules do you follow?
http://get.chartpattern.com/super-follower-chris/
Chartpattern.com Interview notes with
Super Follower Chris
These are some of the basic rules and methods Chris H. claims he used to
turn $10k into over $2,400,000.00 since the April 2012 Chartpattern.com
Seminar. While these gains were not verified, we have no reason to doubt
the results after reviewing some of the trades during this interview. These
exceptional results did not come from luck, but rather a ... 阅读全帖 |
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y*****l
发帖数: 5997 | 34 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
Caspia (情人草) 于 (Thu May 5 11:30:06 2011, 美东) 提到:
2011/05/05
可以考虑买入的：
Capital Goods
Chemical Manufacturing
除了金银铜相关的basic material
另外今天Tech/Resaurant/transportation/retail走的不错，赞一个。不过实在不敢追ANF/LTD之类的了。
其实除了能源之外，其他的版块都没有什么breakdown
虽然指数跌了很多，但还是觉得是一个rotation的行情。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
xixi77 (宝意) 于 (Thu May 5 11:43:45 2011, 美东) 提到:
请教一下板块信息是从finviz看吗？
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
KeepBuying (雁过留声) 于 (Thu May 5 11:45:4... 阅读全帖 |
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j**********g
发帖数: 14 | 35 我去年开始炒股，开始也是buy-and-hold。由于想着赚大钱，一直是交易option，刚开
始还是swing trade，有赚有亏，整体是亏的，投入的8K变成5K多。
认识到应该更进一步降低风险，于是stop loss更小，变成day trade了，于是转到IB上
，并再投入26K（可怜所有的积蓄都在里面了）。于是进行option daytrade。
此后开始consistent loss（不论牛熊市）。中间买了很多书来学习，看到书上说安全点
是买break out，试了好多次，亏了不少（现在想来错误有二：1。追涨，2。stop loss
太小），总是找不到原因所在。中间有两天暴涨，账户一度到达40K。于是更坚定了买b
reak out的想法。此后仓位加大，一直买break out，最后终于亏得只有30K左右了。
有一天突然觉悟了一点，原来option daytrade本来就对我不利，spread太大，再加上我
的小stop loss和因此而产生的over trade，其实是不可能赢的。
此后开始stock daytrade。果然，损失小了很多，但依然是consistent los... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 36 MU gap up to 8.7 but exhausted at previous high. should take profit there on
the reversal day (11/8), but now it's beyond that. it had return to 50ma.
selling is weakening. Generally one should hold when a breakout stock first
return to 50ma. don't add until it move back up above the breakout line (7.9)
AMD is better in term of technical sign. return to breakout line along with
the market and selling is very minimal. i'm tempting to double down here.
F is not exhausting. rather it looks like ano... 阅读全帖 |
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r*******u
发帖数: 143 | 37 Stock Research Trader
My holdings NUAN, INVN, ALXN ,VPHM ,SPPI all with 7 percent stop
Sprewell Yu
Week ending: 01/14/2012
READING THE MARKET
It’s another week of constructive action for the market. The first two trading day of the week has seen institutional buying as the volume exceeded prior days
for two sessions, this is a sign of big boy getting back to the market, and
also the indexes were able closed in the high of trading session which stays
above the 200 and 50 day moving average line.... 阅读全帖 |
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r*******u
发帖数: 143 | 38 Stock Research Trader
Week ending: 02/11/2012
READING THE MARKET
In this kind of environment, it’s not a good solution to argue with the
trend. The market is only going in one direction it is up. Even the Greece
event still hovering around the market, but the market just keep bypassing
the bad news to surge higher. This week the market has three accumulation
days, and two of those day pullback in light volume which is ideal to say.
