k******7
发帖数: 409 | 1 06/11
I think FMCN is going to break out 50dma Monday or Tuesday; if not, I will
have to stop out with small profit. Set a trailing stop. |
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k******7
发帖数: 409 | 2 FMCN did break out above 50dma line today;
I need to buy back my shares ... |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 3
I'm looking at gold 50DMA which is only 40$ below the current price. If
I were PET I might paint a breach of 50DMA to scare the hedge fund into
panic. 50DMA being breached is an important tech signal to many algo
driven hedge fund.
The problem is China and other non-West central banks are going to buy
physical gold on any weakness. So if PET drives the paper price too low
then China would just say "thank you" and BTFD. PET absolutely hates it
that China has got them by the balls but cannot do a... 阅读全帖 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 4
PET's game is to breach the 50DMA on the back of China's interest rate
rising to trigger a technical sell-off. Silver has not got this close to
50DMA since the rally begins in September.
28 is the key level if PET wants to push it down any further as I think
physical buyers (read China) is waiting in that zone to load. |
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r*******u
发帖数: 143 | 5 会更努力的,请给我意见
如果要word file 请留下 email
Stock Research Trader
SPREWELL YU
Week ending: 01/07/2012
READING THE MARKET
The beginning of the New Year starts off with a strong demand from the big
investors. Things have turned much more positive as upside volume come back,
the pass few days every time when the market gap down only to turn positive
in the end of the session. The Nasdaq has reclaim its 50dma and 200dma that
’s a very constructive sign that big investors are back to the market,due to
strong... 阅读全帖 |
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l**********y
发帖数: 2050 | 6 发信人: riseofyou (You), 信区: Stock
标 题: 小弟第一次写股评报告，请大家多多包涵 for week 1/7/12
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jan 7 12:06:02 2012, 美东)
会更努力的,请给我意见
如果要word file 请留下 email
Stock Research Trader
SPREWELL YU
Week ending: 01/07/2012
READING THE MARKET
The beginning of the New Year starts off with a strong demand from the big
investors. Things have turned much more positive as upside volume come back,
the pass few days every time when the market gap down only to turn positive
in the end of the session. The Nasdaq has... 阅读全帖 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 7
看黄金盘既要TA/FA还要SA(Shenanigan Analysis)。目前的金银图上50DMA
即将穿过200DMA，是个BEARISH SIGNAL。通常在这种情况下PET会跳出来狠
压一通让50DMA穿过，把那些只会看SIGNAL的HEDGE FUND的傻冒吓走。这种
情况下要耐心，不要太早跳进去。建议多看看MONEY FLOW INDICATOR，比
如CMF之类的，没有明显的ACCUMULATION迹象时不急着入市。 |
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E**********r
发帖数: 327 | 8 50ma -> 50 price moving average (大夫means 50dma in this case)
50dma -> 50 days price moving average
50wma -> 50 weeks price moving average
50mma -> ... |
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k********n
发帖数: 18523 | 9 好好，航空行情才开始！看看200Dma，50DMA |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 10 There's some support between 22-23 but it looks really weak. |
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k******7
发帖数: 409 | 12 my position was stoppped out with some profit this morning. Watch out if
20dma would hold; |
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c*****9
发帖数: 93 | 13 As you know 50DMA is about to cross over 200DMA on SPX and many simpletons
will turn bearish after SPX dropped over 200 points, just because of this.
Not to mention many systems like IBD had been giving buy signals right at
the swing tops since mid April, just to invalidate them near the bottom of
the moves. You know each sucker rally I talked about came on very strong
breath and suckered them at the highs. IBD just switched to sell mode
yesterday again. |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 14 50DMA coming down. retest previous high volume. 38.2 retracement, 38.2
fan out, middle line of bollinger band, upper lane of downward channel...
And above all, PPT has been eerily quiet recently while market plunges. |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 15
Try 50DMA on GLD. Bankers are close to scare most of the Johnny-come-late
nerds out of the market. What's left in there now are mainly people like
me who don't retreat and take physical delivery only. I expect support to
show up around 1300-1315.
Gold is almost a side show now. The real battle is silver as JPM sitting
on a mountain of naked shorts trying desperately to fight off a fierce
short-squeeze. |
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k********n
发帖数: 18523 | 16 over the 50dma and 200dma resistance...no matter how the weather is. |
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k********n
发帖数: 18523 | 17 first entry shall be around 12.5...
build your position step by step.... not all in or out...
today touched 50DMA... |
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k******7
发帖数: 409 | 18 even 200dma line, 然后再下探1101。
不下探第二腿的概率很小。
不过我反指，我 |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 19 My observation is, from 1136 to 1217 not many bulls on board; and most
probably small bulls already cashed out. The primary goal of this ramp up
was to kill bears. For now, small bears are mostly slaughtered already.
Many are expecting a retrace of 38.2% to 1188 area. And this time it might
just occur. MM's need some small bulls on board, and squeeze bears at the
same time. And the target could be 50DMA (1220~1230ish), when month-end and
quarter-end window dressing takes place. If that's the cas... 阅读全帖 |
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j******y
发帖数: 700 | 20 反指？
beat了我当然不能short了，等他上90（50DMA），那还得涨段时间 |
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j******y
发帖数: 700 | 21 今天晚上的conference call才能决定具体的方向
既然大师都发话了，坚决地hold到90（50DMA）上面，:P 再往上就要看了 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 22
Gold may take a short-term break to retest 20DMA or 50DMA though. I'll
book some GDX profit today. |
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k********n
发帖数: 18523 | 23
CMg 没有卡沃
卖了2年后的put,每股卖了70刀
如果这次回调在50DMA
我就再买9个360的靠，360是我的均价
耗死傻逼老莫餐厅 |
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f******d
发帖数: 6361 | 24 那大家以后就可以彻底忘掉它了，说实话，这个定律我的确是有一点忌惮的，可能是心
理作用吧，就好像莱鸟老喜欢用50dma和200dma说事。 |
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k******7
发帖数: 409 | 25 BAC is breaking out the 50dma line and a major resistance |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 27
Looks like a typical PET chart painting. Note on gold and silver
charts, both have 50DMA about to drop below 200DMA - a technical
sell signals to the hedge funds. PET likes to paint such signals
to trigger the sell stops and depress the metals. |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 28 50dma 34.11 is good entry price.
Just my two barrels. |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 29
You are gonna miss those gold / silver trades come next year. And
even if you like VISA why do you buy when the tech indicators are
all the high? RSI is high, MACD is high. It has not touched 50DMA
for a long while. It's not a good entry point. |
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k*****a
发帖数: 1463 | 30 I bought some @ 24 in hope of conviction on the CAF to cross 50DMA, but it
is very weak, closed and run. |
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z***e
发帖数: 5600 | 31 前两天第一次触SPX 50dma 反弹，这次应该破了
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.8 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 32 If PPT does not come out pulling it back to 50DMA then this sucker
is going down. |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 33
死皮放量跌破50DMA不是啥好事。PPT现在见死不救这一波奔1563去了。 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 34 Looking for short opportunities when SPX goes back to 50DMA area. |
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k******i
发帖数: 686 | 37 这两天比较正面的是四个指数全部站上了20天均线，负面的是另外3个尤其是DJI和SPX
相对弱些。当然在牛市里这也不算负面。操作上指数没有跌破20DMA肯定是不能short的
，最多undersize long。真正market出现correction的征兆还是需要有个日内比较大的
reversal或者significant bar。多大的run对应多大的信号。
股票当中有几个请大家指点一下:
SBUX: 50DMA rebound play, 短期trendline虽然告破，但是weekly chart intact.
BAC: Financial sector和health care是最近最强的两个sector之一，出去technology
，这个星期又比较大的调整，BAC的相对估值较低(tangible pb one of the lowest)目
前走势相对最稳
CME:类似bac，肉多些，止损比较容易
HIMX: long的点位比较早，本来也不想提的，但是如果心脏大的也能在10.5左右尝试
long，risk reward未必那么好，但是有个GOOG 眼睛作为潜在story
G... 阅读全帖 |
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k******i
发帖数: 686 | 38 SBUX会不会血跌我不知道。但是破了星期四低肯定要走了。本来8个月的逢50dma 反弹
的 speculation，三个月的trendline之前已经破了，现在被10D 20D压着，如果再破了
星期四低只能认赔出局了。
今天小盘股INDEX不太好，所以DATA,NOW也没能breakout，形态不是特别好，特别是now。
别的几只都在范围之内，该涨的涨(cme,apple, goog， brcm)，该调整的调整(xom，
dis, himx)，别的yoku cyou sohu 就是时间换空间。 MPO和TWGP是买了LEAP碰运气的
，当时彩票。
加入了SNDK，觉得还行，本来leader是MU (虽然一个做NAND一个做DRAM+NAND)，但是MU
涨那么多可能会有基金买入SNDK.
煤炭稍微可惜了，大家也没给我什么建议，我也没敢买入。 |
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k******i
发帖数: 686 | 39 之前发过，大夫给了些很厉害的建议尤其是bearish on SBUX的建议，可惜原文找不到
了，抄后面。
update 3:
SBUX,aapl,DIS,SNDK,DATA 止损(盈)了(有赚有亏，我们止损相对比较紧，走的不好就
丢了，等走好了再买回来，但是因为之前考虑到星期三可能有较大波动，仓位比较轻，
因此没有买回来goog等几只好股票，比较可惜。); bac,cme,himx,goog,xom,cyou,yoku
,brcm等,继续持有，加了点XOM和BAC（高位加的)。initiated GT,GE,GLW,CHK,应该说
这几只选的比较一般。，目前稍微小赚点。
其他:其他一些考虑中的股票，大家有意见可以提一下。
GAS
AA
ATI
APOL
NOW
CVC
C
KORS
CSC
DHI
EBAY
EQT
FFIV
FCX
GS
INTC
x
nue
PPC
PRU
phm
RL
slm
TWX
UTX
USB
viab
WM
whr
WPX
fb
WYN
xlnx
NAV
SPX
technology
MENT
9th December:
update1：
SBUX会不会... 阅读全帖 |
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E**********r
发帖数: 2743 | 41 AMD我还拿着，已过20DMA阻力，还是看好它明天过50DMA和200DMA。：）
MSFT我已经出了，留了些free run。 |
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E**********r
发帖数: 2743 | 42 ha, perfect. i just said earlier this afternoon that it will go through
50DMA, 200DMA perhaps tomorrow |
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E**********r
发帖数: 2743 | 43 但是我没有看出来杯柄啊。上周五AMD上穿10DMA，20DMA＋50DMA＋200DMA三聚头，量也
不错，我就sense这周可能会越过所有均线，明天还有一天，希望梦想成真。 ：） |
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r*******t
发帖数: 8550 | 44 Will go up in big time? |
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c*******o
发帖数: 3829 | 45 SPY/QQQ早叉叉了。 All time high is coming! |
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E**********r
发帖数: 2743 | 47 2/13's gap hasn't been filled, down again, not a very good candidate for
long, for now
i would consider it once/if it crosses the 50dma with good volume. |
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E**********r
发帖数: 2743 | 49 不是牛人，瞎说几句。FB现在攻打50dma强支撑，量不是很够，攻克后再进比较保险些
。 |
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