Nevertheless, this market is a bit extended, a small correction ... 阅读全帖 |
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r*******u
发帖数: 143 | 39 Stock Research Trader
Week ending: 02/11/2012
READING THE MARKET
In this kind of environment, it’s not a good solution to argue with the
trend. The market is only going in one direction it is up. Even the Greece
event still hovering around the market, but the market just keep bypassing
the bad news to surge higher. This week the market has three accumulation
days, and two of those day pullback in light volume which is ideal to say.
Nevertheless, this market is a bit extended, a small correction ... 阅读全帖 |
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l*****9
发帖数: 9501 | 40 Jeremy Lin: 5 Reasons He Is the Point Guard of the Future for New York
Knicks
Jeremy Lin's spectacular play in the last two games is no fluke, and the
second-year man is the New York Knicks' long-term solution at point guard.
The former Harvard standout scored 25 points against the New Jersey Nets on
Saturday night, and then followed up his breakout performance with a 28-
point game in his first career start.
Lin has massive appeal because he is the first American-born NBA player of
Taiwanese/Ch... 阅读全帖 |
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y*****l
发帖数: 5997 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: riseofyou (You), 信区: Stock
标 题: 股评报告第二期for week 1/14/12
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jan 14 18:49:31 2012, 美东)
Stock Research Trader
My holdings NUAN, INVN, ALXN ,VPHM ,SPPI all with 7 percent stop
Sprewell Yu
Week ending: 01/14/2012
READING THE MARKET
It’s another week of constructive action for the market. The first two trading day of the week has seen institutional buying as the volume exceeded prior days
for two sessions, this is a sign of big boy getting back to the mark... 阅读全帖 |
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W*****B
发帖数: 4796 | 42 目前海外最大票房是棒子国，4千2百万！
不理解为什么棒子会舔泥哥。
在很多东欧国家比如波兰和保加利亚票房也非常惊人。同样不理解。
我估计很大程度都是跟风看热闹。
西非和东非的票房也都破纪录了，大约40万左右吧。
接下来是几个最大的国际票房，俄国，日本和中国。
好莱坞肯定很期待中国票房。我个人估计国内票房不会太好。如果中国票房真的很差的
话，西方媒体肯定不会放过机会贬损的。肯定会借此指责中国人种族歧视。
估计受这个黑豹的鼓舞，今后会有更多的泥哥英雄片涌现的。
'Black Panther' is a powerful force at the box office everywhere —
including Africa
Marvel Studios and Ryan Coogler’s blockbuster superhero movie “Black
Panther” has become a legitimate global juggernaut, grossing a jaw-dropping
$427 million in global ticket sales and ... 阅读全帖 |
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S*********r
发帖数: 5693 | 43 【 以下文字转载自 Fashion 讨论区 】
发信人: goldcoin (巴依老爷), 信区: Fashion
标 题: Re: 原来这个facebook的创始人Mark Zuckerberg是个大烂人
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Oct 17 10:51:50 2010, 美东)
能当CEO的基本都是王八蛋
原来在创办苹果公司之前，乔布斯在一家由诺兰·凯·布什内尔创建的Atari游戏公司做技术人员。Atari公司的Pong是一种简单的电子版的乒乓游戏，就像全美家庭和游乐中心的游戏一样非常受欢迎。布什内尔非常担心被后来者赶上，就构想了一个Pong的变体称之为Breakout，并向乔布斯求助设计电路。
最初，乔布斯试着独自工作，但很快就意识到他自己不能解决所有问题，于是请沃兹帮助解围。“史蒂夫没有能力设计这样复杂的东西。他找到我说Atari公司要做一个游戏，并描述了游戏的工作原理，”沃兹涅克回忆，“这是一件让人抓狂的事：我必须在4天时间内完成。想起来，我想是因为史蒂夫需要钱在北方买农场。”
在如此短时间内设计一款复杂的游戏正是沃兹喜欢的挑战，因此即使他在惠普公司做全职工... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 44
hehe, i can't read other people's mind, just read what they do with their
money.
a breakout to be successful or not is a judgment of probability. Despite the
Nay Sayers (who i really think they are just not good enough, evident by
never been able to speak with confidence ahead of time, meanwhile they are
eager to show off with MHPs with outlandish claims, hehe), a relatively
reliable judgment can be made when the market condition is right. - it is
also a good indicator that if your usually reli... 阅读全帖 |
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r*******u
发帖数: 143 | 45 Stock Research Trader
current holding- AH, TIBX, LNKD, FTNT, SPPI, INVN, VPHM
Sprewell Yu
Week ending: 01/21/2012
READING THE MARKET
The scent of game on long side has stated over the last two reports. The
NYSE has gone above 200 day line while Nasdaq broke out of a consolidation
with confirmation from leading stocks. On Tuesday the market gap up from
strong GDP Data from China, the market has gap up in the morning has pulled
back by Citigroup miss earning, While on Wednesday plenty of stock has... 阅读全帖 |
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r*******u
发帖数: 143 | 46 Stock Research Trader
current holding- AH, TIBX, LNKD, FTNT, SPPI, INVN, VPHM
Sprewell Yu
Week ending: 01/21/2012
READING THE MARKET
The scent of game on long side has stated over the last two reports. The
NYSE has gone above 200 day line while Nasdaq broke out of a consolidation
with confirmation from leading stocks. On Tuesday the market gap up from
strong GDP Data from China, the market has gap up in the morning has pulled
back by Citigroup miss earning, While on Wednesday plenty of stock has... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 47 呵呵， 主席轻仓了。 我也说几句大市， 主要还是帮助自己理清思路。 not to
convince anybody.
Even though it's always a good idea to take some profit when market edges
close to upper BB - a sign of over enthusiasm. however, in this case, we
need to answer this question: IS THIS A VALID BREAK THROUGH? spx follows naz
/iwm breaking previous high today, If it's a valid breakthrough, then we
should expect follow through, rally and then possibly a retest of the
breakout before heading higher. if not, we most likely will see a downside... 阅读全帖 |
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l*********m
发帖数: 16971 | 48 J.C. Penney & Sears: Why They’re Not Dead Yet!
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/j-c-penney-sears-why-no
Another day another beating for J.C. Penney (JCP). Shares fell 8.9% on
Tuesday after a research report from JPMorgan (JPM) suggested the troubled
retailer was at risk of running out of money before its turnaround efforts
take hold. The analyst said proceeds from J.C. Penney's recently completed
secondary share offering enabled management to order goods in sufficient
quantities for the h... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 49 BA led the DOW30 down this week, on top of big market weakness, BA is a
economy sensitive stock, also because of company specific news - possible
delay of 787 delivery. The sharp downturn also exaggerated by the prior
weeks of breakout. - a fairly typical scenario that breakouts are difficult
to sustain in general market weakness. However i'm still optimistic on BA's
outperform prospect in 2015 for couple reasons. of course, based on the
assumption that us economy continue expand, not heading to... 阅读全帖 |
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m**********n
发帖数: 50 | 50 俺不仅了解啥是CANSLIM，还知道作者是怎么搞出来的。他先找出来过去翻了若干倍的
股票，然后总结出来说‘原来翻倍的股票都是突破买入的呀’，可是那些突破了马上就
跌回去的他怎么不在书里仔细写写呢？突破了止损、再突破再止损来来回回的 Failed
breakout 到底占多少比例？若干年前当庄家还没用HFT软件坐庄的时候，Failed
breakout 就占七成多，如今几乎所有的庄家软件都包含 anti-breakout algorithms.
难怪O'Neil 靠卖书、卖报、卖 SEMINAR 敛钱，很多靠CANSLIM出名的现在也都走上收
徒、卖 SEMINAR 那条路了。
在市场上，啥都别迷信，你刚开始信啥、啥就不灵了，因为市场本身是动态的，你得随
着市场而变，自个儿实践中摸索出来的才有戏。 |
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